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Ditocoaf posted:There's Hillary Yes, Trump No, Woman President Yes, Kaine Yes, Pence No, and Democrat Yes and Republican No. All basically equivilant. Just signed up to buy Repub Nos with $100, maximum number of shares sold, welp buying Dem Yes instead for now. Time to  on this poo poo.
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Oct 17, 2016 01:15
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Bought 2 shares of "Will a UNLV debate moderator say “lock her up"?" Yes @ $.16 per share because I have 32 cents lying around on that site now.
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Oct 20, 2016 01:22
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Necc0 posted:Looks like the tide finally broke in the VP market and is slowly retreating. In it to win it with another $200 @ .66 per share. $300 total into Hilldawg beating Trump now. Wish I had more to play with but since technically I could lose it all I'm playing with cash I won't cry over. 
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Nov 3, 2016 00:10
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I'm debating on setting up .99c sell orders to cash out quicker and then re-buy into other markets with house money (and possibly some of my deposit - depending on how things look) after the election but before the electoral college does their thing. What markets do people see as being good buys post-Tuesday? I'm considering "Will Comey resign in 2016" to be good odds with "Nos" selling for .75 currently. Thoughts?
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Nov 5, 2016 18:15
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Necc0 posted:There's going to be MASSIVE volatility after the election / markets close as tons of money gets dumped into everyone's accounts and they all go nuts with it. There's no telling what will happen but there will almost certainly be good opportunities Fair enough point there, .99 sell orders set. If they resolve in time for me to play other markets cool, otherwise I'll wait till electoral college to cash out.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:29
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Ended up deciding to toss $75 on Florida going Dem. If I'm wrong I'll still be up from the overall Dem win. Wish I'd had that line of thought last night when I could have doubled my FL money 
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Nov 9, 2016 01:17
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tangy yet delightful posted:Ended up deciding to toss $75 on Florida going Dem. If I'm wrong I'll still be up from the overall Dem win. Wish I'd had that line of thought last night when I could have doubled my FL money Got out of this with a $13 loss. The uncalled counties went heavy Trump in 2012. I think he takes FL. edit: Got into Ohio with RepNO for 65c. edit2: For anyone curious I'm using politico's election map data from 2012 to determine how many net votes each county that hasn't turned in results yet will get each candidate. My sample size is all of FL and OH so far, but I think with some minor refinement this could be a useful strategy for playing day of results with money you can afford to lose. tangy yet delightful has issued a correction as of 02:33 on Nov 9, 2016 |
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Nov 9, 2016 02:21
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:florida tanked heavy, currently in mid 40s, not looking great. has anyone besides tangy cut bait? The last 2 counties aren't going to get Hillary the 68K she needs to pass Donald. I would recommend bailing if you can. Note: not financial advice, I may be totally wrong and the vote totals can somehow adjust from the heavily democratic counties that have already reported later edit: 1 county left and Donald has a 81K lead now.
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Nov 9, 2016 02:37
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Viking_Helmet posted:I got spooked and cut for a few bucks loss, but I only had 50 shares in. Buy into OH against Rep and win it back WHAT COULD GO WRONG
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Nov 9, 2016 02:39
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RepNo is ridiculously going DOWN with only 1 county to go. BUY OH AAAAAAAa you're welcome Snow Job
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Nov 9, 2016 02:40
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now im like oh god what if I'm wrong about FL and OH definitely weirdness but it's kept me entertained so far tonight
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Nov 9, 2016 02:47
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Vox Nihili posted:i cut 1/3 of my shares at cost but im probably stuck with a big loss if clinton cant even up with the next Broward dumps So full openness on my part here, I am a retard and didn't realize the colored counties by Google weren't like fully reported in and they were just coloring based on segmented "dumps" of votes. I did realize this about 5 minutes ago as I finally saw the light gray "XX% Reporting" percentage in their UI. FL is at 74% at this point. OH is only at 28% (and actually Donald just took the lead by 200 votes). So I may have hosed myself on Ohio.
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Nov 9, 2016 02:59
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sincx posted:I only bet on national markets. I'm slightly up right now still. Should I sell? If you bet on Hillary winning I would hold. But what do I know, I just probably lost $60 in Ohio because I mis-read vote data 
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Nov 9, 2016 03:09
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I'm staying firm on my piddly $375 and hoping Hilldawg comes out on top to get a slight positive withdraw. Good luck my big money bros.
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Nov 9, 2016 03:51
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Elephanthead posted:I would rather Manning die in prison the lose the five bucks I did. That certainly is one viewpoint. I didn't look at the market myself but I guess they are counting a commutation as a pardon?
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Jan 19, 2017 00:58
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Stereotype posted:I made a few hundred dollars last year and just put a bunch of money in on Jones winning since the comments in those markets are filled with insane true believers. I hope you are right and have been looking at some good data to back up your bet. Living down here in TN (which is, I will say, not as bad as AL) does not fill me with confidence that Jones will win.
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Dec 2, 2017 17:34
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