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Calling it now, Houston loses at home to the Jags the last game to lose the division to the Colts. Also Giants going to be clownball champs and beat the Panthers.
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Dec 8, 2015 19:54
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fsif posted:Thanks for this. It's a good thread. what are your thoughts on bills playoff hopes
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Dec 8, 2015 19:58
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I present the most awful playoffs ever http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/mac...4~2~400791691~2
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Dec 8, 2015 20:40
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Metapod posted:This owns
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Dec 8, 2015 20:46
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NC-17 posted:what are your thoughts on bills playoff hopes They have a very favorable schedule, playing three NFC East teams in a row, and then finishing the season at home against a team they already beat on the road. They'll still finish 2–2 down the stretch.
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Dec 8, 2015 20:57
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Find a way to flip the hair over and it's perfect.
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Dec 8, 2015 21:22
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Anaranjado posted:Find a way to flip the hair over and it's perfect. 
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Dec 8, 2015 21:29
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AFC Wildcard is pretty uncomfortable. All 3 contenders at 7-5 deserve a spot. My Steelers have the toughest schedule and the worst tiebreakers. I kind of resent the Chiefs for stealing a win while Ben was out, but they played really well in that game and there's no guarantee of a different outcome with Ben. The Steelers have an elite offense that makes them one of the top contenders in the conference, but at this point they'll miss the playoffs.  That said, I doubt many here will be sorry if the Steelers miss the playoffs.
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Dec 8, 2015 22:50
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The Steelers are probably the last team in the AFC I'd want to face in January right now.
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Dec 8, 2015 22:53
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Moxie posted:AFC Wildcard is pretty uncomfortable. All 3 contenders at 7-5 deserve a spot. My Steelers have the toughest schedule and the worst tiebreakers. I kind of resent the Chiefs for stealing a win while Ben was out, but they played really well in that game and there's no guarantee of a different outcome with Ben. The Steelers have an elite offense that makes them one of the top contenders in the conference, but at this point they'll miss the playoffs. If Mariota or Cassel can lead an upset vs the Jets, or if the Steelers can upset @Cin then I feel pretty good about their shot at the #6. The Chiefs have a very easy closing schedule so they should go 10-6, possibly 11-5, and likely finish 5th, and I personally would expect one of NYJ/Pit to find a way to finish 3-1. Of course Pit has three road divisional games and the Jets end with the Pats and Bills, so both stumbling to 9-7 and a bunch of tie-breakers coming into play between them and perhaps the Bills or Texans/Colts is equally possible. The dream scenario imo is Pit #5 at Ind #4, so we'll see.
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Dec 9, 2015 00:31
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NC-17 posted:The Steelers are probably the last team in the AFC I'd want to face in January right now. This is the right thing. This is the true words
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Dec 9, 2015 03:13
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NC-17 posted:The Steelers are probably the last team in the AFC I'd want to face in January right now. I dunno. In big games it seems you can count on Tomlin to have at least one monumentally dumb decision that swings the game. But I agree, I'd much rather play KC or NYJ
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Dec 9, 2015 03:13
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I still have faith that the Giants are the 4-year cicadas of the NFL but things look pretty grim right now, they lost a ton of close games but no NFC East team deserves to be in the playoffs. Still, as Clint Eastwood would say, "deserve ain't got nothing to do with it."
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Dec 9, 2015 03:26
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23 teams at 7-9, can anyone do better? Also, five playoff teams with losing records. e: got 24 - this is the most possible, every other team already has more than 7 wins (seven of them) or more than 9 losses (the Browns). Xerol fucked around with this message at 04:47 on Dec 9, 2015 |
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Dec 9, 2015 04:30
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It's pretty funny, really, how far ahead the Cards and Panthers are in the NFC. Arizona needs a single win plus a Seahawks loss to clinch the NFC West (or two wins), and so the only way the Seahawks win the division is if the Cards lose out and the Seahawks win out (if Arizona wins two of four, they clinch at 12-4). The Panthers have a 2-game lead on the Cards for the 1 seed, so the Cards would, really, need the Panthers to collapse the last few weeks to have a chance at the 1-seed. Arizona clinches a playoff berth with a single win. But can the Cards lose the 2 seed, realistically? They get the Vikings, Philly, the Packers, and the Seahawks (all except Philly at home). If Arizona wins 2 of 4, they clinch the NFC West and can conceivably lock up the first-round bye before week 17. If they win 2 of 3 before the Hawks come to town, then they've eliminated either the Vikes or Packers from the 2 seed (if they go 2-1 and lose to Philly, they automatically clinch the first-round bye). So the Vikings and Packers have absolutely no room for error; if either lose between now and week 17, they are clinging to life support for that first-round bye. Tough schedule, but the toughest teams are at home and Arizona is playing as well as anyone right now. So if the Cards keep a-rollin', they'll be able to rest their starters against the Seahawks, and oh my god I want to see how mad that makes them. Christ, Arizona might be able to rest its starters in week 16 if they beat the Vikings and Eagles and the Packers lose a game. The Seahawks are in a decent position to make the playoffs, though I hope they don't. They have to go at least 3-1 against their remaining schedule, which is piss-easy (except for week 17 at Arizona). It looks like the only real contenders for a playoff spot are the Bucs, who have to go 4-0 against their remaining schedule, which is also piss-easy (except for week 17 at Carolina).
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Dec 9, 2015 05:26
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Bitchmade: (adj) Anyone who is afraid of the Steelers.
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Dec 9, 2015 06:00
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so i got bored and worked out top seed tiebreakers for the AFC. -obviously the broncos have the tiebreaker over the patriots and whoever wins broncos/bengals has the tiebreaker there on head to head. -if patriots/bengals goes to strength of victory that is virtually guaranteed to favor the patriots. thanks, browns -three way tie where broncos beat bengals: broncos #1 by head-to-head (they beat both the others), then apply patriots/bengals tiebreaker for 2/3 -three way tie where bengals beat broncos: broncos #3 by conference record, then apply patriots/bengals tiebreaker for 1/2 -common games for patriots and bengals are steelers, bills, texans, and broncos. -bengals play: steelers, 49ers, broncos, ravens. patriots play: texans, titans, jets, dolphins. -patriots/bengals both 14-2: both 11-1 conference, both 4-1 in common games, so it goes to SoV (likely patriots are #1) -patriots/bengals both 13-3, bengals loss is the 49ers: bengals win on conference record (10-2 vs 9-3) -patriots/bengals both 13-3. patriots loss is the texans: if the bengals loss is the ravens they win on common games (4-1 vs 3-2). if the bengals loss is the steelers or broncos common games ties at 3-2 and it goes to SoV again. -any other 13-3 tie: either the bengals lose on common games or it goes to SoV and they still lose. i haven't thought about 12-4 but i think it's very similar to the 13-3 scenarios. so basically i don't want there to be a tie! i hope the patriots freaking lose and the bengals dont!!!!!! Big Ol Marsh Pussy fucked around with this message at 06:26 on Dec 9, 2015 |
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Dec 9, 2015 06:23
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Man I am going to enjoy all the NFC playoff teams crawling all over each other trying to figure out how to avoid drawing Seattle in the wild card round. Seattle with blood all over the maw, that crazy look in their eye. Right now it is Seattle visiting Green Bay, which is probably a worst case scenario for the Hawks. I just hate the idea of playing at Lambeau.
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Dec 9, 2015 06:43
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DancingMachine posted:Man I am going to enjoy all the NFC playoff teams crawling all over each other trying to figure out how to avoid drawing Seattle in the wild card round. Seattle with blood all over the maw, that crazy look in their eye. Right now the NFC East team would draw the Vikings which...I think is actually a favorable match-up for all of them. So NFC East fans need to hope the Seahawks stay as the 6 seed because I can't see any NFC East team beating them the way they're playing now. Although a 7-9 NFC East team beating the Seahawks would be rather hilarious. edit: Kalensc, what are the NFC scenarios?
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Dec 9, 2015 13:54
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axeil posted:edit: Kalensc, what are the NFC scenarios? When I can find 30~ minutes between job 1, job 2, and all the prep work for upcoming holiday hoopla, I'll be editing in more useful analysis. I'm already 2 hours into another 10+ hour slog but maybe I'll sneak something in during a fourth coffee break. And a lot of it will be in conjunction/collaboration with the great posts provided by the big ol' marsh pussy, ghost of reagan, and other info-heavy posts, so thanks for all those everyone!
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Dec 9, 2015 14:52
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I think the crazy part about the NFC is how no one is really out of it currently, although every 4-8 team will be eliminated this week with a loss and a Seahawks win, minus Dallas because they could still win their division.
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Dec 9, 2015 16:13
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Steelers' offense looks pretty unstoppable recently.
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Dec 9, 2015 16:19
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kalensc posted:When I can find 30~ minutes between job 1, job 2, and all the prep work for upcoming holiday hoopla, I'll be editing in more useful analysis. I'm already 2 hours into another 10+ hour slog but maybe I'll sneak something in during a fourth coffee break. And a lot of it will be in conjunction/collaboration with the great posts provided by the big ol' marsh pussy, ghost of reagan, and other info-heavy posts, so thanks for all those everyone! Ooof.  If I have some time this evening I could do a write up to save you some stress.
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Dec 9, 2015 16:49
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three posted:Steelers' offense looks pretty unstoppable recently. There offense is really, really good, but their defense is really bad. They stomped the Colts and Browns, but gave up 35 and 39 points to the Raiders and Seahawks respectively. The next two weeks will tell us a lot though if they lose either, they're in a bit of trouble.
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Dec 9, 2015 17:05
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Bengals winning the 1-and-done poll.
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Dec 9, 2015 17:11
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three posted:Steelers' offense looks pretty unstoppable recently. They played some bad defenses.
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Dec 9, 2015 18:00
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MrLogan posted:They played some bad defenses. This is a dumb handwaving, they just shat all over Seattle's defense two weeks ago. That offense is legit.
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Dec 9, 2015 19:27
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Elephanthead posted:Calling it now, Houston loses at home to the Jags the last game to lose the division to the Colts. As a texans fan, this is the only way it could possibly happen.
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Dec 9, 2015 19:49
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Benne posted:This is a dumb handwaving, they just shat all over Seattle's defense two weeks ago. That offense is legit. MrLogan posted:They played some bad defenses.
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Dec 9, 2015 19:51
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kalensc posted:FYI, Philadelphia can be 6-9 and clinch the division before the final week. \ This is crazy, and not all that farfetched, actually.
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Dec 9, 2015 20:24
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aBagorn posted:This is crazy, and not all that farfetched, actually. What needs to happen? Win vs one of Buf/AZ and NYG and WAS both go 0-2?
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Dec 9, 2015 21:43
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axeil posted:What needs to happen? Win vs one of Buf/AZ and NYG and WAS both go 0-2? e: formatting nicely Consider the next three weeks in the NFCe code:aBagorn fucked around with this message at 22:23 on Dec 9, 2015 |
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Dec 9, 2015 21:45
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aBagorn posted:NYG/DAL/WAS go 0-3  I love the NFC East
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Dec 9, 2015 21:52
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aBagorn posted:NYG/DAL/WAS go 0-3 This season is garbage and I love it 
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Dec 9, 2015 21:59
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Roflex posted:23 teams at 7-9, can anyone do better? The tiebreaker listing for this one is amazing. Especially the AFC wildcards.
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Dec 9, 2015 22:02
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axeil posted:Ooof. I'd rather you write up my Thursday presentation so I can have some fun crunching playoff math. =P But ya, anything with analysis in it will get insert into the OP with thanks to the writer.
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Dec 9, 2015 22:05
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Kalli posted:There offense is really, really good, but their defense is really bad. They stomped the Colts and Browns, but gave up 35 and 39 points to the Raiders and Seahawks respectively. The next two weeks will tell us a lot though if they lose either, they're in a bit of trouble. The defense is sneaky good. They had a bad day against the Seahawks but really, only about three bad games all season and a few very good games against offenses like the Bengals and Cardinals. The high scoring offense complements them well. The secondary's not great but Heyward, Tuitt, and the blue chip linebackers are very dangerous.
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Dec 9, 2015 22:15
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Benne posted:This is a dumb handwaving, they just shat all over Seattle's defense two weeks ago. That offense is legit. Colts, Browns, & Raiders all have pretty bad defenses. Seattle's defensive isn't terrible, but it isn't great. Seattle has benefited from playing some terrible offenses. Most of the decent teams they've played haven't had any trouble putting up points.
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Dec 9, 2015 22:38
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The problem with Pittsburgh's offense is that you never know if it's gonna be Ben or Landry on any given series. The former is a 10-11 win team, the later is a 3-4 win team. Nobody knows exactly how healthy Ben is, not even Ben.
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Dec 9, 2015 23:45
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Eifert Posting posted:Bitchmade: (adj) Anyone who is afraid of the Steelers. Bravemade: (adj) Anyone who opposes the foul and disgusting machinations of the hateful and wrong Pittsburgh Steelers!
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Dec 10, 2015 03:25
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