THE IOWA PRECINCT CAUCUSES FEB 1, 7PM CST: DEAD HEAT

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > THE IOWA PRECINCT CAUCUSES FEB 1, 7PM CST: DEAD HEAT

Will Trump get stumped?
	Yes
	No
	#FeelTheBern
	Baby Hitler

Josh Lyman: May 24, 2009

This phrasing is terrible: "(candidate's statewide vote) � 30 � (total statewide vote) delegates"

It should absolutely be: "(candidate's statewide vote) � (total statewide vote) delegates � 30"

Of even better: "fraction of total statewide vote � 30" :colbert:

# ? Feb 1, 2016 18:29

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# ? May 15, 2024 04:01

Goatse James Bond: Mar 28, 2010; If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

e_angst posted:

Taking this from what I posted in the Texas politics thread, and why I'm suspecting that Cruz might pull an upset:

(Cruz will win the Texas primary because) Cruz sucked every single dick of every single low-level tea party organizer across the whole damned state during his Senate bid. That was one of the main reasons he came out of nowhere to beat the ever-loving poo poo out of David Dewhurst, despite Dewhurst having more money and years more experience. The Texas Tribune crowd still talks about how Cruz showed up at pretty much any tea party function that had more than four people at it so he could get them on his side. I wouldn't be surprised if Ted Cruz has shaken the hands of more Republican primary voters in this state than the every other primary candidate combined, plus Rick Perry.

Cruz is pretty much a lock for Texas, and if the Republicans in Iowa are as susceptible to glad-handing as their Texan counterparts, I wouldn't be surprised if he pulls of an upset tonight (as he's been working at that same strategy over there for this primary).

Maybe Rick "Santorum" Santorum beat him to it with his trusty pickup truck and inspiring underdog story again. :3:

# ? Feb 1, 2016 18:33

Raskolnikov38: Mar 3, 2007; We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

lol santorum is on msnbc, i had completely forgotten he was still in this

# ? Feb 1, 2016 18:38

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

According to an average of forecasts, Clinton has a 68 percent chance and Trump has a 57 percent chance of winning Iowa.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:01

ate shit on live tv: Feb 15, 2004; by Azathoth

I predict a strong showing in terms of delegate counts from Sanders. He may not get the most, but it will be competitive.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:01

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:04

triple sulk: Sep 17, 2014

lmao

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:06

Goatse James Bond: Mar 28, 2010; If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Joementum posted:

I think you meant to say a yooge poster.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:09

Fish Of Doom: Aug 18, 2004; I'm too awake for this to be a nightmare

Joementum posted:

I love that they chose the "howler monkey" picture.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:10

Pinterest Mom: Jun 9, 2009

Powercrazy posted:

I predict a strong showing in terms of delegate counts from Sanders. He may not get the most, but it will be competitive.

In a close race, it's basically impossible for the delegate count to be more lopsided than 22/16 either way.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:17

Jedi Knight Luigi: Jul 13, 2009

Did I just hear someone on MSNBC say that Sanders' supporters are gonna stay in their dorm rooms and play Nintendo?

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:17

Lord of Pie: Mar 2, 2007

Luigi Thirty posted:

Today's Iowa Quinnipiac poll is out!

Trump 31
Cruz 24
Rubio 17

Trump leads with men by 14 points over Cruz. The support he loses with women goes to Rubio. First-timers for the GOP overwhelmingly support Trump because of immigration.

Sanders 49
Clinton 46
O'Malley 3

Sanders leads with people making under 50K 58-38 and with people under 45 74-23. First-timers overwhelmingly support Sanders while repeat caucusgoers support Clinton. The most important issue for Dem caucusgoers is healthcare.

This looks like good news... for Hillary!

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:18

TwinsensRevenge: Aug 13, 2013

Is it legal to livestream a Democratic caucus? I'll be monitoring Periscope either way.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:19

sexpig by night: Sep 8, 2011; by Azathoth

Joementum posted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ScV5tNmHbgw

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:23

Hopkins FBI: Jan 4, 2015; MY SACRED POSTING VOW IS NOTHING, FOR WHILE I STAKED MY HONOR UPON MY COMMITMENT TO NEVER SUPPORT JOSEPH R. B. JUNIOR I HAVE SCANDALOUSLY ABANDONED MY PRINCIPLES

That Rand Paul GIF is my favorite thing.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:32

Prorat: Aug 3, 2004; by FactsAreUseless

Ghetto Prince posted:

Greatest country in the world.

Why did you post a pic of countries that have or have not been to the moon in this election thread?

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:32

Nonsense: Jan 26, 2007

Prorat posted:

Why did you post a pic of countries that have or have not been to the moon in this election thread?

NASA used metric

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:33

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

Oh you better believe he broke out the vest for today.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:37

MeatwadIsGod: Sep 30, 2004; Foretold by Gyromancy

Is streaming allowed from within any of the caucus locations so I can be like

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:44

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

Quote of the day, �I�d love to say that second place is great but it�s not a win and I know that�s a terrible expectation to set but our country needs to win again.� ~ Corey Lewandowski, campaign manager for Trump.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:44

Sir Tonk: Apr 18, 2006; Young Orc

Jedi Knight Luigi posted:

Did I just hear someone on MSNBC say that Sanders' supporters are gonna stay in their dorm rooms and play Nintendo?

The only way to implement full socialism is with the tools contained inside of Mario Maker.

Sir Tonk has issued a correction as of 19:47 on Feb 1, 2016

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:45

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

MeatwadIsGod posted:

Is streaming allowed from within any of the caucus locations so I can be like

News organizations will have cameras in precincts. No idea what they do about people with cell phone streams, but I'm sure people will be doing it.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:47

pathetic little tramp: Dec 12, 2005; by Hillary Clinton's assassins; Fallen Rib

Joementum posted:

News organizations will have cameras in precincts. No idea what they do about people with cell phone streams, but I'm sure people will be doing it.

Periscope has an API, right? I'm sure Twitter has safeguards and auth-keys that prevent doing just this, but I could probably write a script that looks for all periscope streams labelled Iowa and integrates them into that ozymandial wall... by next year.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:51

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

pathetic little tramp posted:

Periscope has an API, right? I'm sure Twitter has safeguards and auth-keys that prevent doing just this, but I could probably write a script that looks for all periscope streams labelled Iowa and integrates them into that ozymandial wall... by next year.

https://twitter.com/search?q=periscope%20near%3A%22Iowa%22%20within%3A15mi&src=typd

# ? Feb 1, 2016 19:57

Thump!: Nov 25, 2007; Look, fat, here's the fact, Kulak!

Prorat posted:

Why did you post a pic of countries that have or have not been to the moon in this election thread?

I too remember the famous moon landings by noted space-capable countries Liberia and Burma.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:00

Dolash: Oct 23, 2008; aNYWAY,
tHAT'S REALLY ALL THERE IS,
tO REPORT ON THE SUBJECT,
oF ME GETTING HURT,

Joementum posted:

Quote of the day, �I�d love to say that second place is great but it�s not a win and I know that�s a terrible expectation to set but our country needs to win again.� ~ Corey Lewandowski, campaign manager for Trump.

They're not wrong to play it that way, I guess - Trump's persona really demands nothing less than Winning All The Time. The exciting thing about tonight is you can be absolutely sure, win or lose, Trump will not be gracious. His Dean Scream potential is through the roof

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:01

Thump!: Nov 25, 2007; Look, fat, here's the fact, Kulak!

Dolash posted:

They're not wrong to play it that way, I guess - Trump's persona really demands nothing less than Winning All The Time. The exciting thing about tonight is you can be absolutely sure, win or lose, Trump will not be gracious. His Dean Scream potential is through the roof

He's gonna make good on his promise of shooting someone if he doesn't win Iowa.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:03

BGrifter: Mar 16, 2007; Winner of Something Awful PS5 thread's Posting Excellence Award June 2022

Congratulations!

Hoping Trump does something crazy like hiring every limo company within five states to drive people to caucus locations.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:12

Scrub-Niggurath: Nov 27, 2007

Joementum posted:

According to an average of forecasts, Clinton has a 68 percent chance and Trump has a 57 percent chance of winning Iowa.

Using my knowledge of % chances gained from RPGs both candidates have no chance of success

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:14

District Selectman: Jan 22, 2012; by Lowtax

If Trump loses Iowa, he'll just point out that Iowa hasn't picked the GOP nominee since that loser Bush in 2000

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:18

Skyl3lazer: Aug 27, 2007; [Dooting Stealthily]

Mods please rename thread to CAUCTALK

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:20

Trash Trick: Apr 17, 2014

I'm looking forward to making a lot of money on Bernie losing.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:35

i say swears online: Mar 4, 2005

more young-person-profile gold:

http://mic.com/articles/133959/meet-the-young-people-who-stormed-iowa-to-campaign-for-republicans#.C8UXwlaNs

quote:

On the stump for Trump: On Monday night, Carter Nordman of Adel, Iowa, will stand with his neighbors as a caucus captain for frontrunner Donald Trump.

Nordman has been juggling his work for Trump with homework and basketball games. He's just 17 and a high school junior. Fortunately for Nordman � head of Iowa Students for Trump � and his fascination with politics, Iowa law allows him to caucus since he'll reach the legal voting age of 18 before Election Day in November.

A lanky 6'3" and preppy in dress, Nordman has a Trump sticker on his phone, another on his car and a pragmatic, near straight-from-playbook pitch for the man he first knew as a reality show star.

"He's extremely intelligent. He's gone to the best schools you can go to. He knows the best people. Extremely successful," Nordman told Mic, noting Trump won "landslide" victories in his school's straw poll and mock caucus.

"When you look at the senators, yeah, they have a voting record � but Trump's actually put his smarts and his abilities to the test, and has actually made an extremely good living off of it," he said. Plus, Trump's "not in the big Washington political machine that's gotten nothing done in the last eight years � whether it's Republican or Democrat."
Source: YouTube

Nordman readily admits Adel, a town of about 4,000 people located west of Des Moines, is "pretty Caucasian" � of course, so is Iowa as a whole, which is part of what gives rise to arguments for stripping its first-in-the-nation voting status.

Like Trump himself, Nordman writes off questions about the candidate's vows to round up undocumented immigrants and bar Muslims from entering the U.S. as faux controversy born of political correctness.

"No one's racist against immigrants coming in. We want immigrants to come here. We want smart people to come here. We want people from all over the world to attend our universities, but they have to come here legally," he told Mic. "No one is racist against Muslims. Very nice people. I mean, Trump has many Muslim friends. But until we figure out what is happening and what is causing this and how we can stop it, we have to protect the U.S. citizens first."

dude's on point

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:37

Mr. Pumroy: May 20, 2001

Aliquid posted:

more young-person-profile gold:

http://mic.com/articles/133959/meet-the-young-people-who-stormed-iowa-to-campaign-for-republicans#.C8UXwlaNs

dude's on point

oh god it's like there's a tiny trump in his brain

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:39

Schnorkles: Apr 30, 2015; It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

Aliquid posted:

more young-person-profile gold:

http://mic.com/articles/133959/meet-the-young-people-who-stormed-iowa-to-campaign-for-republicans#.C8UXwlaNs

dude's on point

I, uh.

Wow.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:40

Trash Trick: Apr 17, 2014

Are they actually going to have cameras INSIDE the caucuses where the people are giving speeches to support their candidates and poo poo?

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:42

i say swears online: Mar 4, 2005

a cop posted:

Are they actually going to have cameras INSIDE the caucuses where the people are giving speeches to support their candidates and poo poo?

there will be approximately five thousand hilarious phone videos up on youtube by midnight

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:43

Trash Trick: Apr 17, 2014

Aliquid posted:

there will be approximately five thousand hilarious phone videos up on youtube by midnight

Yeah but I mean live. I wanna watch that poo poo!

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:44

Corek: May 11, 2013; by R. Guyovich

Mr. Pumroy posted:

oh god it's like there's a tiny trump in his brain

In 100 years Trump will be its own language like Dutch and Afrikaans

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:44

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# ? May 15, 2024 04:01

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

a cop posted:

Are they actually going to have cameras INSIDE the caucuses where the people are giving speeches to support their candidates and poo poo?

Yes, but all the cable networks are just going to have it running split-screen while some hack pundit tells you what they think.

C-SPAN usually shows some of the speeches, but they also love to cut away for callers.

Then again, C-SPAN callers are great.

# ? Feb 1, 2016 20:44

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