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Will Trump get stumped?
Yes
No
#FeelTheBern
Baby Hitler
View Results
 
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Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
Can't post for 5 years!
Grimey Drawer
I've been watching CNN all night on a Sunday.

WTF is wrong with me?????

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Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
I'ts me. I'm the broken human being who LOVES CNN's election coverage.

SA + CNN gonna keep me up to date on Lord President Trump the Unstumpable's coronation.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
Wolfy on CNN - "reports of unusually high GOP turnout coming in"

TRUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUMP!!!!!!!!!

*click*

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
CNN: CAUCUS SITES SEEING UNUSUALLY HIGH VOTER REGISTRATION

WE'RE GOING TO MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!!!

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

Joementum posted:

Bernie rally in Iowa, circa 1959



Trump is going to own Bernie in the 21st century kitchen table debate.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
Can't post for 5 years!
Grimey Drawer

Good Soldier Svejk posted:

So as a man with a cable package, what's the network of choice for this trainwreck?

Only CNN has Wolf Blizter.

AMERICA'S anchorman.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
CNN: HUGE line in Ankeny, Iowa for the new voter registration/party affiliation change line.


T-R-U-M-P TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP!!!!!!!!!!!!

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
CNN: !!!!!VOTERS BEING BRIBED WITH SNICKERS BARS!!!!

God bless America

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer

Gyges posted:

Have to wait and see which side the throngs choose to caucus in. It could be vast throngs of Bernites with small pockets of vocal Trumpites.

Separate sites for GOP and DNC

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

TheTatteredKing posted:

Oh did they not say which side the tons of new people were for?

GOP sites so far.

No word yet from CNN on Democratic turnout.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
Greenfield, Iowa

250 people after only 30 minutes, all time record is 330.

20% of people inside new caucus goers.


Ankety, Iowa

Slammed, going to smash all-time record.

More than 50 new voters registered already (220 total voters in caucus in 2012)



TRUMP! TRUMP? TRUMP!!!!!!

TRUMPTRUMPTRUMPTRUMP

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
Here we go Democrats - Coralville Democratic site on CNN is SLAMMED.

Decent amount of first timers. Lines going outside door.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
CNN at Des Moines Democratic caucus site - lots of young and 1st timers.

2 sides of church look even so far between Hillary and Bernie groups.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

Donald Trump posted:

Very, very, very exciting.

God bless you Mr. Trump

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
CNN confirming what we know - Carson campaign is a book selling tour. Heading home to FL, not campaigning in SC or NH, not doing anything until D.C. prayer breakfast.

SWITCH TO TRUMP BEN FRIENDS!!!!!

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
Why would you people deprive yourselves of Wolf Blitzer??????

Always watch CNN on election night.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

blue squares posted:

Just loaded CNN up on my laptop. Boosted is right for once

Also John King and his beloved video board map.

It's an election tradition.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

Josh Lyman posted:

I've got all 3 cable channels + CSPAN and CNN seems to have the best coverage so far.

Seriously, CNN is pretty good. I mean, it has to be for a guy like me to eschew FOX News and go with a biased liberal media outlet.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

I'm sure all the Trump supporters will appreciate listening to their speeches before voting for Mr. Trump.

TRUMP!!!!

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer

Rocks posted:

what is everyone watching - CNN?

Yes.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
Is the GOP vote tally site crashing for anyone else?

https://www.iagopcaucuses.com/#/state

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
Good job Microsoft.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
Looks like Trump is nailing his Iowa poll #s, BUT Cruz is exceeding his.

Not looking great for a Trump coronation tonight.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

Venom Snake posted:

Trumpeter tears going to be sweet tonight.

No tears. More like ultimate dream of a cake-walk gone, Trump will actually have to continue to work.

The good news is he is hitting his poll #s. Cruz is outperforming his by 4-5 points. Won't make a difference in NH or SC.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
Cruz is basically pulling off an 8 point swing against Trump. Trailed by 4.5 in polls, might win by 3.5%

Can he pull of 10% swings in NH or SC, where he doesn't have the Iowa ground game advantage he had tonight???

AAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH SAVE US TRUMP

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

Mitt Romney posted:

Seriously, there's been months of people even in this thread that were yelling for months about how it was impossible for Trump to not win Iowa, NH and SC

LOL everyone was in agreement Cruz would win Iowa until Trump's late surge, but thanks for the historical revisionism.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
Trump still have a lot of precincts out in Dubuque, Woodbury, & Plymouth County (decent size, and Trump leads so far), BUT I don't think enough for a comeback.

I think Cruz is going to pull out a 2-3% win by the end of the night.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

a cop posted:

The thing about Trump is that he's in it to win it, to a degree (imo) well above and beyond the other candidates. He's shown a capacity to adapt and evolve well above the others in the race. After tonight he's going to rev up his primary efforts x9000 fold.

Also he clearly got new voters to turn out, and neither Rubio or Cruz has anything remotely resembling Cruz's Iowa organization and ground game in NH or SC.

If Trump loses NH, I'll panic for sure. Sucks he couldn't pull of the sweep though from beginning to end.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
Joementum, if this holds, roughly what will the GOP Iowa delegate count look like? 30 delegates total, right?

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer

blue squares posted:

Hey Boosted are you switching to Cruz or Rubio?

If Trumps hold onto at least 1% of his 22% lead in NH and wins there, he will get my vote in SC.

If Trump loses to Cruz or Rubio, I'll vote for Cruz. Ugh. He's slime, but Open Border Marco Amnesty Rubio would ensure no more GOP presidents after him (or SCOTUS nominations) for a LOOOONG time and also more economic suffering for Americans.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

Joementum posted:

His supporters did not caucus.

Can we say that?

Turnout so far at 80% reporting looks like 150,000+

It looks more like Cruz's organization, ground game, and data were all legit and he has outperformed his polling big time.

Can he do the same in NH or SC with huge trumps leads, in primary states and not caucuses, with nothing close to his Iowa organization?

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer

Voyager I posted:

Is this actually the death of Trump? It feels more like winning Iowa would have been a terrifying upset, but if he makes a respectable showing and then goes on to win NH, a much more favorable state, he may still be a viable candidate, and coming in at 24% in Iowa is still way too many people turning out for him for me to be entirely comfortable calling it curtains. I guess it will largely depend on how he reacts.

Exactly. Caucus + Cruz ground game + small lead in the polls + turnout was at least high

Going forward in NH and SC - Primaries + No Cruz Iowa Ground Game + LARGE Trump lead in polls. Only question is will high turnout repeat?

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer

A Neurotic Jew posted:

aaaaahahahahahahaahahahahahahahahaha

Care to explain how Cruz's massive Iowa ground game and 3-4 point Iowa win translate to him beating Trump in the NH primary where Trump has a 22% lead???

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
LOL at anyone who though Trump would get ugly. He wasn't expected to win Iowa until the last week when Cruz took a poll nose dive.

The expectation for 1-2 months had been close loss in Iowa, win NH and SC.

If he loses NH, THEN he'll throw a hissy-fit.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
Also gently caress microsoft. Gop vote site is broke as hell.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer

Joementum posted:

Basically confirmed at this point that Paul will get one delegate from Iowa. Jeb! will get none. Zero.

Cruz, Trump and Rubio counts???

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
This song playing before Cruz speaks is by some guy named Aaron Tippin.

Dude has probably made a LIVING off of the GOP. They've been using this since Bush 2004.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
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Grimey Drawer
I hope you people making TRUMP STUMPED remarks enjoy this Cruz speech.

IF Trump somehow loses, THIS MAN will be your next president.

Lucky for you Trump WILL win NH and SC.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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Grimey Drawer
What is all this rights being taken away talk about?

The GOP ALREADY HAS a majority on SCOTUS. The same SCOTUS that has legalized gay marriage and upheld PPACA. And that hasn't in all these years of having a majority gotten rid of abortion.

It's a Democrat president that is the thread to civil liberties via SCOTUS nominations. The 4 Democrats HAVE voted lock-step against private property rights, the 1st amendment, the 2nd amendment, etc.

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Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
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For all the "Cruz can't win the general" folks:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_cruz_vs_clinton-4034.html

And none of these are LIKELY voter polls. REGISTERED voter polls inflate the Democrat's performance.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/registered-voter-polls-will-usually-overrate-democrats/

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