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Peel
Dec 3, 2007

Best possible SC result: Trump > Cruz > Kasich > Bush > Rubio. Jeb can't justify dropping out if he beats Rubio again, Kasich can't justify dropping out if he beats Rubio and Bush again.

Anyone Rubio beats is in trouble, though only Bush and Kasich are likely to drop out immediately.

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Peel
Dec 3, 2007

I can see him limping to Super Tuesday but surely no further.

There'll come a point where Bush and Kasich buy themselves more favours dropping out than staying in. Either could come back to challenge Clinton in 2020 or whoever in 2024.

Peel
Dec 3, 2007

I'm assuming Sanders is shot sometime in his first term.

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