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Who will win the caucuses?
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Jeb, somehow
Baby Hitler
View Results
 
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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
On Tuesday, February 23 the Republican party will hold precinct caucuses in the state of Nevada, beginning sometime between 8pm ET (5pm PT, local) and midnight ET (9pm PT, local).

WHERE CAN I WATCH THIS?

http://www.c-span.org/ will have coverage throughout the night

In addition, these streaming sites often show the cable networks, which will be covering it.

http://www.livenewschat.eu/
http://www.stream2watch.co/live-tv/us/
http://www.hulkusc.com/

Please suggest in the thread any other streams.

RESULTS

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/nevada

http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/

Please suggest other sources.

IRC

https://client00.chat.mibbit.com/?server=EU.synirc.net%3A%2B7001&channel=%23Poligoon

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES

  • , Neurosurgeon
  • , Senator from Texas
  • , Governor of Ohio
  • , Senator from Florida
  • , Constitutionally Eligible

REPUBLICAN PROCESS

Voters must be a resident of Nevada and a registered member of the Republican Party. You can register or switch registration at the precinct.

During the caucus, a supporter of each candidate may give a short nominating speech. After the speeches, voting is conducted by secret ballot. Following the voting, the caucus chooses delegates for the county caucuses on March 12. This year, for the first time, delegates to the national convention will be proportionally bound to vote for candidates on the first ballot based on the outcome of the precinct-level voting.

30 delegates are proportionally allocated to Presidential contenders based on the statewide vote. Each candidate receives (candidate's statewide vote) × 30 ÷ (total statewide vote) delegates. Round fractions to the nearest whole number. If there are too few delegates allocated, the candidate nearest the rounding threshold receives the additional delegate. If too many delegates are allocated, the candidate furthest the threshold looses a delegate.

Special crazy Nevada rule: A candidate who drops out between the precinct and state caucuses can choose to do one of three things with their delegates. They can choose to hold them, in which case they remain bound to that candidate on the first ballot at the convention, even though they are no longer contesting the nomination. They can choose to release their delegates, in which case they become unbound. Lastly, they can choose to proportionally reallocate their delegates among the candidates remaining in the race prior to the state convention, based on their results in the precinct caucuses.

Full explanation here.

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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

whydirt posted:

How badly would Carson or Kasich have to do in NV for them to drop out before Super Tuesday?

The rumor going around is that Carson's going to drop after NV. He was basically done after SC but didn't want to let down the people they have on the ground in NV, so he decided to stay in a few more days. We'll see.

Carson had $3m in cash last week. Kasich had $1m. Kasich is purposefully skipping NV and focusing on MA and VT. I think he's stubborn enough to stay in for another week, but the idea he'll be able to raise enough cash after coming in 2nd in a couple Super Tuesday states to stay in for MI and OH is delusional.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Foo posted:

Does the Nevada Republican caucus work in the same way that the Iowa Republican caucus does? That is, do a bunch of people crowd into a room and write down on a slip of paper their preferred candidate, which is then counted by hand?

Yes. And with record turnout and variable starting times, this will go smooth as butter.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

A Neurotic Jew posted:

do you think the DNC is making GBS threads its pants because of the record turnouts so far?

Yes.


Or maybe they're not because they're being as stupid as the DNC normally is, but they should be worried.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Brannock posted:

Wasn't the 2012 turnout really low because it was the first time they'd held a caucus in Nevada?

No, they did it in 2008 as well. Both times have been a disaster, though that was partly due to Ron Paul.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/702153147817394176

Hence the thread title.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Kings Of Calabria posted:

Caucuses make me feel like a complete idiota. I have read and watched so many explanations that try to simplify it or use metaphors or turn it into a simplified graphical representation, but I just CANNOT get it beyond the very basics. Is there one anybody can recommend? If I had to take a test on it right now I'd be lucky to get a D minus, so a beginner's guide is fine. I guess Nevada's if it's gotta be State-specific.

http://www.nevadagopcaucus.org/what-are-caucuses-.html

4. What happens at a Republican caucus?

If you will be attending your first caucus and aren’t sure how it works, don’t worry, many of your fellow Republican caucus goers will be attending their first caucus too. Fortunately, Republican caucuses are simple and easy to understand.

All Republican caucuses in Nevada will start between 5:00pm and 7:00pm on Tuesday, February 23rd, 2016. At that time you will sign in with a local Republican volunteer who will verify that you are a registered Republican. A government issued photo I.D. is required.

The caucus will begin by electing a caucus chair and secretary. These two people will be in charge of running the precinct caucus. Generally the local county volunteers that called the meeting to order are elected by voice vote. After that, there will be an election of delegates and alternate delegates from your precinct caucus to the County Convention in the spring. Delegates have the right to vote at the County Convention. And each delegate has an alternate delegate who will vote in their place in case they are unable to attend the County Convention.

Each precinct caucus will be allocated a certain number of delegates and alternates. Anyone may run as a delegate or as an alternate delegate, and the individuals that receive the most votes are elected to represent the precinct at the county convention. Most people vote for delegates and alternate delegates that support the same candidate that they do. It’s the most important part of the caucus and we’ll explain why a little later.

After that, the caucus chair will ask if anyone wants to submit, in writing, an issue to be considered in the county platform. The platform is a document that expresses the beliefs and values of the county party. Issues submitted at the precinct caucus are debated and voted on at the county convention in March, and those that pass become part of the official county platform.

Once all platform issues have been submitted, the caucus chair will ask one person supporting each Republican candidate to stand up and briefly tell everyone attending why they should support their candidate.

After each of the short speeches, we will all cast our vote in the Presidential Preference Poll using paper ballots.

For most precincts, the whole process takes about 30-60 minutes. All meetings will end by 9:00pm.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/CahnEmily/status/702303082030366720

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/billclarkphotos/status/702304922193100802

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/billclarkphotos/status/702303494808535040

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Enjoy your last year as a carve out state, Nevada. The RNC is going to give it to AZ, CO, or UT next time.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Mr. Boogie posted:

I know we all joked about Jeb! killing himself, but I legitimately believe Glenn Beck is at serious risk of suicide when Cruz loses.

His crying thing is all an act. Amazing that people still fall for it after all these years.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/billclarkphotos/status/702310677344485376

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/awzurcher/status/702311185337573376

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/JayCostTWS/status/702311041573773312

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Rachel doing a bit of a history lesson and reminding us all of the time Donald Trump was embraced by the Republican frontrunner.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Rachel is wrong, by the way. Ron Paul's son is on the ballot tonight.

https://twitter.com/CahnEmily/status/702306197009883136

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/elainaplott/status/702312322849583104

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/CahnEmily/status/702313386097319938

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
TRUMP HAS ENTERED THE PRECINCT WHERE GLENN BECK AND CANDY CARSON ARE SPEAKING

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Trump likes Rachel's charts with his little head on top of them.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
:lol: Jeb is the biggest spender in Nevada, followed by the Rubio! campaign.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/awzurcher/status/702317796043071489

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Jewel Repetition posted:

I really need to see Trump and Beck. I hope somebody uploads it to youtube tomorrow.

There's nothing to see. They were on different sides of a big high school gym. Trump didn't start speaking until after Beck had stopped.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/TheFriddle/status/702316134008119297

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/awzurcher/status/702319670116745216

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
As was mentioned earlier, the credentials committee is going to have some fun with the Nevada delegation at the RNC.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
And people were wondering why nobody was polling Nevada....

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Sharron Angle is a precinct chair tonight in Reno.

http://www.rgj.com/videos/news/politics/2016/02/23/80829346/

Caucuses own.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Here's the video of Trump speaking after Beck, for those who missed it.

https://twitter.com/jacobsoboroff/status/702324051360899076

Spoiler: not very interesting.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Well folks, we're two hours in, let's check the vote count. Oh.... ohhhhhh.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Concerned Citizen posted:

glad this caucus is being run by the free market instead of the government

I unironically agree. This is the responsibility of a political party and to the extent they choose not to assume any responsibility, well, they deserve what they get.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
This flow chart isn't a fake. Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/YAppelbaum/status/702326317879009284

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/MEPFuller/status/702329100824940544

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/reidepstein/status/702327947848339457

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Reminder: you were supposed to show ID to caucus tonight because the GOP cares deeply about voter fraud which is a serio***ffaaaaaaarrrrrttttsssssssssssss***

https://twitter.com/elainaplott/status/702326376305528832

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/702332193499033601

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Caucuses own.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/702340780216561664

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
:siren: ACTUAL VOTES COMING IN ON DDHQ. RUBIO! WINNING 29 TO TRUMP'S 27 :siren:

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Top Bunk Wanker posted:

Didn't Rand Paul pay for the Kentucky caucus?

Yeah, the ability of reporters to hate and not understand the caucus system is impressive.

A lot of it has to do with caucuses ruining their deadlines, IMO.

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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Mokelumne Trekka posted:

when is a reasonable time to expect about 50% of the vote? I'll be satisfied and go to bed then

Thursday.

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