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Serrath
Mar 17, 2005

I have nothing of value to contribute
Ham Wrangler

That sudden hush followed by a cheer when the first punch is thrown reminds me a <lot> of crowd reactions during fights at hockey games

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Serrath
Mar 17, 2005

I have nothing of value to contribute
Ham Wrangler

If only Jeb thought of this response during the September debate, he might still be in the race

*edit: #classless

Serrath
Mar 17, 2005

I have nothing of value to contribute
Ham Wrangler
Are the two possible outcomes of the Republican primary either Trump winning enough delegates to cinch the nomination outright or a brokered convention? Or are there enough delegates still in play that Cruz has a chance of getting enough delegates to win the nomination in the first round of voting?

Serrath
Mar 17, 2005

I have nothing of value to contribute
Ham Wrangler

Zeroisanumber posted:

This is more Joementum's speed, but I'm pretty sure that STOP TRUMP(!!!) has to happen at a brokered convention.

That's my reading of the situation too; I'd love to be corrected but I understand that Cruz has 465 delegates and there are 848 remaining from all remaining primaries. To secure 1,237, Cruz would need to win 91% of remaining delegates which seems impossible at this point.

If my numbers don't add up, let me know.

Serrath
Mar 17, 2005

I have nothing of value to contribute
Ham Wrangler

Gobbeldygook posted:

There's also option 2.5: Trump goes to the convention with less than 1247 committed delegates, like 50-100 short, everyone pops the champagne because they STOPPED TRUMP!, and he wins on the first ballot because some portion of the 200+ uncommitted delegates are just as crazy as the rest of the party.

Unless they repeal the rule 40 (the Ron Paul rule), the only other candidate who will even be allowed on the ballot will be Cruz.

Oh uhh I didn't know they could do this. Am I mistaken in my assumption that all delegates enter the convention bound to vote for a candidate on the first vote? Where do the uncommitted delegates come from?

E: to add, I thought even delegates pledged to a candidate no longer running were still obligated to vote for that candidate in the first vote because technically candidates only "suspend" their campaign, not drop out completely

Serrath fucked around with this message at 08:35 on Apr 1, 2016

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Serrath
Mar 17, 2005

I have nothing of value to contribute
Ham Wrangler
Thanks for the corrections, didn't know the two above points

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