Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Yeah if that deal doesn't involve net reduction of migrants coming in it's an absolute non-starter and simply proposing it is just Erdogan being a prick

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Geriatric Pirate posted:

So many things here so I'm going to be a bit disorganized in my response:
1) The stagnating wages phenomenon is mainly a US phenomenon and, while partly valid, misses a lot of things such as rising healthcare costs and so on which form a part of compensation as well as an increasing population (wage growth is measured relative to US wages, not to the Mexican wages that Mexican immigrants to the US were originally paid) and so on. But it's a bit more complicated than just stagnating wages.

Secondly, are we talking from the 70s now or the recent crisis?
2) In the EU, you don't really see the same gap to the same extent. Especially the EU's biggest crisis countries (Greece, Spain, Portugal) saw an opposite gap forming, at least relative to the rest of the EU, where wages rose more than productivity (both variables relative to the rest of the EU) since the 1990s.

3) With regards to the rich, the idea that the rich somehow benefited from the Euro crisis is crazy. Look at what's happened to the Greek stock market (measure of wealth for the rich) compared to wages and employment. Wages and employment might have fallen, a lot, but more than 70% of stock market wealth has been wiped out. I'm not saying the rich are worse off than the poor, but the idea that they've benefited from the crisis or made massive wealth gains is wrong.

The political crisis is in the USA and the core Western Euro countries, the periphery countries have problems of their own of course, but the shattering of the neoliberal consensus is something endogenous to the economic and political core. Stagnating wages in the US is a real and massive problem, and is a reflection of political dysfunction rather than any necessary economic conditions (why are healthcare and education costs rising? and also no, population growth is a bullshit answer, US population grew about the same percent from 1940-1970 as it did from 1970-2000) As for Western Europe, France and Germany have their own political issues with multiculturalism which they do not appear prepared to solve anytime soon

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 15:21 on Mar 8, 2016

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


YF-23 posted:

We can just use the Rhine as a moat and work from there.

The Rhine is the rightful natural frontier of the French Republic

GaussianCopula posted:

Can someone explain to me why this chart looks the way it does? Why was the Global Financial Crisis and Euro crisis only a hiccup for Germany while most other European nations seem to have a lot of trouble dealing with it?

https://www.google.de/publicdata/ex...dl=de&ind=false


I don't have that problem in Chrome.

Germany has an old and shrinking workforce, so unemployment is lower. See also Japan, which has extremely low unemployment

GaussianCopula posted:

So basically German is proof positive that automatic stabilizers work and fiscal stimuli are not needed?

It's proof that the investment-intensive export-manufacturing model dies quietly with a whimper rather than explosively like say France or southern Europe

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 05:52 on Mar 18, 2016

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


ReagaNOMNOMicks posted:

Once again, no.

a currency union of countries with a huge range of income levels and a huge range of structural characteristics is a terrible idea and always will be

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


pigdog posted:

Stumbled upon this article on Haa'retz titled a little clickbaitily Why the American 'multicultural' model falls apart in Europe and Israel. I'm not very familiar to Israel's internal struggles, so I'm not sure about the application there, but the author makes a some great points to help untangle why are people in eachother's throats over "<insert category> rights" all the time. Copied for posterity because it might be paywalled.

Leftist multiculturalism and Popper-style pluralist liberalism aren't the same thing. But it's no surprise that Israeli and European racists don't understand the difference

Popper's argument is explicitly not that one ideology is superior, it's that all-encompassing ideologies are far too narrow to possibly accurately describe the full breadth of human existence, and that therefore pragmatism is the best solution. Pluralist liberal democracy is based on the fact that pluralist liberal democracy has worked well for a long time, and that's it

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 23:47 on Apr 9, 2016

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


forget about lack of voting discipline, holding Churchill as a political paragon should be grounds for instant expulsion from any left-wing political party

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


YF-23 posted:

That's a pretty stupid wordfilter.

put a bold tab in the middle of it and it breaks the filter

neoliberal

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Cat Mattress posted:

That's why a Brexit is important for Europe. Getting rid of Britain could allow to give a less neolib direction to the EU. It's a long shot (I think we should also kick Germany out to have a real chance) but it's definitely impossible as long as the UK has a word to say.

The chief austerity proponents in the EU are the Germans, not the Brits. Britain not being in the Euro is frankly one of the big problems with the EU, they were supposed to act as mediators between France and Germany, and they aren't, so that relationship is dysfunctional

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Ligur posted:

Heh. The argument that not appreciating EU is the same as being a xenophobe or a hitler. That is a well sold one for sure, but doesn't make much sense.


Yep, exactly so, but about the bolded part... Why? How? The markets will go :supaburn: for a week or a month but will right themselves. Switzerland and Norway are doing just fine. You can have trade agreements without being in the EU. EFTA works. Germans sell cars to UK, no matter if the UK is in the EU or not. They don't want to gently caress up that business just "out of principle". Look, ya'll who think UK will become an isolated island without EU have been duped. In the world outside of that wierd bubble, commerce still works.

Japan doesn't belong to any similar federation, doesn't take asylum seekers or immigrants, and is not a part of any open borders and trade coalition like EU and so on, here are their major trade partners in 2015:

United States: US$130 billion (19%)
China: $125 billion (18.3%)
South Korea: $50.5 billion (7.4%)
Taiwan: $38.9 billion (5.7%)
Hong Kong: $37.8 billion (5.5%)
Thailand: $31.1 billion (4.5%)
Singapore: $21 billion (3.1%)
Germany: $18.9 billion (2.8%)
Indonesia: $14.7 billion (2.1%)
Australia: $14.2 billion (2.1%)

Doesn't look that isolated to me. They manage huge trade with neighbouring countries without being in the "Asian Union of Something" too.

Come on, that trade is impossible or that isolation will emerge if an EU country decides to leave is bullshit. (That said I'm pretty sure Brexit will not happen, but even if it did, UK would not vanish down a black hole.)

laffo at suggesting japan is a well run or successful country

the most important part of the EU, and the one UK racists have an issue with, is free movement of people

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Brainiac Five posted:

Japan is fairly successful by that metric though.

japan's problems are caused almost entirely by lack of free immigration

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


are you in favor of the complete ayn randianization of all public services in your home country as well? or is that only for the filthy untermenschen foreigners?

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


YF-23 posted:

Well, they cannot do that with Podemos alone, and not having paid much attention in Spanish politics I don't know if political discourse leaves any room for C's to join such a coalition. I don't know if they can scrape enough MPs from smaller parties to get the required number of MPs but I doubt it. As an uneducated observer, it feels like it's gonna be either PP-PSOE(-C's) or deadlock. But I guess we'll know in the coming days anyway.

no, even if you add up all the left-wing parties you only get 170 or 171 seats, you need 176 for a majority. right wing parties add up to 177. it'll be either a grand coalition or a right-wing one

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Arglebargle III posted:

I think it's important to distinguish globalization from neo liberal policies. Increased trade has benefited both the rich and poor worlds; the distribution of those gains to the very top is not a natural law. It's just how the distributive policies worked out.

I don't think the left should cede international trade to the right like they've ceded religion.

The problem the left has now and has had for decades is that it does not have a workable implementation of socialism to put forwards as a full alternative to neoliberalism, merely small fixes and corrections

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


waitwhatno posted:

If I meant white I would have said white. 20% of the native population has an immigrant background, so a lot of them wouldn't be able to pass an AfD approved paper bag test.

We don't really have a concept of race like the US does, so we can't just call everyone we like white. White actually means white skin color over here. Like, one individual Arab can be white, while another would already be a dirty darkie. Same for Spaniards or Turks. It would blow your mind. :eyepop:

native french with immigrant background are mostly spanish/italian right?

and i would say that's about how race works everywhere, the US just doesn't have a large middle eastern population, many of whom are light-skinned enough to count as white

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Doctor Malaver posted:

Tesseraction, do you think it is possible to argue against mass immigration from Middle East and not be racist?

If it is, would you play the devil's advocate for a minute and show how such an argument would look like? Thanks.

No. Free movement of people is a basic tenet of liberalism

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


They should reform the Crown of Aragon and give them Southern Italy too, solves that problem at the same time

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Dawncloack posted:

Second:

Will Madrid use force to quash the separatist movement?

I give this a 75% chance of happening because they have surveys amongst the Spanish officer corps and lemme tell you, they HATE the catalans and basques. (The question in that survey is whether they support the current half decentralized model, and 100% no joke answer "no, everything should be run from Madrid").

But that would be a Faustian pact, since the use of violence will only legitimize and fan the flames of Catalan separatism.

I don't know what's going to happen. But honestly, I hope they become independent and that provides a watershed moment in Spain, so that we start cleaning up our act.

This is sort of off topic, but does Portugal have much less influence lingering from the Franco/Salazar people because their regime was overthrown by the military itself? Is the Portuguese officer corps is more left-wing than the Spanish one still, or was it solely because of the war in Angola and Mozambique that it was at the time and all those people left?

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Arglebargle III posted:

So if it's racist to not let in >2% of your population in asylum seekers, what's the not-racist playbook look like?

free movement of people

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Arglebargle III posted:

What does that look like?

Open borders to economic migrants and refugees of any kind. You could refuse people for pressing and extraordinary reasons like them being known criminals or disease control or whatever without being racist, but rejecting people for cultural reasons is racist, yes

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Sinteres posted:

Sounds like a suicide pact vision of liberalism.

If you consider liberalism to be a weak, degenerate ideology that cannot survive in the wild sure. It seems a very strong vote of no confidence in liberalism to suggest that it can't handle the stress generated by implementing one of its core principles

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Doctor Malaver posted:

Has there ever been a country, in any period of history, that allowed foreigners to come in in unlimited numbers, for indefinite time, regardless of their national/religious background and regardless of their motivation?

The USA and a bunch of South American countries, at least before 1924 and ignoring Chinese

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Private Speech posted:

What's the vast majority of reputable research into the economic effects of immigration since the 50s, 'precious'?

And explain why more babies is good for the economy but more young people in the peak of their fitness is bad. Keeping in mind babies are hardly engineers/doctors/scientists or good at the whole literacy thing.

Leave cultural factors at the door please.

the babies are of pure aryan racial stock

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Sinteres posted:

I mean Saudi Arabia would ban Western refugees from wearing swimwear they'd be comfortable in too, but it wouldn't be because of race. France genuinely does value secularism as a national characteristic, and while this law is a particularly clumsy overreach in that regard that wouldn't even be remotely constitutional in the US, there are reasons to oppose the burka beyond racism. Again, I'm not defending the law, but viewing everything through the lens of race can sometimes miss that there are other factors at play as well.

You're right, laicite is a bad ideology completely independent of racism

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Kurtofan posted:

It depends on how it's applied, I don't see the problem with having a secular environment in public spaces, but personal clothing choices probably shouldn't be regulated to that extent (I can see why the face covering argument can be controversial, security wise).

Laicite just means secularism, you know.

It means a particular kind of secularism which seeks to use the power of the state to roll back the influence of religion on individuals as much as possible because it is seen as a negative influence on rational individualist values

Cat Mattress posted:

I agree that France should go back to being a Catholic nation, fille ainée de l'église, and have no tolerance for heathens and heretics.

It's almost like there is an option other than totalitarian secularism and totalitarian theocracy

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Liberal_L33t posted:

How is it possible for a garment that makes such a strong statement not to be politically charged?

Because in a society which is not totalitarian, there is a distinction between the private sphere such as one's body and personal articles, where the state may not use its power, and the public, where it may

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 23:30 on Aug 12, 2016

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


khwarezm posted:

I come from a country where we had plenty of theocracy without the (blatant) totalitarianism and let me tell you Laicite would have been way preferable.

The truth is Catholicism in the whole of Europe and beyond had an illiberal, oppressive element to it prior to about Vatican II that made a lot of the most derided elements of Laicite hard to avoid if they didn't want the country to end like Spain.

France did almost end up like Spain, though, and the Spanish left was vociferously laicitist, so I'm going to go with no not really on that one

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Action_Fran%C3%A7aise#Interwar_revival

Turns out totalitarian ideologies are brittle and have trouble attracting support from people who disagree with them by even teeny tiny amounts

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Nitrousoxide posted:

Should yarmulkes be banned? 
Should hair styles associated with particular religious beliefs be banned like long hair among Orthodox Jews.

For reference, historically modern France has said yes resoundingly to both of those

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


khwarezm posted:

It will always be politically charged but dummies like you have charged it even further hopelessly unintentionally with elements of Muslim resistance to an intolerant west thanks to your brutally clumsy actions and rhetoric that can't even be squared with your oft cited love of freedom against the supposed oriental despotism.

It's actually impossible for individual clothing to be politically charged (in a liberal democracy, anyways), because one of the central principles of pluralist liberalism is that the political sphere cannot extend into the personal one such that choice of clothing is a politicized issue

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Nitrousoxide posted:

Sounds like a pretty lovely place.

*insert pithy comment about Continental European totalitarianism vs Anglosphere Liberty*

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


khwarezm posted:

But they didn't end up like Spain, in the brief period where those who wanted to return France to the glory of a counter-revolutionary openly Catholic state found success they needed an outside Nazi invasion to achieve their five minutes in the sun, with the post war fallout being predictably disastrous for them.

Jesus, the Papal denunciation that you pointed out here for Action Francaise was stripped away just in time for world war 2 when the Catholic Church decided that working with Spanish style notfascism was A-OK to heed off those drat commies.

They'll have to wait until next year's election to do that, yes. And lol if you don't think laicite is a big part of why the French right is so awful

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Al-Saqr posted:

I too think that french catholic nuns should be banned after they've been coerced into enforced celibacy after being indoctrinated and forced into never enjoying sex by a pretense of they chose it after being indoctrinated by Catholicism for their entire lives.

In a democracy, people should wear what they want and express themselves freely. Why, who where what, it's none of your business if they're not harming you.

By the way, another thing that modern France actually literally did. Nun's habits and Priest clothing was banned in public for a long time

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


khwarezm posted:

Being racist against Arabs is the main reason why they are so awful and the current crop like the Front National obviously descend from the Catholic Supremacism of the French Right, its notable that openly Catholic voters favor them more strongly. Some of their rhetoric has revolved around Catholicism being superior and more intrinsically French than Islam, while they tend to take a familiarly conservative view on things like Gay marriage and abortion. It doesn't change the fact that they spent most of their existence being furiously opposed to Laicite and everything it represented.

But then the poor Catholic Church, it get such a hard rap in France, and for what? Supporting the Ancien Regime for centuries? Being integral to Counter Revolutionary movements right from day 1? Normalizing virulent Anti-Semitism and anti-Protestantism in French society for decades, helping to lead to things like the Dreyfus Affair? Cosying up with proto-fascist groups in opposition to the Third Republic? ...um.

When you define liberalism in such a way that necessarily excludes religious people, turns out a lot of them reject liberalism. Both in the 1800s and today

cool and good posted:

Yeah, as we've seen, adding religion to the mix calms down right-wingers

I mean that by excluding religious people from liberalism it removes any incentive for them to uphold any sort of liberal values.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Sinteres posted:

You don't seem to believe in much of anything at all since you're such a lovely socialist.

I don't think fishmech ever claimed to be a socialist?

Sinteres posted:

You keep confusing secularism for racism because you're a patronizing poo poo who doesn't think people from the Middle East are capable of letting go of the lovely regressive beliefs practiced in many of their countries of origin.

Laicitist secularism isn't racism, but by its nature it is very easy on racism

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


drilldo squirt posted:

I'd like some examples

People have a big ole hardon for French style secularism, despite the fact that France in the 1800s was not a particularly successful state, had a very weak democracy and a weak economy, and arguably still does to this day for the same reasons as then

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 01:34 on Aug 13, 2016

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


V. Illych L. posted:

hell, british anti-catholicism is a big one as well

That's not opposed to religion in general, just Catholic religion

And yeah, again, Bolshevism and Spanish Anarchism aren't particularly inspiring examples of successful, prosperous societies

edit: Plus yeah, the Irish and all that

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Racism is bad, and various non-racist totalitarian ideologies (like using the power of the state to try and eliminate religion), are also bad

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


V. Illych L. posted:

this implies a rather radical definition of totalitarianism

Not really, totalitarianism means authoritarianism plus ideological motivation. The state dictating to individuals what religious beliefs and practices than can do for ideological reasons is literally the definition of totalitarianism

Are you saying the state using its power to eliminate religion is a good or acceptable thing?

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


V. Illych L. posted:

this doesn't really follow, and does not seem to hold up to scrutiny

see e.g. certain policies of the PRC targetting majority-Han religious communities


is germany banning nazi parties totalitarian in your opinion

You could argue that, yeah. I don't think that's worth caring about or anywhere near on the same level as banning Muslim dress, though

V. Illych L. posted:

sure, sometimes

Could you give an example or criteria? Or is it purely "I know it when I see it"

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


V. Illych L. posted:

ok then i'm honestly fine with a bit of totalitarianism tbh

That's obvious, yeah

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


V. Illych L. posted:

i mean, at a certain point you get farcical results from a "non-totalitarian" approach where you cannot use state violence to do things because it would be enforcing ideological discipline on society, e.g. using the secret police to blow up a hate group which a small minority of the members have been using to organise violent crime

No, arresting people for violent, organized crime is not an ideological act. Unless you mean, like, arresting people who profess beliefs similar to unrelated individuals who have committed crimes and also profess similar beliefs. Which makes very little sense

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 02:19 on Aug 13, 2016

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply