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Hieronymous Alloy posted:There are a lot of problems with the polling in this cycle, as Michigan just demonstrated. That said I didn't say Bernie was certain to win, just that a scenario where he won a majority of the popular vote in the primaries was still realistically possible, I.e., had a non zero, non-trivial probability. To be fair, Obama had less of the popular vote than Hillary. I don't think democracy died that year. It was also a hell of a lot more contentious primary than this one. Supporters on both sides are dramatically overstating the passion against either candidate among Democratic leaning voters. I early voted Hillary in NC but I also admire Bernie. I would happily vote for either in November. 2008 also had some weird spots like Michigan and Florida that altered the vote calculus to be fair though.
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Mar 11, 2016 15:50
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| # ¿ May 16, 2024 07:59 |
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