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Jewel Repetition posted:It's uh, very much in the bag and has been. That's why I don't follow it. In the bag is the wrong choice of words - I guess there is still significant opportunity to influence the policy position of the democratic party by strong turnouts for Sanders. Hillary has already had to move a lot, and it's pretty clear if a stronger candidate than sanders (perhaps Elizabeth Warren) had run things may look very different. So a Democratic party primary vote still has value, unless you don't really agree with Sanders, in which case tactically voting to try and generate a brokered convention in the republican party makes sense I guess.
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Mar 15, 2016 06:41
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Cthulhu Dreams posted:In the bag is the wrong choice of words - I guess there is still significant opportunity to influence the policy position of the democratic party by strong turnouts for Sanders. Hillary has already had to move a lot, and it's pretty clear if a stronger candidate than sanders (perhaps Elizabeth Warren) had run things may look very different. Oh, yeah, I agree then. It does have value no matter what his chances are.
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Mar 15, 2016 06:50
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I'm just going to pre-empt discussion here. Anyone who points to the democratic primary polls is obtuse as gently caress and hasn't learned their lesson yet. The polls have underestimated both Hillary and Bernie at times, shut the gently caress up about them as definitive proof of the outcome. Also, my opinion,: People who say Bernie doesn't stand a chance don't know jack poo poo about why he's had his current success. Were the same people saying he wouldn't be a challenger to Hillary back in october
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Mar 15, 2016 07:08
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The first polls close in just over an hour. 
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Mar 15, 2016 07:52
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unwantedplatypus posted:I'm just going to pre-empt discussion here. Anyone who points to the democratic primary polls is obtuse as gently caress and hasn't learned their lesson yet. The polls have underestimated both Hillary and Bernie at times, shut the gently caress up about them as definitive proof of the outcome. ure right, and cool
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Mar 15, 2016 08:00
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Florida's first 15 votes suggest a barnburner, surely this will not change.
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Mar 15, 2016 09:26
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All others include: Skeletor, an empty chair, and migf.
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Mar 15, 2016 09:53
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Gotta vote for Florida Man
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Mar 15, 2016 10:56
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id vote for migf
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Mar 15, 2016 11:04
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 Ooof!
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Mar 15, 2016 11:17
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It's the end of the GOP as we know it, and I feel fine.
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Mar 15, 2016 12:25
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Just voted. Why was Hillary the top candidate and Bernie the 4th?
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Mar 15, 2016 12:26
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Were they perhaps in alphabetical order by last name?
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Mar 15, 2016 12:34
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In Illinois, the names go in the order the candidates arrive at the Election Board's office. There's usually a line at 5am on the first day to register.
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Mar 15, 2016 12:39
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https://twitter.com/reidepstein/status/709700917793267712
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Mar 15, 2016 12:41
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Caithness posted:Were they perhaps in alphabetical order by last name? No. There are like 8 candidates after Bernie. O'Malley was one.
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Mar 15, 2016 12:42
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https://twitter.com/Morning_Joe/status/709709700204466176 Trump!
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Mar 15, 2016 13:03
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Here's the democratic ballot order in Missouri. Why is it this way? Hillary Clinton Henry Hewes Roque “Rocky” De La Fuente Bernie Sanders Keith Judd Willie L. Wilson Martin J. O’Malley John Wolfe Jon Adams (UNCOMMITTED)
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Mar 15, 2016 13:04
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unwantedplatypus posted:I'm just going to pre-empt discussion here. Anyone who points to the democratic primary polls is obtuse as gently caress and hasn't learned their lesson yet. The polls have underestimated both Hillary and Bernie at times, shut the gently caress up about them as definitive proof of the outcome. nah polls are still good to look at and ignoring them all because MI happened is dumb
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Mar 15, 2016 13:06
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No Butt Stuff posted:Here's the democratic ballot order in Missouri. Why is it this way? Most states do it in the order they registered to run. Bernie was first on the ballot in Arkansas.
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Mar 15, 2016 13:06
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Venom Snake posted:nah polls are still good to look at and ignoring them all because MI happened is dumb Also MI was probably wrong because of the likely voter screen. A standard question is "did you vote in the last competitive primary race?" however the last competitive primary race was the 2008 one where MI (and FL) awarded no delegates so tons of likely voters probably were removed from the polls. The remaining races (FL excepted) do not have that issue so the polling is less likely to be massively off. Still could be off by as much as 5 points though as primaries are Weird.
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Mar 15, 2016 13:09
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Please somebody hold me close and tell me Trump is going to win big tonight. Please please please. I'm scared y'all.
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Mar 15, 2016 13:11
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dorkasaurus_rex posted:Please somebody hold me close and tell me Trump is going to win big tonight. Please please please. I'm scared y'all. it would be funnier if he lost tonight tbh
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Mar 15, 2016 13:12
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dorkasaurus_rex posted:Please somebody hold me close and tell me Trump is going to win big tonight. Please please please. I'm scared y'all. He's won the Northern Marianas Islands. You know how the saying goes...
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Mar 15, 2016 13:20
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dont they realize trump wants to send their jobs overseas?
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Mar 15, 2016 13:29
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 Make America Grate Again
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Mar 15, 2016 13:58
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Voted this morning in Ohio, where voting matters. Feels good 
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Mar 15, 2016 14:09
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F Stop Fitzgerald posted:dont they realize trump wants to send their jobs overseas? lol
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Mar 15, 2016 14:11
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Happy Noodle Boy posted:Voted this morning in Ohio, where voting matters. Feels good For Cruz or for Rubio?
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Mar 15, 2016 14:22
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No Butt Stuff posted:Here's the democratic ballot order in Missouri. Why is it this way? In Missouri, it's by drawing lots: quote:The names of the candidates shall appear in the order in which their request to be included on the presidential primary ballot was received in the office of the secretary of state, except that, in the case of candidates who file a request to be included on the presidential primary ballot with the secretary of state prior to 5:00 p.m. on the first day for filing, the secretary of state shall determine by random drawing the order in which such candidates’ names shall appear on the ballot. The drawing shall be conducted so that each candidate, or candidate’s representative, may draw a number at random at the time of filing.
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Mar 15, 2016 14:41
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So goes the Northern Mariana Islands, so goes the nation. #Trumpmentum
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Mar 15, 2016 14:51
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my prediction is that Jewel Rep will make a perfectly fine thread and a bunch of do-nothing goons will whine about it oh look truly I am a prophet come to reveal things unto man
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Mar 15, 2016 14:59
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Trump wins in FL and NC by double digits. Kasich wins in Ohio by around 3-4% IL and MO will be closer, I wouldn't be surprised to see Ted Cruz eek out at least 1 win the other going to Trump. Both of those states seem midwesterny and folks enough (the non-Chicago parts) that Cruz will do well there. Worst case scenario for Trump is he still extends his lead over Cruz, but might be denied getting to 1,237.
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Mar 15, 2016 15:06
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QpaS2v-r7cE Trumpenstaffel: The Trumps are gonna have their day Tonight. The Trumps are gonna have their way Tonight. That Puerto Rican stumbled No fight. But Kasich wants to rumble We'll rumble him right. GOPe: We're gonna hand him a surprise Tonight. We're gonna cut him down to size Tonight. We said okay no protests No tricks. But over in Ohio We're ready to mix. Tonight! Trumpenstaffel: We're gonna rock it tonight, We're gonna lock it up and have us A nom. GOPe: They're gonna get it tonight, The more they build him up The harder he'll fall. Trumpenstaffel: Well, they began it--! GOPe: Well, they began it--! Both Gangs: And we're the ones to stop 'em once and for all. Tonight! Ted Cruz: Cruz's gonna get his votes Tonight. I'll have the voters see the truth Tonight. They want a right-wing leader Poor dears. Don't matter if he's slimy As long as he's feared Tonight! Donald Trump: Tonight, tonight Won't be just any night Tonight there will be no GOP Tonight, tonight I'll see my win tonight And for me, I will be Nominee. Marco Rubio: Today, the minutes feel like hours The hours go so slowly, And still the sky is light... Oh moon, grow bright And make this endless run, finally done! Trumpenstaffel: The Trumps are coming out on top Tonight. We're gonna watch that Kasich drop Tonight! That Ohioan punk'll go down! And when he's sponsored Donald We'll tear up the town! Christie (to Carson): We'll be in back of you boy! Carson: Right! Christie: You're gonna flatten him good. Carson: Right! Marco Rubio: Tonight there will be no GOP Christie: And then we'll have us a nom Tonight. Marco Rubio: Tonight, tonight. Kasich and GOPe: We're gonna rock it tonight! Marco Rubio: I see my loss tonight. Kasich and GOPe: We're gonna jazz it tonight! Ted Cruz: My day tonight. We're gonna win it tonight. Donald Trump: Today, the minutes seem like hours The hours go so slowly. Kasich and GOPe: To stop them once and for all. Christie and Trumpenstaffel: To stop them once and for all. Kasich and GOPe: The money's gonna have their way. Trumpenstaffel: The Trumps are gonna have their day. Kasich and GOPe: We're gonna rock it tonight! All: Tonight!
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Mar 15, 2016 15:14
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Made the very inconvenient 45 second walk to my polling place to perform my civic duty. Not being a minority or living in a minority neighborhood has its advantages
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Mar 15, 2016 15:19
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The thing about today that's different than the last few contests is that the only closed primary today is Florida. The rest are open or "semi-closed" and allow for unaffiliated voters to vote in whichever primary they choose. There are no caucauses today on the Republican side. This is the format that has strongly favored Donald Trump. We have almost no polling out of Missouri and the Trump surge has been as big as the Cruz surge in Illinois over the last few days in all surveys except for the YouGov one [e: I kind of lied here. The Trump number in YouGov is his best number in Illinois too, it just shows that support might be consolidating around the two rather than anyone else]. The likelihood is that Trump does very very well tonight. An Ohio win is unlikely, but not outside of the realm of possibility.
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Mar 15, 2016 15:22
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meant to post that in the main thread but oh well
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Mar 15, 2016 15:23
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Bernin it up in Florida. Lol'd at O'Malley still being on the ballot.
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Mar 15, 2016 15:29
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I appreciate this day when the nation's attention is turned to Florida, my lovely state. I look forward to November when it happens again and the nation's fate is decided by millions of old retired fucks and meth'd out rednecks. I can't loving wait until Rubio loses by double digits and drops out. 
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Mar 15, 2016 15:39
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Trump wins FL, Trump wins OH, Trump wins IL, Trump wins NC Cruz wins Mizzou Rubio goes home to make guac with Jeb. Kasich just sort of "aw shucks" himself into a Charlie Brown depression pose
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Mar 15, 2016 15:43
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