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Mitt Romney posted:Lot of data guys calling bullshit on the exit polls now / also they might not have included early votes (I thought they spent the $ to poll early voters) I can't imagine how much money it would take to exit poll early voters. At best that may mean the exits are reliable in like...Indy and maybe Lake County. I wouldn't trust the exits for sure. I think this comes to Lake County, but Indy will probably decide it if it goes for Clinton in a big way
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May 3, 2016 23:33
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Deteriorata posted:I will boldly predict that Clinton will win Indiana. Looking like it... https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/727627255896285185
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May 3, 2016 23:34
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another correct call by me, concerned citizen
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May 3, 2016 23:35
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Yup, Bernie is absolutely trashed after this. Will probably go down as the most annihilating loss yet.
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May 3, 2016 23:36
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Clinton cleaning up in and around Fort Wayne, 2nd biggest city in the state. Bernie may be Evansville, 3rd biggest. Lake County in the NW is a huge county though and I think will go heavily for Clinton Tough to see a way forward without him taking Indianapolis AND Evansville
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May 3, 2016 23:37
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pathetic little tramp posted:Yup, Bernie is absolutely trashed after this. Will probably go down as the most annihilating loss yet. Now he only needs to win California by a 95% margin. Facebank!
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May 3, 2016 23:38
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No saving Bernie from fate.
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May 3, 2016 23:38
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Deteriorata posted:Now he only needs to win California by a 95% margin. Facebank! Sanders will not win CA. 
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May 3, 2016 23:40
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This gets pretty good around 30-40% reporting http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/democratic-live-model.html
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May 3, 2016 23:42
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Sanders with a narrow lead in Greene County, most notable for being 98% white edit - Clinton claims White County, which makes me wonder if grain silos can vote because I don't think anybody actually lives there edit 2 - it is diverse for rural Indiana, only 93% White, with the remainder of grain silos painted red or mixed Epic High Five has issued a correction as of 23:47 on May 3, 2016 |
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May 3, 2016 23:44
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A Winner is Jew posted:Sanders will not win CA. I don't think that will stop the Berniebros' Eternal Sunshine.  Bernie will be forever on the brink of winning. Even 20 years from now.
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May 3, 2016 23:44
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Deteriorata posted:I don't think that will stop the Berniebros' Eternal Sunshine. Bernie would be on the brink of a lot of things in 20 years
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May 3, 2016 23:47
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Epic High Five posted:Sanders with a narrow lead in Greene County, most notable for being 98% white
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May 3, 2016 23:50
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Sanders takes Vermillion County, whose largest city is Clinton
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May 3, 2016 23:51
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quote:[–]win_the_day_go_ducksCalifornia [score hidden] just now 
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May 3, 2016 23:51
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May 3, 2016 23:52
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I had no idea we had this many counties named after colors. If you pay attention while driving through you'd think it was a Pokemon game
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May 3, 2016 23:53
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Wait. Is this what I think it is?
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May 3, 2016 23:53
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Hmmm, don't think Sanders can lie his way out of this hole.
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May 3, 2016 23:55
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i'll believe it when it's called
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May 3, 2016 23:56
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Bernie with a slim lead and likely win in St Joseph County, home of insufferable college football Clinton with a comfy lead in Johnson County, which is fun to say and has more restaurants per capita than anywhere else on earth (personal opinion) and thus probably nobody cooks here. Also always seems to be the target of any tornadoes that do touch down
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May 3, 2016 23:56
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logikv9 posted:i'll believe it when it's called
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May 4, 2016 00:03
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Bernie's how to win this thing: Stay competitive in Indianapolis (maybe, unlikely) Win Evansville big (no clue) Increase margin in St Joseph County (unlikely at this point) Don't get blown the gently caress out in Lake County (I literally cannot imagine a world in which this does not happen) Still possible, but if Clinton takes Evansville at all or Indy with a good lead it's all over
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May 4, 2016 00:05
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Gap's only like 4% now
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May 4, 2016 00:06
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My county went sky blue. I can at least be proud of that
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May 4, 2016 00:06
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The moment we were all waiting for - Clinton is leading in Clinton county for the first time this race
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May 4, 2016 00:09
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I imagine if the closed primaries didn't happen or were open a lot of Bernie voters in Indiana wouldn't have given up or voted for Trump considering how large the Trump smashing is, although Cruz really did fumble Indiana hard with his lucifer in the flesh campaigning skills.
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May 4, 2016 00:09
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Mitt Romney posted:Looks like Sanders will get 52-54% in IN  
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May 4, 2016 00:12
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C-SPAN Caller posted:I imagine if the closed primaries didn't happen or were open a lot of Bernie voters in Indiana wouldn't have given up or voted for Trump considering how large the Trump smashing is, although Cruz really did fumble Indiana hard with his lucifer in the flesh campaigning skills. Cruz judged the mood of Indiana horribly, horribly incorrectly. He assumed we were all frothing evangelical lunatics and hammered away at poo poo that everybody here had to choose a side on last year (RFRA - the people chose against it and municipalities even started expanding LGBT protections locally) and rode the endorsement of a deeply unpopular governor It's open primaries here, you can ask for any old ballot you please.
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May 4, 2016 00:12
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3.6% gap
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May 4, 2016 00:12
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EugeneJ posted:Gap's only like 4% now City vote hasn't really started coming in. Going to give you a hint: that's where black people in Indiana live.
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May 4, 2016 00:12
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Kalman posted:City vote hasn't really started coming in. Going to give you a hint: that's where black people in Indiana live. Indianapolis is coming in, 55/45 Clinton Lake County is going to be a loving slaughter Bernie isn't unpopular here, and Indiana trends to the younger side. There's a chance he eeks this out, but there's 500,000 people in Lake County that I cannot imagine him not losing emphatically. He needs to win big in a big population center before Lake even starts counting and he's running out of them
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May 4, 2016 00:14
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yeah hillary continues to overperform in areas where sanders should be running up the score, i think she is going to pull this one out although it's not quite the rout it looked like earlier.
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May 4, 2016 00:14
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Tatum Girlparts posted:http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/may/03/indiana-primary-results-live 
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May 4, 2016 00:15
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Epic High Five posted:Cruz judged the mood of Indiana horribly, horribly incorrectly. He assumed we were all frothing evangelical lunatics and hammered away at poo poo that everybody here had to choose a side on last year (RFRA - the people chose against it and municipalities even started expanding LGBT protections locally) and rode the endorsement of a deeply unpopular governor Yeah I was about to say after RFRA and now HB 1337 people are going to be way more about the "losing manufacturing jobs and a lovely governor" My Dad voted Trump and my Mom voted Bernie and they're both life long republicans Tippecanoe and Monroe won't negate Lake and Marion, and Hamilton is full of rich people and the liberals there are pretty much Clintonites if they aren't young people living with their parents because the job market in Indiana is depressing that most Purdue and IU grads leave state. I think I've seen more grads from those universities since leaving the state than I did while in the state lol
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May 4, 2016 00:15
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Epic High Five posted:Cruz judged the mood of Indiana horribly, horribly incorrectly. He assumed we were all frothing evangelical lunatics and hammered away at poo poo that everybody here had to choose a side on last year (RFRA - the people chose against it and municipalities even started expanding LGBT protections locally) and rode the endorsement of a deeply unpopular governor My dad after seeing more of Cruz only hated him even more and his RFRA like talk really scares away Indiana republicans, who are more moderate than southern republicans. No way Pence wins his re-election, and is now in just "burn everything down for the donors" mode
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May 4, 2016 00:16
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C-SPAN Caller posted:Yeah I was about to say after RFRA and now HB 1337 people are going to be way more about the "losing manufacturing jobs and a lovely governor" Yeah, Pence has done well to chase off the youth. It's pretty depressing - we used to be a state known for biotech and education. Now we're known for dogpiling LGBT people 
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May 4, 2016 00:17
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Epic High Five posted:Yeah, Pence has done well to chase off the youth. It's pretty depressing - we used to be a state known for biotech and education. Now we're known for dogpiling LGBT people I've seen Purdue grads as far as the west coast, which is baffling since I never meet other big ten university grads out there. Brain drain in Indiana if I remember correctly is one of the worst of any states in the union.
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May 4, 2016 00:19
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Bernie keeping it close in Indy, I think it's going to come down to Lake County
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May 4, 2016 00:21
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| # ? May 2, 2024 23:02 |
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50.9-49.1
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May 4, 2016 00:21
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