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Random question - remember that ad Trump made where he's tallying up the amount of applause he received at the convention? Is it just me, or did he steal the background music from some major flash game? I could have sworn I've heard it before.
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Aug 1, 2016 14:15
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TVarmy posted:There has to be some kind of limit in polls-only and polls-plus forecasts on FiveThirtyEight, right? Because this far out, there's still a big number of unknowns and possibilities. Like those charts on weather that shows a cone of where a hurricane could go, and a dark red cone of where it's most likely to go. Has Nate Silver ever said if there's a floor for this? Because as much as I'd bet for Clinton at this point, I admit there's still strange-rear end futures where she could lose. But it'd call for a Trump Pivot that keeps his base, Clinton loving up on unprecedented levels, and a series of horrible tragedies Trump could safely spin in his favor. I'm saying, we have to be near that floor, and we're considering the bit of the yellow cone where Hurricane Donny does a 180 degree turn and starts raining blood instead of water. That's why it's expressed as a percentage. EDIT: Mel Mudkiper posted:Considering his forecast jumped literally 30+ pts in a week there is definitely room for some skepticism One model did this, the others were much less drastic. Solkanar512 fucked around with this message at 21:57 on Aug 4, 2016 |
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Aug 4, 2016 21:55
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/SouthLoneStar/status/762355369855311873 I'm so glad he was able to fit his muscle car into the picture.
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Aug 8, 2016 17:56
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Huh weird, there's nothing on his website about tax policy. EDIT: Back to cars again. Sorry Donald, I love my BRZ.
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Aug 8, 2016 18:05
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PoorMoralCompass posted:Has there ever been a sound argument explaining why globalism is... frightening? It's a placeholder for dwindling middle class jobs in the same way that GMOs are a placeholder for the excesses of "big agriculture".
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Aug 8, 2016 18:13
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theflyingorc posted:Ah, people from other places are bad, OP It is bad when it used to be your job.
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Aug 8, 2016 18:14
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Goon Danton posted:Is there any use in calling my idiot senator Toomey's office and asking if he's willing to denounce Trump yet? Beyond my own amusement that is. Well, the amusement of this thread should count for something. 
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Aug 10, 2016 16:38
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What the gently caress is this poo poo, NPR?
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Aug 12, 2016 12:55
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Mel Mudkiper posted:D&d has a weird hate boner for NPR I will never understand I certainly don't hate NPR but the weasely bullshit that Taerkar and sean10mm point to is bullshit. BI NOW GAY LATER posted:The Leftist Circular Firing Squad Comes for NPR is real tedious. This is just lazy dude. EDIT: BI NOW GAY LATER posted:I am willing to go along with this. Marketplace is loving awful. Yeah, I hated it when they spent a whole week criticizing the concept to shareholder value too.
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Aug 12, 2016 15:56
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:I am not sure what you're even after here. What exactly did you mean by "circular firing squad"?
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Aug 12, 2016 16:07
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The other problem with October surprises is the fact that many states allow early voting.
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Aug 13, 2016 19:44
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QuarkJets posted:Arzy was a poster who would regularly experience huge meltdowns throughout the election cycle over what was often inconsequential poo poo, it basically means over-speculating or over-panicking in an election thread He also worked in the finance industry but couldn't interpret a chart showing quartiles.
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Aug 15, 2016 11:35
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citybeatnik posted:The Vatican also came up with a theological argument for why assassinating Hitler would be less sinful than the murder itself, and was taking steps to carry it out before it all went tits-up when WW2 started. Don't gently caress with Jesuits. Do you have a link or search term I can use to look at this? I've never heard of it before.
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Aug 15, 2016 14:07
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Epic High Five posted:I'm extremely grateful we don't have a parliament Prime Minister's Questions or whatever the gently caress it's called would be awesome though.
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Aug 16, 2016 15:05
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Epic High Five posted:Yeah, it also means an almost nonexistent chance of a fistfight breaking out Fair point. EDIT: wasn't there a time when Obama visited some house republican thing and took questions? Solkanar512 fucked around with this message at 15:18 on Aug 16, 2016 |
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Aug 16, 2016 15:16
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I didn't see it here, but John McLaughlin has died. Edit: nm, looks like I needed to go back a few more pages.
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Aug 17, 2016 01:58
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:Raising wages boosts the economy as a whole, but it is a prisoner's dilemma situation. The Nash equilibrium of the prisoner's dilemma over several rounds is to cooperate with the other prisoner.
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Aug 17, 2016 20:52
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CelestialScribe posted:It's also worth pointing out that there are heaps of undecided voters. On the latest 538 podcast they talk about how they could swing the election either way. Bullshit, my bed wetting friend.
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Aug 30, 2016 13:15
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