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punk rebel ecks posted:I at least get the impression that Duerte track record will be at least more mixed than say Trump and Bolsanaro who are solely on the wrong side of history on everything besides insanely few exceptions like North Korea. probably! Duterte is likely to be remembered as having kept the country puttering along, with a couple of outliers like passing free tuition for state colleges and (on-paper) improvements to healthcare coverage of course, that assumes that A. the economy doesn't take a huge poo poo, B. there isn't a climate-change-triggered cataclysm, and C. he doesn't explicitly act dictatorial, before 2022. He might not need to do C, but A and B are big question marks for how far out the administration still has to tread
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Jul 20, 2019 04:16
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| # ¿ May 13, 2024 05:45 |
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here's a breakdown of the recent "universal healthcare" law that was passed: https://www.rappler.com/newsbreak/iq/226810-explanation-what-filipinos-can-expect-universal-health-care-law I say "on paper" because this is very obviously not universal healthcare - it's not even close to Obamacare, but the title of the bill means its going to be claimed as such
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Jul 20, 2019 05:01
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Grouchio posted:Is the Philippines' climate vulnerability primarily from rising sea levels and hurricanes? Or are temperatures and biomass erosion also big hitters? I'm not well-versed in the science well enough to comment on biomass erosion, but yes, temperatures are also a problem: Manila had a water crisis in April from its nearby reservoirs drying up over the particularly bad El Nino season this year, but we're now in the middle of the rainy season and the reservoirs are still frequently at their critical level, and water service interruptions are still regularly happening. I expect that this will not ever go away until it just becomes a complete dehydration of the city. There's also the problem of record-high temperatures wreaking havoc on crops. Deceitful Penguin posted:Who are these "Akbayan youth" folks? Akbayan is a Social Democrat party that's probably most well-known for splitting off from the rest of the leftist groups during the Aquino administration to throw in their lot with Aquino's Liberal Party. As of the 2016 general election, they had one candidate elected to the Senate under their party, Risa Hontiveros, who's been at the head of most social justice legislation coming out of that chamber, and is also the most consistent vote against Duterte's economic policies (even the Liberal Party senators either only abstained, or actively voted for, the TRAIN tax reform bill, for example). Hontiveros is not up for re-election until 2019. In the House, Akbayan had one Representative from their party as of 2016, and there was a palpable difference between their votes, and that of the rest of the "Makabayan bloc", a caucus of militant left representatives. During the 2019 mid-terms, Akbayan failed to hold on to their one House seat. gradenko_2000 fucked around with this message at 07:48 on Jul 22, 2019 |
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Jul 22, 2019 07:44
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https://twitter.com/gmcortez_/status/1153489164672761856 love too have "universal healthcare" by corporate sponsors in a private-public partnership
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Jul 23, 2019 03:25
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Grouchio posted:If I wanted to read detailed books on Cold War Philippines (with and without Marcos), what would you recommend? I'm halfway through Indonesian Destinies (Theodore Friend) I'd suggest Stanley Karnow's In Our Image
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Oct 15, 2019 05:56
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https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1195331868259999745
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Nov 15, 2019 14:29
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https://twitter.com/ABSCBNNews/status/1197010111580917762
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Nov 20, 2019 05:39
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The Aquino-era EDCA is also still in effect, so it's not the end of the world. I'm just still surprised he did because it's not even particularly tasty red meat for the base.
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Feb 9, 2020 06:51
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lol it's not going great: Duterte reinstituted a tight lockdown on August 4th, that ran until August 18th, and you can see the effects of that in terms of the case-increase-rate dipping in late August-early September and then we went right back into General Quarantine and look what happened two weeks later! the Department of Transportation also deployed a plan yesterday to allow public transportation again, with 1.0 meter social distancing between people two weeks later, the social distancing will be reduced to 0.75 meters two weeks after that, the social distancing will be reduced to 0.5 meters two weeks after that, the social distancing well be reduced to 0.3 meters it's incredibly dumb lockdown rules are relaxing just about everywhere and people are starting to leave Manila to vacation in the provinces and it's gonna be a goddamn clusterfuck Other recent stories: * a project to try and build a "white sand beach" along Manila Bay has come under fire for being a huge waste of money. We're in the middle of a loving pandemic and they're dumping tons of crushed rock quarried from Cebu so that we can have a beach along Roxas Boulevard * DITO Telecommunications, which is trying to establish itself as a third player in the telco market after Globe and PLDT, is currently being investigated because it wants to establish cell sites inside military establishments (same as the other two companies), but Congress wants to block it because of DITO's Chinese mainland backers * just today, the Ombudsman said that he's under no obligation to make public Duterte's SALN (Statement of Assets, Liabilities, and Net-worth) because apparently the fact that he already filed it all means that's already all the transparency that he needs to provide
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Sep 15, 2020 15:04
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I already wrote something for another thread, might as well cross-postgradenko_2000 posted:okay, I may have mentioned this before, but Duterte was threatening (my word) for months and months that he was going to run for Vice President, and then his daughter, Sara Duterte, would run for President, and that would do a full-court press on the Executive branch
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Oct 2, 2021 15:34
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It's been about a week since the official period for filing of candidacies has passed, and the official candidates for President are: * Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. - son of the dictator. There's really not much to say about his achievements because there weren't any besides being a regional governor while his father was still dictator, though he did win a single term as Senator in 2003 with very little done. As far as his politics, the most I've really ever heard is him trying to whitewash his father's record, and filing various cases and suits to prevent the Philippine government from recovering dear old dad's ill-gotten gains. * Francisco "Isko Moreno" Domagoso - currently Mayor of the city of Manila since June 2019, has been involved in local-level politics since at least 1998. There's at least one international news outlet that's described him as a "porn star", but that's an overexagerration since the roles were merely risque for the 90s. He's built a national reputation on the back of a very active social-media account since becoming Mayor, with a camera crew following him around as he takes firehoses to graffiti, displaces street vendors, and generally exuding a "Man of Action" image. * Maria Leonor "Leni" Robredo - currently the Vice President. She gained national prominence after her husband, Jesse Robredo, by all accounts a fantastic local politician, died tragically in a helicopter accident in 2012. She's been with the Liberal Party ever since, and was a Congressman before she ran for the VP spot. She was a cabinet secretary for public housing under Duterte right up until she was fired, and ever since has been using whatever funding she gets from the Office of the VP to run outreach programs for indigent communities, and more recently PPE and mutual aid and vaccination programs during the pandemic. This time she's running as an "independent", though in the Philippines your specific party affiliation doesn't really mean all that much. As the figurehead of Philippine liberalism all eyes are on her to be The Opposition Leader. * Emmanuel "Manny" Pacquiao - the boxer. That by itself has given him a national profile, along with his reputation for being very magnanimous with cash and goods giveaways in local communities whenever he comes home from a big prize fight. His actual record as a Senator indicates him as being very religiously conservative, what with support for the death penalty and opposition to LGBT rights legislation backed-up by Bible quotes. He has attempted to adopt some level of being opposed to Duterte within recent months, wading into allegations of corruption by the administration, but it's my impression that nobody really believes in that being genuine. * Panfilo "Ping" Lacson - sitting Senator, former police chief, implicated in a double murder and a string of gangland killings in the 90s. I don't want to spend too much time talking about this guy because he has no real voting base and will be lucky to crack 5%, but it's worth mentioning his presence mostly because he represents the branch of Philippine conservatism that is as violent and repressive as Duterte, minus the vulgarity. * Leody de Guzman - labor leader. On the one hand he probably also does not have a very large voting base, but his candidacy is notable insofar as we have never had an out-and-out socialist run for President for as long as I've lived, and as far as I know not at all since the 1950s. * Bato dela Rosa - sitting Senator, former chief of police in Davao City, where he was Duterte's right-hand man (and still WAS Duterte's right-hand man when Duterte appointed him NATIONAL chief of police for the first, most violent part of his presidency). I do not consider him a serious candidate, but it is likely that he will be the conduit for Sara Duterte, Rodrigo's daughter and current Mayor of Davao City, to enter the race as a presidential candidate, sometime within the next month via the substitution loophole that I've previously described. ___ Because I mostly frequent liberal and left circles, my perspective is going to be necessarily skewed to only seeing what goes on in such parts, but I'd like to share some observations in the weeks since. - the order in which I listed the candidates corresponds to roughly how they've placed as far as the last polling data we have (yes yes polls are fake etc.), with Sara Duterte presumably moving into the spot between Marcos and Domagoso if she ever officially runs. That said, the last polls were done before the official candidacies were filed, so who knows how this will shake-out. - Domagoso declared his intention to run for President about a week before the official filing of candidacies, while Robredo waited until the penultimate day to file hers. In that interim, a lot of the discussion was about whether Robredo would choose to run at all, and whether people should suck it up and vote for Domagoso because he's the lesser-evil compared to everyone else. - once Robredo actually did announce though, there was immediately a lot of enthusiasm for her. I don't know how much this actually translates into on-the-ground support until/unless we get some polling numbers. Conversely, Domagoso managed to eat into whatever goodwill he had among the liberal set by picking a fight with Robredo a day after her filing, insinuating that people need to "move on" from a reductive anti-Marcos politics, and that she demonstrated no party loyalty by running as an independent despite being the nominal Liberal Party leader for the last six years; Domagoso himself has switched across four parties during his career, including a new party just before this year's presidential run. - more recently, there's been a lot of talk about respective endorsements for candidates for Senator. Robredo released a set of 11 names, out of a maximum of 12, including a number of people that quite clearly right-of-center, while also including none* from the left. Some people are all up-in-arms about Robredo refusing to make any concessions to the left by not even giving the 12th spot to left-wing candidate Neri Colmenares, while also endorsing the likes of former VP and Corruption Elemental Jejomar Binay. - pardon my Ameri-centrism, but it feels very "Democrat Party primary" at the moment, with people making all sorts of excuses as to why it's acceptable for Robredo to collaborate with the right in order to "broaden the coalition to defeat Marcos", while also pooh-poohing the left for being "too idealistic" for insinuating that they'd refuse to vote for Robredo/would vote for de Guzman instead because of how she's so far treated the parties to her right. - personally, I expect a lot of people who'd consider themselves leftists would vote for Robredo regardless just because I'm all too familiar with the fear of the worst-case scenario, and while I don't really mean to imply that Robredo is as conservative as Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden, I'm also not going to pass up the chance to vote for an actual socialist this time around. This is a bit scattershot, and maybe a little Too Online, but I'd be happy to take any questions. The election is in May. * re-electionist Senator Risa Hontiveros was one of those endorsed, and she's from Akbayan, a Social Democrat party, but they caucus so closely with the Liberal Party that I hesitate to really call her "on the left".
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Oct 16, 2021 10:51
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Argue posted:sigh I take ONE vacation and it falls on this of all weekends
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Nov 13, 2021 12:20
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the first sigh was when the news all broke out from yesterday:gradenko_2000 posted:Philippine elections update: the second sigh was from this afternoon, when Rodrigo Duterte changes his mind (again) at the last minute, and files to run as a Senator, instead of for Vice President and so while Marcos still does have some competition from the Duterte faction in the form of Bong Go, Sara Duterte isn't going to be competing directly against her father. there's also SOME polling data that's out now:  I could load this up with a bunch of caveats (candidate list is still wrong because of this weekend's chaos, it's a commissioned poll), but that would just be trying to "unskew the polls" and inhaling copium, so let's not do that. It's a huge uphill climb to beat these numbers. It's not impossible, but it's going to be very difficult to shift. [There's also some Senate and VP polling out, but that can wait for another post]
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Nov 15, 2021 14:16
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stephenthinkpad posted:drat that's a lot of drama. 1. Bongbong Marcos has a really strong social media/word-of-mouth presence, both intersecting with Duterte as a fellow right-wing demagogue, and also crafted from years of promoting revisionist history. 2. Poll doesn't have Bong Go because it was conducted in late October, before all this reshuffling went on. 3. The general consensus is that Marcos is going to be "friendly" towards China, and friendly in quotation marks as a reference to how R Duterte is perceived as having completely rolled over for, and is a lapdog of, Xi Jinping. Here's some cited examples as to why people would think this: https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1492366/bongbong-parrots-duterte-on-west-ph-sea-we-dont-stand-a-chance-vs-china https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/20/21/chinese-envoy-fawns-over-marcos-jr I personally can't find a way to weigh in on the subject because China is a completely poisoned well in Philippine discourse. 4. Yes, the Philippines has 24 Senators total, and each Senator serves for six years, and half the Senate is elected every three years, alternating between the general election (i.e. concurrent with the Presidential election) and the midterms. There's really only like three or four oppositionists in the Senate right now that are up for re-election, and only one of them is polling high enough to look like they'll win re-election, so while a Senator Duterte might bump off a fellow pro-Duterte candidate, the Senate is still probably going to be majority conservative regardless.
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Nov 15, 2021 16:03
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this is going to be an awfully oversimplified analogy, but you can sort of think of the Philippines as a country where the Vietnam War was won (among others) that is to say, the Hukbalahap, a guerrilla resistance force against the Japanese occupation, metamorphosed into the Huks, an orthodox M-L insurgency after 1945, and since the Philippines is an island chain and the Huks could not flee over the border into China to regroup the way the Viet Minh could, they were eventually crushed by succeeding Philippine presidents, with a final victory in 1954 lead by Ramon Magsaysay (with the usual vast amounts of US arms and CIA involvement, naturally) to wit, Ferdinand Marcos Sr did not ascend to the presidency on the back of a coup, as so many dictators did, but rather, he was elected President twice under the constitutional process, and simply overturned the liberal status quo before his second term was up that the Philippines is a "kleptocracy" has its roots in the extinguishing of the left and the restriction of the political spectrum to just conservatism and liberalism if you dig a little deeper than that, Spanish colonialism imposed a feudal social order on the islands for centuries, followed by about five minutes of independence under a 19th century nationalist movement, followed by half-a-century of American colonialism that simply replaced the Spanish order with one that taught folks to speak English, three years of military occupation under Imperial Japan, and then finally an American-style constitution imposed on us by American "liberators" there was never any real reckoning with the legacy of Spain, and the latent consequences of that are still felt today when one of the attack lines against the Liberal Party is the massacre of militant farmers at Hacienda Luisita - we still have haciendas in the Philippines!
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Nov 16, 2021 09:32
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| # ¿ May 13, 2024 05:45 |
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This week is the 17th anniversary of the Hacienda Luisita massacre, a strike action by peasant workers seeking for better working conditions from an oligarchical family that bought out a Spanish-era sugar plantation and then dodged agrarian reform and land redistribution efforts. The police dispersal of the strike ended in bloodshed, and it remains one of the most important moments of modern labor history in the country. Below is a short, 30-minute documentary about the event. Translated, the title reads, roughly, "In the Name of the Sugarcane". It's in Filipino, but with English subtitles. https://cinemata.org/view?m=JNqzQioOt 
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Nov 17, 2021 16:27
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