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UmOk posted:Um. I'm not an Accelerationist. I just like funny things. Maybe you're sufficiently sheltered to where a Trump Presidency can look like a joke, but he represents a quite real existential threat to me and a lot of other people and will do so until he loses.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:34
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Guy Goodbody posted:I'd join the Clinton Irregulars I did. Didn't update to be a party member, but one more vote for the dread abuela. Need a drink at all the unopposed republicans running in my area though. Thankfully the republicans did say which education people are theirs so I could avoid voting for them.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:34
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Teddybear posted:So this'll be a fun story this weekend, possibly: This brings up a difference in voting systems. In Finland we used to do presidential elections through electorate until 1994 when we switched to direct voting (1988 was a mix, there was both a direct vote in case one candidate got 50% of votes, and elector vote for the second round). What was different was that the 300 electors were actually the ones the people voted for. Under that system this wouldn't have worked. While they were free to vote as they liked (and last minute changes did happen) an elector who before the big day declared that he actually didn't want to support his party's candidate would likely have been left without votes. But then you couldn't directly apply that system to a First Past The Post country, Finland uses the D'Hondt proportional method.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:35
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Grouchio posted:Has the potential Al-Qaeda threat on Monday been addressed? http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37877391 From what I understand (aka what I heard on Wolf Blitzer an hour ago) it's just low-level chatter, not a definitive threat. Grouchio posted:Also why the gently caress would the BBC put Clinton as tied with Trump? I somehow think that's massive bullshit! What happened to our landslide? Comey. 
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Nov 5, 2016 01:37
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Neo_Crimson posted:Maybe you're sufficiently sheltered to where a Trump Presidency can look like a joke, but he represents a quite real existential threat to me and a lot of other people and will do so until he loses. Trump represents an existential threat to the way the society of America has functioned for at least seventy years and if someone thinks it's just funny, they're out of touch, not sheltered.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:37
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Trump's Helter Skelter schedule
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Nov 5, 2016 01:38
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Bloops Crusts posted:Why is Clinton spending vital hours campaigning in Michigan if it really is so laughable? GOTV
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Nov 5, 2016 01:38
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Bloops Crusts posted:Why is Clinton spending vital hours campaigning in Michigan if it really is so laughable? Michigan has 14 House of Representatives seats up for grabs, and a state house that the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee wants to flip. There's no early voting; so at this late date her thumb on the scale counts more than elsewhere.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:39
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/794659577115635716 Somebody needs a nap
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Nov 5, 2016 01:39
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Lmao that uspol sperglords still haven't voted
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Nov 5, 2016 01:40
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I wonder who the idiot who screws up and is unable to vote will be
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Nov 5, 2016 01:41
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ReV VAdAUL posted:Why is CO such a lock? reports say Dems and GOP are in a dead heat: http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/local-news/early-voting-lead-for-colorado-democrats-dwindles-as-republican-voting-surges https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/794627523636318208?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Nov 5, 2016 01:41
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Look motherfucker, we've already gone back in time to Watergate with this loving election. Let's not bring in Helter Skelter in as well too. My brain hurts enough.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:42
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BigRed0427 posted:Can someone explain to me what Random Drift and Bayesin means? I tried to read the explanation on the site and cant understand it. - random drift is modeling a process as brownian motion. A particle randomly drifts, attracted by external forces. For PEC/Sam Wang, the particle represents the vote margin, and when it's drifted from the current poll median to Nov 8th, its location is one prediction for the election margin. You do that a few thousand times and it's a good estimate of a stochastic process. - Bayes, in this case, means Sam Wang adding an expectation of where the particle should arrive, based on the race so far (previous, older polls). So Sam is saying: the particle/margin is probably going to drift towards the mean of previous, older polls. Does that make sense?
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Nov 5, 2016 01:42
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Question: Federal employees aren't allowed to do volunteer work for political campaigns, right? Like making calls?
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Nov 5, 2016 01:42
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SpaceDrake posted:Trump represents an existential threat to the way the society of America has functioned for at least seventy years and if someone thinks it's just funny, they're out of touch, not sheltered. I don't think it's just funny. I think it's funny, depressing and scary.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:42
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roymorrison posted:Lmao that uspol sperglords still haven't voted I live in CT. There is no early voting, only absentee.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:43
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Does anyone have any info on early voting in New Jersey? That map that gets posted said it's available, but all I can research says no excuse absentee ballot only, and I don't have enough time to get that in.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:44
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Guy Goodbody posted:But he does worship the Ruinous Powers? Nonsense, Trump is clearly the chosen of the Dark Gods. Podesta? The guy whose boss is allegedly kept barely alive only by the most advanced medical technology and is venerated by her countless followers? Do I need to say more?
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Nov 5, 2016 01:45
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roymorrison posted:I wonder who the idiot who screws up and is unable to vote will be I live in SC. Only absentee. Thankfully the lines locally will be short.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:45
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So that This American Life episode.... I mean yeah those people are still racist as poo poo, what the gently caress? I don't get it. They can be kind to their white neighbors but also be racist shitlords.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:45
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I've gotten seven mailers from my shitawful Tortilla Coast-rear end congressman in the past two days trying to run a smear campaign against his opponent. Considering I'm used to getting a single one like a week before voting day that's just "Congressman Garrett hates taxes; loves America!" I'm really hoping he's deep in hot water. I don't really care much about the Dem running for the seat, I just loving hate Scott Garrett's bullshit. Militree posted:Does anyone have any info on early voting in New Jersey? That map that gets posted said it's available, but all I can research says no excuse absentee ballot only, and I don't have enough time to get that in. I'd recommend contacting your County Clerk's office; I dunno if it's statewide but for my district at least they have mail-in ballots available on-site there for the weekend before the election.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:46
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Militree posted:Does anyone have any info on early voting in New Jersey? That map that gets posted said it's available, but all I can research says no excuse absentee ballot only, and I don't have enough time to get that in. No early voting here.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:47
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The Insect Court posted:Nonsense, Trump is clearly the chosen of the Dark Gods. No way Tzeentch or Khorne get behind Trump. That fucker is Slaanesh through and through.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:47
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Axetrain posted:Got back from early voting a bit ago, +1 for Clinton/Kaine and +1 for Tammy Duckworth here in Illinois. This state is in absolutely no danger of going to Trump but it will be nice to kick out our R senator Kirk. Also voted for anything that increased funding for public services, increased regulations on firearms, and generally anything that gets the ball rolling on Full Communism NowTM.  Hey there IL early voting buddy. How did you vote on the Transportation funding amendment? I voted against the idea of locking any kind of funding into the Constitution makes me uncomfortable. Sounds like we voted the same otherwise haha
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Nov 5, 2016 01:48
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Bloops Crusts posted:Why is Clinton spending vital hours campaigning in Michigan if it really is so laughable? Because since Michigan doesn't have early voting it was far more useful spending the last week in states that do. Now is a good time to head up to states that don't have it to GOTV. This isn't hard to figure out.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:49
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weekly font posted:No early voting here. Welp. Luckily my whole office gets off work so we can vote.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:49
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Xae posted:No way Tzeentch or Khorne get behind Trump. Tzeentch tries to pull that puppetmaster poo poo no matter what happens and claim it was all part of his plan so expect smug gloating from the Changer of Ways no matter who wins.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:50
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BigRed0427 posted:Question: Federal employees aren't allowed to do volunteer work for political campaigns, right? Like making calls? Not in the official capacity of their position. My father, for instance, couldn't go and work for the Clinton Campaign as "NIH Sysadmins for Clinton". But as a private citizen he can work for them. Just gotta keep those separate. I think the rules are different for military members though. Much stricter.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:50
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BigRed0427 posted:Question: Federal employees aren't allowed to do volunteer work for political campaigns, right? Like making calls? I'm not 100% but I don't think that's true. Can't do campaign work on company time obviously. As long as it's evenings, weekends or vacation time it should be fine.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:50
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Militree posted:Does anyone have any info on early voting in New Jersey? That map that gets posted said it's available, but all I can research says no excuse absentee ballot only, and I don't have enough time to get that in. Yeah sorry, it's just the absentee ballot there. There's a form you can fill out with your county clerk to have them automatically mailed to you for future elections though, you might need to call them to get it. You could technically go in to your county clerk's office on Monday before 3 PM and get an absentee ballot, fill it out on the spot, then hand it in. But there'd be little point to that. Depending on county you can also do this on Saturday or Sunday during their business hours. You can't really mail one of those ballots you'd get in person though, as it has to be received in office by the time the regular polls close to be valid.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:50
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Xae posted:No way Tzeentch or Khorne get behind Trump. I'm definitely sure that Clinton has the God-Emperor's vote though.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:50
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don't minorities and lost, degenerate youth mostly vote early because they're so lazy and can't bring themselves vote on actual Election Day like the superior Aryan race? thats why Hillary's leading. once the Republicans get back from work at 5pm on Nov 8th, it is over for her.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:52
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Cingulate posted:Super quick, and as far as I understand it:
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Nov 5, 2016 01:53
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Grouchio posted:Who is Nurgle's choice? And who would Khorne or Tzeentch pick? Nurgle probably stumps for Stein as a fellow spreader of disease.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:53
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Hello Nasty Women and Bad Hombres! Goons have raised over $25,000 for RAINN (Rape, Abuse, & Incest National Network). It's a fantastic non profit group that spends 93 cents of every dollar donated on directly helping survivors and preventing sexual violence. Anything you're able to give will matter and make a difference! Join us and post your donation in this thread to add to the tally! And if you'd like a sweet as hell gang tag, go on to post in the Nasty Woman / Bad Hombre Donation Thread. Let's do something Good! 
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Nov 5, 2016 01:54
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So does the election day weather forecast for any of the battleground states look nasty?
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Nov 5, 2016 01:55
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Crowsbeak posted:definitely get blue color types to vote. Wonderful typo. I wonder how Trump actually polls with the colloidal silver crowd?
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Nov 5, 2016 01:56
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Eugene V. Dabs posted:Are CO and AZ correlated in his model? Because the two states have very little in common in terms of culture or educational attainment. Literally the only thing similar is racial/ethnic makeup and their geographic location. Full disclosure: I pulled AZ (and CO, to a lesser extent) out of my rear end. The general problem of accounting for locked-in votes remains a problem in 538's model, though, AFAICT.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:56
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CT's state elections are in a weird position I think. No one likes Governor Malloy because he's cut tons of State employees across the board to balance the budget. I'm guessing taxes could go up if that doesn't work. One of the Dems running for state House here is running to oppose his cuts. Honestly I haven't payed a lot of attention to state politics. Anyone else from CT more int he know.
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Nov 5, 2016 01:57
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