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regardless of who wins i hope the loser tries to start a rebellion to forcibly depose the winner because it would be one step closer to fracturing the united states. the states where all the nukes are are not the states you would want to have access to nukes, so maybe everyone will die in nuclear fire.
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Nov 6, 2016 23:17
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Sheep-Goats posted:His background was in sports statistics and especially in that field it's seen as important to kind of make your prediction model "dumb" in that it just looks at numbers and goes by that. It's hard to explain what I mean exactly but sports guys had for a long time relied on this kind of human generated decision processes and humans always find too much "pattern" when they look at something, which meant when Moneyball type stuff started being done broadly and in earnest the biggest advancements were made in areas that this caused errors in, eg, where being smart lead to being wrong. Silver in general makes a huge effort to audit his own methods and intake so that would lead to him being stubborn about "dumbness" I think. I don't disagree, especially because I've seen so many sports journalists spin coincidences into narratives: that LeBron James lacked some instinct that Michael Jordan had, instead of just James running up against some very good teams. The problem now is more that people have started to accept Silver uncritically. His model is good, but it doesn't account for everything, and it is just one model.
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Nov 6, 2016 23:18
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Gobblecoque posted:Bruce Campbell. I'm not gay, but I'd swallow his soul.
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Nov 6, 2016 23:23
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Nate said the popular vote distributions would get narrower toward the election but I'm p sure they haven't
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Nov 6, 2016 23:47
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Nate said the lawyer and career politician would beat the silver spoon showman and it's happening!!! Whoda thought
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Nov 6, 2016 23:50
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trump is taking millions of dollars from rubes and funneling it into his own companies so even if he loses he wins.
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Nov 7, 2016 00:02
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Rhix posted:trump is taking millions of dollars from rubes and funneling it into his own companies so even if he loses he wins. And he'll take a tax break as well.
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Nov 7, 2016 00:05
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I mean touring the country like a rock star, making millions off dummies and then getting to chill in his tower while Hillary cleans up the mess this election is making. Trump's got it all figured out.
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Nov 7, 2016 00:05
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Not Sure. Guy's test says he's the smartest guy in the world.
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Nov 7, 2016 00:06
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Hillary Clinton will be the legitimately saddest example of the lowest our "democracy" has sunk to.  I fear for my daughter's future growing up in a kleptocracy
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Nov 7, 2016 00:57
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i'm not allowed to tell you to kill yourself, so instead you should kill your daughter and then move to canada. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Nov 7, 2016 01:03
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loving dumb people always have kids, so many kids a HRRRER dumb *plops out nine kids*
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Nov 7, 2016 01:05
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Which candidate said Cucky pizzone ?
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Nov 7, 2016 01:09
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Raytheon
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Nov 7, 2016 01:11
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flick my Mr. Bean posted:How can you get to that level and not know that the word "overqualified" is never a good way to describe yourself? Democrats. Absolute best case scenario is Hillary wins but dies before she can take office. That way she will have been elected to be the first woman president, but that dream will never truly be fulfilled. This way will produce the most tears and also Pence won't be president. Unfortunately, I bet Kaine will be.
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Nov 7, 2016 01:26
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Rhix posted:trump is taking millions of dollars from rubes and funneling it into his own companies so even if he loses he wins.
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Nov 7, 2016 01:29
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Gazpacho posted:hows he doing this legally? i mean it's not like trump is some hotel chain thats located everywhere Trump the business loans Trump the campaign money (back when he said he wasn't taking donations), and then Trump the campaign starts paying back that loan now that he is taking donations.
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Nov 7, 2016 01:35
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Frankenstyle posted:Trump the business loans Trump the campaign money (back when he said he wasn't taking donations), and then Trump the campaign starts paying back that loan now that he is taking donations. Claims the interest as a business expense and gets a tax break.
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Nov 7, 2016 02:00
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VendaGoat posted:Claims the interest as a business expense and gets a tax break. All he seems to do is move his business money to fund his lifestyle, and then let the business go under, declare bankrupt, and claim the losses as tax write-offs
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Nov 7, 2016 03:06
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grymwulf posted:All he seems to do is move his business money to fund his lifestyle, and then let the business go under, declare bankrupt, and claim the losses as tax write-offs To be fair he basically does what Mitt Romney did for a living, except to his own companies. Not sure if that makes it smarter or more retarded
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Nov 7, 2016 03:12
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It's Hillary Clinton's TURN guys!!! But don't forget, a Bush gets the next turn. And Chelsea Clinton gets the turn after that. It's their rights by birth.
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Nov 7, 2016 03:21
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Trump doesn't have the women vote, hispanic vote, black vote, but he does have the rich and dumb white male vote. could be worse.
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Nov 7, 2016 03:31
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grymwulf posted:All he seems to do is move his business money to fund his lifestyle, and then let the business go under, declare bankrupt, and claim the losses as tax write-offs but how does he make money in the first place?
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Nov 7, 2016 03:41
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I am..developing a theory. Get this: liberals don't like Donald Trump!! I think I'm on to something here...
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Nov 7, 2016 03:41
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I don't think anybody likes Donald Trump...
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Nov 7, 2016 03:45
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Gamer With Dignity posted:I don't think anybody likes Donald Trump... You know, Bob and Margaret Black from Sanford, Florida. https://twitter.com/oliverdarcy/status/791005980549087232
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Nov 7, 2016 03:54
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Rutibex posted:but how does he make money in the first place?
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Nov 7, 2016 03:56
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Gamer With Dignity posted:I don't think anybody likes Donald Trump... I don't think anybody likes Hillary Clinton either yet here we are.
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Nov 7, 2016 03:58
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Democracy has made us weak. IMO whoever overthrows the president should get to be the next president. It worked for the Romans and it would work for us.
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Nov 7, 2016 04:01
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I hope white people lose.
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Nov 7, 2016 04:04
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Shneak posted:I hope white people lose. I'd say we've had a good run, but that would be a lie.
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Nov 7, 2016 04:07
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I'm an election chairperson in Michigan, according to the instructions I got from the clerk I finally found out that we don't even count write ins that weren't approved by the election commission in advance. So I don't have to put in any work counting all the Bernie write-ins or whatever other nonsense people barf out into that empty spot on the ballot.
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Nov 7, 2016 04:21
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you are, op. we all got together and decided to write you in. surprise!
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Nov 7, 2016 04:59
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grymwulf posted:All he seems to do is move his business money to fund his lifestyle, and then let the business go under, declare bankrupt, and claim the losses as tax write-offs I'm guessing this is a rhetorical statement.
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Nov 7, 2016 05:05
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i was already a registered voter when i was 17 even though i never registered. go america
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Nov 7, 2016 05:20
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i think the woman will win, or maybe the man
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Nov 7, 2016 05:22
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More like nate bronze
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Nov 7, 2016 05:23
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No matter who is elected, America loses. Not even the vultures will have cause to celebrate for long. [after playing out all possible outcomes for Global Thermonuclear War] Joshua: Greetings, Professor Falken. Stephen Falken: Hello, Joshua. Joshua: A strange game. The only winning move is not to play. How about a nice game of chess?
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Nov 7, 2016 05:32
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Gay Horney posted:More like nate bronze well played
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Nov 7, 2016 05:32
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Hillary Climpton
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Nov 7, 2016 07:04
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