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Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Salt Fish posted:

Dulles corridor was deserted. More poll workers than people voting at 7:30.

I'd imagine most of those people will vote after work.

Vote Northam in then kick his rear end for the sanctuary cities thing. If you can make him into McAuliffe v. 2.0, you could do WAY worse.

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Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

axeil posted:

https://twitter.com/VotingGuy/status/928041878213324800

2013 full turnout was 45%

The county voted for Trump by 49 points.

This is uh, :stare: really good news

Nope. Sorry. I will not allow a shred of optimism to penetrate the shriveled remains of what once was my working human heart.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

You did the Lord's work down there, pal. Now just imagine if you'd actually liked the guy you were working for.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Dick.

Jesus. rear end in a top hat just J. Walter Weatherman'd us.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Only 8 among men? And +19 among women? That's...:stare:

NO, GODDAMNIT, OPTIMISM, YOU STAY DOWN IN THAT BASEMENT!!!!

Still, "too early to call" is different than "too close to call", right? It means they have a fairly good idea of who's gonna win but want to let the votes accumulate a little?

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

WampaLord posted:

Oh my god, please don't let this be the loving takeaway if Northam wins. You gonna go back to posting about how Citibank owns because they gave some money to charity again?

No, but maybe the takeaway could be that you don't have to have Barack Obama's oratorical skills if you want to win as a Democrat.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Guys I can't keep optimism in the basement anymore, it's gonna BREAK DOWN THE DOO--

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Can we start using the word "bloodbath" yet?

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

axeil posted:

Nate Silver 8:01 PM

The exit poll in New Jersey shows Murphy ahead by about 18 points, which is larger than most pre-election polls showed.


:stare:

Boom, baby.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

FaustianQ posted:

I don't want get my hopes up too much at this point, but the election results seem to indicate Virginia is hard blue now, correct? Blue Governor, Blue Legislature?

I don't know. They needed 17 seats to win the legislature, and we still don't know about Mark Herring and Justin Fairfax.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Fancy, you beautiful goddamn bastard. You condemned Virginia to 4 more years of socialist darkness :getin:

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO *breathe* OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
In case anyone's interested, Republican Congressman Ted Poe just announced he's not running for reelection.

Open the loving floodgates.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

XyrlocShammypants posted:

Chuck Todd

“I don’t know how many people knew the candidate was transgender. They might have just gone in and said “I’m looking for the D, I want the D over the R”

Goddamn, gently caress Chuck Todd so hard.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Right-wingers are already declaring that Virginia was always a blue state and they never really had a chance and Northam should have won by 20 so this is really a moral victory for them and :qq:

Delicious.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

TheScott2K posted:

So basically us when Congressman Bodyslam got elected and those other ones

Except Montana IS normally a red state and Gianforte SHOULD have won by a lot more than he did...

Virginia is, at best, a swing-to-slight-lean-blue state until now.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Lightning Knight posted:

You're right, and I got my years wrong. It would be more like Fairfax 2028 or 2032 depending on how things go, which gives him enough time to run for a term as Virginia Governor.


This seems Bad, what can voters and Democratic politicians in Maine do about this?

Vote him the gently caress out in 2018 and have that rear end in a top hat Eliot Cutler thrown into the Atlantic if he tries to run as the Americans Elect candidate again.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Lightning Knight posted:

Isn't Le Page the psycho governor?

Yes, but Eliot Cutler is the Third Way rear end in a top hat who split the Democratic vote both times and allowed LePage to win with like 38%.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Amused to Death posted:

So how is the count on the Virginia assembly looking?

I was wondering this myself. Are we at +15 or +16? The latter is a guaranteed tie in the legislature, the former is a 1-vote minority...

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Quorum posted:

Well, I can more or less guarantee that he'll be frontrunner for the Democratic nomination for governor four years from now, that being the real purpose of the position of Lieutenant Governor.

Not Mark Herring? He's in his second term as VA AG and he might be looking for the big chair next time...

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

It's not a totally unreasonable position. Feed Jones money by way of GOTV and organizing but stay away from running ads--don't let him get Ossoff-ed.

Let the SuperPACs bash the poo poo out of Roy Moore and let the campaign focus on Jones and what he'd do for Alabama, but national figures should stay the gently caress out of Alabama.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Not smart to deny even knowing her when she loving has proof that you did, dumbass.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

cis autodrag posted:

Worth noting that both of these candidates are basically running in spite of the state party rather than through any maneuvering of the part. The WisDems are still as incompetent as ever.

Is Mike Tate still running that joint? He was the dumb fucker that thought running Tom Barrett in the Walker recall was the best the party could do.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

farraday posted:

I'll go ahead and post this.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/alabama-senate-closing-time/

Which provides a county level breakdown of voting in Alabama and where Democratic votes are/How well Jones has to perform there.

Basic TL:DR, run up the vote across the black belt, win bigger in Huntsville (Madison County) , Birmingham (Jefferson County), and Mobile (Mobile County) while keeping margins low across the rest of the state.

I'll include this from the end.

Well, Barack Obama and John Kerry didn't run against pedophiles. That might account for a few more percent swing in Jones' favor, not to mention that hatred of Trump will probably get a lot of people out to vote that don't normally vote.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Jesus Christ, if he wins, it better not be by 4 points.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

This might be the worst case of projection I've ever seen.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

botany posted:

it's not deleted, she just fixed a mistake i think. tweet is here:

https://twitter.com/elisabeth/status/940606122318278657

Yeah I'm gonna need to see some evidence that he's done anything of the sort.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

evilweasel posted:

Don't think I'd seen the party ID breakdown:

https://twitter.com/Brand_Allen/status/940714722772553728

While I'm sure most Alabama "independents" are Republicans, iirc there was a dramatic difference between what self-described republicans and self-described independents thought of Moore so they may more be the persuadable Republicans.

That party ID is awfully close, and that evangelical number is rather low for a Bible Belt state.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

The state of Alabama has it in for D&D, it seems.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

axeil posted:

CNN has jefferson county's chief election official on the phone and they have votes that are counted but not reported.

it's 104k to 30k in favor of jones.

:stare:

That ALONE could do it.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

GOT

DAAAAAAAAAMN

FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Doug Jones: "lol no"

Calling him "Senator-elect" though is a good sign that Republicans are not prepared to contest the victory.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

hahaha the Senate Republican Campaign Committee are already telling Moore to gently caress off.

Him losing tonight, even if he won't concede, gave them the excuse they needed to cut him loose. Moore was an embarrassment already, but now he's a loser AND an embarrassment. They are not gonna back him for poo poo when he starts demanding recounts.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

If you took the time to write in your vote, you didn't write in Roy Moore. He's on the loving ballot.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Starsfan posted:

This is really unnerving. Do they believe the world is about to end? what is up with this?!?

Their world has ended.

loving good riddance.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Could the Alabama SOS just say "screw you" and certify Jones the winner anyway?

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Konstantin posted:

I wouldn't get too excited, not every Republican is a literal child molester with multiple credible women willing to testify to that fact on the record. Strange would have won easily.

Not every state with a Republican Senator running for re-election is as red as Alabama.

Get an infrastructure like Alabama's/Virginia's in Arizona and Nevada, and Heller and the AZ nominee (assuming Kelli Ward) are toast.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Your Boy Fancy posted:

This. I'm basically gonna call my friend on the transition team to Gibbs slap him in person.

Just saw your post in the Trump thread. Nice work.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

axeil posted:

Interesting tidbit I got in my daily email on VA news: Northam is being "bipartisan" by appointing GOP Delegates and Senators to useless posts which will force special elections and give the chambers to the Dems.

Wait, wait, wait...weren't there people here and in USPol criticizing him for NOT doing this earlier?

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Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Your Boy Fancy posted:

Landslide Symonds

otherwise known as why_your_fucking_vote_matters.txt

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