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anyone use pod projections?
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# ¿ Feb 27, 2017 17:08 |
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# ¿ May 2, 2024 08:42 |
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think fangraphs uses pod. they factor in ball distribution data and expected rates from what i can see. seems promising
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# ¿ Feb 27, 2017 18:19 |
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exactly how i was planning to use them--thanks for the rec. his articles are the best part of fangraphs.
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# ¿ Feb 27, 2017 18:46 |
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225 budget, obp instead of avg, slg and qs added, can keep any amount up to 6. schwarber @ 10 rizzo @ 30 donaldson @ 35 dee @ 10 j upton @ 10 j turner @ 10 c seager @ 25 bogaerts @ 25 definitely schwarber and seager. almost definitely donaldson and rizzo, though i might want to move them before the draft. bogaerts would love to move too. not really sure on the rest. dee almost certainly not. thoughts?
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# ¿ Feb 28, 2017 02:20 |
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is donaldson batting 2nd, 3rd, or 4th this season?
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# ¿ Mar 2, 2017 18:00 |
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i'd make a trade to consolidate value. barring that, drop springer
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# ¿ Mar 10, 2017 02:06 |
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the_american_dream posted:Is it steamer or zips for better bat projection? Keep forgetting steamer for pitching, zips was the go-to for hitting. not sure if anything's better nowadays.
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# ¿ Mar 13, 2017 01:42 |
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depends on scoring. i think there's an argument for kershaw in some leagues.
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# ¿ Mar 13, 2017 06:01 |
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wacha has always had a ton of talent. his problem is health.
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# ¿ Mar 25, 2017 17:14 |
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i wish razzball would edit their work. there're some smart points in there, but it's completely smothered by the awful, unfunny, pointless 'humor'
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# ¿ Mar 26, 2017 22:46 |
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well this is going to be a fun one 6x6 obp-league, slg and qs added zunino belt carpenter donaldson correa upton schwarber k davis j parker c seager bogaerts - gallo profar deshields chapman diaz pomeranz berrios ryu morton wheeler mccarthy lynn karns montgomery gently caress starting pitching. i can piece it together as the season goes. in the meantime, trying to move xander for yu and seager for springer. also, zunino's a placeholder until schwarber gains c eligibility. i'll add and drop guys daily for that slot. would be great if berrios came around! abelwingnut fucked around with this message at 02:00 on Mar 30, 2017 |
# ¿ Mar 30, 2017 01:55 |
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lynn liriano pitching to the al east seems like a deathwish to me, especially when he's pitching in rogers half the time. lynn was good before the injury, though his effectiveness depended heavily on his velocity. how'd he look in spring training? abelwingnut fucked around with this message at 16:18 on Apr 3, 2017 |
# ¿ Apr 3, 2017 16:15 |
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the_american_dream posted:I want to overreact and drop Buxton so bad ...why?
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# ¿ Apr 4, 2017 02:57 |
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IcePhoenix posted:He wasn't great at the plate today one day calm down, everyone
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# ¿ Apr 4, 2017 04:59 |
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one thing that did interest me today...bogaerts stealing 2 bases in 2 attempts. he tried another time but the ball was fouled off. is this potentially a thing? he's never really stolen bases before so i'm not sure what to make of today's splurge. and one of them was 3b.
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# ¿ Apr 4, 2017 05:02 |
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Darude - Adam Sandstorm posted:He actually had 11 steals in the first half last year then just didn't run in the second half for whatever reason. I don't find it unlikely that he'll crack 20 steals. thanks for this. that makes him a top 25 player in my book.
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# ¿ Apr 4, 2017 23:26 |
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just got mookie for seager
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# ¿ Apr 7, 2017 15:32 |
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The Pussy Boss posted:You obviously won this trade, but I don't think you fleeced the other guy that bad. I expect .300 and 30 bombs from Corey Seager this year, and that's being conservative, I think he's got more power than that. Maybe not in 2017, he's still so young, but soon. oh, i know. i love seager and believe he's a first rounder, especially in my obp/slg league. but seager does have a definite ceiling. i really can't see him hitting more than 35hr, and batting 2nd in that lineup limits him to about 85/90 rbi. mookie, on the other hand, has upside out the wazoo. with that bandbox he calls home and that lineup, he could eclipse 100r and 100rbi and steal like 30 relatively easy.
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# ¿ Apr 8, 2017 01:31 |
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also, gallo looks like a professional ballplayer now. do whatever you can to get him. trust me. his power in that stadium is a recipe for 40+ easy.
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# ¿ Apr 8, 2017 01:41 |
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yea, but they can't justify keeping him out of the lineup if he's actually figured it out. his power is stantonian and he walks at a drat good clip. it'll probably be rocky going in terms of playing time for april, sure, but i think he's worth it. upside is just too high.
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# ¿ Apr 8, 2017 03:43 |
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Doltos posted:Wasn't Seager's babip through the roof last year? this is really the heart of the matter with seager. some people believe he didn't change his approach and was just lucky with opposite field hits. others believe he was trying for the opposite field and spreading the ball. if the former, yes, he was lucky. if the latter, not so much. from everything i and my freshman scouting eyes have seen over the past season and this season, it sure seems like he's spreading the ball. his homer this year was a relatively effortless opposite field bomb. he kind of has an inside out swing, a bit more pronounced this season even. i don't know, i'm a full believer. really weird hitter no matter how you slice it, though. his swing seems somewhat normal at first, but then you start analyzing it and it just gets weirder.
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# ¿ Apr 8, 2017 05:17 |
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did gary sanchez just die?
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# ¿ Apr 8, 2017 22:51 |
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9m Pete Mackanin says he'll talk with Jeanmar Gomez tonight re: closer's role and have decision tomorrow. Sure sounds like change coming.
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2017 22:31 |
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neris is the best for the job, but benoit has experience in the role and is pretty drat good too. is mackanin the type to put benoit in there because of experience?
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2017 23:29 |
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BENOIT CLOSER
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# ¿ Apr 10, 2017 21:20 |
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Moneyball posted:There is a top 5 closer out there who doesn't have a job yet. Happens every year. Make sure you get him. vizcaino's my guess
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# ¿ Apr 11, 2017 18:05 |
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at this point i stick to podhorzer's. more in-depth than grey and writes concisely
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2017 20:03 |
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gray just died
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# ¿ Apr 14, 2017 04:11 |
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e: wrong thread
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# ¿ Apr 27, 2017 03:35 |
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i've found the most important thing in evaluating a streamer is the opposing team's l/r splits. it's a bit hard to judge now given how small samples are, so i refer back to august and september splits too, especially if the lineup's similar. this strategy really starts paying dividends in late may/early june, when mlb rosters are solid and your league's rosters are solid. from there, use common sense and play for the stats you need. hint: use lefties against the dodgers. also, the real money is in not having a catcher and streaming hitters on travel days abelwingnut fucked around with this message at 13:29 on Apr 28, 2017 |
# ¿ Apr 28, 2017 13:27 |
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looooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooool dude in my league: We are willing to trade top Giants prospect Arroyo ($5 keeper potential) for a mid-level (let's say consensus #25-35 ranked give or take and up for debate) pitcher. Someone that won't be kept but can help us a little this year. We'll send a couple offers out as well, first one to accept can have him, and we'll field offers and accept the best one we get as well. me: ha, i too would love to trade a slap-singles hitter with zero speed for a top 35 pitcher. good luck with that. in related news, bogaerts is still available. dude: In other news, Casey lives in 11th place with Bogaerts who has 0 HRs in 1 month of action vs. Arroyo the slap singles hitter who has 1 HR in 3 games. And Bogaerts will cost $30 next year. Wasn't even worth $15 for this year. Good job, good effort. If you don't like him fine, maybe another owner can spot talent where you seem to be having a little trouble this year. Move up in the standings, then talk. e: i've won the league 4 out of the last 6 years
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# ¿ Apr 28, 2017 20:12 |
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think of that as donaldson + extra roster spot easy choice to me
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# ¿ Apr 29, 2017 02:13 |
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pick up jc ramirez
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# ¿ Apr 30, 2017 21:41 |
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rest of season in an obp league: avila or wieters? avila's hard hit rate and plate discipline have both improved dramatically. has something really changed with him? wieters looks pretty good too and will probably get more pa, though seems more likely to be injured.
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# ¿ May 1, 2017 12:49 |
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obp replaces avg, add slg, add qs who wins this trade: pederson + pineda schwarber + morton
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# ¿ May 1, 2017 18:46 |
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i would definitely not drop piscotty or jbj or polanco i know little about morales or perez
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# ¿ May 2, 2017 11:14 |
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pineda is like the most jekyll and hyde pitcher there is. he'd be tough to play in h2h, but go wild with him in roto.
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# ¿ May 2, 2017 11:50 |
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Rand alPaul posted:Avila isn't concussed anymore and isn't playing catcher as often. The problem is once Cabrera's back Avila won't be manning first base. Then again Victor Martinez might be officially done (or injured) which would mean Avila is back in the lineup. small sample, but he has the 11th highest average exit velocity in the majors too. that speaks to, at the very least, your point of him being healthy at long last. http://m.mlb.com/statcast/leaderboard#avg-hit-velo,r,2017 i'm buying the gently caress out of avila. a player with c eligibility who in reality plays another position where he'll gobble up 50-60 more pa is a godsend. a player that who has that AND can put up good counting stats in a good lineup AND still put up excellent rate stats? these are the pickups that can make your team. super low risk, super high reward. abelwingnut fucked around with this message at 13:30 on May 2, 2017 |
# ¿ May 2, 2017 13:19 |
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marwin gonzalez looks real, real good
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# ¿ May 4, 2017 21:56 |
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# ¿ May 2, 2024 08:42 |
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his splits and plate discipline check out. still a small sample, but dude is swinging less at pitches outside and making way more contact with pitches in the zone. too early to glean anything from his fb and gb numbers. his babip is super low too.
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# ¿ May 4, 2017 22:29 |