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Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



warcrimes posted:

He was available for a mid round pick and would have to renegotiate his contract. That kind of stuff happens all the time. True though, Denver did inquire but gave up pretty fast

Teams didn't want to give up picks for a mediocre starter and that explains why he's now viewed as worse then the shitawful garbage currently infesting rosters like EJ Manuel.

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Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Jiminy Christmas! Shoes! posted:

That 2007 QB draft class was something.

JaMarcus Russell
Brady Quinn
Kevin Kolb 
John Beck 
Drew Stanton 
Trent Edwards 
Isaiah Stanback 
Jeff Rowe 
Troy Smith 
Jordan Palmer 
Tyler Thigpen 

2013 is rivaling it

EJ Manuel
Geno Smith
Mike Glennon
Matt Barkley
Ryan Nassib
Tyler Wilson
Landry Jones
Brad Sorensen
Zac Dysert
BJ Daniels
Sean Renfree

Luckily 2001 has Vick and Brees, so it's not some 6 year QB curse we have to worry about

Kalli fucked around with this message at 20:23 on Mar 23, 2017

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



If those were my testicles I'd pain olympics myself

... man, I am having a day.

Kalli fucked around with this message at 20:29 on Mar 23, 2017

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Volkerball posted:

It's not a draft, dude. Players aren't signed in order from best to worst. EJ got signed for dirt cheap to be a backup/3rd string. Kaep is going to want to go somewhere where he can compete to be a starter. That ain't happening in Oakland.

Is there anything from Kaepernick about contract demands or competing to be a starter?

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



^^^ True enough, if Tannehill / Cousins can have a Hasselbeck like career then Wilson and Luck have a pretty good shot of it.

a neat cape posted:

The 2004 QB draft was 13 years ago. When do we get another one of those?

I don't think there was even one in the 90's, so it could be awhile...

the closest are either '93 (Bledsoe, Trent Green and Mark Brunell), '98 (Peyton and Matt Hasselbeck) or '99 (McNabb and Culpepper)

But every year pales in comparison to '83 or '04 for QB's.

Also funny note since I was looking at PFR's draft tables.

Ryan Lindley has a -4 career AV.

I didn't think it could be negative.

Kalli fucked around with this message at 22:25 on Mar 23, 2017

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



The worst case scenario for Luck is he's Brett Favre.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Washington submits a good proposal:

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



I don't particularly care, but seeing how almost every team has good looking threads, I'd rather not see:

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



a neat cape posted:

What would make Miami of all teams opposed?

From his mouth:



Good if true.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



That loving Tebow rear end windup 20 seconds in, my god

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



DariusLikewise posted:

Of course Bill Belichick would be the only one to opt out of the coaches union.

It's not a union, it's just an association. Also, Sean Payton isn't in it, or at least wasn't in it for a number of years due to the bountygate stuff.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Eli Wiggum posted:

There is one other coach not in that pic

Adam Gase. I think both he and Belichick went to UF's pro day instead.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



fsif posted:

https://twitter.com/eallenjets/status/846736005956694017
God please please PLEASE let us get an extended look at the Hack next season.

Hack feels like the kind of guy who's going to lose his backup job to some random 7th round Brian Hoyer clone.

I am so into the idea of watching some jets preseason right now though.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



TheChirurgeon posted:

Did we discuss this proposed rule change by Washington?


Because I find that to be pretty hilarious and also something I can get behind

It'd at least keep people's attention slightly which is good, but feels pretty gimmicky.

I'm fine with it, but I think they want to try to eliminate kickoffs, and they need something that convinces teams to boot it into the endzone instead of what teams like the Pats' did last year, which was try and land it just short so teams would have to return it and do poorly at it.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Intruder posted:

Ultimate is also dumb and bad

There was also this silly italian sport that was just basically an organized tailgate fight.

Like Forty big dudes just squaring off in a mud pit and punching each other.

Simultaneously a great and terrible sporting event. Great if you just imagine them screaming "THAT WAS MY FOLDING TABLE RANDY" at each other.

...Ba-Taoshi is pretty great though.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



https://twitter.com/RapSheet/status/846780671624331264

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



TBeats posted:

But that's already illegal.

Say there's 10s left in the half, and you're on D. O's going to try and run 1 play before attempting a FG, but definitely doesn't have time for two.

On the snap, everyone on D holds like crazy, runs 6s off the clock. Move forward 5 yards, attempt the kick, you are 100% for sure not giving up a TD there.

Or the Ravens in one game last year, 10s left, they have to punt. Entire offense just tackles everyone on the D, punter runs around until time expires then takes a knee.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



I was looking around for something and found something pretty novel, a game in which a team never played a 4th down:

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200812210det.htm

Saints score on every drive except for a fumble while up 42-7 in the 4th quarter and then a kneel down to end it.

The 2008 Lions were kinda bad.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



I ran a search with punts, 4th down attempts and FG attempts set to 0 since 1991 and only turned up two single team performances...

That Saints vs Lions game and a 2006 Bengals vs Raiders game.

The Bengals only won 27-10... because they turned the ball over 4 times.

Their drives went:

Interception
Touchdown
Touchdown
Fumble
Interception
End of Half
Touchdown
Touchdown
Interception
End of Game

That's... glorious.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



TheChirurgeon posted:

AKA "Why the Cowboys were able to outplay their level of talent on Defense last year"

This is cool, and started looking at the bottom and realized, oh right, the %'s are so low due to how often teams spent tied, so started looking into how often was a team losing:

% of offensive snaps while losing:

Browns: 68%
49ers: 63%
Jets: 63%
Jaguars: 60%
Rams: 56%
Texans: 47%
...
Patriots: 17%

If anyone wants to calculate the rest, I don't know of an easier way then going to the Splits By Score Differential table for each team like: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/htx/2016_splits.htm

... how did the Texans win 9 games while trailing half the time?

Kalli fucked around with this message at 17:23 on Mar 31, 2017

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



weird Asian candy posted:

Atlanta would have won the Superbowl last year if games ended after 3 quarters bruh...

If my aunt had a dick she'd by my uncle!

You're gonna get into some North Carolina poo poo if that's your attitude buddy.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Ehud posted:

brady is a system QB and that system is called cheating and having a tiny baby bitch arm

His arm got strong wearing all those rings.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



rare Magic card l00k posted:

That drop from the 3rd quarter, which is actually almost decent, to the 4th quarter is amazing for the Browns.

The 49ers one is interesting, because it seems like Chip Kelly has a good plan to attack the defense to start a game, but then failed in adjustments / talent gap as the game progressed.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



E: whoops

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Durandal1707 posted:

How come Jordan didn't work out? I remember vaguely Dolphin fans complaining he was being misused but that's about all.

Football Outsiders has a metric with a pretty.... iffy history that absolutely hated Dion Jordan in sackseer. It combines a formula made up of:

1) An "explosion index" that measures the prospect’s scores in the forty-yard dash, the vertical jump, and the broad jump in pre-draft workouts;
2) A metric called "SRAM" which stands for "sack rate as modified." SRAM measures the prospect’s per game sack productivity, but with adjustments for factors such as early entry in the NFL Draft and position switches during college;
3) The prospect’s college passes defensed divided by college games played; and
4) A metric that measures the prospect’s missed games of NCAA eligibility. This metric includes games missed for reasons such as time spent in Junior College, academic problems, injuries, benchings, and suspensions.

Their writeup for him was:

quote:

A decision to turn the card in for Dion Jordan is definitely a decision to bet on measurables. Jordan is a long, fast athlete at 6-foot-7 with 33 7/8-inch arms and a 4.60 forty time. The problem with Jordan is that he has tons of game experience but little production to show for it. In 39 games at Oregon, Jordan only recorded 14.5 sacks and two passes defensed. It is curious that Mingo absorbs so much criticism for his production against LSU, while Jordan receives little, when Mingo has outperformed Jordan on all fronts and against stronger competition. Jordan’s lack of passes defensed is especially concerning, given that scouting reports on Jordan note (positively) that he was regularly asked to drop into coverage, and thus likely had plenty of opportunities to make plays on the football. Jordan’s best-case scenario is probably to become Kamerion Wimbley -- another player with great athleticism and little sack

Sackseer that year loved Jamie Collins and Ezekial Ansah, and hated Jarvis Jones a bit less then Dion Jordan.
The problem was it also loved the heck out of Barkevious Mingo.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Out of curiosity I grabbed a list of each guy they wrote about for Sackseer from 2012-2015 and tossed the rankings in a list:

It's actually a healthy bit better then I thought it was with some obvious misses.

98.1 Khalil Mack
97.7 Jamie Collins
95.7 Vic Beasley
94.6 Bud Dupree
94.6 Barkevious Mingo
94.4 Jadeveon Clowney
91.3 Anthony Barr
90.6 Nick Perry

89.7 Randy Gregory
84.6 Kony Ealy
82.3 Ezekial Ansah
80.1 Damontre Moore
77.9 Frank Alexander
77.3 Bjorn Werner
75.2 Preston Smith
71.0 Kyle Van Noy

67.8 Eli Harold
64.5 Margus Hunt
64.2 Ronnell Lewis
62.9 Shea McClellin
60.6 Chandler Jones
58.7 Jarvis Jones
54.9 Andre Branch
52.3 Dion Jordan
51.3 Whitney Mercilus

43.3 Dante Fowler Jr
29.3 Dee Ford
28.1 Jonathan Massaquoi
26.4 Bruce Irvin
25.4 Quinton Coples
21.6 Melvin Ingram

18.5 Shane Ray
16.9 Vinny Curry
15.5 Courtney Upshaw
4.0 Michael Sam

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



a neat cape posted:

No guys it's because he's gay

I re-read their writeup on him, because it's pretty interesting and points out he had a very productive senior season which helped buoy the case for him.. but also points out that it was a bit of a misnomer:

quote:

At the bottom of the page is a chart of all of the SackSEER projections for edge rushers who received an invite to this year’s NFL Combine. Of great interest to most readers will be Missouri defensive end Michael Sam, who seeks to make history by becoming the first openly gay player to play in the NFL. The Football Outsiders staff certainly has a great deal of admiration for Sam’s courage, and we will be rooting for him to succeed. SackSEER, however, is a series of equations that are indifferent towards a prospect’s strength of character. In Sam’s case, those equations are not kind.
SackSEER is not a fan of Sam’s production, which may be somewhat counter-intuitive considering that Sam was the co-defensive player of the year in the SEC -— widely acknowledged to be the best defensive conference in college football. But Sam was not consistently productive over his career: he had only nine sacks in his first 37 games with the Missouri Tigers. Although he certainly had a nice senior season with 11.5 sacks in 14 games, edge rushers who are one-hit wonders in their senior seasons rarely pan out in the NFL. The lone exception is Tamba Hali, and Hali had the additional excuse of being miscast as a defensive tackle for his two years -— an excuse Sam cannot claim. Moreover, it may not be a coincidence that Sam’s senior season coincided with the ascension of teammate Kony Ealy.
Perhaps just as concerning is Sam’s average of less than a tenth of a pass defensed per game. Sam had plenty of time to accumulate passes defensed -— a whopping 52 games -— but collected few. Moreover, we have relatively good proof in the form of Kony Ealy’s good passes defensed rate that the scorekeepers at Missouri and its opponents were not overly stingy with awarding passes defensed to defensive linemen while Sam played for the Tigers.
To top it off, Sam’s Combine was even poorer than his 4.91 forty-yard dash time would suggest, as Sam scored below average on every drill that SackSEER cares about. Particularly poor were Sam’s vertical leap and three-cone drill, which were the second-worst and the tenth-worst, respectively, among the 320-plus edge rushers in SackSEER’s database. Sam’s three-cone, in fact, was almost a full second slower than teammate Kony Ealy, despite the latter being ten pounds heavier than the former.
Overall, there have been only 14 prospects that SackSEER rating likes less than Sam. Half of those guys had exactly zero career sacks (even if you exclude Brandon Jenkins, who has zero career sacks but was drafted just last year). Only three of those 14 players had, or are on pace to have, double-digit career sacks: Talance Sawyer, Robert Ayers, and Ellis Wyms. Before the Combine, some projected Sam as a third- or fourth-round pick. SackSEER thinks he’s closer to a seventh-round pick or an undrafted free agent.

I also had posted this awhile ago in the draft thread, his mockdraftable spider chart is one of the worst for a combine prospect:

https://www.mockdraftable.com/player/michael-sam?position=EDGE

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



ulmont posted:

Which way does it miss (I don't know these guys that well)? If all the misses are in the same direction, it could still be very useful.

I need to take a look at it.... but it's the weekend, so it'll probably wait until I'm bored at work again.

I think the sackseer stuff for this draft class is going up soon, so it'd be nice to compare.

I know some guys like Mercilus, Shane Ray and Bruce Irvin are way overperforming those results, and Mingo was a huge bust, but at least some of the other whiffs are due to injuries which pretty much can be ignored. I think the stat may actually be okay, at least for the top end guys.... There's also tables of everyone from the combine, and I think those numbers are all over the place.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Gronk owns.

I don't think Adrian is a good fit. He could be used like how the Pats used Blount, but... old guys are really bad bangers. He might be using this trip as a way to drum up interest I guess?

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



My twitter feed is nothing but wrassling mat gifs and I'm pretty convinced the NFL needs to take this technology and greenscreen out the field and replace it with giant graphics everytime a team gets into the red zone or a QB gets sacked or a score happens.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



Tom Brady lost his jersey again:

https://twitter.com/TylerSully/status/848957937229991936

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Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



It's fine if a guy is completely one dimensional if you can use him in that fashion. Like, with the Raiders' oline, using AD as a part time guy, that'd be fine. He'd be used like how the Patriots' used Blount, occasionally on 1st down, comes in on ... and short downs and in the red zone and as closer. If he's right, he's a steam roller you have to worry about, and helps sell the play action even if he himself isn't a receiving weapon.

That said, he's 32 and steam rollers age very poorly. If he wants to try and be Jerome Bettis his way to a ring, he may be able to, but I'm not exactly excited about him. I'd probably rather have Blount, and I don't think that highly of Blount either.

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