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There's another dem polling at 3%, so Ossoff is only 4 points behind if you assume both sides consolidate perfectly and turnout equally. If Ossoff has the enthusiasm advantage and Trump continues to poo poo the bed leading up to the general, he might actually win this. Even losing by 4 points in a core GOP district would be huge.
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Mar 20, 2017 18:49
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| # ¿ Apr 27, 2024 15:37 |
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New polls: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/03/democrat-gaining-ground-in-georgia-special-election.html Ossoff is polling +1 against the most likely challenger, which is pretty huge
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Mar 26, 2017 06:31
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nachos posted:The fact that 2014 R turnout was still higher than 2017 D turnout so far kind of depresses me. What's it like to have a party that cares about midterms In all fairness, turnout for special elections are even lower than midterms. It's pretty nuts that dems are pulling midterm GOP level numbers for a 2017 special election
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Mar 30, 2017 04:34
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more early voting data. higher turnout than 2014 so far https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/848200288863432704 https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/848207577917870080 the question now is not if Ossoff will win the first round, but if he can get 50% and avoid a runoff
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Apr 1, 2017 19:56
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Jose posted:how badly will him winning scare republicans? Ossoff losing by 5 would freak the GOP out, Ossoff winning would put Republicans in defcon 1 "oh poo poo we're losing the house" mode. Tom Price won this district by like 20 points
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Apr 1, 2017 20:11
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It's going to settle at 48% which is fine and more than I expected in the first place. Done know why everyone is so convinced that a runoff would be a death sentence for Ossoff, Handel is a weak candidate and Ossoff is consistently polling tied or slightly above her in a runoff. His winning margin wouldn't be huge, but he has a really good shot at winning a runoff
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Apr 19, 2017 03:54
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comedyblissoption posted:people want to shame me to vote for him while providing me zero reason to vote for him except that his opponent is a republican for most people who aren't straight whites, that is actually a pretty convincing reason to vote d
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Apr 21, 2017 19:44
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