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Perhaps a dumb question: is there a beer sheets-equivalent for IDP? My dynasty league is introducing defensive players and the draft is this weekend. I am woefully unprepared. Anyone have some recommended resources?
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May 12, 2017 19:33
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I have a dynasty question. .5 PPR, someone offered me His: Frank Gore Davante Parker 2017 3rd rd pick (8/10) My: Jarvis Landry Johnathan Williams I think this is probably an easy "No", but a few things make me hesitate. 1. My RBs are dire. I have Lamar Miller Matt Forte CJ Procise Deandre Washington Jalen Richard TJ Yeldon Kenneth Dixon Whatever rookie I draft 5th overall (Likely Cook, Mixon, or CMC, whoever falls to me) 2. Davante Parker has a lot of hype and Cutler can throw a deep ball I want to keep Williams because Buffalo let go of some of their other RBs, and I don't think they drafted any, so he's one shady injury from playtime. I also think they must like him at least somewhat if they let Gillislee go. I know Gore only has value for this year MAYBE, so it would be a bad deal long term, but could help me this year. But I may be in the same boat next year if Gore retires, and I'll be kicking myself if Williams turns into anything. Overall I also think Landry is better than Parker, but Miami seems to be hedging their bets on Parker. Ultimately I think I stand my ground here and hope whatever rookie RB I draft can get some carries this year, but I thought I'd run it by you fine folks for shits and giggles.
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Aug 10, 2017 19:25
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Sataere posted:
I thought so. Thanks for the sanity check.
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Aug 10, 2017 20:01
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This Watkins trade makes me feel a little better about my Zay Jones dynasty pick I was having second thoughts about, so at least there's that.
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Aug 11, 2017 19:15
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I've got a draft tonight for a 12 man standard league and I'm planning my strategy. I'm pick #2. So obviously I go Bell/DJ with the first pick. It gets a little tricky at the 2/3 turn. Almost all the receivers I want there have usually been taken already in mocks. If TY Hilton falls, I think I take him, but if not, I've been waiting on WR (since it's standard). I'm picking Lamar Miller/Gronk/Rodgers/Carlos Hyde here in some mocks. What are other people thinking in this position? Waiting on WR can be rough, but I've still been able to get guys like Benjamin/Diggs/Fitzgerald/Edelman later, and having a strong core of Gronk, Bell, and Miller seems like a good strategy. Otherwise, if Hilton doesn't fall, I wind up taking Doug Baldwin or Amari Cooper at the 2/3 turn, which just feels bad to me.
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Aug 14, 2017 17:01
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Ben Nevis posted:Any else a bit leery of Hilton given Luck's bum shoulder? The reports I'm seeing today says Luck should be ready week 1, and if not it should only be 1-2 weeks where he's out. Hilton still pulled over 1200 yards and a handful of TDs in 2015 when Luck only played 7 games (granted I think that was with Hasselbeck). I'm a bit worried about him but I think he's good value for where he's being drafted.
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Aug 14, 2017 17:18
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So I just drafted in my 12 man ESPN standard work league. I drafted second overall. Here's what I wound up with: I feel pretty good about this. I'm a bit worried about Dak as my starting QB but I feel like Stafford on the bench provides a level of safety. I took Dez in my 2/3 turn, which I had not planned on doing, but he fell to me unexpectedly, and I knew I could get Fournette or Guerley after the turn assuming the guy in front me didn't go 3 rb (he didn't.). I could have taken Rodgers with one of those picks, but decided to wait on QB (against Beersheet's value levels but seemed good at the time.) I took Olsen at the bottom of the fourth when I could have had Crabtree, Keenan Allen, or Ty Montgomery. I still feel good about that. Hill in the 5th as a WR2 seemed like a no-brainer. From there I kinda just filled things out according to what fell to me, though I'm pretty proud of snagging Ware for my flex. What do you guys think?
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Aug 15, 2017 01:04
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Papes posted:Do not draft Tyreek Hill as your WR2. How many times do these efficient gadget players have to burn people? Eh I have Golden Tate in case it doesn't work out. Maybe I should have taken Keenan Allen instead but he can't seem to stay on the drat field.
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Aug 15, 2017 02:44
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pubic works project posted:Ryan Mathews just got released. Yes...The stars are lining up for my Corey Clement late-round dynasty pick 
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Aug 15, 2017 17:38
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Mikey Purp posted:I am once again falling for the Hard Knocks effect...strongly considering drafting Evans over Julio at #5. Talk me out of it? I had both last year and I certainly liked Evans more. He was more consistent and was a stud for most of the year. Julio was kinda boom-or-bust and was out during the playoffs which really soured me on him, but of course he might stay healthy this year. Granted Evans did hardly anything during playoffs... I don't know though, Shanahan leaving can't be good for Julio can it? I get the YAC arguement and I've seen Evans drop plenty of balls, but it could go either way honestly. I watched the Bengals/Bucs pre-season game and, for what it's worth, they were targeting Evans as much as ever. I still think he'll be a top 5 WR. Butter Hole fucked around with this message at 21:16 on Aug 16, 2017 |
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Aug 16, 2017 21:13
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Mikey Purp posted:Well there is this, which is encouraging: I dunno about djax. There's a lot of competition in Tampa. He'd be good in bestball maybe but good luck figuring out what week to start him in redraft. Maybe he'd be good as a depth pick.
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Aug 16, 2017 21:47
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timp posted:idk man, if it were me I'd probably just focus on trying to win this year first. On the whole I'd treat the draft largely the same as if it were a standard redraft auction except maybe I'd skew towards younger guys with bright futures when given the opportunity I so, so wish I had done this in my dynasty league formed in 2016. Allen Robinson is so young and was so good in 2015! Lamar Miller's got nowhere to go but up! Now all my 1st, 2nd, 3rd round picks are 2nd, 3rd, 4th round picks in redraft. Another $100 down the drain this year 
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Aug 17, 2017 16:46
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Forever_Peace posted:Their niche is quantitative analysis that is actually pretty decent. There's a lot of trash numbers out there in fantasy football land, but rotoviz does a good job of identifying and exploiting the cases where statistics and machine learning are actually useful. Like, "how much regression to the mean do we expect for players that did x" or "what is the ideal team composition for an MFL10 (i.e. how many defenses, QBs, TEs etc to exploit the variance per position)" or "what do dynasty trades tell us about perceived player value" or "what is the historic performance of the TE3 and is Greg Olsen likely to hit it and live up to his adp". So they don't like Olsen? it feels so hard to lock up a good TE this year. Someone reached for Gronk (early second), someone reached for Kelce (early third). trying to stream TE was a nightmare last year. I spent a fifth rounder on Olsen and that seems like a fair price for consistency, but I guess we'll see.
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Aug 25, 2017 14:19
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Forever_Peace posted:Well, they make an argument that it would be unusual for somebody his age: Huh, that IS useful information. Maybe I'll target Jordan Reed or Jimmy Graham in my next draft.
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Aug 25, 2017 17:23
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Well, I got the 10th pick in my .5 PPR 12 man draft, which I was not thrilled about. The draft proved my point as I was not seeing the players I wanted by the time i picked in most rounds. Here's what I wound up with: I went Rodgers/Kelce at the 3/4 turn which is pretty unconventional for me, but most players I liked in that range were gone. I got plenty of RB fliers but both Mcfadden and Jacquiz went earlier than I thought they would, so I couldn't pair them with Martin. I'm thinking about offering Derrick Henry for Quiz. Bad idea? I'm curious what you guys think about this draft--in mocks the later picks are where I've struggled to find a team I like the looks of.
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Aug 29, 2017 03:40
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Butter Hole posted:Well, I got the 10th pick in my .5 PPR 12 man draft, which I was not thrilled about. The draft proved my point as I was not seeing the players I wanted by the time i picked in most rounds. Here's what I wound up with: I'm gonna be annoying and quote myself. Thoughts on this draft? Should I try and land JacQuiz or ride out out the Martin suspension? 6 team playoffs if it makes a difference. Edit: team if you can't see the image in the quote (12 team .5 ppr) Aaron Rodgers Jordan Howard CJ Anderson Mike Evans Sammy Watkins Travis Kelce Doug Martin Tyrell Williams Derrick Henry John Brown Kenny Britt Samaje Perine Jonathan Williams Marlon Mack Butter Hole fucked around with this message at 16:58 on Aug 29, 2017 |
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Aug 29, 2017 16:48
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Doppelganger posted:I can use a first rounder to select a keeper, 10 team non-ppr. Should I pick Julio, Shady, or take my chances? @doppelganger - It's kind of a tossup IMO. I'd use the keeper pick unless you know your draft position/who other people are keeping. Probably on Julio, but either is a good choice. Sleeperbot is telling me Elliot might get his suspension pushed back to 2018. That's an auto-won league for our Elliot owner if true. He got Elliot at 3.3. I really hope it's not! Butter Hole fucked around with this message at 17:13 on Aug 29, 2017 |
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Aug 29, 2017 17:10
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Who should i keep at the bottom of my bench: Robbie Anderson Kennie Golladay Marlon Mack I know that it's just a crapshoot but I have nothing better to do in the preseason!
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Aug 30, 2017 18:20
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paternity suitor posted:I didn't love him until Edelman got hurt. Those targets have to go somewhere. Malcolm Mitchell--you heard it here first.
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Aug 31, 2017 21:51
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What an exciting game. My Tyreek Hill/Kareem Hunt team is looking like a juggernaut. I was particularly impressed with Hill. I know Hunt looked amazing, but Hill looked like Antonio Brown out there. He caught everything that came his way and was targeted like a true #1. I see why the Chiefs cut Maclin now. How are people feeling about Kelce? My team with him is looking not as strong, but I am still optimistic about his season. I think the Pats schemed to take him out of the game, and he still caught 5(?) balls. I think he's still on track for a big year. Wish I hadn't passed on Gillislee in so many leagues.
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Sep 8, 2017 15:53
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Beer4TheBeerGod posted:TEs are garbage anyway, and the Patriots explicitly focused on shutting down Kelce because he was a known threat. Now that it's established that the Chiefs have two other threats I suspect he'll get open a lot more, plus his use in the run game as a solid blocker means he will likely stay on the field forever. Gronk did even worse. I guess TE really is garbage. Your sheet values Kelce and Gronk pretty highly though! I think they're both going to be a lot better than they were last night for the rest of the year. I'm excited for all the "Brady's Done" hysteria that will surely arise after last night 
Butter Hole fucked around with this message at 16:40 on Sep 8, 2017 |
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Sep 8, 2017 16:34
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Doltos posted:Hill legit looks like a top 5 WR out there. I also consider Andy Reid a really really smart dude tm and he'll be sure to find ways to get Hill involved a lot. Yikes, if it's a standard redraft that's pretty absurdly early for those guys. Maybe not in hindsight. I got Hill in the 5th and Hunt in like the 11th before Ware got hurt (Ware in the 6th, glad I handcuffed!)
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Sep 8, 2017 20:37
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A guy in my dynasty league has D. Murray, Ajayi, K. Hunt, Evans, Julio, Keenan Allen, Graham, and Brady. I have no idea how we're supposed to compete with that. We have no contracts either, so unless I'm a bad person that just drops out because my team sucks I'm not sure what to do. Regretting joining a dynasty league.
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Sep 8, 2017 20:40
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Did anyone watch the Chicago game? I have Howard in one league and actually had Cohen on the bench. How are we thinking this impacts Howard's value? Looking at the box score It seems like Cohen was mostly catching passes, so I'm hoping Howard retains a decent floor. Probably going to be starting Howard and playing Cohen in my flex until Doug Martin gets back...should at least ensure I get the RB points in Chicago each week.
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Sep 11, 2017 15:35
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A decent set of games last night. Anderson and Cook look like bell cows, would have liked to see a touchdown from them though. YPC-wise I don't think they were THAT impressive, but they look like they're going to get a lot of volume, and with the gameflow I think NO/LA were stacking the box. Gordon looked pretty beastly. I may regret drafting Evans over him, but time will tell. I won this week with Evans on "Bye" so, so far so good. Is Kenny Britt droppable? From what I've read he looked pretty awful. Got my eye on Golladay.
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Sep 12, 2017 16:32
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IcePhoenix posted:5.7 ypc isn't impressive? No, it is. I didn't look at the stats at the end of the game for Cook, didn't realize they were that high. It was lower earlier in the game but I guess he busted off that long run, that probably nudged it up. He looked good for sure!
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Sep 12, 2017 16:41
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RVProfootballer posted:Re: Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen, I feel like I'm going a little crazy. Rotoworld blurb has, "Howard has already fallen into a clear-cut committee Cohen, and his fantasy value is in serious question as more than an RB2 going forward." Really?? This is one game, and a game in which the WR1 was knocked out at that. Am I the only one thinking this is massive overreaction? (I don't even have Howard anywhere, either, so isn't just wishful thinking) You're not crazy. Howard was never going to catch a lot of passes--his hands aren't good. Cohen won't get more than 3-5 rushes a week, but he will catch a poo poo ton of catches. I think Cohen fills the WR void in Chicago and Howard continues to be the bellcow in the run-game. Chicago needs to get them both on the field more since they're the only playmakers left on this offense. The other thing people are overlooking is that Cohen is like 5'6 and 180 lbs. No way that guy will be running between the tackles 20 times a game. Now might actually be a good time to buy-low on Howard. I do think both guys will have value moving forward (Cohen in PPR specifically) Butter Hole fucked around with this message at 22:26 on Sep 14, 2017 |
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Sep 14, 2017 22:18
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pubic works project posted:If I can swing Terrence West and Jamison Crowder for Jordan Howard, do I pull the trigger? Unless you really need the depth I'd do it. Honestly I don't really see how this is a question--Howard was a second round fantasy pick and scored 15 points last week. The looming threat of a committee is scary, but in my opinion unlikely. Plus, West is already on a committee, and I'm kinda out on the Washington offense. Crowder is a great player but it's gonna be hard to ever start him with confidence in fantasy.
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Sep 15, 2017 20:49
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Suave Fedora posted:I'm going to stake my claim on this not-really hot taek and welcome criticism from all enemies foreign and domestic. You are really tempting me. I really want to pick them up but I'd be dropping Carolina who gets the Bills this week. They will likely have a better week than Jacksonville, but if the Jags ball out again this week, there's no way I'll get them on waivers next week...
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Sep 15, 2017 20:58
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on the Jacksonville Jaguars being a D/ST to own that will remove streaming from your weekly waiver considerations.
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What TE do you guys like to replace Olsen in standard? ASJ Evan Engram Ben Watson Leaning Engram since he was pretty heavily featured last night, but a lot of fantasy nerds are creaming themselves over ASJ (again! Will they be right this time?)
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Sep 19, 2017 15:55
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Santheb posted:It's not like Cooper is on Brown, Evans, OBJ or Julio's level. Last year I had him in two leagues and it was maddening watching the Raiders throw it to 11 different people throughout the game and their penchant for throwing TDs to people not named Amari Cooper. I was arguing about Amari with my buddy on Saturday night. Told him Amari is over-hyped every year and that Crabtree is always better for a cheaper ADP. He didn't believe me. Lo and behold come Sunday...
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Sep 19, 2017 22:11
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I'm trying to work out a trade for Jordan Howard in HPPR dynasty--figure now is a decent time to buy low. My team: QB: Stafford Manning Winston WR: Emmanuel Sanders Allen Robinson Jarvis Landry Zay Jones Marvin Jones Rashard Higgins RB: Lamar Miller Dalvin Cook Matt Forte Buck Allen Kenneth Dixon CJ Procise Deandre Washington Jalen Richard TE: Reed Doyle J Thomas He wants Buck Allen. He floated Landry+Allen for Howard, which I'm not too sure about--Landry is kinda the cornerstone of my team. On the other hand, Allen is probably only good this year. Do I have the depth to make this trade? He kinda needs a QB as well, so I might try to offer something with that. He should be good at TE as he has Gronk, but we do have 2 flex spots... Dynasty gives me a headache. How did I draft this poo poo team?!
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Sep 20, 2017 16:55
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Alfalfa posted:I don't see you being able to spare a WR for him that's for sure. I would definitely be ok dumping Miller for him (actually over Allen) though for Dynasty. I agree with you here. Doubt he'll take Miller straight up though. Miller+Malcolm Mitchell? Miller+a pick? I'm in last as of today so any of my picks will be at the top of their round. Maybe I'm barking up the wrong tree here--maybe I should try to get a receiver from another owner for Miller instead. I wonder what under performing receiver he's worth...Brandon Cooks? TY Hilton? Aiming too high? Butter Hole fucked around with this message at 17:15 on Sep 20, 2017 |
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Sep 20, 2017 17:06
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I'm thinking about making a move for a WR in my .5 PPR redraft. My team: RBs: J Howard CJ Anderson Tarik Cohen Derrick Henry Doug Martin WR: Mike Evans Sammy Watkins Tyrell Williams Corey Davis Paul Richardson Golladay I'm thinking of trying to target Michael Thomas, Crabtree, or Diggs from the Demarco Murray owner. Would I be insane to offer him Henry for Diggs? I know Henry could be an RB1, but it's not a sure thing, and it would be nice to solidify my starting lineup. On the other hand I know you can never have too many RBs. ...should I try to move Howard instead?
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Sep 21, 2017 20:39
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RisqueBarber posted:Personally, I wouldn't trade Diggs for a backup RB. I might take CJ Anderson for him but I doubt you you want to give him up. I feel that, but a lot of people think Henry is more talented and is poised to take the job. I could probably move CJA and survive until Martin comes back but that feels risky, especially if Bradford is really hurt. I'm probably undervaluing Diggs because I've never been a big believer in him, just starting to worry about Watkins a bit. hmm. Maybe I'll shop around.
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Sep 21, 2017 20:49
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RisqueBarber posted:Honestly, I would hold tight if you're 2-0 or 1-1 and scoring decent points. You have great depth at both positions and I think Sammy Watkins will get better as the season goes on. I'm 2-0. You're probably right, and I can probably fill WR2 with someone off my bench or off waivers as the season goes on. I'd be kicking myself if Henry gets the job somehow and then one of my guys gets hurt. I may try to float something if Murray is really out though. Appreciate the input! 
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Sep 21, 2017 21:01
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RisqueBarber posted:Hopefully Watkins doesn't have a concussion I hope he's ok. He's got a long time to recover before next game though. Feeling pretty good about standing pat right now!
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Sep 22, 2017 14:49
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Gobias Ind. posted:Fuuuuck Corey Clement time??? Please, my dynasty team needs this...
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Sep 25, 2017 15:56
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In Dynasty I sent out a bunch of trade offers last week. Sunday Morning I woke up to this counter-offer: My: Buck Allen 2018 3rd rounder His: TY Hilton ..... 
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Sep 26, 2017 17:32
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RCarr posted:That's a really great offer for you, or am I missing something? no you're not, I mashed accept. I think my league mates are pissed. My team still sucks but at least it's heading in the right direction!
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Sep 26, 2017 17:35
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