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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is:
This poll is closed.
Labour 907 49.92%
Theresa May Team (Conservative) 48 2.64%
Liberal Democrats 31 1.71%
UKIP 13 0.72%
Plaid Cymru 25 1.38%
Green 22 1.21%
Scottish Socialist Party 12 0.66%
Scottish Conservative Party 1 0.06%
Scottish National Party 59 3.25%
Some Kind of Irish Unionist 4 0.22%
Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian 3 0.17%
Some Kind of Irish Nationalist 36 1.98%
Misc. Far Left Trots 35 1.93%
Misc. Far Right Fash 8 0.44%
Monster Raving Loony 49 2.70%
Space Navies Party 39 2.15%
Independent / Single Issue 2 0.11%
Can't Vote 188 10.35%
Won't Vote 8 0.44%
Spoiled Ballot 15 0.83%
Pissflaps 312 17.17%
Total: 1817 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Did anyone mention that Corbyn is now seen as the better PM in London? And Labour are on track to win seats from the Tories in both London and Wales.

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/870246512554651648

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jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Jesus Farron is not doing well here. He seems to just be waiting for Neil to start talking so he can speak over him with another inane comment.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

It makes me very happy every time BBC news brings up yesterday's debate and the only thing they have to talk about is Theresa May's absence.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Tesseraction posted:

Neil was loving brutal and Farron was pathetic. The #LibDemFightback was hilariously Hindenberg.

Neil's last question was literally just "why has your campaign gone so badly?" but Farron kept talking over him so he kept asking the question while Farron tried to be louder and then Neil just goes "you're trying to be a populist but you're not actually popular, that's why your campaign is doing so badly"

Watching people like Farron and May get interviewed really emphasises the fact that although Corbyn has become a lot more politically astute recently he still tries to answer the loving question. He may dodge obvious traps now but he's light years ahead of these prats.

I mean twice today May dodged the question of 'did you watch the debate?' It's such a direct question it just makes you look terrible.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

For anyone who missed the Corbyn/Starmer/Thornberry/Gardiner tag team today, you can watch it here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5n6vDftR4Rk

It's a good watch. Corbyn is on good form, and Thornberry and Gardiner are clearly having the time of their loving lives with this campaign. Starmer looks equal parts happy and like he hasn't quite convinced himself it's not all a dream yet.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Irony Be My Shield posted:

If the methodology is solid some will be wrong in Con favour, others in Lab favour. It should balance out to give a confidence interval for the overall result. It's an interesting approach, and one that I think it worth pursuing because as you've said national vote share is meaningless.

Yeah, the thing to remember with their model is that the 95% confidence intervals are absolutely massive, so taking the prediction and imagining it will be accurate to within a couple of seats is highly unlikely. I'm much more inclined to trust that the final result will be within the 95% bounds though.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Pissflaps posted:

You think the final seat count will be within 95% of what, exactly?

It's by no means certain, but I'm willing to believe the final result will fall within the 95% confidence interval of YouGov's predictions.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Firos posted:

Ed "Who cares" Miliband is loving great.

There's a distinct 'who cares' attitude to the campaign right now, and it seems to be working really well.

I mean Thornberry was sacked from Ed's shadow cabinet and forced to make an apology for a tweet The Sun took offence to. Today she told a journalist their question was stupid and yesterday she spontaneously gatecrashed the interview of a Tory cabinet minister. She's loving it.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

OwlFancier posted:

I'd probably describe it as hydrating you but also giving you salt poisoning. High salt intake will kill you even if you drink a lot of water with it, your body has a maximum salinity it can tolerate before the sodium just fucks up your other functions too much.

It's all about whether the liquid you're taking in is saltier than the saltiest urine your kidneys can produce. If it is, every millilitre you drink will result in you producing more than a millilitre of urine, and you'll dehydrate. If it's less salty than the urine your kidneys can produce then you can excrete the salt and hang on to some of the water, and it will hydrate you.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Gonzo McFee posted:

https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/870383818942935040

YouGov need to stop phoning the landline telephone numbers of all those fake Twitter accounts.

I've been really shocked by the relatively tame front pages we've seen for the last few days. I was sure we'd be seeing full-throated personal attacks on Corbyn from drat near every mainstream newspaper, but instead it's just... this. It's almost like they've been told the personal attacks aren't working and now they're just directionless.

In other news, anyone watching Barry Gardiner vs. David Davis on Question Time tonight? Should be a good one, Davis is one of the best presented Tories at the moment but Gardiner has been absolutely crushing it recently.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

What's with the explosion of nerd glasses on QT?

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

OwlFancier posted:

The only boring torpedo is a liquorice one.



Oh really?

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Tough crowd on QT tonight. People actually booing the idea of more spending on public services.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Pissflaps posted:

Gardiner seemed to get in a muddle on Brexit.

Putting Gardiner and Davis together seems to be a recipe for a very dry debate with both of them trying to make very specific points. It doesn't help that actually their positions aren't that different.

EDIT: gently caress off Nick, going after the Labour party by agreeing 100% with the Tories that we must never tax the rich.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Jesus Clegg. "Most politicians are not amoral beings". Just join the Tory party already.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Akala on This Week totally walking all over Ed Balls and Michael Gove.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Prince John posted:

I thought this was an interesting question (and answer), because I don't think we're seeing Corbyn with support from the PLP* in this campaign. With the exception of Miliband, I can't think of a single Labour heavy-hitter whose been actively supporting this national campaign - it's been either deafening silence (the vast majority) or unhelpful interventions from a minority - and of course, some continuing leaks. Am I missing something?

Edit: *For PLP read "part of the PLP while not being an explicit Corbyn supporter".
vv I have modified my definition accordingly. :) But no, I wouldn't regard Diane Abbott as a big political hitter for the record. I guess as well as Joe Smith the average MP in the centre of the party, I'm more specifically referring to what the press might call 'Labour party grandees' who can get exposure in the media due to their public profile.

There's been a distinct lack of public appearances from what most of the media would regard as the big names of the Labour party. I know I've seen virtually nothing from people like Hilary Benn, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall, Chuka Umunna, Stephen Kinnock etc. Even the less well known names like Dan Jarvis, Heidi Alexander or Jess Phillips have been notable absences.

You can almost explain it by saying they're just back-bench MPs now, but the counter-argument is that never stopped them seeking publicity before. I think their sudden disappearance is all part of the plan to 'let Corbyn fail on his own' and 'own the election result'. Of course it seems to have backfired, since he's much more popular without one of those pricks showing up on Peston every week to contradict everything he's said.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Oberleutnant posted:

Remember a couple of years ago when Google Glass with the built-in cameras were a big deal for a minute? There was at least one story that was doing the rounds of a woman working as a waitress who felt really uncomfortable when some fedora wearing creep was recording her while she was working.
Obviously Google Glass didn't last, but wearable tech is still a big thing, and people are already voyeuristic and narcissistic enought to be livestreaming everything, all of them time, and for it to have an audience. All it's going to take is a few more years - maybe a decade - of tech development and I think we're going to start seeing cheap and discreet wearable cameras all over the place, livestreaming poo poo constantly, and it's going to be a massive issue for personal privacy.

As an amateur photographer I always get a little bit worried when people say that being photographed/filmed while out in public is a violation of your personal privacy. If you were going to do something about it, where do you draw the line between taking snapshots that happen to contain members of the public and unacceptable creeping on people?

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Oberleutnant posted:

I think there's already a fairly obvious distinction between taking photos in public, and deliberately photographing specific people. It becomes even clearer when the division is between obviously having a camera setup because you're an amateur photographer (or even a professional one), and the kind of intrusive secret and semi-secret recording of specific individuals.

There's plenty of times you might want to take a picture of a specific individual though. Maybe they have an interesting look, or are doing something interesting, or they just compose a shot nicely. At the moment the assumption is that if you're out in public for everyone to see then you don't have a presumption of privacy. Is that wrong in your opinion?

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Oberleutnant posted:

I had two personal experiences of this, and they're both goony as gently caress so y'all can get a good laugh out of it.

A couple of years ago I was taking my lunch at work, sitting out in the shade, and just kind of zoned out. At about 5pm I was walking out the building and a woman came up obviously surprised to see me, and said that earlier when looking around with her husband (who she said was a photographer) they had seen me at lunch and he'd taken a picture. The woman showed me the pic on her husband's phone and it was actually a nice and flattering photo. I got them to email it to me and it's still my facebook profile picture.

The second time I was sat on a train going home, some random woman gets on, sits opposite, keeps glancing surreptitiously at me and eventually tried to take a sneaky photo with her camera phone. I (and everybody else nearby) knew this because the shutter noise went off and she immediately looked super embarrassed.

Neither of those people asked permission, but those two situations felt different for me somehow. The second felt much more intrusive, perhaps because it was deliberately secretive (or an attempt at being so) and felt kind of pervy. The first one was just some person taking an interesting photo.

So there's my humblebrag about how I'm just SO FREAKING HOT that random people take pictures of me in public, which I expect to re-read imminently on the goons.txt twitter.

I know what you mean. I'd be way more comfortable taking a picture of a random stranger with my DSLR than with my phone, simply because it's more obvious what you're doing. I don't think you should have to ask permission to photograph someone in a public place, but I also think you shouldn't deliberately do it surreptitiously.

Trin Tragula posted:

The line is at the exact moment when you start behaving like a creep.

You may also wish to consider that, especially in the era of digital photography, some people have a very good reason for not wanting their photo taken by God-knows-who, to have God-knows-what done with it. Delete the photo, don't be that one arse who gets up on a soapbox and insists on his right to take photos in a public place. You're not HCB and you're not going to win a Pulitzer with it.

I've heard this argument a few times, but no-one has ever adequately explained what kind of 'who-knows-what' someone could do with a photograph of you. A picture taken in public rather than one taken privately, obviously.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Trin Tragula posted:

The specific example I was thinking of is that I know someone who has a court order that prohibits anyone from taking photographs or video of them without their consent. This is to protect them from being found by a murderously abusive partner. Lots of people have abusive exes who could and would use a photo of them in a particular place at a particular time as a starting point for tracking them down.

I guess I can understand this, although to me it still seems like trying to legislate against someone recognising you in a public place. Having someone take a picture of you that then goes on to become famous has got to be a lower risk than, for example, wandering into the background of a live news broadcast.

Oberleutnant posted:

This reminds me of another personal incident.

I used to know a woman who's an artist, and years ago she was working in a care home for the elderly while studying at university. While there one day she saw one of the residents who had just learned that her husband had died. This girl's first instinct was to take a photo, which I've seen. It shows a little old lady weeping, with her face mostly covered by her hands. The artist didn't ask permission before taking the shot.

Today this woman is a very successful artist who lectures at major universities and has had pretty big exhibitions in the UK, China, Germany, the USA, and elsewhere. The photo she took is a powerful and moving one. But I can't help feeling that that the act of taking it was a callous and intrusive breach of privacy for no meaningful purpose. The photo didn't become famous, and for all I know only a handful of people ever saw it. I'm not sure it ought to have been taken at all. Would it have been better if it had become famous? Is art a self-justifying thing? What defines it?

Yeah, I don't think that's ethical purely because the care home was where the woman lived. You definitely do have an expectation of privacy at home, and that includes from people who may be visiting or visiting people you live with.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

It's all just white noise so far. Nothing to damage her reputation, nothing to improve it.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

This audience is a bit pathetic. Someone needs to actually stick the boot in.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Well this has been a wash, mainly thanks to a truly browbeaten audience. Looks like the best Jezza can hope for is a draw, at least in terms of media coverage.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Let's hope Corbs is on top form.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Not another small business owner. Same answer as before please Corbyn.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Everyone who tries an attack question on Corbyn ends up looking seriously rattled when he comes back with an actual answer.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

HOW ARE YOU GOING TO STOP THEM JEREMY?

Not with Trident for sure, since it's entirely a retaliatory weapon.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

namesake posted:

Damage is loving done. Bunch of paranoid death fetishists going to growl about how May would have the guts to order a strike from her secret bunker while they're annihilated in nuclear fire and vote for her.

Meh, I don't think it's a mortal wound. He got bogged down, it's surprising he didn't have a better answer for it and the right-wing press will go nuts, but everyone already knows Corbyn's stance on nukes.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Jeez people here are easily depressed. It was a bad moment, but he didn't poo poo himself on stage. Like the IRA, it's an issue that's already priced in to this election.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

The audience is one-third Tory and they all know the IRA and Trident are the two things to press Corbyn on. It's not a huge surprise.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

goddamnedtwisto posted:

So that facial hair is apparently worthy of being called on twice.

At least he asked an easy question.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

forkboy84 posted:

Yeah, but he already needed a flawless performance & May loving up to have even a slim chance of winning. Momentum is a funny thing & one iffy performance could be enough to make people who were wavering stop wavering & go back to voting for the Nuclear Armageddon Party, coz it's a strong & stable pair of hands hovering over the red button.

It's shite, but he's coming from so far behind, & FPTP is such a trashfire system, that you were looking at a miracle to get a Labour majority, but even a Labour minority is a seriously slim chance. And this little is enough to make sure we're not getting that unfortunately.


They'd just call him a liar because we all know his stance on using nukes. It's a no-win question.

You have to think of the headlines that can result from this. 'Corbyn refuses to answer question on nukes' isn't really going to change many minds. If that was people's top priority they already know he's not on the same page as them.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Regarde Aduck posted:

So was it just a poo poo audience that kept hammering on about the same things or was Corbyn answering badly? Or both?

Both. He got asked about nukes twice from an audience member, then Dimbleby pressed him on it about three times, then a totally different audience member asked the same question again. It dominated quite a lot of the debate.

He didn't have a good answer though, and that's pretty poor considering how likely it was to come up. He should have just said that discussing the circumstances in which the deterrent would be used weakens the deterrent, and just kept repeating that.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

JOHNSON COCKSLAP posted:

lol if you think those three guys who wanted child murder would've accepted that.

The wouldn't, but at least it's a clear line and it's an honest reason for not answering the question.

Genuinely this issue isn't top in the minds of most of the electorate. It's much more about appearing confident and prime ministerial when you answer.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Regarde Aduck posted:

My guess is that this won't change much. Anyone that keen to start firing nukes was never going to vote for Corbyn. These were not swing voters and their message won't appeal to swing voters. More important was how Corbyn looked when answering. How obvious was it that he was bumbling?

His worst moment was when an audience member made yet another comment about nukes, and Corbyn was just silent for a second looking nervous. Then Dimbleby asked him if he wanted to come back on the point and he said 'no'. Some in the audience laughed.

It picked up from there. It was embarrassing, and certainly a lost opportunity, but not something that's going to do serious harm.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

BBC News interviews 'small business owner' who asked Corbyn about the minimum wage. Turns out he's a Tory activist. Shocker, he thinks Corbyn did badly and May was Jesus incarnate.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

BBC news interviewing audience members, including the two who asked Corbyn about nukes and antisemitism, and apparently no-one has changed their mind as a result of the debate. All undecided voters remain undecided.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Snipee posted:

This is hope. At least it doesn't seem like the nuke question hurt him.

Broadcasters are under election obligations at the moment, which broadly means every time they show Corbyn stumbling over nukes they have to show May getting barracked by a nurse. More people care about nurses than nukes, and most (not all) of the highlights of Jeremy talking about nukes don't sound too bad. It was the section as a whole that was most embarrassing.

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jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Seems like May was counting on 'I had the balls to call an election' being the shocking highlight of her interview.

Except the questioner shouted over it so it doesn't make a good clip because you can barely hear her.

Legend.

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