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Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Hey folks, I am Mooseontheloose and I have been working in American politics and policy for 8 years now. I had done these threads for a few years and I took last year off but I figured what's been going on nationally, maybe I should revive this thread.

Some background: I have been on Senate, House, city council, and state house campaigns in various roles for Democrats. Currently, I am getting my policy degree and have been on the official side of a politician's office. I am by no means an expert or David Axelrod but I have some knowledge on this whole sector. I am not the end all or be all of this subject and my word should be taken with grains of salt.

Some questions off the bat:

1. Is politics/policy worth it?
Given the election of President Trump it is easy to be disheartened about the American system and politics and policy. But I am a true believer in one sense, I truly believe that small movements can grow into bigger ones and create positive change. It's not easy, it's not always fun, but it's worth it when you are able to achieve in a small amount of success. Policy is especially worth it to study and learn. Learning how to work/change the system is CRITICAL in passing any policy and understanding WHY policy is put in place gives amazing context for why certain thing are the way they are.

2. Seriously though....look at 2017
Yaaaah. I know. There is hope to be had though. I think the election of President Trump awoke a lot of millennials that you actually have to show up and there are some signs that Gen X and Millennials are way more liberal than boomers. And again, the system only works if we get more people to participate. Inaction only benefits those in power and especially conservative movements. They bank on your apathy.

3. Should I join a BIG SENATE RACE vs. tiny state house/city council race?
So big races you get to meet a lot of people quickly and if you work hard you meet a lot of good staff people who know other people. The issue is that you most likely have to volunteer to even have a shot of being noticed or to meet enough people to make it worth it. Additionally, jobs are tough to come by unless you are in the ground floor. Smaller races allow you to have more control and make a name for yourself quickly but limits the amount of people who notice your work. You are more likely to get a job because the pool of people is smaller and should this person go some place, you are on the ground floor. Also, you have a good idea of operations.

4. I want to be the next Josh Lyman/Olivia Pope/fictional operative right away...
Ok. Full stop unless you are Bush Clinton Kennedy the VII, these jobs are rare and hard to get to and even those who have connections are thrown into the minor leagues to make sure they are ready. You either have to eat/breathe/sleep politics AND participate on national level (meaning nationally recognized not Presidential) fairly young. It's super hard to skip steps in politics and while there are stories here and there about some 25 year old wunderkin, look at the last few Presidents and their inner circles. Fairly older people, who have been around for awhile. Don't expect quick success, be surprised when you achieve it.

5. Where can I find campaign jobs?
Jobsthatareleft, Mantos List, HillZoo are your best bets. Find local activists groups or consultants, send in your resume. Also, both parties (Democrats/Republicans) congressional and senate election committees have resume banks.

6. Where can I find policy jobs?
I wish I knew, if you can show me let me know!

7. I am a Republican/in the business can I contribute to this thread?
Please do!

8. Can you help me get a job?
It's hard to recommend randos on the internet. I am happy to talk about opportunities and I think it's best to talk over PM.

9. I AM GONNA FIND YOU AND RUIN YOUR CAREER
uh...Please don't doxx anyone in this thread. Politics is a EXTREMELY fickle business and exposing people on an internet forum because you disagree with them or hate politics could be really harmful to people's livelihoods. I know I take that risk posting here but I really believe in demystifying politics.

10. Lawn sings joke goes here.
Alternative titles for this thread: How I learned to hate lawn signs and their waste of resources.

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N. Senada
May 17, 2011

My kidneys are busted
what's your day-to-day like? Do you have a 9-5 arrangement or is it always crazy hours all the time?

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

N. Senada posted:

what's your day-to-day like? Do you have a 9-5 arrangement or is it always crazy hours all the time?

Right now, it's mostly 9 to 5 with the occasional local night time meeting to go to. The day is spent on the phone talking to people or writing letters. Obviously this depends on the district and what part of the district you work at and what type of community you work in. Your day to day is answering phones and doing constituent casework and meetings with local groups, local governments, activists, ect. Locally, you are unsticking bureaucratic issues for your constituents usually. While this sounds kinda boring, remember these local meetings are pretty invaluable to reelection because local groups give you an idea of what your constituents are concerned about and where you get your specialty areas.

Still, local TENDS to be quieter than DC. DC grind can be anywhere from 6 am to 9 pm or later depending on votes and committee hearings. August and the work weeks tend to be a reprieve from this schedule but still, it can grind you down.

For campaigns, you tend to start of as a 10 to 6 or 10 to 8 (with occasional late night meetings) but you could be doing 12 to 14 hour days 7 days the week closer to election day. These jobs are basically you in an office all day making phone calls.

Mooseontheloose fucked around with this message at 21:58 on Jan 5, 2018

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Bumping in case people missed this the first time.

Baronash
Feb 29, 2012

So what do you want to be called?
Maybe this is too broad of a question, but what does the 2 year timeline of a campaign worker look like? What exactly is happening from Election Day 2016 to Election Day 2018? Is there a campaign wind-down period? Are people relocating for special elections? That sort of thing.

fantastic in plastic
Jun 15, 2007

The Socialist Workers Party's newspaper proved to be a tough sell to downtown businessmen.
How is a political campaign typically organized?

What's some insider jargon or lingo that political operators use in the business?

Schiavona
Oct 8, 2008

Baronash posted:

Maybe this is too broad of a question, but what does the 2 year timeline of a campaign worker look like? What exactly is happening from Election Day 2016 to Election Day 2018? Is there a campaign wind-down period? Are people relocating for special elections? That sort of thing.

Post-election day to about a month after is never leaving the house as you get over whatever miserable disease you picked up the week before GOTV. After that it’s either (hopefully) a job with your candidate who won, or poverty and trying to find a job to hold you over until the next campaign season (or getting out of the game and finding a real job).

People relocate for specials and non-specials all the time. I moved 500 miles for a special congressional in ‘11. A large amount of national party staffers on both sides of the isle spent their early twenties moving around the country in a lovely car going from race to race.

I did campaigns from 2010 - 2012, government until 2016, and then left for the private sector.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


What do you think of this stinking turd of an op-ed? Is this the majority opinion among your colleagues as a whole?

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/25/opinion/politics-amateur-politicians.html

quote:

Politics Shouldn’t Be Like Open Mic Night

By JONATHAN RAUCH and RAYMOND J. LA RAJAJAN. 25, 2018

The number of Democrats aiming to unseat Republican incumbents in the midterm elections in November is rewriting the record books. According to the Campaign Finance Institute, by last fall the Democrats were fielding about twice the number of challengers as Republicans managed in 2009, the height of the Tea Party insurgency. In Wisconsin, 17 Democrats have filed papers to challenge Gov. Scott Walker; eight are running in Iowa’s open governor’s race.

More candidates, more activism, more enthusiasm: What’s not to like? The civic-spiritedness of many citizens who are engaging in electoral politics for the first time is impressive.

Another aspect of this flood of candidates, however, is reason for concern. In a recent study for the Brookings Institution, we took a close look at the post-Trump mobilization and found it to be a potentially transformative step toward the amateurization of American politics — a trend that should trouble people who worry about political polarization and government dysfunction.

Analysts and reformers obsess over who sends money into politics. Far more important, however, is who sends candidates. If reasonable candidates are lacking, then voters cannot make reasonable choices. For most of the country’s history, recruiting and vetting candidates was the job of political professionals: elected officials, party grandees and core constituencies such as unions and business organizations.

Even after candidate selection moved from smoke-filled rooms to primary elections, careerists held influence by means of what became known as the invisible primary, in which candidates contended for the support of party bigwigs and donors.
Continue reading the main story

The invisible primary had definite drawbacks — it overlooked too many qualified women, for example — but it also performed the single most essential function in politics: weeding out office seekers who are incompetent, extreme or sociopathic. Nothing worried the founders more than how to protect democracy from those with “talents for low intrigue and the little arts of popularity,” as Alexander Hamilton wrote in The Federalist Papers.

The invisible primary still happens, and it still matters, but there are many ways to circumvent it. Political aspirants have gained independent access to publicity (Donald Trump’s tweeting), money (Senator Bernie Sanders’s small-donor base) and campaign talent (a sprawling industry of consultants).

Outside groups learned that they, too, could bypass party gatekeepers. On the right, the Tea Party and other insurgent conservative groups discovered they could pull incumbent Republican members of Congress to the right by threatening them with primary challenges. Business groups and establishment Republicans fought back by recruiting and backing primary candidates of their own.

The left has been slower to build independent candidate pipelines, but it is now making up for lost time. Run for Something, Brand New Congress, Indivisible, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, Sister District, Swing Left and We Will Replace You are just a few of the new progressive-leaning groups recruiting candidates. Older groups have turbocharged their own efforts. Emily’s List, which recruits and backs female Democrats who favor abortions rights, says it has signed up more than 30,000 potential candidates.

The groups scout for military veterans, Sandersistas and others. But we found that what they generally do not scout for is competence at governing. In fact, many shy away from experience in government, on the theory that careerists are impure and inauthentic. As a representative of Justice Democrats, a group organized by former Sanders supporters, told us, “We don’t want career politicians, period.”

Although winning public office will never be easy, the proliferation of candidate pipelines is already making it easier for aspirants to run — and for groups to grow their own politicians. As a political consultant told us: “Access has been both demystified and democratized. People who used to think there’s no use running, because they would never win or it’s too big an unknown, are much less cowed by those factors.” Another consultant made the point more piquantly: “It’s become like a clown car. Everyone thinks they’re qualified and everyone jumps in.”

When we surveyed political consultants, they told us, by wide margins, that candidates in primary races are becoming more ideological and more inexperienced. Other research finds signs of a downward spiral. Extreme candidates heighten polarization in politics and paralysis in Congress, discouraging moderates and pragmatists (who reflect the preferences of most Americans) from entering politics.

Progressive activists we spoke with said they seek not just to influence policy but also to broaden the very concept of political viability. Though the goal is laudable, inexperience can compound the chaos that is already giving government a bad name. Even a handful of political renegades can have a crippling effect on a legislative body, which is one reason Mitch McConnell, the Senate majority leader, was desperate to keep Roy Moore of Alabama out of the Senate.

To be effective at their jobs, politicians need know-how, connections and I.O.U.s, which take years to accumulate. President Trump lacked all of those assets, so it is no surprise he has had trouble governing. In Congress and state legislatures, frustrated leaders find themselves saddled with anyone and everyone who prevails in low-turnout primaries, no matter how nutty or disruptive.

If governing ability and candidate quality matter, and if special interests and purist ideologues are not to become the leading suppliers of our politicians, it is essential that parties and professionals maintain a prominent role in recruiting and screening candidates — alongside, not instead of, voters. By virtue of their insider status, they have a long-term interest in having parties govern responsibly.

Alas, reformers have been pushing to marginalize professionals still further. In the Democratic Party, so-called superdelegates — elected officials and party leaders empowered to vote as they wish at the presidential convention — will not and almost certainly cannot reject a popular victor, but they do encourage candidates to seek the advice and support of people they will be working with if elected. Reducing their role, as progressives have successfully campaigned to do through the Unity Reform Commission (created by the Democratic National Committee to examine the party’s nominating process), may appeal to the public’s populist instincts, but it is shortsighted for those who care about effective government.

Maintaining a competent, responsive political class requires vetting candidates through both popular and professional filters. Neither works well without the other. Both parties stand to benefit from recruiting more broadly, and, up to a point, amateurism can refresh politics.

But when the country finds itself taking seriously the possibility of a presidential contest between Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey, the cult of amateurism needs rethinking.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

quote:

How is a political campaign typically organized?

What's some insider jargon or lingo that political operators use in the business?

Candidate is obviously at the top of the chart but taking that aside.

Managers and Consultants

Campaign Manager - runs the day to the day of the campaign, staffs campaign, decides how to spend campaign funds, executes the strategy. Develops the strategy with...

Consultants - they help with polling, strategy, creating mailers, creating ads, opposition research.

directors

Finance Director - Responsible for creating and executing fundraisers and keeping up relations with high level donors. Creates the fundraising schedule.

Press/Communications Director - Responsible for press strategy, communication strategy, prepping the candidate for debates, creating talking points for you and against the other person.

Field Director - Responsible for executing voter contact plans, creating a voter contact plan, creating phone banks/door knock activities.

Assistants and Organizers

Finance Assistant - Support staff for finance director. In the room to make sure the candidate is making their finance calls, chasing down finance leads.

Press/Comm Assistant - Support for press director, drafts press releases, finds clips on the other candidate

Field Organizer - Runs the campaigns offices, makes volunteer calls, runs phone banks, canvasses, and visibility.

This is probably the most basic structure and all positions fit into these boxes, mostly.

Lingo

E-Day: Election Day
GOTV: Get out the vote
Whacktivists: Far out activists who don't want to do anything to help
Tick-Tock: A 24 hour plan for a candidate on particular packed days.
Oppo Research: Opposition Research


Baronash posted:

Maybe this is too broad of a question, but what does the 2 year timeline of a campaign worker look like? What exactly is happening from Election Day 2016 to Election Day 2018? Is there a campaign wind-down period? Are people relocating for special elections? That sort of thing.

Campaigns are rarely fully staffed for 2 to 6 years with one exception, fundraising which is typically done all year. Your consultants and key staff are keeping track of things in district and keeping tabs on the feel of the voters/district. Maybe if you are concerned about what you are seeing, you would do a poll in the fall or early 2018 to get an idea of where you are.

Typically, I would say campaigns are starting to form now. So, what type of campaign do you want to do, what opponents do you have, what do you have to do to get on the ballot, where to look to hire. This is mostly done with the consultants and the candidate and maybe some high level staff.

Campaign managers for national targeted and close campaigns are hired mid to late winter 2018 maybe late 2017. Fundraising staff is already in place if you are established, winter 2017. Press and field are probably hired around the some time. Spring of 2018 will be used to build volunteer capacity and work with activists and local party establishment to generate enthusiasm. Everything is essentially building to fall of 2018 where you make ID calls and then go into E-Day 2018.

Mooseontheloose fucked around with this message at 15:51 on Feb 8, 2018

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

icantfindaname posted:

What do you think of this stinking turd of an op-ed? Is this the majority opinion among your colleagues as a whole?

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/25/opinion/politics-amateur-politicians.html

It seems a bit all over the place and I would say that it's complicated. I think people should run, especially if there are open seats and we should encourage people to get involved. Primaries however, are frustrating for established candidates and while it is easy to say there is nothing to worry about if you have been good to your activists, it can waste your resources for a tougher campaign coming up. Plus, divides between primaried candidate can discourage people from working. Also, while new people bring new ideas, there is a certain type of new activist who wants everything now and won't look at broader context of a situation.

The only real kinda kernel truth here, for me personally, is that Hillary Clinton was ostensibly punished for doing her job correctly from people who were nascent into the national level politics. If you don't like her or her policies, fine but to come in and tell her that all her hard work made her unqualified for the job is a tough pill to swallow. She worked hard to have relationships with people in the party, she played the game, and then people decided that the rules are dumb and she was awful by playing by the rules .

Does this answer the question at all?

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Mooseontheloose posted:

It seems a bit all over the place and I would say that it's complicated. I think people should run, especially if there are open seats and we should encourage people to get involved. Primaries however, are frustrating for established candidates and while it is easy to say there is nothing to worry about if you have been good to your activists, it can waste your resources for a tougher campaign coming up. Plus, divides between primaried candidate can discourage people from working. Also, while new people bring new ideas, there is a certain type of new activist who wants everything now and won't look at broader context of a situation.

The only real kinda kernel truth here, for me personally, is that Hillary Clinton was ostensibly punished for doing her job correctly from people who were nascent into the national level politics. If you don't like her or her policies, fine but to come in and tell her that all her hard work made her unqualified for the job is a tough pill to swallow. She worked hard to have relationships with people in the party, she played the game, and then people decided that the rules are dumb and she was awful by playing by the rules .

Does this answer the question at all?

It is a much more reasonable answer than the column at least, yes

Kellsterik
Mar 30, 2012
About lawn signs: there were anecdotes going around during the 2016 postmortem about interested volunteers going to Clinton campaign offices asking for signs, and being turned away because they didn't bother to prepare any, and this is portrayed as a cautionary tale about data-driven campaigns. I think the professional consensus is that things like signs are a waste of resources, but do you think that not providing them can deflate interest?

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Kellsterik posted:

About lawn signs: there were anecdotes going around during the 2016 postmortem about interested volunteers going to Clinton campaign offices asking for signs, and being turned away because they didn't bother to prepare any, and this is portrayed as a cautionary tale about data-driven campaigns. I think the professional consensus is that things like signs are a waste of resources, but do you think that not providing them can deflate interest?

The problem with lawn signs is that the suck so much time from staff to gain so very little. Having a dedicated staffer to lawn signs means that they are not contacting voters. Lawn signs are only good for people who will do ABSOLUTELY not do anything else and having staff time or even volunteer time dedicated to getting signs out is usually a waste of resources. Also, at some point signs are getting stolen or its a week or two out and the time and money it will take too much time to produce them, find a person to drop them off, and then have their time used to put them in the ground or drive around a district.

I think at some point, people just need to be realistic about time and money. I don't think lawn signs can deflate interest because usually the people complaining have come in last second. I did a campaign where we had the least amount of lawn signs and came in 1st by a lot.

buglord
Jul 31, 2010

Cheating at a raffle? I sentence you to 1 year in jail! No! Two years! Three! Four! Five years! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah!

Buglord
Do phone banks/door knocks work? Whats the goal of them? Is it to plant a seed for an upcoming election or are doorknockers/ callers generally striving to get a "political sale"? I imagine its a numbers game? I don't know anyone who likes being solicited with political actions such as these. But if its been going forever, it has to work?

e: also, im curious: what happens when a door knocker gets a militant supporter of the opposition? any notable stories there? Maybe im an overly cynical millennial, but it seems incredibly unlikely that someone will change their position, on the spot, after hearing convincing arguments. It seems much more likely that in the rare event that they decide to, they do it privately as to not lose face.

e2: less CSPAM'y question: any unexpected lesson or experience you've gained from being in this field for 8 years? Doesn't have to be political, just something you learned which you didn't anticipate going in.

buglord fucked around with this message at 00:42 on Feb 13, 2018

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

buglord posted:

Do phone banks/door knocks work? Whats the goal of them? Is it to plant a seed for an upcoming election or are doorknockers/ callers generally striving to get a "political sale"? I imagine its a numbers game? I don't know anyone who likes being solicited with political actions such as these. But if its been going forever, it has to work?

e: also, im curious: what happens when a door knocker gets a militant supporter of the opposition? any notable stories there? Maybe im an overly cynical millennial, but it seems incredibly unlikely that someone will change their position, on the spot, after hearing convincing arguments. It seems much more likely that in the rare event that they decide to, they do it privately as to not lose face.

e2: less CSPAM'y question: any unexpected lesson or experience you've gained from being in this field for 8 years? Doesn't have to be political, just something you learned which you didn't anticipate going in.

They do and there are various studies on the effect on ground campaigns. The most basic analysis of field is this: You are reminding people who are likely to vote for you to come out and vote and you are trying to target people who you think will vote for you and convince them to come out. I am not sure if this is true but we are told someone is 10x more likely to vote for you if they get a door knock, 4x if they get a phone call. On top of that you have mailers and other methods of out reach (dear friend cards, ads, ect) so that people are so flooded with your stuff they have no choice but to remember to vote for you.

Your walks packets should rarely have militant supporters for the opposition. I know targeting is a dirty word because its a connotation of triangulation. However, time is a factor in elections and wasting time with people who can't be convinced is inefficient. So normally, depending on how you do targeting might include democrats who are spotty voters, unaffiliated voters who have certain markers to vote for your candidate and who vote, and spotty voters who maybe interested in voting this year. When you are targeting that many people eventually someone will hate you. Your best strategy in this instance is to be nice, let them rant and move on and not engage and any good field organizer or director will train people to do just that.

As for lessons learned the one that came to mind is that politicians are people too. Far too often people think of politicians as these inaccessible people who are disconnected from their humanity and I have rarely found that to be the case.

Stringent
Dec 22, 2004


image text goes here

Mooseontheloose posted:

The only real kinda kernel truth here, for me personally, is that Hillary Clinton was ostensibly punished for doing her job correctly from people who were nascent into the national level politics. If you don't like her or her policies, fine but to come in and tell her that all her hard work made her unqualified for the job is a tough pill to swallow. She worked hard to have relationships with people in the party, she played the game, and then people decided that the rules are dumb and she was awful by playing by the rules.

Going by this answer I'm guessing you've probably spent some time thinking about this next one.

What value is there in working hard to have relationships with people in the party and playing the game when that approach has, to all appearances, resulted in an historically low number of offices held by Democrats at both the state and federal levels, the most prominent of which is now held by someone nascent at any level of politics, who has worked hard to alienate people within his party and to emphatically not play the game?

Are the professional campaign workers in the party just writing this off to the reactionary cycle we've found ourselves in where we shift from GOP back to Dem and vice versa every Presidential cycle, or are they reexamining some of their approaches to things?

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Stringent posted:

Going by this answer I'm guessing you've probably spent some time thinking about this next one.

What value is there in working hard to have relationships with people in the party and playing the game when that approach has, to all appearances, resulted in an historically low number of offices held by Democrats at both the state and federal levels, the most prominent of which is now held by someone nascent at any level of politics, who has worked hard to alienate people within his party and to emphatically not play the game?

Are the professional campaign workers in the party just writing this off to the reactionary cycle we've found ourselves in where we shift from GOP back to Dem and vice versa every Presidential cycle, or are they reexamining some of their approaches to things?

First, Republican candidates tend to be people who have played the game at least somewhat. Last election seems to be a complete flip on expectation and I think we can admit there is some latent sexism in the United States that manifest itself during the election. And yes, there are issues with the Democratic party and especially around bringing in new members. However, I don't think people realized how hard it is to get to a high level in politics without some game playing. To your final point, yes trump was completely new and outside of politics and look at it what it got us. Someone who has no clue as to what he is doing. He doesn't know about the politics, he doesn't care about the policy, and is essentially trying to grift his way out.

I am not sure if campaign workers see it that way. But what I will say is that in 2010 it was harder to get people to work for Democrats because Obama wasn't at the top of the ticket and people didn't want to work. The ACA, while not perfect, essentially cost 60 Democrats their jobs because volunteers were hard to come by and it felt like the left abandoned some candidates for purity tests. My hope is that the demographic shift that is coming that people stay more engaged than they have in the past. I do think there will be more of an idea to keep engaging more but we'll see.

buglord
Jul 31, 2010

Cheating at a raffle? I sentence you to 1 year in jail! No! Two years! Three! Four! Five years! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah!

Buglord
How does the morale of the campaign workers fluctuate with news? I imagine there were some very strong emotions at the close of November 2016. Did anything come of it long term? Maybe an explosion of new volunteers, or more donations that pour in with each monthly fiasco the Trump admin creates? I see D&D and C-SPAM go from elated to severely morose depending on the latest political developments. I imagine people in your group are a bit more centered, having rode political waves for quite some time? I assume the public is more receptive of campaigning efforts when dems are out of power?

I want to assume its currently Easy Mode because people who were apathetic during the Obama years are now mobilized. But this is all just guessing!

Stringent
Dec 22, 2004


image text goes here

Mooseontheloose posted:

However, I don't think people realized how hard it is to get to a high level in politics without some game playing.

I know I don't understand the difficulties of getting to a high level in politics, could you explain some of the nuts and bolts of what goes on there?

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

buglord posted:

How does the morale of the campaign workers fluctuate with news? I imagine there were some very strong emotions at the close of November 2016. Did anything come of it long term? Maybe an explosion of new volunteers, or more donations that pour in with each monthly fiasco the Trump admin creates? I see D&D and C-SPAM go from elated to severely morose depending on the latest political developments. I imagine people in your group are a bit more centered, having rode political waves for quite some time? I assume the public is more receptive of campaigning efforts when dems are out of power?

I want to assume its currently Easy Mode because people who were apathetic during the Obama years are now mobilized. But this is all just guessing!

Every minor victory is the greatest victory and every minor negative thing gets blown way out of proportion. A good campaign manager knows how to temper morale and can use these fluctuations to motivate more or creatively use it to get more money. Communication to staff is important in this case because if you see a poll that takes a 10 point swing, lower level staff might freak out without having been given context.When I ran a city council campaign all the numbers were on our side but some minor city council vote came in at the last second and created some negative buzz. I was worried that it may hurt the calculus but at some point the voters are going to make a decision and there isn't much you can do about it. So, yah we ride the wave like everyone else but you also see things that other people don't see or know that the media is trying to make things look close when that's not the case.

Also, NEVER ASSUME ITS EASY MODE. YOU ARE ALWAYS LOSING BY 5-10 POINTS!
-All campaign staff ever

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Stringent posted:

I know I don't understand the difficulties of getting to a high level in politics, could you explain some of the nuts and bolts of what goes on there?

I don't know all the exact nuts and bolts but a lot of it relationship building of all sorts. You have to work with the party leaders and the rank and file, you have to build relationships with activist and other national level organizations. You have to at least try to advance legislation or policy for some of the base or national level. And you have to have connection to some sort of fundraisers.

At least, that's my interpretation.

Josef bugman
Nov 17, 2011

Pictured: Poster prepares to celebrate Holy Communion (probablY)

This avatar made possible by a gift from the Religionthread Posters Relief Fund

Mooseontheloose posted:

The only real kinda kernel truth here, for me personally, is that Hillary Clinton was ostensibly punished for doing her job correctly from people who were nascent into the national level politics. If you don't like her or her policies, fine but to come in and tell her that all her hard work made her unqualified for the job is a tough pill to swallow. She worked hard to have relationships with people in the party, she played the game, and then people decided that the rules are dumb and she was awful by playing by the rules .

Does this answer the question at all?

I have been reading a lot of very "left" issues about the Democrats at the moment and one of the key ones being that the DNC is constantly broke because of a variety of factors (the ones like constantly having to go cap in hand to wealthy people, being under the leadership of someone who didn't actually get on with anyone and continually shovelling money to consultants instead of doing any actual work.) Would you say that is accurate or fair in your experience? Alongside that would you argue that it is possible to change a set up like the DNC or the democratic party more generally into something that is not continually focussing on being just "the lesser evil" as it were?

As someone who is getting more involved in my own countries politics I feel that the systemic problems that have cropped up are not talked about but can be used as an effective way of getting round the problem of insulting people by instead making the system itself a target instead of insisting it is peoples moral failure to confront themselves that leads to their opinions.

And would you argue that the rules don't need changing? If all but a few states "didn't vote" would have won the popular vote, and that is a worrying sentiment because it shows how little there is for so many people to separate between the major parties. I think that Hilary was not actually a very good politician at all, which is a really terrible thing to say about someone who has been involved in it for so long.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Josef bugman posted:

I have been reading a lot of very "left" issues about the Democrats at the moment and one of the key ones being that the DNC is constantly broke because of a variety of factors (the ones like constantly having to go cap in hand to wealthy people, being under the leadership of someone who didn't actually get on with anyone and continually shoveling money to consultants instead of doing any actual work.) Would you say that is accurate or fair in your experience? Alongside that would you argue that it is possible to change a set up like the DNC or the democratic party more generally into something that is not continually focusing on being just "the lesser evil" as it were?

I think its super complicated which I realize is a cop out on one hand. I think the rich people who fund the Democratic party are PROBABLY more to the left than people realize, even on economic issues. From what I have been reading Tom Perez is trying to get the party to focus MORE on funding field programs, which is good but the reason the party is constantly broke is because you do want to spend down your money cycle to cycle as it can come across as irresponsible not to make sure you are spending all your resources on getting people elected. Also remember, there is the DSCC and the DCCC which serve election functions and are distinct from the DNC itself.

I don't want to turn this into (another) Hillary vs. the world thread. To call her a lesser evil is really problematic for me. Lesser evilism (to me anyways) is akin to both parties are the same and they A) clearly aren't and B) does not really look at the candidate. Sec. Clinton was a flawed candidate (as all are) but had a track record that I would say was on the whole positive for the United States and she advocated for positions that were unpopular at the time and represented something real for a lot of women. Think about what the party was able to do with 4 years of legislative control, pass a health care bill that brought 20 million people health care and a road map for reform. Financial reform and stimulus were also passed and tax increases on the rich.

Anyways, people have to willing both ways I guess is my point to end lesser evil type of candidates.

quote:

As someone who is getting more involved in my own countries politics I feel that the systemic problems that have cropped up are not talked about but can be used as an effective way of getting round the problem of insulting people by instead making the system itself a target instead of insisting it is peoples moral failure to confront themselves that leads to their opinions.

And would you argue that the rules don't need changing? If all but a few states "didn't vote" would have won the popular vote, and that is a worrying sentiment because it shows how little there is for so many people to separate between the major parties. I think that Hilary was not actually a very good politician at all, which is a really terrible thing to say about someone who has been involved in it for so long.

Which rules are we talking about? The party rules? I mean if I had it my way, there wouldn't be caucuses anymore and switch every state to a primary election system where Democrats and independent voters can vote. I would limit super delegates to elected members of the party on the state and federal level and elected members from the past 5 to 10 years.

is that what you are driving at?

Josef bugman
Nov 17, 2011

Pictured: Poster prepares to celebrate Holy Communion (probablY)

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Mooseontheloose posted:

I think its super complicated which I realize is a cop out on one hand. I think the rich people who fund the Democratic party are PROBABLY more to the left than people realize, even on economic issues. From what I have been reading Tom Perez is trying to get the party to focus MORE on funding field programs, which is good but the reason the party is constantly broke is because you do want to spend down your money cycle to cycle as it can come across as irresponsible not to make sure you are spending all your resources on getting people elected. Also remember, there is the DSCC and the DCCC which serve election functions and are distinct from the DNC itself.

I don't want to turn this into (another) Hillary vs. the world thread. To call her a lesser evil is really problematic for me. Lesser evilism (to me anyways) is akin to both parties are the same and they A) clearly aren't and B) does not really look at the candidate. Sec. Clinton was a flawed candidate (as all are) but had a track record that I would say was on the whole positive for the United States and she advocated for positions that were unpopular at the time and represented something real for a lot of women. Think about what the party was able to do with 4 years of legislative control, pass a health care bill that brought 20 million people health care and a road map for reform. Financial reform and stimulus were also passed and tax increases on the rich.

Anyways, people have to willing both ways I guess is my point to end lesser evil type of candidates.

I do realise it is more complex than what I am laying out, this is after all a dead forum and not a policy document, however whilst I do not doubt that people donating to the democrats may be more "left-wing" I do doubt that they would ever willingly give up their own property because it represents theft from a vast number of people all over the planet. Even things that are trying to help often seem to undermine and limit what can be done by local governments. I think a secondary problem can be that it is hard to raise money for an organisation that has to be truly national in character, especially when things like the whole kerfuffle some months back with Osoff.

She may well have had a program that was helpful to the USA, I am not going to disagree and if I had been in the USA I would have voted for her, but I think along side that presentation matters. She also was, from a foreigners perspective, kind of shite on foreign policy. Not the Russia thing, it should be noted, but a lot of her positions were very, well, bad? The Honduran Coup being the most obvious thing in that. I would not say that both parties are the same, but I would say that the democrats in particular have the problem of acting solely as antithesis. All they do, again I am foreign so do forgive my low level reading, is seemingly point at the Republicans and say "I am not that". And whilst that can be good when the "that" is defined and obvious (say after a long time with the "that") it becomes a lot lot harder to justify when you are in power because then people go "well if you aren't that then maybe the that will help!"

Mooseontheloose posted:

Which rules are we talking about? The party rules? I mean if I had it my way, there wouldn't be caucuses anymore and switch every state to a primary election system where Democrats and independent voters can vote. I would limit super delegates to elected members of the party on the state and federal level and elected members from the past 5 to 10 years.

is that what you are driving at?

No as in the overarching and more subtle rules of how "politics is done". Is the way we understand "politics" in terms of two distinct parties and so on, are those ideas perhaps need not just of tinkering, but changing in every way?

Alongside that would you be inclined to believe what this article has to say about some measure of the current backlash we are seeing in politics? In particular this section


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/17/americas-far-right-white-supremacists-nationalism?CMP=share_btn_tw

quote:

Ultimately, however, I believe Matthew’s vision, and the incarnation of the far right in America that I spent years covering, is destined to fail. Not because America is inherently good and that the forces of justice and progress are always stronger than those of intolerance and hatred, but because white supremacy is doing just fine without the far right.

The country has spent decades perfecting an ostensibly nonracial form of white supremacy, and it is serving with remarkable efficiency. Private prisons, mandatory sentencing, seemingly unchecked police power, gerrymandering, increasingly limited access to healthcare and abortion – these are all tendrils in an ingenious web designed to keep people poor and powerless.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Josef bugman posted:

I do realise it is more complex than what I am laying out, this is after all a dead forum and not a policy document, however whilst I do not doubt that people donating to the democrats may be more "left-wing" I do doubt that they would ever willingly give up their own property because it represents theft from a vast number of people all over the planet. Even things that are trying to help often seem to undermine and limit what can be done by local governments. I think a secondary problem can be that it is hard to raise money for an organisation that has to be truly national in character, especially when things like the whole kerfuffle some months back with Osoff.

Sometimes you lose an election. The other national election with Doug Jones in Alabama and their targeting could tell a different story.

quote:

She may well have had a program that was helpful to the USA, I am not going to disagree and if I had been in the USA I would have voted for her, but I think along side that presentation matters. She also was, from a foreigners perspective, kind of shite on foreign policy. Not the Russia thing, it should be noted, but a lot of her positions were very, well, bad? The Honduran Coup being the most obvious thing in that. I would not say that both parties are the same, but I would say that the democrats in particular have the problem of acting solely as antithesis. All they do, again I am foreign so do forgive my low level reading, is seemingly point at the Republicans and say "I am not that". And whilst that can be good when the "that" is defined and obvious (say after a long time with the "that") it becomes a lot lot harder to justify when you are in power because then people go "well if you aren't that then maybe the that will help!"

Well, I would agree there. At the end of the day Sec. Clinton did not have a coherent message.

quote:

No as in the overarching and more subtle rules of how "politics is done". Is the way we understand "politics" in terms of two distinct parties and so on, are those ideas perhaps need not just of tinkering, but changing in every way?

Alongside that would you be inclined to believe what this article has to say about some measure of the current backlash we are seeing in politics? In particular this section

I am not someone who believes in the politics of EVERYTHING IS AWFUL WHY BOTHER? Which is where I feel that article is coming from. That type of thinking leads to inaction and only benefits those in power and especially conservative points of view. They want you to believe that nothing will change because it makes you vote less or engage less. There are DEEP problems in history but generally, I think given time and policy you can create a more equitable society.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Bumping if people have more questions.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Relevant article!

Jackson Taus
Oct 19, 2011
Is it possible that all literal-narcissist candidates are actually the same person, but like wearing literal masks? Because they all seem to say the same things and think the same. It's really weird.

Josef bugman posted:

I have been reading a lot of very "left" issues about the Democrats at the moment and one of the key ones being that the DNC is constantly broke because of a variety of factors (the ones like constantly having to go cap in hand to wealthy people, being under the leadership of someone who didn't actually get on with anyone and continually shovelling money to consultants instead of doing any actual work.) Would you say that is accurate or fair in your experience?

A huge problem with funding groups like the DNC or the State Party is that a lot of the work they do isn't necessarily sexy and is hard to convey. For instance, my state party needs to raise some more money so that we can have a second data guy, because our one data guy also has other duties and we've got like two hundred or something committees and campaigns all of whom sometimes need to work with the state party data admin and that person is swamped. "Hire us another nerd" is not at all a sexy pitch to make, because it's something you only notice if you're in a certain position, but it'd really help.

Most donors instead like to hear that their money is going directly to electing candidates, which is why a long-shot House special election gets tens of millions of bucks, and keeping the data flowing in a light-blue state gets ignored.

Josef bugman posted:

Alongside that would you argue that it is possible to change a set up like the DNC or the democratic party more generally into something that is not continually focussing on being just "the lesser evil" as it were?

So long as we've got a two party system, it's going to be tough to find a party that exactly matches your policy preferences (and in a multi-party system, your ideal party would be great, but also stuck in a power-sharing coalition with "lesser evil"s).

But you can help pull the party in the direction you want by getting involved, especially with the more under-the-radar stuff like primary elections and party leadership elections. Similarly, who gets into the state legislature is determined in primaries that are surprisingly low-dollar and surprisingly small - a few of my (relatively progressive) folks avoided centrist primaries a few years ago because strong groups of activists and some initial grassroots donors lined up behind them. Now that they're state legislators they haven't voted *perfectly* but they've been solid most of the time.

Your state party central committee members (who elect your State Party Chair and Vice Chair, both DNC members) are in some areas completely uncontested, and in others only lightly contested. I have my role in the party leadership because several dozen grassroots activists stepped up and supported me when I asked. Some of your DNC members get elected when you pick who gets to go to the national convention every 4 years. These races require you to have a base of support state-wide, but they're hardly unwinnable in many states if you plan ahead.

Mooseontheloose posted:

quote:

I know I don't understand the difficulties of getting to a high level in politics, could you explain some of the nuts and bolts of what goes on there?
I don't know all the exact nuts and bolts but a lot of it relationship building of all sorts. You have to work with the party leaders and the rank and file, you have to build relationships with activist and other national level organizations. You have to at least try to advance legislation or policy for some of the base or national level. And you have to have connection to some sort of fundraisers.

A good chunk of it is luck and flexibility. Not moral flexibility, but a willingness to grab what opportunities pop up. Because this stuff is so competitive and because incumbency is so powerful, you have to be willing to strike when the iron is hot and you have to be willing to re-plan when the situation changes. All of this stuff is so inter-connected that opportunities can come up unexpectedly. Some state senator gets elected to Congress and next thing you know, there's an opening to run for Supervisor or State Legislature or something in a snap election - better get in now while the getting's good!

But my experience is that competence and hard work go a long ways - the campaign staffers and candidates want to get stuff done, and they're going to work with whoever they think can get stuff done for them, and they're going to remember who helped them out. I know House of Cards and all that emphasizes backstabbing and threats because that's sexy and dramatic, but in real life it's actually giving and getting favors that powers a lot of it.

Positive Optimyst
Oct 25, 2010

by FactsAreUseless

Mooseontheloose posted:

Bumping if people have more questions.

Hi, Moose

I worked for a Lobbyist firm in DC in the late 90s. I'm a former political junkie but left DC for a non-political job opportunity 20 years ago and have been abroad every since.

That said, with the sadness of GWB and even Obama's post 2012 politics, I still have the political-policy wonk blood in my veins.

My 2 questions:

1. What's your take on the coming mid terms? The party outside of the Executive gains seats historically, but will these year be a major gain for the Dems (like the GOP in 1994)?

2. How nuts have DC rents gone? Do I every have a chance of renting a studio anywhere in the District again?



Cheers.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Positive Optimyst posted:

Hi, Moose

My 2 questions:

1. What's your take on the coming mid terms? The party outside of the Executive gains seats historically, but will these year be a major gain for the Dems (like the GOP in 1994)?

Everything seems like you are least getting a 2010 type blue wave, maybe even bigger. Also, if you saw the VA midterms, it was the first time in 30 years baby boomers didn't get a majority of the vote share which is going to be real tough for the Republican party if that trend holds true.

quote:

2. How nuts have DC rents gone? Do I every have a chance of renting a studio anywhere in the District again?

Don't work in DC but from what I have heard from when I was there in 2005 is...good luck.

Positive Optimyst
Oct 25, 2010

by FactsAreUseless

Mooseontheloose posted:

Everything seems like you are least getting a 2010 type blue wave, maybe even bigger. Also, if you saw the VA midterms, it was the first time in 30 years baby boomers didn't get a majority of the vote share which is going to be real tough for the Republican party if that trend holds true.


Don't work in DC but from what I have heard from when I was there in 2005 is...good luck.

Cheers, Moose

Interesting demographics in the VM mid-terms.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Positive Optimyst posted:

Cheers, Moose

Interesting demographics in the VM mid-terms.

Another way to put this is Democrats are out performing EVERY election they are in right now and by a lot.

Positive Optimyst
Oct 25, 2010

by FactsAreUseless

Mooseontheloose posted:

Another way to put this is Democrats are out performing EVERY election they are in right now and by a lot.

It's an indicator of a possible 'blue wave' as you note.

I'm not D nor R - I despise both.

But I have a special disdain for Dems after what they've done to abandon the working class (probably never were in support of the working class - which include middle class stiffs, H1-Bs, soft on illegals and muslims entering the US.

KOTEX GOD OF BLOOD
Jul 7, 2012

I have polisci degrees and work close to this world, if not directly in it anymore, so I can answer some questions as well.

Positive Optimyst posted:

My 2 questions:

1. What's your take on the coming mid terms? The party outside of the Executive gains seats historically, but will these year be a major gain for the Dems (like the GOP in 1994)?
Treat any claims about "historically, x happens during an election y years into an administration with unified/divided government" etc with extreme skepticism. Remember that you are dealing with a quite small sample size and that the electorate, and American politics overall, have changed dramatically over the years. Making solid predictions about an election is even more difficult than it used to be as reliable polling is harder than ever especially at the subnational level. Some academics can be overconfident in the predictive power of their data as well. I attended a seminar with top political scientists in public opinion about a week before the '16 election and each in turn predicted Clinton would win by a huge margin, although there was a lone dissenter who said she would win by a smaller margin.

Positive Optimyst posted:

2. How nuts have DC rents gone? Do I every have a chance of renting a studio anywhere in the District again?

Cheers.
Depends on your budget and where you want to live. A few years ago I rented a studio divided into a 1br for $1550 in a trendy part of Northwest. Rents are lower if you're willing to live in an "up and coming" neighborhood, but you have to be careful as crime is still quite high in areas like Columbia Heights. Check out http://exposedbrickdc.com.

Honestly if you're young the best way to experience DC is to live with people. The whole city feeds off an incestuous clusterfuck of contrived networking anyway so there are some professional benefits in doing that, although IMO a lot of the people working in politics / policy / PR/PA are super insufferable.

StandardVC10
Feb 6, 2007

This avatar now 50% more dark mode compliant

Positive Optimyst posted:

It's an indicator of a possible 'blue wave' as you note.

I'm not D nor R - I despise both.

But I have a special disdain for Dems after what they've done to abandon the working class (probably never were in support of the working class - which include middle class stiffs, H1-Bs, soft on illegals and muslims entering the US.

So what you're saying is you're a Republican.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

Positive Optimyst posted:

It's an indicator of a possible 'blue wave' as you note.

I'm not D nor R - I despise both.

But I have a special disdain for Dems after what they've done to abandon the working class (probably never were in support of the working class - which include middle class stiffs, H1-Bs, soft on illegals and muslims entering the US.

So what you're saying is you're ideal Trump supporter material?

Positive Optimyst
Oct 25, 2010

by FactsAreUseless
To answer your questions.

No, I'm not a Repub. I cannot stand them.

No, I'm not a Trump supporter and did not vote for him.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose
So what in the flaming hell is "soft on illegals and muslims entering the US" supposed to mean?

a_good_username
Mar 13, 2018

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

So what in the flaming hell is "soft on illegals and muslims entering the US" supposed to mean?

Yeah I'm trying to figure out WTF "soft on muslims entering the US" even means and how it relates at all to the working class, and I just can't get there tbh.

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My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

So what in the flaming hell is "soft on illegals and muslims entering the US" supposed to mean?

It means there are feelings economic and cultural anxiety in a sufficient enough population size that a politician feels they should adopt a position in order to win votes.

Howdy all, I've worked in campaign finance and management for going on 8 years. Finance at the Federal and State levels, campaign management at the local. At present, I work part-time as a journalist on transportation policy and civil rights issues, inbetween part-time graduate school and getting involved with local politics.



buglord posted:

Do phone banks/door knocks work? Whats the goal of them? Is it to plant a seed for an upcoming election or are doorknockers/ callers generally striving to get a "political sale"? I imagine its a numbers game? I don't know anyone who likes being solicited with political actions such as these. But if its been going forever, it has to work?

e: also, im curious: what happens when a door knocker gets a militant supporter of the opposition? any notable stories there? Maybe im an overly cynical millennial, but it seems incredibly unlikely that someone will change their position, on the spot, after hearing convincing arguments. It seems much more likely that in the rare event that they decide to, they do it privately as to not lose face.

e2: less CSPAM'y question: any unexpected lesson or experience you've gained from being in this field for 8 years? Doesn't have to be political, just something you learned which you didn't anticipate going in.

It depends why you're having folks call/knock. Generally, in Federal elections, IMO, good field can move between 3-6 points, or at least save 3-6 for you - enough to sway a close election - while advertisements get you 30 points. At the local level, field is what you live and die on. Every door you knock is another vote, and when the total votes cast for your seat is less than 5,000 or so, you have an opportunity to meet every single vote and get to know them by name.

edit:

Baronash posted:

What exactly is happening from Election Day 2016 to Election Day 2018? Is there a campaign wind-down period?

Election day: phonecalls in the morning, either babysit the candidate at a hotel or knocking doors and driving folks to the polls until the count starts, then off to the venue to start drinking in celebration/preparation for looking for a new job.

Thru the end of November: going into the count rooms as-needed, if a loss paid thru the end of the month or end of the year. Write your reflection, hop over to an official-side job if a win and the candidate likes you, failing that hop onto any recounts nearby and networking your rear end off. Cap the election cycle off with attending an inaugural ball and partying with all the folks you've worked with for the past 1-2 years while networking your rear end off.

My Imaginary GF fucked around with this message at 22:43 on May 5, 2018

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