|
The Bears are bad, but they're so bad in predictable ways we can use them to predict other outcomes based on on performance. For example: By losing to the Bears we can accurately predict that the Steelers and the Panthers are not playoff caliber teams and as such were eliminated in their first opportunity. Using our system, which is heavy on asking if a team lost to the Bears called The "Defeats Against the Bears Explain Away Results System" (DABEARS) we have the following categories of importance: Directly losing to the Bears. If you lost to the Bears, you should expect to lose. Point differential against the Bears. If you couldn't run up the score against the Bears, what can we expect from you? Being unable to defeat teams that lost to the Bears and Point differential against teams that lost to the Bears. We get it, only one team can go 0-16 a year so even teams that lose to the Bears can win games and even beat you. But by how much? Using this formula we have: Wildcard Weekend Falcons (1-0) against Rams (0-0). Falcons have a +9 Differential Against Bears (DAB) and a +6 Against Negitively Aligned Lineups (ANAL). The Rams had 0, and the Falcons won. Saints (1-0) against Panthers (0-1). Panthers lost to the Bears, and lost their first playoff game. Jaguars (0-0) against Bills (0-0). No team played the Bears and had an equal DAB but the Jags had a whopping 96 point edge in the ANAL. Jaguars win. Titans (0-0) against Chiefs (0-0). The Chiefs were unable to defeat any of their ANAL, but the Titans pounded 3 of them. Titans also won this game. Divisional round: Eagles (1-0) against Falcons (1-0). DAB 31-8 in favor of the Eagles. Eagles moved on. Vikings (2-0) against Saints (1-0). Vikings and Saints each beat the Bears 100% of the time, and by similar margins (+8 DAB) but the Saints had a +3 ANAL bonus. They should have won this game, and frankly they almost did. A miracle TD on the final play of the game? It happens. Even to the best models. Steelers (0-1) against Jaguars (0-0). You lose to the Bears and you lose in real life. Patriots (0-0) against Titans (0-0), Patriots had superior ANAL. FUTURE DIVISION CHAMPIONSHIPS Eagles (1-0) against Vikings (2-0) The eagles have superior DAB, but the VIkings have superior ANAL. I would like to see the Superbowl Home Game dream, but the DABEARS says this should go to the Eagles. Jaguars (0-0) against Patriots (0-0). In what will be an upset to most analysts but you heard it here first The Jaguars, with their ANAL, DAB will win this game. Jaguars (0-0) against Eagles (1-0). This is hard to say, the Eagles did beat the Bears and are playing against a team that did not, but the underlying stats suggest the Jaguars WOULD have done it based on their impressive 86 ANAL. But the system is biased towards teams that play the Bears so Eagles win.
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 16:22 |
|
|
# ? May 5, 2024 11:37 |
|
this is more legit than dvoa
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 16:26 |
|
Has any team won the Superbowl and not played the Bears? Bears scrimmaged the Bears so don't answer that.
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 16:37 |
|
Elephanthead posted:Has any team won the Superbowl and not played the Bears? Patriots beat the Bears in 2014, and won the Super Bowl. Broncos beat the Bears in 2015, and won the Super Bowl. The Patriots did not play the bears in 2016, but they did beat the 49ers. One of three teams the Bears beat. (Patriots did not play either the Vikings or the Lions)
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 16:44 |
|
I thought this thread was going to be about those zany "animal picks playoff winners" and was hoping for bears picking between two picnic baskets with different team logos.
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 16:47 |
|
I wanted to a Super Bowl prediction from actual live bears from Yellowstone. Thread did not deliver.
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 16:49 |
|
Jiminy Christmas! Shoes! posted:I wanted to a Super Bowl prediction from actual live bears from Yellowstone. Thread did not deliver. That is "The Superbowl as Predicted by Bears" This is "The Superbowl as Predicted by the Bears"
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 16:52 |
|
HootTheOwl posted:That is "The Superbowl as Predicted by Bears" da bears
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 17:31 |
|
The Changeling posted:da bears That's the name of the system. No spaces. DABEARS.
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 18:12 |
|
Yeah, but what about the Superbowl as predicted by DeBeers?
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 18:13 |
|
a new study bible! posted:Yeah, but what about the Superbowl as predicted by DeBeers? They win either way because you have you seen the amount of ice on those rings? At least three back to back timeouts worth.
|
# ? Jan 15, 2018 18:15 |
|
Sour Diesel posted:this is more legit than dvoa Congrats Eagles fans. And greetings from the gold mine when this pans out.
|
# ? Jan 16, 2018 00:02 |
|
a new study bible! posted:Yeah, but what about the Superbowl as predicted by Colonel DeBeers?
|
# ? Jan 16, 2018 00:06 |
|
I voted 5 for ANAL
|
# ? Jan 16, 2018 00:07 |
|
Ehud posted:I voted 5 for ANAL And how high would you go for ANAL DAB?
|
# ? Jan 16, 2018 00:25 |
|
*applies to SBNation with the OP*
|
# ? Jan 16, 2018 00:40 |
|
I don't know what I was expecting when I clicked this but what I got was better
|
# ? Jan 16, 2018 17:44 |
|
I went out last night but I did catch that the Eagles won and Jax was up by like 10 so I can only imagine things went well. I was right. You're welcome.
|
# ? Jan 22, 2018 15:44 |
|
The Eagles beat the Bears this year by 28. The Patriots haven't played the Bears for 3 years, but the last time they played, they won by... 28. Tie game Superbowl, to continue until the Bears swing it.
|
# ? Jan 22, 2018 15:47 |
|
HootTheOwl posted:If anything this proves the Patriots are powered by Russian bots under the orders of Putin.
|
# ? Jan 22, 2018 16:33 |
|
Android Apocalypse posted:You probably thought Hillary was going to win in 2016 too.. Hillary won by 2 million votes. But the wage gap only let her votes count as 0.77 each.
|
# ? Jan 22, 2018 17:33 |
|
Kalli posted:The Eagles beat the Bears this year by 28. You're only looking at the DAB. DABEARS also covers ANAL. HootTheOwl fucked around with this message at 17:40 on Jan 22, 2018 |
# ? Jan 22, 2018 17:34 |
|
I think Bears and Eagles are friends and the Bear would try to kill eat a Patriot.
|
# ? Jan 22, 2018 18:43 |
|
Elephanthead posted:I think Bears and Eagles are friends and the Bear would try to kill eat a Patriot. Nah, Bears only feast on the AFC North.
|
# ? Jan 23, 2018 02:23 |
|
I surf the waves on the world wide web and I have seen this post before on a different island
|
# ? Jan 24, 2018 05:45 |
|
HootTheOwl posted:The Bears are bad, but they're so bad in predictable ways we can use them to predict other outcomes based on on performance. For example: By losing to the Bears we can accurately predict that the Steelers and the Panthers are not playoff caliber teams and as such were eliminated in their first opportunity. Using our system, which is heavy on asking if a team lost to the Bears called The "Defeats Against the Bears Explain Away Results System" (DABEARS) we have the following categories of importance: Directly losing to the Bears. If you lost to the Bears, you should expect to lose. Point differential against the Bears. If you couldn't run up the score against the Bears, what can we expect from you? Being unable to defeat teams that lost to the Bears and Point differential against teams that lost to the Bears. We get it, only one team can go 0-16 a year so even teams that lose to the Bears can win games and even beat you. But by how much? goddamn this guy was right
|
# ? Feb 5, 2018 04:44 |
|
|
# ? May 5, 2024 11:37 |
|
0 ANAL can't beat a 31 DAB. This is the third straight year that the Super Bowl has had to run through the Chicago Bears.
|
# ? Feb 5, 2018 15:18 |