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joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
I highly recommend the work of Douglas Massey on immigration to understand the mess we are currently in and how it is the result of a bipartisan effort to look tough on immigration that completely backfired.
Especially this one:

https://web.stanford.edu/group/scspi/_media/working_papers/massey_new-latino-underclass.pdf

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joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
Good op. I would just add the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996 to the list of 1996 laws, because it goes hand in hand with IIRIRA in terms of expanding the list of crimes that are deportable, setting up cooperation with local law enforcement, and, more importantly reducing judicial review and the forms of defense that can be used against deportation.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

PRAISE THE SUN posted:

While current immigration policies definitely need modernization for the 21st century, I think that the people who flip their poo poo at the idea of having any kind of border control at all are absolutely insane. Literally every country in South America has extremely strict border policies and treats illegal immigrants far, far worse.

I'd be happy with changing immigration policies to be more simple and similar to a lot of other first world countries (namely, mostly only let in refugees and people who are economically useful in some fashion beyond simple day labor), along with making E-Verify mandatory for any business larger than, say, 10 employees.

This is literally a lie. In fact, the US has been pushing for a crack down on the tri-border region because there is so little control of it. I've driven from Brazil to Argentina through Uruguay and half the time there is no one at the border post between Brazil and Uruguay. And to the extent that there is a border presence, the concern is more with illegal imports than illegal people. You don't need a passport or a visa to cross any of these borders.

And Mexico, of course, really started cracking down on its borders under request of the United States with programs like Frontera Sur.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

wateroverfire posted:

It depends the country and what you're trying to do. You can get to Chile from a lot of places in Latin America with an ID card and no passport. But if you're coming to settle or work it's a different story (try coming from Peru or Colombia).

Which South American country "has extremely strict border policies and treats illegal immigrants far, far worse?"

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Zas posted:

here are some articles and poo poo
https://www.npr.org/2016/08/31/491965912/5-things-to-know-about-obamas-enforcement-of-immigration-laws
http://trac.syr.edu/immigration/reports/458/
https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/obama-record-deportations-deporter-chief-or-not

It seems like Obama's immigration legacy is complex, politically loaded, and difficult to talk about, especially in the wake of Trump. I wonder if it might be possible to get a more complete picture than the one I have now, which is "Obama inherited a massive apparatus from Bush, and oversaw a change that resulted in more deportations at the border and less in the interior of the country, as well as more deportations of Central Americans and less of Mexicans. Many of the Central Americans were asylum seekers, and their deportations were essentially death sentences."

The most positive reading Obama's legacy is that he sincerely wanted to help the DREAMers, and made the miscalculation that if he was super tough on other forms of undocumented immigration he would buy enough goodwill to pass the dream act.

First, to correct some of the things you've said:

While deportations in the interior eventually go down, peak deportations from the interior happens during the last year of Bush and first Obama years:



And deportations at the border aren't just a statistical issue. If you have been deported at any point in your life, coming into the US legally becomes incredibly difficult: you face a 3 year bar from applying to anything (10 if you were in the US for longer than 1 year undocumented), you can be prosecuted if you are ever caught in the US undocumented again, etc.

https://www.vox.com/2014/4/11/5602272/removals-returns-and-deportations-a-very-short-history-of-immigration

And Obama didn't just inherit a massive apparatus. He greatly expanded it as well. So, for example, the Secure Communities (S-Comm) program establishes cooperation between local law enforcement and federal immigration officials, and allows federal immigration officials to ask local law enforcement to hold undocumented immigrants. It is essentially why "sanctuary cities" became a thing.

https://www.thenation.com/article/the-deportation-machine-obama-built-for-president-trump/

At the end of the Bush presidency only a handful of jurisdictions had entered the S-Comm program, in no small part because local jurisdictions had to sign a memorandum of understanding to participate. Starting in 2011, Obama's DOJ said that local jurisdictions had to comply with S-Comm regardless of any agreements, and so by 2014 S-Comm was present around the entire country:

http://www.thenyic.org/DOA_terminates_SComm_MOAs

Immigration activists were of course pissed about this, so in 2014 Obama responded by ending S-Comm and replacing it with the Priority Enforcement Program, which wasn't as explicitly draconian as S-Comm, but was vague enough that it could be as draconian as S-Comm (Trump has since then reverted the whole thing back to S-Comm)

https://www.aclu.org/letter/letter-dhs-regarding-implementation-ices-new-priority-enforcement-program-pep

Of course, a lot of this was pre-DACA. Before DACA, Obama tried to beef up the deportation apparatus to try to buy good will from Republicans to get the DREAM act passed. After DACA, Obama decided to crack down on other minors to show that DACA wasn't a slippery slope towards full open borders. So he set up things like paying Mexico a boatload of money to stop migrants from Central America who are moving north to cross the border:

https://nacla.org/news/2016/02/19/secure-borders-now-protect-people-later

And in particular Obama decided to crack down on undocumented minors who came to the US after DACA, even if they still had pending asylum cases

https://www.splcenter.org/20160128/families-fear-atlanta-immigration-raids

This is also where a bit of democratic drama comes in. In the ramp up to her campaign, Clinton seemed to be trying to position herself to the right of Obama.

http://www.newsweek.com/hillary-clinton-immigration-children-daca-661952

Whether Obama's ramp up of raids on undocumented minors from central America was in response to criticism from Clinton, we will never know, but until Bernie forced the democratic party to the left the intra-democratic debate seemed to be centered pretty much on how tough to be on recent arrivals of minors from Central America

I think that as a whole, the most positive reading of all these actions with regards to Obama is that he really thought that moving right on immigration would buy him the leeway to protect DREAMers (first by beefing up the immigration apparatus, later by cracking down on non-DACA minors). Which I think that besides being a misreading of the conservative movement, also helped entrench this narrative of the "good" undocumented immigrant versus the "bad" undocumented immigrant. Which is why today we talk so much about DREAMers but not much else, which leads many dreamers to protest democrats as well. It is super common for DREAMers to have siblings who entered the country at the same time they did but are not eligible for DACA status because they were outside any of the many arbitrary date ranges in DACA (e.g., they came here as at 16 instead of younger, or were 32 or older in 2012, etc).

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

mobby_6kl posted:

Hasn't the overall number of immigrants been going down during this period? That would be very important for interpreting these statistics.


Number of people entering yes, number of people inside the country no.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
Here's what DREAMer organizations and activists think of the bills being debated this week. I think anyone who claims to care about dreamers should pay close attention to what they have to say about it.

https://twitter.com/UNITEDWEDREAM/status/963887560144687105

https://twitter.com/UNITEDWEDREAM/status/963875755510902785

https://twitter.com/ErikaAndiola/status/963856191838412801

https://twitter.com/Re4mImmigration/status/963844081410600960

https://twitter.com/altochulo/status/963984324939968513

https://twitter.com/UndocuBlack/status/963927384792629248

https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/13/politics/daca-harvard-medical-students/index.html

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
https://mobile.twitter.com/NathanJRobinson/status/1104454284542906368

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
Yeah, this isn't him saying that he now supports open borders. This is him complaining that they didn't get enough credit for ruining people's lives. It is a pretty good indication of the rot at the core of the Obama administration policy.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Katt posted:

So a friends, friends daughter moved from Sweden to the US when she was 19. She got married to a lawyer and had 2 kids, lived the life of a luxury wife for 20 years. Got into drugs and alcohol. The husband kicked her out and got sole custody of the kids. She had no money or insurance or anywhere to live so she moved back to Sweden. Now she's worried that she will never be able to see her daughters again because the way she understands it is that if she stays out of the US for a year or more she can't return to live there. How does it really work?

She has never worked in her life and has no skills or money and she's currently being shunned by her family in Sweden so she's living with a friend.

It depends on whether she ever became a citizen. 20 years is more than enough time to become a citizen, and if she did, that one isn't revoked by being away. If she was on a green card and stayed away from the country for a year or more, the USCIS may consider her green card abandoned and she will probably lose it unless she made arrangements prior to leaving.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Katt posted:

Update: apparently she is a US citizen but she claims that if she changes her legal residence to Sweden and then spends a year in Sweden she might not be able to return to the US.


That doesn't make any sense. If she is a US citizen, the only way she'd lose that citizenship is if she herself forfeited it or if there was some irregularity when she applied for it that made the US want to revoke it (i.e., she lied on her paperwork on something serious). As far as I know Sweden allows dual citizenship, so I don't know why she would not be able to return to the US if she is a citizen. Unless she has, I don't know, legal problems like a probation or something that doesn't allow her to move away from the US, which would mean arrest upon return, this makes absolutely no sense.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Crosby B. Alfred posted:

Trump's DHS literally went to court to try and force immigrants to share toothbrushes and didn't see a need for them to shower.

And that's just a start.

The particular lawsuit was an appeal of a 2017 decision. A 2017 decision asking for the enforcement of a 2015 lawsuit.

You can read about it here:

https://www.aila.org/File/Related/14111359v.pdf

So, just to make it perfectly clear, so that you fully understand what we are talking about, and decide whether it's really about "Trump's DHS."

In 2015, there was a lawsuit called Flores v Lynch. Lynch as in Loretta Lynch, Obama's AG. That lawsuit was about the unsanitary and unsafe conditions in detention centers, indefinite detention of children, and family separation, and how they violated the Flores settlement. The federal government lost the case and then appealed to the 9th circuit court of appeals. In that appeal, the case was reversed in part, affirmed in part. The part that was reversed was that the Obama administration successfully argued that that whole thing about sanitary conditions and no indefinite detention based on the Flores settlement did not apply to adults. So the Obama administration "won" the right to not provide sanitary and safe conditions to adults and to be able to hold them indefinitely. But they lost it with regards to both accompanied and unaccompanied minors.

http://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2016/07/06/15-56434.pdf

To be very clear, here is what the Obama administration had appealed:

quote:

In 2015, Flores moved to enforce the Settlement, arguing that it applied to all minors in the custody of immigration authorities. The district court agreed, granted the motion to enforce, and rejected the government’s alternative motion to modify the Settlement. The court ordered the government to: (1) make “prompt and continuous efforts toward family reunification,” (2) release class members without unnecessary delay, (3) detain class members in appropriate facilities, (4) release an accompanying parent when releasing a child unless the parent is subject to mandatory detention or poses a safety risk or a significant flight risk, (5) monitor compliance with detention conditions, and (6) provide class counsel with monthly statistical information. The government appealed, challenging the district court’s holding that the Settlement applied to all minors in immigration custody, its order to release parents, and its denial of the motion to modify.

So after the loss that said that the Obama administration could not hold children indefinitely in unsanitary conditions, the federal government did nothing to comply with the legal order. So the plaintiffs went to court again to ask the courts to enforce the decision. In October of 2016, the plaintiffs asked the courts to enforce the judgement. This was what was decided in 2017:

https://www.aila.org/File/Related/14111359v.pdf

Which said that, indeed, the government should follow the court decision. That is when the Trump administration appealed again to not have to comply with the 2015 decision.

So, again, just to make it very clear, when you say that "Trump's DHS went to court," what you are referring to is a legal case that started when a lawsuit was filed under Obama, who lost and appealed. They then lost part of the appeal, but did not comply with the decision, so the plaintiffs went to court again, still under Obama. The federal government lost, and then under Trump decided to appeal the enforcement decision.

joepinetree fucked around with this message at 20:03 on Mar 24, 2021

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
Little horror story of someone I know personally:

H1b only lasts for 6 years. After that, you have to leave the country. Only exception is if you are in the process of applying for a green card. So this person, who is a Spanish teacher, was hired by a fancy boarding school. This boarding school decided to sponsor their green card. So they had an H1b while the greencard was being processed. Except that in the labor certification part of the process (employment based green card has to show they tried to hire an american first), the agency in charge of doing the labor certification decided to audit the application, because it listed knowledge of Spanish as a job requirement, and they found it suspicious that a Spanish teacher had to know Spanish. The audit took several years, so this person had used up the 6 years of H1b. Now, they could extend the H1b year by year as long as the green card process was under way. But here's the thing: the H1b allows you to stay in the country, but your visa can expire. And since visas can only be renewed at an embassy or consulate, and since it was a year by year thing, this person had valid paperwork but an expired visa (which allows you to stay in the US, but not to enter the US). This person's mother died. But to attend the funeral, they would need to leave the country. And to leave the country, they would need a visa to get back in. The consulate's next appointment for a visa renewal interview was 2 months out. They tried to get an emergency renewal due to the passing away of their mother, but the consulate deemed that that was not an emergency. So their choices were: go to their home country, attend the funeral, but then be stuck there for 2 months, at which point they'd lose their American job, lose the green card application, and then not be able to go back to the US at all, or miss their mother's funeral. Which is what ended up happening.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

UCS Hellmaker posted:

So into the texas desert without a plan, as children, with no actual idea on what they are doing.

Children alone yes this is a great plan that won't lead to pictures of kids dead in a loving desert, or more children abduction then ever recorded in the history of the us as human traffickers pick them up by carloads.

Please actually provide plans besides saying close the camps like that is the end all be all to a massive crisis that was done intentionally by trump in office for 4 years and now the current president on month 3 is trying to fix

This is such bad faith bullshit. For starters, most children aren't detained in the desert. Second, most children aren't crossing the border alone. Third, the indefinite detention of children is a fairly recent phenomenon.

There is no conversation to be had with someone who thinks the options are either putting children in cages or letting them die alone in the desert.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

UCS Hellmaker posted:

There's no argument to be had with someone that doesn't want to or is willing to understand that the world is not a black and white board with good and evil on it. Instead of just spewing bullshit from twitter and outrage actually provide solutions. There is more to the situation then a 140 character tweet.

You can try and paint others in order to justify why you should be able to own them, but it still does not mean that you understand poo poo about what is actually going on or anything being out into place inorder to solve the solution. Same as the person saying just release them into a city! Great loving idea! Release them into a city with no options, no place to stay, where homeless issue are typically rampant!

Nothing being said here is actual ideas it's the same outrage bs that has been going from day one. Fritz is the only one actually attempting to talk about things and sourcing poo poo.

In terms of painting the world as black and white, i would suggest that saying that it's either camps or letting children die in the desert is pretty grotesque and dishonest.

I have no patience for whatever meta bullshit you want to engage in. If you think "i don't understand poo poo about what is actually going on," I suggest you click on the little question mark under my name there to see how long and fequently I've participated in this thread, and whether my opinions of anything has changed because the party in power changed. Virtually all of these camps, concentration or otherwise, are less than 30 years old. The idea that it is some sort of intractable problem that there is no solution to is ridiculous. There are literally dozens of alternatives to having these camps. Here's a 2015 document (updated in 2019):

https://www.womensrefugeecommission.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/The-Real-Alternatives-to-Detention-June-2019-FINAL-v-2.pdf

joepinetree fucked around with this message at 19:28 on Mar 31, 2021

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Thorn Wishes Talon posted:

That's true, there is in fact a third option, according to that poster, which is "release them into cities."

I literally posted a PDF with several alternatives. Why do we have to keep this charade that we have to keep the children in overcrowded detention centers because the alternatives are somehow worse?

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

1337JiveTurkey posted:

Releasing them into cities where they'll quickly be starving and homeless with no real employment prospects apart from sex work. They won't be getting education, healthcare or anything like that. They have no supervision or protection from anyone who would want to harm them and a homeless person with no ties to the area has a target painted right on them.

Consequences don't magically go away if you feel you have a pure enough heart.

Can you point to where in the list of alternatives listed in the PDF it says "release children alone in cities to be abused by sex traffickers?" Jesus loving Christ, we're getting into new lows in terms of defense of the camps here.



socialsecurity posted:

Do you have any numbers on this? I see a great deal of talk about the surge in unaccompanied minors is that not real or even with the surge is it somehow still a very small %? Even if it's a small number are you suggesting we just dump the unaccompanied children at the border? Should there be an age cutoff or survival training or something?

There are no hard numbers on this because DHS doesn't track that data. But it has been widely reported and is backed up by considerable evidence that unaccompanied minors turn themselves in to border patrol once they cross the Rio Grande:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/03/11/unaccompanied-minors-immigrants-border/

That one of the primary reasons the unaccompanied minors make the trip is for family reunification (indicating that they have family already here). And, on top of it all, unaccompanied minors doesn't refer literally to unaccompanied, but without a parent. Someone trying to cross with an uncle would be considered unaccompanied;

https://fas.org/sgp/crs/homesec/R43628.pdf

I would also point to myth #4 in the following document:

https://rai.onlinelibrary.wiley.com...zK819u0NlCdqi3w


And in fact, between 1/3 and 1/2 of detained minors have at least one parent living in the US:

https://www.unhcr.org/56fc266f4.html



1337JiveTurkey posted:

The PDF is about families. The post I’m responding to says that the PDF details alternates to keeping children in camps which it absolutely doesn’t because it’s about families where the children have one or more guardians and the government isn’t acting in loco parentis.

So, first you mischaracterize what I said, and now are trying to muddy the waters. If you want an alternative, for starters the US could start to follow the Flores settlement requirements, instead of trying to fight them like every administration has done since 1997.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

freeasinbeer posted:

There was some insinuation that the US had regressed with regards to immigration and some level of insinuation that it was uniquely evil.

The sad part is that globally refugees are demonized, marginalized and abused.

With regards to the southern border, specifically, it is the most militarized and hardest to cross it has ever been. For most of American history, the southern border was essentially open, and you'd get seasonal migration in and out from Mexico and Central America.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Craptacular! posted:

People seem dismissive of the idea that very open borders is incompatible with a strong welfare state, but this country feels like pretty strong loving evidence of it. There's not a lot of countries looking for America's poor and desperate, which we have in ample supply. Canada spends money and energy making sure our people in need of health care aren't going across the border to get it from them, and there's been Canadians pretending to be married to Americans who need the health benefits. How many of us who don't qualify under their current immigration policies would move tomorrow if it meant almost never being worried about armed strangers or dealing with the state the GOP wants to build?

Obviously there are worse places to live than the US, but also if you look at all the single payer healthcare systems around the world only Thailand offers guaranteed coverage to immigrants who came over on pure self-determination and no certification.


Unless you think that the options are "open borders or children in cages," your argument is simply without basis in reality. Virtually all of the countries in the world with a more generous welfare state than the US also have a higher share of immigrants in the population than the us.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

BougieBitch posted:

Uh, can you link the article associated with that chart? Those numbers as a percent of total population are literally off by an order of magnitude, so they are clearly counting only immigrants within specific categories

Edit: also, note that the entire purple section of each of the EU countries is probably mutual exchange by Schengen Area, which is not really a situation where those people are trading up in terms of social safety net rather than getting a side-grade

As far as I can tell it looks like this chart is only looking at work visas rather than any sort of general immigration, notably Sweden literally has more refugees than this chart is attributing them total immigrants as a percent of the population

Here's an estimate of the undocumented immigrant population in the US at 3.2-3.6%
https://www.brookings.edu/policy2020/votervital/how-many-undocumented-immigrants-are-in-the-united-states-and-who-are-they/

That's literally a larger percent of the US population than the total across all visa types displayed on this chart for the top country.

You are linking an estimate of the number of undocumented immigrants when the chart is very clearly about documented immigration and the type of immigration document they have. Since the argument is "how easy is it to immigrate to a country," the number of documented immigrants is the relevant metric.

The source is in the bottom of the image, by the way.

And are you seriously, for real, trying to use the number of undocumented immigrants to argue that the US has a more welcoming immigration system than these other countries? That is just self evidently ridiculous.

UCS Hellmaker posted:



Thanks for showing your asses by not having any basic understanding on how anything works in regards to FEMA deployments or medical licenses. Again its obvious that the goal here is to disect everything to make people out to be monsters instead of discussing solutions or ways to provide aid to be people there. Literally everyone here can find local shelters or refugee groups that would gladly take help in your area, instead its about finding ways to own posting enemies on SA instead of leaving your posting hovel

This is ridiculous and absurd. Volunteering at your local shelter or donating to your refugee group may be great, but it will do jack poo poo about children in detention facilities. And we don't even have to fight over solutions: the legal precedents as to how to treat minors is already there. The Flores settlement already says exactly what should be done. Except that every administration since then has fought the Flores settlement in courts, either trying to modify it, or trying to prevent its enforcement, as I have already documented in this very thread. This isn't a matter of not knowing how to technically do something. This is a matter of politics and politicians not wanting to look soft on immigration. Like, allowing access to legal representation isn't some super complicated task.

joepinetree fucked around with this message at 05:11 on Apr 1, 2021

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

BougieBitch posted:

No, I'm saying the chart is transparently wrong because it is estimating that no country measured has more than 2.5% immigrants and only 4 have over 1%, which is, as I said, a literal order of magnitude off. Comparing the visa immigration of other countries to the refugees in the US is a total non-sequitur, and that is literally what you were doing here by segueing from:


Which is talking about "children in cages" aka refugees in refugee camps to this:


Which is specifically talking only about adult immigrants who successfully apply for a visa in the country specified.

As I posted literally a page ago, the record of the countries on that chart WRT to treatment of refugees is incredibly dire. Here's some examples:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/9/25/refugees-accuse-greece-of-pushing-them-back-out-to-sea

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54082201

https://www.euractiv.com/section/justice-home-affairs/news/france-commits-to-welcoming-more-refugees-despite-reception-crisis/

https://www.hrw.org/news/2020/07/16/seven-years-suffering-australias-asylum-seekers-refugees

https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2018/1/17/why-russia-refuses-to-give-refugee-status-to-syrians

When people talk about "indefinite detention of refugees" when the duration of the stay is 15 days, you create a completely nonsense narrative. "Indefinite detention of refugees" is what Australia and Greece do when they shunt them off onto remote islands so they never have any hope of entering the country proper.

No, the argument that was made was that "open borders" was an impossibility because of costs to welfare state, and I pointed out that countries with more generous welfare states have allowed more immigrants, since that is the comparison in how open immigration systems are. Immigrant is a separate category than refugee, and it is obvious you don't know what you are talking about while insisting, while posting completely irrelevant links, that the data is wrong.

Again, you have, for the second time now, called the chart transparently wrong while posting completely irrelevant links to disprove it.

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Jarmak posted:

Your chart doesn't show literally anything you're claiming it does because the data you're presenting has absolutely no probative value toward the point you're trying to make; which is exacerbated because you've concealed the source and refused to provide it when asked. Taking a screenshot of a tiny hyperlink that can't be clicked is not providing a source.

Half that chart is dedicated to just showing breakdowns in immigration types, and you've provided zero information on the methodology of that breakdown, which is important because at cursory glance the left side of the chart appears to include a whole bunch of poo poo that we're not talking about and is not remotely analogous to the type of immigration anyone is referencing. This chart is context-less numbers slapped against a wall like some sort of cargo-cult attempt at data-driven argumentation that lacks any sort of actual analytic backing. A chart that shows Switzerland lets a ton of temporary workers in from only rich white European countries because of mutual free-movement treaties is not reflective on a welfare state's ability to absorb un-constrained immigration. For one, most of those countries don't have birth-right citizenship, and more importantly from what can be gleaned from that chart that you are attempting to point at as evidence of unlimited ability to absorb immigration is mostly consisting of immigration of people that either aren't allowed to make use of the welfare state's services, are coming from an equivalent welfare state by means of mutual treaty, or both.

Of course, I'm not incredibly confident of that analysis because you haven't posted the relevant information that makes that number vomit mean anything in the context of this discussion so I'm really doing my best to guess.

The data source is literally in the image. I posted because the immigration type is an important component of the argument. If the main way to come to the US is through family visas, then that means that for anyone without family in the US, the situation is that much worse.

But hey, since you are so upset about the data source, let's spend 5 minutes on google finding data that can disprove what i said, shall we?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_dependent_territories_by_immigrant_population

% of the population that is foreign born. Again, not the best metric because having a large undocumented immigrant population says nothing about how easy it is to immigrate to a country. And yet, there it is, same point: US with a lower percentage of foreign born than Canada and most of Europe.

Or we can look at the OECD data on "permanent inflows" for 2019 and see that the US is, once again, far behind most of the countries with more generous welfare programs:

http://www.oecd.org/migration/international-migration-outlook-1999124x.htm

Of course, you don't like my data, feel free to post your own rather than these white noise posts



:rolleyes: posted:

Posting a chart showing 3 of the top 5 immigration friendly countries in the world are Australia, Russia and Singapore to own the libs is truly something awful, but no that’s not actually how that works.

Prior to Trump, and hopefully once again after the pandemic, the US has nearly always been a top 5 country for family based and humanitarian visas. That Russia allows a couple of million Kazakhs and Turkmen a year conditional access to Moscow to work in construction until their bodies break down, or that Singapore allows in as many rich people as it can possibly bleed dry for cost of living while never giving them citizenship, is not particularly relevant to this conversation IMO.


I am sorry that the actual data I posted does not comport to your gut feelings.

As for "owning the libs," I have been posting in this thread long before people like you decided to become big fans of the American immigration system.

I really like how that garbage accusation can be easily thrown around, because if there is one thing that my posting history in this thread indicates is that I have no real concern for immigration other than owning the libs.

Thorn Wishes Talon posted:

That chart appears to be from this New York Times article, which links to this site, which appears to promote a book. I can't find the chart itself on that site though, so it may have come from the book itself.

Here's a higher quality version:



The data itself is from 2011 as well, so I don't know whether it is even relevant today.

Oh, hey, someone put in a little bit of effort. Congrats!
Can you tell me which immigration laws have changed from 2011 to today?
If not, you can go refer to the OECD data for 2019 I posted above and tell me if the conclusion is different.

It's really amazing seeing people take up the "we can't allow too many immigrants or they will use all our welfare" as an argument now.

joepinetree fucked around with this message at 15:39 on Apr 1, 2021

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

Jarmak posted:

It's not my job to go find data you refuse to post, not even a little bit, not even for 30 seconds of effort. The fact you still refused to post it even now and had to resort to another poster finding it for you kind of tells me what I needed to know: you just grabbed a random chart off the internet without any effort into understanding the underlying data.

This is reinforced by the fact when challenged because the metrics you provided are absolutely worthless to the point you're making, you just found more sources for the same metrics instead of responding to the analytical arguement. So let me say this again: The data you are providing does not prove what you say it does, "documented immigrants per capita" does nothing to support your point without looking at the immigration characteristics and where they're coming from.

Notably, in terms of numbers, the sources you posted show the US accepted more than twice as many immigrants as the next closest country, and you've made no effort to explain why per capita is the more appropriate metric when immigration is not remotely evenly distributed across the US.

Also notable is your hand-waiving of undocumented immigrants despite the fact many of the states that house the highest populations of them actually extend benefits to them.

Arguing from data does not mean posting random charts and then making conclusions completely unsupported by your data.

Wait, are you seriously asking why I am using per population data? Are you seriously confused why, say, in comparing how many immigrants Belgium lets in versus the US, I'd use per capita numbers? Do you also think that in comparing welfare states we should use gross spending figures rather than per capita ones?

And I am not "hand waving" undocumented immigrants. But, in the argument of "we can't let too many people in because they will use up all our welfare" undocumented immigrants are not relevant to the conversation because THEY WERE NOT LET IN. THAT IS WHY THEY ARE UNDOCUMENTED IN THE FIRST PLACE. But even when you count them the US is still behind most European nations.

And in the argument of "open borders are incompatible with a strong welfare state," the fact that stronger welfare states have allowed, proportionally, more legal immigrants is entirely related to the question at hand. That much should be self evident.

So instead of this white noise meta posting, how about you provide some data to back up the opinion that high immigration is incompatible with a strong welfare state?

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joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

BougieBitch posted:

Since this is the policy thread, can you explain which specific policies from the top 5 countries in that chart the US should adopt? It would create a much more interesting discussion if we had something specific that we could discuss the relative merits of passing.

Also, to your earlier point about the US having mostly family-based visas - you have cause and effect exactly backwards. The reason that family-based visas are a major portion of US immigration is because the US has birthright citizenship, meaning if you give birth in the US you have a family member that is a US citizen. This is emphatically NOT how it works in any of the other countries on that chart. Here's a summary:
https://www.loc.gov/law/help/birthright-citizenship/global.php

Let me get this straight. I have to not only provide the data that proves the assertion that welfare state and immigration are incompatible is wrong, but I also have to pinpoint the specific policies that need be adopted? I am not your dancing puppet to do research for you.

I provided data that a specific assertion was wrong. You can either accept that data and that the assertion is wrong, or you can provide your own data to actually show that the assertion is right. What, in particular, you consider to be "much more interesting" is of no concern to me.

I personally would find it "much more interesting" if you actually provided a rationale for why you think immigration and welfare state are incompatible. But we haven't even gotten that far yet. All I've gotten is a bunch of attempts to nitpick actual data without you ever having to take a stand on the "immigration versus welfare state" argument that started all of this.

Jaxyon posted:

So we moved from "what solutions do you have, HUH?"

To "well if you really cared you'd be out at a shelter right this moment instead of posting"

To "well you haven't done enough to prove an argument that was entirely unsupported was incorrect even though you've provided more info than anyone"

This isn't exactly effort being met with no effort, but it's certainly a sliding set of goalposts and not a lot of work.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

This is a terrible probation. It is amazing that in this thread calling people C-SPAM posters, saying that they are just trying to "own the libs" and all of that is fine and kosher, but pointing out the wildly shifting goal posts with no effort is immediately probatable. I am out.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

joepinetree fucked around with this message at 16:58 on Apr 1, 2021

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