Pennsylvania Special Election 18: Needle Be Praised

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Debate & Discussion > Pennsylvania Special Election 18: Needle Be Praised

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

farraday posted:

As a reminder, if you want your needle to jitter in your hands like the addict you are, hit the hyperlink in the small print under the needle.

So is the jitter even based on anything, or is it just random? Because with jitter on the needle is moving when there's not even any votes in.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 01:25

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# ¿ May 15, 2024 13:40

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Propaganda Hour posted:

Before I get my hopes up, can someone please tell me why Lamb is actually the real hitler?

All questions about Lamb can be answered with one sentence:

Ague Proof posted:

Rick Saccone tortured people at Abu Ghraib.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 01:42

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Lamb has a blue dot in Greene county, while the NYT projection was that it would be uniformly red.

E:

Office Pig posted:

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/973720687218188291

Yeah, this one.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 01:49

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Ague Proof posted:

Needle was briefly showing +52% chance of Lamb winning but +0.4 margin of estimated Saccone votes. Needle broke or am I dumb?

Turn jitter off.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 01:50

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

This is like the opposite of the Alabama election, here the early vote is D-heavy and we're hoping the incoming Republican vote can't overcome it.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 01:55

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Basically we're waiting on the returns from Westmoreland to know what the ratio looks like there.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:08

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

And just like that, the Abu Ghraib torturer's advantage vanishes.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:11

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

I like how if you ignore the 10 minute dip to Sarccone+2, the graph has just been Lamb +0.3ish the whole time.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:17

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Carlosologist posted:

What does our lord and savior Needle say about PA-18? Last I saw it was .3 in favor of Lamb

After multiple thread heart attacks, it's back to +0.3 Lamb.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:21

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Propaganda Hour posted:

Don't they need +6 Washington? It's dead heat right now.

A dead heat is fantastic for Lamb.

Charlz Guybon posted:

Benchmarks for a tossup are

Alleghany D+14
Washington R+6
Greene R+19
Westmoreland R+13

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-pennsylvania-18th-special-election/

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:31

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

https://twitter.com/mattmfm/status/973730093976743936

This bodes well, moreso than hoping the needle stays where it is.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:34

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Seph posted:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973735212965355520

This bodes well, since this was the most Republican county.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:43

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Alter Ego posted:

Lamb leading by 1.4% with 87% reporting.

Guys...

Sky Shadowing posted:

1.5% with 88% reporting!

NEEDLE TELL ME WHAT THIS MEANS!!!

Charlz Guybon posted:

1.6% with 88%

I like this trend.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 02:53

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Fulchrum posted:

Recount still makes the GOP poo poo themselves in an emergency meeting tomorrow.

And it's still better to go into a recount ahead by 1000 votes than behind.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 03:02

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# ¿ May 15, 2024 13:40

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Zil posted:

https://twitter.com/DavidWright_CNN/status/973742716122169344

Look at the number of precincts.

Now imagine you have to get 3 people in all of them, in five days.

# ¿ Mar 14, 2018 03:19

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