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facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

RFC2324 posted:

every new ce thread should open with a Grover style prediction post for the month

In May:

- Nothing will substantively happen in the Russia investigation.
- Trump won't fire Mueller, Rosenstein, or Sessions
- There still won't be a VA Secretary
- Kelly will no longer be Chief of Staff, the CoS position will be vacant
- Michael Cohen will be charged with campaign finance violations
- Israel will attack Syria three times, twice Iranians will be there
- Trump will not announce a pullout from any warzone
- McCain will return to the Senate, make noises about being "unchained", and continue to vote for Trump stuff
- Laura Ingraham will be replaced at Fox News
- The immigrant caravan will be quietly processed for asylum claims with minimal rejections

Edit/response to below: May is going to be Primary season, so I think the month will mostly be quiet and politically full of dumb show votes that won't actually do anything. The crazy world poo poo and the total wackyness is impossible to predict, like that FBI raid on Michael Cohen, so I went for poo poo I thought would happen.

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 04:57 on May 1, 2018

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facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Oh hell yeah, this is like an old favorite character coming back for a mini-run in the second season!

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/991348758779752449?s=19

quote:

Bornstein said that Trump cut ties with him after he told the New York Times that Trump takes Propecia, a drug for enlarged prostates that is often prescribed to stimulate hair growth in men. Bornstein told the Times that he prescribed Trump drugs for rosacea and cholesterol as well.

The story also quotes Bornstein recalling that he had told Rhona Graff, Trump's longtime assistant, "You know, I should be the White House physician."

After the story ran on February 1, 2017, Bornstein said Graff called him and said, "So you wanted to be the White House doctor? Forget it, you're out.' "

Two days after the story ran, the men came to his office.

"I couldn't believe anybody was making a big deal out of a drug to grow his hair that seemed to be so important. And it certainly was not a breach of medical trust to tell somebody they take Propecia to grow their hair. What's the matter with that?"

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

facialimpediment posted:

Oh hell yeah, this is like an old favorite character coming back for a mini-run in the second season!

Ok he's better in season 2

https://twitter.com/JaxAlemany/status/991386021718908931?s=19

Edit: oh hey https://twitter.com/PhilipRucker/status/991391858302619648?s=19

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 20:01 on May 1, 2018

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
There's a motorhome/RV pursuit currently ongoing in LA, a domestic violence parolee with an 11-month old and 3-year old in the RV. Unfortunately, the chopper had to turn back due to lovely weather and congested skies, so the active feed just died.

Stay tuned!

http://ktla.com/2018/05/01/lapd-pursue-motor-home-in-hollywood-area/

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
The Good Doctor isn't shutting up.

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/991454390455332864

I mean, duh, but still!

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...9bfe_story.html

quote:

In a tense meeting in early March with the special counsel, President Trump’s lawyers insisted he had no obligation to talk with federal investigators probing Russia’s interference in the 2016 presidential campaign.

But special counsel Robert S. Mueller III responded that he had another option if Trump declined: He could issue a subpoena for the president to appear before a grand jury, according to four people familiar with the encounter.


Mueller’s warning — the first time he is known to have mentioned a possible subpoena to Trump’s legal team — spurred a sharp retort from John Dowd, then the president’s lead lawyer.

“This isn’t some game,” Dowd said, according to two people with knowledge of his comments. “You are screwing with the work of the president of the United States.”

The flare-up set in motion weeks of turmoil among Trump’s attorneys as they debated how to deal with the special counsel’s request for an interview, a dispute that ultimately led to Dowd’s resignation.

Edit: Side note, issuing the President a subpoena is completely untested. Ken Starr issued one to Clinton, then dropped it when Clinton volunteered to testify. That would be one hell of a legal fight in an untested legal area.

Edit2: or I'm wrong https://twitter.com/justinjm1/status/991474387298775040

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 01:29 on May 2, 2018

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Hot Karl Marx posted:

Like is this a running gag with this administration or do they just never start? Or is the answer simply: Trump!?

The administration is a running gag!

It's a classic thing where they plan out a theme, schedule events, and have speeches ready to go, then Donnie opens his word factory and that's that. Seven if they get him to an event, he just meanders around or literally takes the speech and throws it up in the air, calling it boring.

Look inside yourself and you will discover the true infrastructure week.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Well rip

https://twitter.com/nytmike/status/991715841380175872?s=19

There's a caveat that Emmet Flood might not even accept it though!

Trump is particularly pissy today because: https://twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/991703895696125953?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Spot the dictation.

https://twitter.com/KellyO/status/991752035916804097?s=19

all of it

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Early candidate for Picture of the Month

https://twitter.com/dougmillsnyt/status/991790622641217536

(check out the fingers and her buttons)

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
wooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

https://twitter.com/passantino/status/991856728454123520

ps

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Godholio posted:

:stare: Holy poo poo. They're just going to ineptly try to disappear Rudy, Killary style.

Giuliani was being interviewed by Hannity. This poo poo was planned.

Wait no, now I changed my mind mid-post.

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/991860201623117824

Stupid Watergate.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
I am completely loving torn between these options of the Giuliani/Hannity interview:

- This was a coordinated plan to toss Cohen under the bus
- Rudy got too comfortable in an interview and loose-lipped the information
- Trump simply doesn't give a poo poo about the Stormy Daniels lawsuit, he's only focused on the Mueller-based criminal-level stuff and doesn't care about the civil case (a few weeks ago he was asking people if the Stormy Daniels lawsuit impacted his poll numbers and they got slightly better)
- They finagled the payments to not run afoul of campaign finance laws through this magic law firm Rudy mentioned, so they're not concerned about it
- Everyone is dumb as hell and has no idea what they're doing

All are completely idiotic which is why any one of them could be true, or they could all be true at the same time. The Trumper line right now is "back off all this poo poo while I'm negotiating with the Norks!!!"

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

They know already!

https://twitter.com/CarrieNBCNews/status/992088015961927680?s=19

NBC says at least one wiretapped call had Trump on it.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Slim Pickens posted:

Did you guys all get an iphone alert at the exact same time or something?

It's a BFD!

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/992089501911564291?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Mr. Nice! posted:

Also, don't forget, Trump's newest lawyer Rudy Guiliani flat out called the arrangement between Cohen and Trump to pay off Daniels "funneling" as if it weren't any more obvious they were trying to hide what was happening.

it me

it us

it everyone

https://twitter.com/davidjoachim/status/992107093992919041?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
ROODY! ROODY! ROODY!

https://twitter.com/justinjm1/status/992117813174206464?s=19

https://twitter.com/justinjm1/status/992118206050504705?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Oh man, Paul Ryan can't even fire the House Chaplain right.

https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/992130319498252290?s=19

https://twitter.com/jim_newell/status/992134189523914755?s=19

Ryan's Chief of Staff: "Maybe it's time we had a chaplain that wasn't a Catholic"

https://twitter.com/AlexNBCNews/status/992136964748070914?s=19

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 21:22 on May 3, 2018

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
GODDAMNIT, NBC hosed UP

https://twitter.com/KenDilanianNBC/status/992150482989780993?s=19

FKANDNSNBSKS

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 22:15 on May 3, 2018

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
And so ends the saga of Paul Ryan Learns That Jesuits Are Not To Be hosed With

https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/992159883129688065?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

RACES ARE NEGRO

NEGRO I TELL YOU

https://twitter.com/sfpathe/status/992202466648383488

WAIT, WHY ARE YOU LOOKING AT ME FUNNY, YOU MUST BE FRIENDS WITH COCAINE MITCH I'VE NEVER USED A RACE WORD

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Eventually, someone's going to flip like a loving pancake.

https://twitter.com/WillieGeist/status/992364143335395328?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Rudy rules.

https://twitter.com/ElizLanders/status/992404234330103808?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Since this will make the news with minimal context and freak y'all out, here's some background.

Manafort has charges pending against him in both Alexandria, VA and DC. The Federal Judge in VA got a bit mouthy towards Mueller's people today, for some reason.

https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/992424177788444674?s=19

Chances are, this is a judicial ploy to get the Mueller people on-record before ruling for Mueller. Apparently this judge has a history of that kind of thing:

https://twitter.com/Delavegalaw/status/992435235668164608?s=19

The judge also wants to see Rosenstein's memo appointing Mueller. That memo is currently the subject of a Rosenstein-House GOP dust-up. The document is currently partially redacted and Rosenstein won't give the unredacted copy to the House because it would immediately leak. The Judge has said that he might publically release the memo, so there might be a conflict there too.

https://twitter.com/BBuchman_CNS/status/992435011495366657?s=19

Fun with Lifetime Appointments!

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

facialimpediment posted:

Since this will make the news with minimal context and freak y'all out, here's some background.

Trump is apparently reading the CNN article version of this out loud at the NRA convention.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
WSJ has Cohen upping his loans by $774k during the campaign for unknown reasons.

NYT has the Trump Organization, including the CFO, involved in the Cohen reimbursements regarding Stormy Daniels.

Cohen keeps getting closer to hosed, but campaign finance poo poo is always notoriously hard to prove, especially when nobody can see your rec-hey wait

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Bored As gently caress posted:

She's a crazy anti Muslim oval office who espouses and spreads a bigoted message.

Our president is a crazy anti-Muslim oval office who espouses and spreads a bigoted message, so I'm not really sure why you're so upset!!!

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
lol Donnie's nominee for CIA almost pulled out

https://twitter.com/CarolLeonnig/status/993184411326795777?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Dead Reckoning posted:

To be fair, it's going to be hard to find someone who A) has built a career over the last 17 years in the CIA, including operations experience, and B) has never been involved in anything shady or embarrassing.

The big thing is that any other potential pick for Donnie's CIA Director is likely to be worse. It's a Devil you know/don't decision right now.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Take it from Trump's wives, there is no O.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Yo.

I'm actually not kidding about this, I think reality is broken.

https://twitter.com/esaagar/status/993540219990355968?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Well, this is a problem / not good:

https://twitter.com/RonanFarrow/status/993630020701773825

quote:

As his prominence as a voice against sexual misconduct has risen, so, too, has the distress of four women with whom he has had romantic relationships or encounters. They accuse Schneiderman of having subjected them to nonconsensual physical violence. All have been reluctant to speak out, fearing reprisal. But two of the women, Michelle Manning Barish and Tanya Selvaratnam, have talked to The New Yorker on the record, because they feel that doing so could protect other women.

They allege that he repeatedly hit them, often after drinking, frequently in bed and never with their consent. Manning Barish and Selvaratnam categorize the abuse he inflicted on them as “assault.” They did not report their allegations to the police at the time, but both say that they eventually sought medical attention after having been slapped hard across the ear and face, and also choked. Selvaratnam says that Schneiderman warned her he could have her followed and her phones tapped, and both say that he threatened to kill them if they broke up with him. (Schneiderman’s spokesperson said that he “never made any of these threats.”)

A third former romantic partner of Schneiderman’s told Manning Barish and Selvaratnam that he also repeatedly subjected her to nonconsensual physical violence, but she told them that she is too frightened of him to come forward. (The New Yorker has independently vetted the accounts that they gave of her allegations.) A fourth woman, an attorney who has held prominent positions in the New York legal community, says that Schneiderman made an advance toward her; when she rebuffed him, he slapped her across the face with such force that it left a mark that lingered the next day. She recalls screaming in surprise and pain, and beginning to cry, and says that she felt frightened. She has asked to remain unidentified, but shared a photograph of the injury with The New Yorker.

In a statement, Schneiderman said, “In the privacy of intimate relationships, I have engaged in role-playing and other consensual sexual activity. I have not assaulted anyone. I have never engaged in nonconsensual sex, which is a line I would not cross.”

Kind of difficult to claim the moral high ground against Trump when you've LITERALLY HIT FOUR WOMEN in the past.

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 00:19 on May 8, 2018

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

LtCol J. Krusinski posted:

Sounds like 4 dishonorable women trying to sully the good name of this man. Why then had they not come out before? Huh?

-MAGA chud

You have it backwards!

Trump has HATED Schneiderman for years, therefore all of the women are honest, trustworthy, and Schneiderman should resign.

I'm sort of shocked Trump hasn't tweeted yet. Should be any minute. He sort of called this in a 2013 tweet because there's always a tweet.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
DONEZO.

https://twitter.com/jakesNYT/status/993877269834883074?s=19

We'll see how much it matters based on what Congress likely doesn't do. could end up being a collective world meh, or Iran starts going for nukes.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

RIP Israel

https://twitter.com/KenWeinstein/status/993894618285535232?s=19

(thin sourcing, but this Iran deal pullout thing COULD explode or fizzle into nothing)



But there's only one important opinion: https://twitter.com/the_ironsheik/status/993896095326654464?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

holocaust bloopers posted:

Did he cancel it in name only?

Supposedly a six-month pause in reimplementation of sanctions.

He doesn't know what the gently caress is in the deal, so likely kicking it down the road to be a midterm issue, or give his administration time to make some kind of plan other than IRAN BAD GO AWAY.

Best description: https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/993915527126028288?s=19



Better source on the Israel poo poo: https://twitter.com/AmichaiStein1/status/993913648786657280?s=19

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Unironic good news!

Remember this rear end in a top hat from Charlottesville? The one that fired at the Flamethrower Hero?

https://twitter.com/JoeHeim/status/993949044174131203?s=19

Apparently he was planning to go to a full trial and argue self-defense, then gave up and pled no-contest. The government then presented the case, judge found him guilty of firing a weapon within 1,000 feet of a school property. Max is 10 years.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

My original thought was "this is really weird" as I worked through the document at https://www.dropbox.com/s/pskgpwr15r48tx5/Executive%20Summary.pdf?dl=0

But now, I'm like:

https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/993963753736634368

THIS IS REALLY WEIRD

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
ATT stuff confirmed.

https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/993990899565654016?s=19

Russian oligarch poo poo confirmed.

https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/993988947176050694?s=19

Mueller knew about some of it.

https://twitter.com/chrisgeidner/status/993978494546857984?s=19

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facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
This should be fun.

https://twitter.com/AP/status/994328096462589952?s=19

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