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Chef Boyardeez Nuts
Sep 9, 2011

The more you kick against the pricks, the more you suffer.
Assuming the military divides on ideology then Red America is boned. The left would hold the coasts and could be supplied indefinitely. Chicago, Detroit and Milwaukee are prebuilt strongholds that can't be isolated without attacking Canada. The heartland is worth gently caress all when the majority of the cities and urban areas in the South and Midwest are going to break blue and require pacification and an extensive garrison.

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WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Assuming the military divides on ideology then Red America is boned. The left would hold the coasts and could be supplied indefinitely. Chicago, Detroit and Milwaukee are prebuilt strongholds that can't be isolated without attacking Canada. The heartland is worth gently caress all when the majority of the cities and urban areas in the South and Midwest are going to break blue and require pacification and an extensive garrison.

This is the cringiest poo poo ive ever heard

HorrificExistence
Jun 25, 2017

by Athanatos

LeoMarr posted:

This is the cringiest poo poo ive ever heard

yeah agrred, the war will be cringy and funny af

really fat ppls smakin each other

Marxalot
Dec 24, 2008

Appropriator of
Dan Crenshaw's Eyepatch

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Assuming the military divides on ideology then Red America is boned. The left would hold the coasts and could be supplied indefinitely. Chicago, Detroit and Milwaukee are prebuilt strongholds that can't be isolated without attacking Canada. The heartland is worth gently caress all when the majority of the cities and urban areas in the South and Midwest are going to break blue and require pacification and an extensive garrison.

Free CBoyardee.

Chef Boyardeez Nuts
Sep 9, 2011

The more you kick against the pricks, the more you suffer.
Post your map.

I know it's dumb

Catboy Autonomist
Jun 23, 2018

IS IT SUPWISING THAT PWISONS WESEMBWE FACTOWIES, SCHOOWS, WHICH AWW WESEMBWE PWISONS?

go back to reddit nerd

HorrificExistence
Jun 25, 2017

by Athanatos

HorrificExistence posted:

It seems like the USA is gonna have a mass collision of all of its bullshit by at least 2020. probably spurred on by the election:


Evidence?

Levels of violence between armed and semi-armed groups is reaching lethal levels, we all know about Charlottesville, but this is from last week in portland.

https://twitter.com/DavidNeiwert/st...genumber%3D1351
;
Americans are also really loving dumb and prone to conspiracy non-sense, a few weeks ago

https://twitter.com/bubbaprog/status/1007945984314368000

I think state employees are too entrenched to allow a geniune trump take over, but he is movng the window inexorably towards fascism.

What will the civil war look like? Well I think we are already seeing it. Pre-planned street-fights with a few dozen casualities each round. It will resemble the early Wiemar Republic more than 1862.

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:

yeah who knows. it could blow up really badly. on the other hand, if the counter-demonstrators' plan works, then they'll bring out a lot of liberals and socialists. it could be like that one PP rally after the guy who attended their events killed those people on the train. a lot of people turned out and i don't think there was any violence.

here's an extremely tactical ms paint map showing what the terrain looks like:



patriot prayer (brown) is gathering at salmon street springs and bussing people in from vancouver starting at 10:00 a.m. last bus leaves vancouver around 11:30.

the coalition of anarchist groups (black) are meeting in the waterfront park which i'm guessing is that thing on the bottom left at 11:30.

the pop mob (red) of everyone else is meeting at the plaza in front of city hall at 10:30. the DSA is meeting a few blocks away at another park and marching to city hall at 10:30. then they'll march toward PP in a big group (i think).

now look a little closer from a different angle. PP is gathering HERE:



the lines are the directions of possible movement in and out. (i'm assuming PP's buses are arriving from the right since that's where they would come if they're coming from vancouver.)

on the left, this section of the park is buttressed by an old offramp from the hawthorne bridge that's been cut down and converted into a bicycle ramp. that's a solid wall. pedestrians can pass underneath the bridge to the rest of the park (farther left) but it serves as a barrier of sorts. so if i'm guessing right, the anarchists and the PP will be on opposite sides of that. the area to the right is fenced in and looks like an event space (like for carnivals).

PP will have their backs to the river but that's probably on purpose. don't know what the cops will do but my guess is an L-shaped riot line along the street facing both ways and to the left. if they do that, then it'll probably just be a bunch of people shouting at each other.

but if PP gets amped up on meth and kratom and decides to take off marching then all bets are off.

edit: i'd add that gibson changed the plan originally. he was first going to meet at the plaza (the site for a lot of PP events) but moved it to this location. also some pretty good sight lines for police sharpshooters on those buildings...

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Congrats you have discovered modern protesting. Something that people have done for literally centuries at this point without it resulting in civil war.

HorrificExistence
Jun 25, 2017

by Athanatos
this will be a street fight lol

just a preplanned street brawl

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Again yes this is not new, people have organized protests and expected violence like this for hundreds of years, usually from the state. This is like history of the labour movement.txt

The difference is that you're just noticing it.

Like probably the most famous example dates from 1936:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Cable_Street

tldr, antifa and a bunch of commies go and beat up a bunch of fascists and their copper escort. A very good thing all in all and amazingly not the prelude to civil war.

OwlFancier fucked around with this message at 22:59 on Aug 2, 2018

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

In this thread we take any and all protests and magnify them into the powder keg being lit. nika nika nika

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Like mate, the number of people dying in ideological street fights is virtually nonexistent compared to the number of its own citizens the US government directly kills with guns every day, but that's not a civil war.

HorrificExistence
Jun 25, 2017

by Athanatos

OwlFancier posted:

Like mate, the number of people dying in ideological street fights is virtually nonexistent compared to the number of its own citizens the US government directly kills with guns every day, but that's not a civil war.

where do we draw the line? Most IR methodology considers 25 battle deaths a year to be a war

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Then welcome to the class war that has been going on probably since forever?

Like fundamentally I don't at all understand thinking that these protests are remarkable, they aren't. They've been perhaps less common and less reported for a few decades than they once were, but that's it. Things almost exactly like them have happened many many times before for a very long time. And constant, much greater violence on a much wider scale than them has been ongoing for a very long time.

OwlFancier fucked around with this message at 23:13 on Aug 2, 2018

mazzi Chart Czar
Sep 24, 2005
If Civil war breaks out in the United States, doesn't it just become a race to see who can get their hands on a nuke first?

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/02/nuclear-truckers/

Aardark
Aug 5, 2004

by Lowtax
A race to get one nuke? What would that do? Aren't there thousands? Whoever controls those wins (and/or probably starts a world war).

The Dipshit
Dec 21, 2005

by FactsAreUseless

Aardark posted:

A race to get one nuke? What would that do? Aren't there thousands? Whoever controls those wins (and/or probably starts a world war).

More. Also, a month and change back they stopped the down-blending operation line used to decommission warheads not in active service at the Savannah River Site. Putting those warheads backing to service doesn't take all that much work, frankly.

So, 100% not 7,000ish, which I think was the U.S.'s maximum back in the day, but potentially more than what we have by official treaty, whatever that number is.

BENGHAZI 2
Oct 13, 2007

by Cyrano4747

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Assuming the military divides on ideology then Red America is boned. The left would hold the coasts and could be supplied indefinitely. Chicago, Detroit and Milwaukee are prebuilt strongholds that can't be isolated without attacking Canada. The heartland is worth gently caress all when the majority of the cities and urban areas in the South and Midwest are going to break blue and require pacification and an extensive garrison.

I mean upstate New York would be a huge red blob in the middle of that and further up the coast you get more conservative but go off king

upgunned shitpost
Jan 21, 2015

lol... gently caress off. america is nowhere near that cool anymore.

this broken hill
Apr 10, 2018

by Lowtax
i fought in the old revolution
on the side of the ghost and the king
of course we were so young
and i thought that we were winning
i can't pretend i still feel very much like singing
as they carry the bodies awaaaaay

mazzi Chart Czar
Sep 24, 2005

Aardark posted:

A race to get one nuke? What would that do? Aren't there thousands? Whoever controls those wins (and/or probably starts a world war).

Don't know how big the various nukes are. How many nukes are needed to blow up the General DC area, or the bigger cities: New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Philadelphia, Phoenix, San Antonio, San Diego,




BENGHAZI 2 posted:

I mean upstate New York would be a huge red blob in the middle of that and further up the coast you get more conservative but go off king

Yeah but they're not southern republicans. Wouldn't they just use their money to buy off the New Yorkers around them as a sort of make shift defense against the poor.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Jericho reruns on netflix have gotten you guys going nutty

I mean come on, nukee really? Do you people realize nukes are launch code protected you dont think the US GOVERNMENT of all organizations hasnt thought this fact out

Liquid Communism
Mar 9, 2004


Out here, everything hurts.




Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Assuming the military divides on ideology then Red America is boned. The left would hold the coasts and could be supplied indefinitely. Chicago, Detroit and Milwaukee are prebuilt strongholds that can't be isolated without attacking Canada. The heartland is worth gently caress all when the majority of the cities and urban areas in the South and Midwest are going to break blue and require pacification and an extensive garrison.

I don't suppose you've spent any time at all around military folks in the last decade or two, have you?

Just a hint, the people volunteering to serve in decade three of the Forever War In The Middle East are unlikely to be leftists.

Slutitution
Jun 26, 2018

by Nyc_Tattoo
Just lmfao if you think a civil war is possible in this country with netflix and free porn now

I'm not even getting into how tech giants and the military are completely immune from a traditional People's War

Bastard Tetris
Apr 27, 2005

L-Shaped


Nap Ghost

Slutitution posted:

Just lmfao if you think a civil war is possible in this country with netflix and free porn now

I'm not even getting into how tech giants and the military are completely immune from a traditional People's War

Lol yeah let’s use Maoist tactics in a world with flying robots armed with air to ground missiles- have fun with that.

KingFisher
Oct 30, 2006
WORST EDITOR in the history of my expansion school's student paper. Then I married a BEER HEIRESS and now I shitpost SA by white-knighting the status quo to defend my unearned life of privilege.
Fun Shoe
Rather than game theorying out about when or how a civil war is going to happen. Let us ask a more interesting and relevant question.

What line would the government or fellow citizen have to cross to cause you personally to take up arms individually?

For example say weekly neo Nazis parades became a feature in major cities around the country?

Or say the government decided to raise tax rates to be confiscatory say 100% of all income above 100k.

Or civilian ownership of arms is made practically impossible.

Or a religions houses of worship all being sized and closed.

Or the children of a minority group are all taken from thier parents.

Or the police rountinely murder citizens of X group with impunity.

Where is your line to actually kill someone?

No protesting doesn't count as violence.
Also I am of the general opinion that protesting is only legal specifically because it has no effect.
I.E. those in power will enable you to have all the sound and fury you want, but anything that couse result in actual change is illegal.

KingFisher fucked around with this message at 09:55 on Aug 3, 2018

drilldo squirt
Aug 18, 2006

a beautiful, soft meat sack
Clapping Larry
You first.

Slutitution
Jun 26, 2018

by Nyc_Tattoo
I'm predicting the violence in 2020 will reach 1968 levels, but nothing like a "civil war." It's going to be between alt-right and antifa retards who are too stupid to realize that the real power brokers in this country are not going to be participating in street fights. It's going to be entertaining, though.


Bastard Tetris posted:

Lol yeah let’s use Maoist tactics in a world with flying robots armed with air to ground missiles- have fun with that.

Thanks for agreeing with me, I guess?

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

KingFisher
Oct 30, 2006
WORST EDITOR in the history of my expansion school's student paper. Then I married a BEER HEIRESS and now I shitpost SA by white-knighting the status quo to defend my unearned life of privilege.
Fun Shoe

I actually have defined many of these lines for myself. I'd be happy to get into each line and why.

I brought this topic up because it's similar to an advanced directive, IE telling the doctor's how much effort to take to save your life.

I for example don't want to be kept alive if I am in a coma or similar state.

I have thought of similar rules for when I will take up arms.

"When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the laws of natuee and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation."

Just update the following text.

KingFisher fucked around with this message at 10:05 on Aug 3, 2018

drilldo squirt
Aug 18, 2006

a beautiful, soft meat sack
Clapping Larry
Start with answering your own question without being intentionally vague and word saladly.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Slutitution posted:

I'm predicting the violence in 2020 will reach 1968 levels, but nothing like a "civil war." It's going to be between alt-right and antifa retards who are too stupid to realize that the real power brokers in this country are not going to be participating in street fights. It's going to be entertaining, though.

protip both sides are well aware that the other side are not the ones in charge, that's not why fights happen.

Bastard Tetris
Apr 27, 2005

L-Shaped


Nap Ghost

Slutitution posted:

I'm predicting the violence in 2020 will reach 1968 levels, but nothing like a "civil war." It's going to be between alt-right and antifa retards who are too stupid to realize that the real power brokers in this country are not going to be participating in street fights. It's going to be entertaining, though.


Thanks for agreeing with me, I guess?

Well yeah, I just think it’s funny when open carry dipshits think they’re going to overthrow the government with small arms.

mazzi Chart Czar
Sep 24, 2005

KingFisher posted:

Rather than game theorying out about when or how a civil war is going to happen. Let us ask a more interesting and relevant question.

What line would the government or fellow citizen have to cross to cause you personally to take up arms individually?


The final line would be not having enough food and either you or your kid. When people are hungry that's when the real killing will start.

San Francisco banned a white nationalist parade and then they had normal San Fransisco parade, so if Nazi's start marching regularly in an area a person can run to other parts of the country. Another way for people to start killing is when state or a group of states can officially recognized themselves as a country and declare war, and mobilize an army.



Slutitution posted:

Just lmfao if you think a civil war is possible in this country with netflix and free porn now

I'm not even getting into how tech giants and the military are completely immune from a traditional People's War

A lot of the tech giants still rely on the US infrastructure electrical grid. You don't need to blow up the hoover dam, just seize it and cut the lines, and the ability to use drones is reduced as well as a lot of internet usage.

Dolphin
Dec 5, 2008

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Nearly every election in Kenya there's violent protests, roadblocks and killing. There's periodic famine and poor access to healthcare and high poverty rates and they STILL haven't had a civil war.

In the US there's like arguments about healthcare and stuff and high income disparity... there won't be a civil war anytime soon

The Dipshit
Dec 21, 2005

by FactsAreUseless

mazzi Chart Czar posted:

The final line would be not having enough food and either you or your kid. When people are hungry that's when the real killing will start.


Shhhh, I wanna see how long a cspam thread can last in D&D.

Flowers For Algeria
Dec 3, 2005

I humbly offer my services as forum inquisitor. There is absolutely no way I would abuse this power in any way.


Anyone ITT who wouldn’t organize (or at least participate in) a mob liberate a child concentration camp by force of arms is a coward and would be literally complicit in crimes against humanity.

Avirosb
Nov 21, 2016

Everyone makes pisstakes
I don't fancy going all the way to America just to get myself shot but I'm with you in spirit.

TROIKA CURES GREEK
Jun 30, 2015

by R. Guyovich

Flowers For Algeria posted:

Anyone ITT who wouldn’t organize (or at least participate in) a mob liberate a child concentration camp by force of arms is a coward and would be literally complicit in crimes against humanity.

Well yeah, most people , like you , are cowards.

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

Dolphin posted:

Nearly every election in Kenya there's violent protests, roadblocks and killing. There's periodic famine and poor access to healthcare and high poverty rates and they STILL haven't had a civil war.

In the US there's like arguments about healthcare and stuff and high income disparity... there won't be a civil war anytime soon

Tho tbh civil wars are often sparked by much less. For example the US revolution and Civil War, inspired by a small tax increase and the prospect that maybe at some point the right to own slaves could be limited, respectively.

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shame on an IGA
Apr 8, 2005

Bangladesh is gouging its eyes out over bus vs pedestrian right of way laws right now

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