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sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
The one thing that confuses me a little is how the Democrats not winning in traditional pure red hellscapes like Texas and Georgia is being treated as some kind of proof of living in the :matters: hellworld by some people. Like, going into this the Senate was a 10:1 longshot for the Dems even accounting for the favorable polling, just because of which seats were up this time around.

The Democrats accomplished what they could plausibly do: massively boost turnout over normal midterm elections, comfortably retake the house, and get a bunch of state/local government wins. The popular vote margin was like +9 or something, which even with all the electoral problems baked into our system means that 2020 is an apocalyptic loss for Trump. Especially since the GOP specifically tanked in a bunch of the narrow win states that let Trump win the electoral college in the first place. Everyone was afraid of an unforced D flub leading to a 2016 replay and that emphaticaly didn't happen.

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sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Oxxidation posted:

because it gets them paid

people have this persistent belief that the democratic leadership is just ignorant when in fact they're doing their jobs, i.e., the thing that gets them paid

when pelosi talks about bipartisanship and returning to the status quo she's talking to her employers, not to you

Also, speaking anecdotally there are a HUGE number of people who LOVE bipartisanship talk, even though it's proven to be completely worthless IRL.

Paying lip service to it is fine for a politician as long as they don't actually BELIEVE it.

Unfortunately Pelosi is a shity go-along-to-get-along establishment Democrat dinosaur. I do believe she's totally down for opening 100,000 investigations on Trump at least.

Covok posted:

We won! They lost! For gently caress sake, be happy you covoking broke brains.

:hmmyes:

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Tibalt posted:

Man, I didn't realize that Pelosi was the chair of every committee and that also a vague speech about bipartisan meant you forfeited subpoena powers for 2 years.

(Ryan didn't like what Nunes was doing, hint hint)

eke out posted:

also good thing the speaker does not exert meaningful control over committee business in this way

unless you think like Waters, Cummings, Schiff, etc that've spent years talking about the investigations they want to do and were literally saying this last night are going to be blocked by Pelosi

Solkanar512 posted:

Pelosi doesn’t control committees.

Also I'm pretty sure Pelosi only said it won't be an immediate priority to impeach Trump, which given that there are no votes in the senate to convict right now anyway is basically conceding nothing IRL.

e:

J.A.B.C. posted:

Now is the winter of our SUBPOENA HIS TAX RETURNS YOU COWARDS!

Lol jk :decorum:

Pretty sure they outright said this is what they plan to do already.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Tibalt posted:

The economy going bad is almost certainly a bad thing for Trump.

America very consistently blames the president for a recession.

Also government deadlock, hilariously enough.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Your Taint posted:

lol if you believe a single person who voted Republican in 2016 or yesterday would believe it was Trump's fault for a single second.

The purestrain trumpists by themselves are a minority. The goal is to swamp them, not to convert them. Democrats win by motivating EVERYONE ELSE, e.g. by convincing them that Trump is bankrupting them.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
I don't think trying to extrapolate from here to 2022 is very helpful or meaningful honestly.

If the Democrats can drive up turnout in 2020 like they did in 2018 vs. a normal mid term, Trump gets his poo poo pushed in. Trying to look past that now is like trying to read chicken entrails to tell the future or something.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Paradoxish posted:

I'm also thinking that 2018 is pretty drat near peak anti-Trump

Nah, if/when the economy tanks because of his garbage policies it can go much, much lower.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
How much younger and less white will the electorate be in 2020+?

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
The electorate breaking D+9 is great news FOR REPUBLICANS LOL

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Nemo Somen posted:

The Good:
[list]
[*] Can now stop parts of conservative legislative agenda

This severely understates what happened. No new law at all can be passed without the approval of the House. It is also where all spending and revenue legislation originates. The Democrats can 100% kill ANY proposed GOP legislation now.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
How different will the 2020 demographics be from 2016?

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
Wait, if Trump fires Mueller now that the Democrats are taking the House that would seem to accomplish... exactly gently caress-all for Trump?

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

goethe.cx posted:

Now imagine if we hadn't just won the house

Not empty quoting.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
It's more that firing Mueller when the Democratic majority House will just come in and start investigating in his place instantly is so utterly pointless. Especially since they can just literally tell Mueller to tell them everything and give them all his poo poo, and then even use him as a consultant for the investigation they'll be doing in the place of his original investigation.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

DandyLion posted:

Except then it will obviously be a totally very super fake DEMORAT investigation and not a mostly fake RINO super double secret Hilldog run investigation, you idiot, you absolute moron.

So no change from how they already talk about it anyway.

Mueller couldn't prosecute Trump cronies directly if he's not special counsel anymore, but since Trump can pardon federal charges anyway it probably helps to just dump the evidence in the laps of state prosecutors to use.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Sky Shadowing posted:

More likely they're hoping to burn all the work Mueller did so the Dems have to start all over again and it takes until the next election to determine anything.

I'm pretty sure Mueller has access to copying technology.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

mdemone posted:

This depends on what you think John Roberts is, at his core.

John Roberts would think far enough ahead to consider if this would prevent loving with future Democratic presidents.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Pollyanna posted:

Wait. Is this a good or bad thing?

Mostly really loving stupid, especially now that the Democrats are taking the House, because at this point any attempt to bury what Mueller is investigating is doomed to fail hilariously.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

evilweasel posted:

Unlikely. The most likely reason is simply that Republicans made him wait until after the midterms because they were concerned it would hurt them. The midterms are over, so Trump is now doing what he always wanted to do.

Can't believe I'm saying this about anything, but Trump was sorta right. It would have been much smarter for him to obstruct the investigation up front than to let it drag on, rope in a bunch of his cronies, and then try to kill it after the mid-terms just so the Democrats can revive it in a different form, undoubtedly with the help of Mueller, the second they take over the House.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Kobayashi posted:

“Bipartisanship” and “common ground” are anachronistic holdovers from the Obama era.

The public loving LOVES hearing their politicians talking about that kind of reaching across the aisle decorum poo poo, no matter how disconnected from reality it is. "Why can't they work together to solve our problems?" It's fantastic rhetoric.

The only problem is if you actually BELIEVE it, instead of just talking nice until Trump gives you a pretext to tell him to go gently caress off and die. Which is usually measured in minutes rather than days.

My confidence that Pelosi gets that distinction is ehhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Condiv posted:

cuddling up to big banks isn't helping them

forcing them to have expensive, unusable health insurance while all of the nearby clinics are shutting down is another

telling them jobs are just gone and they aren't coming back is another

It's absolutely legit to bash the Democrats for blowing their economic credibility with people with triangulating third way bullshit, but if you think say rural Tennessee would break blue if only Democrats would push harder for the little guy then just LOL. Socialism only sells in a lot of these places when it's Whites Only. As much as the Democratic record on civil rights is inadequate, a lot of these rural voters want to roll back to Jim Crow tier "keep them in their place" poo poo.

There are exceptions that the Democrats should totally target to win over with Actual Good Policies, and in some cases they did it in this very election! But trying to win over some of these places with more Klan chapters than science teachers is probably uh not feasible (or moral.)

Hellblazer187 posted:

What are the Dem policies specifically that rural voters dont like?

Civil rights for anyone but straight white people who love Jeezus, if we're honest.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Condiv posted:

if you immediately assume that you can't win these people without appealing to racism, you've trapped yourself into candidates like donnelly.

Nah. I'm all for pushing Good Dems everywhere and not garbagemen, but you have to be realistic that if you're going to stick to your principles then some places will not be winnable in the short term. A depressing amount of rural american voters are not compatible with candidates that believe that black people are human beings. That's just an objective fact.

I'm arguing you stick with your principles, in case that's not clear. Some places simply can't be won without pandering to race hate, so you have to accept the risk of losing them.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Hellblazer187 posted:

Fulchrum I don't think this is factually correct. According to Gallup, 60% support stricter gun laws, while 70% support Medicare for all.

Still, the point is taken that it's hard to drop a policy that polls at 60%.

Also it's another one of those things in the category of "Maybe if we sell out our principles on this issue the lovely whites will like us again!" that never works IRL because the Republicans always promise more and they'll never believe the Democrats anyway.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Losing the single party monopoly on power to own the libs.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Hellblazer187 posted:

Is there a political way out for our country? I keep thinking it's going to come down to violence. I don't want that, I'm not advocating that. But when one side just decides that truth doesn't matter, only power does, it sets us down a path I'm not sure how we escape. I don't know that our divisions can be healed. It's worrying and I don't know where to talk about it or if I'm even supposed to talk about it.

This was always true, it just used to be hidden under a veneer of decorum or simply not exposed like it is now by modern media.

What do you think the Jim Crow south was like, which is literally in living memory? Cops killing unarmed black people isn't new, the visibility is. poo poo, the KKK almost literally took over the Indiana state government at one point. I mean the literally wearing costumes one.

poo poo has always been hosed, you're just less sheltered from it now. The struggle to unfuck America has always been necessary. It's just harder to hide from it now.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
The NYT does lots of good anti-Trump reporting, and lots of pants-shittingly awful BOTH SIDES :decorum: editorializing.

With Haberman's shitfuck access "journalism" tweeting on the side.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
I want this thread to get more alarmed about as much as I want an extra hole in my head.

Actually less, given how this sinus infection is making me feel. :psypop:

evilweasel posted:

in the same sense that firing comey was good

yes, it would be good except for the fact it was done with a corrupt intent to obstruct an investigation into the president

If Trump fires Mueller now, it's so late in the process that I think it does him more harm than good. It's absolutely obstruction of justice, but it would have been 1,000x more effective as obstruction if he just did it up front.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

evilweasel posted:

yeah it is literally impossible for people to follow two things at once. especially a group of people, that group can literally only follow a single thing.

Plus Trump being hated for more things than people can keep track of isn't some kind of 5D chess super genius masterstroke, it just means he's hit hate saturation and the extra stories are just making the rubble bounce. People not being mad at your pet bad thing because they're mad about a different bad thing ultimately doesn't matter because they're still mad at Trump.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Drone posted:

Also gonna put out there that we need leadership from someone who isn't 78 goddamn years old.

So Bernie needs to gently caress off too?

:thunk:

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
Does the House really produce much in the way of broader party leadership for either side? Ryan was a useless shitbird even from a GOP perspective. "Good" House leaders seem to mainly just herd cats and the bad ones are just hate sinks for both sides.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Deified Data posted:

Do the greens know they're controlled opposition and they're enjoying the grift, or are they legit accelerrationists who think they'll somehow come out on top in a full fascist takeover?

Let's be clear that I'm talking about supporters of the America's Green Party specifically, not supporters of environmentalist parties in general around the world. With that out of the way:

They're loving morons.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

TheScott2K posted:

The Mueller investigation is loving brain cancer to rich liberals. The fact that that's what gets them out of the house is so damning.

On the other hand, anything that makes any demographic hate Trump is good, no matter how low a priority it should actually be in the bigger picture of fascist horror to be be mad at.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

TheScott2K posted:

Just searched "is a shill" on Twitter and yeah you're wrong

Pretty sure it's an inadvertent/unconscious mixing of the connotations of "shill" and "shrill" in his mind.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

evilweasel posted:

The issue is that the Mueller investigation, and protecting it, is basically at this point a proxy fight for the rule of law. By tradition (because the Constitution doesn't really do a good job here) the DOJ is independent of Presidential control to a large degree, to try to keep prosecutorial decisions independent of politics, both to avoid politically motivated prosecutions and to avoid politically motivated blocking of prosecutions. The problem, of course, is that's just tradition: the Constitution isn't set up to wall off the DOJ from the President.

Allowing Trump to use the DOJ the way he wants to use it - a shield for his allies, and a sword against his enemies - would be a huge step towards authoritarianism. It's also why Trump's pardons to date have been so dangerous - it's not a threat to the country that Joe Arpaio didn't spend thirty days in jail, but it's a threat to the republic that he didn't spend thirty days in jail that he deserved to spend in jail because he is an ally of the President.

That's why people consider it so important to protect the Mueller investigation: not because it's going to produce some earth-shattering result that will fix America by banning Trump forever. It's because allowing Trump to end the Mueller investigation implicitly cedes to him the power to end prosecutions for politically motivated reasons, which will rapidly be followed by the power to start prosecutions for politically motivated reasons. And that's a disaster for the country.

Fritz Coldcockin posted:

I'm not sure that attacking people for trying to say that Robert Mueller's investigation should be protected because "YOU DIDN'T PROTEST OTHER THING" is a great idea. If we allow Trump to get away with killing off an investigation into himself we're essentially saying "Nixon was right, the rule of law doesn't apply to the President." It's a horrendously dangerous precedent to set.

Not empty quoting.

And I kind of love the logic of "Rule of law was not followed before, so why ever bother trying to curb an open fascist blowing it off entirely?"

:confuoot:

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:

it absolutely rules watching a lawyer trying to convince himself that no, really, after Bush V Gore 2000, "we tortured some folks," and "for the next two years committing fraud on homeowners is legal" there is such a thing as rule of law for the powerful

sorry, buddy, train sailed on that one a while back, the question now is exactly where the cutoff should be for the law not applying. at last check it's at ~nine figures.

sean10mm posted:

And I kind of love the logic of "Rule of law was not followed before, so why ever bother trying to curb an open fascist blowing it off entirely?"

:confuoot:

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

evilweasel posted:

yeah, it is monumentally stupid to bitch about past times where the rule of law was not followed and come to the conclusion "and that's why we should abolish the rule of law" when it's the bad people who will get more power as a result. like, it would make some amount of sense, though it would be short-sighted, if people were rooting for weakening the rule of law in favor of more power to someone they like. going "lol idiot why do you care about the rule of law, just give more power to trump" is astoundingly stupid

Also Trump doing a bad thing that was previously done by somebody else isn't a reason to not attack him for it. What the gently caress kind of sadbrains :matters: logic is that?

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

AFancyQuestionMark posted:

The QQCS thread was closed.

Also it had more drive by shitposting in it than the tread we were complaining about, somehow.

:ironicat:

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

CubanMissile posted:

She's mentioned it for her overall platform. But I imagine it won't get too much attention since she has to pick her battles and that one is a ways off.

GreyjoyBastard posted:

I've been joking that she's a Bad Dem for this but she advocates for a federal Guaranteed Jobs program over UBI because [reasonably sensible arguments that I'm sure this thread will mention].

Sounds like creeping centrist pragmatism to me, which is the same as Literally Hitler. :j::hf::hitler:

But seriously, UBI isn't exactly something like universal health care where the US is the only dumb outlier in the entire developed world. Countries way to the left of us are only starting to pilot it, if they're doing it at all. It makes sense that she wouldn't be making a hard push for it out of the gate.

sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World

Rectal Death Adept posted:

I actually feel like if the DNC is that out of touch and that foolish to triple down then there needs to be a clear message sent to them because 2016 apparently didn't work. Voting for batman or third party doesn't do the same thing as making Trump's inevitable second win against her a landslide to try and hammer the point home and send a clear message.

That's not what voting for Trump would do. It would just make everyone conclude that America is 100% sincerely Chudland.

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sean10mm
Jun 29, 2005

It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD-2R World
The Dems are lovely in part because nobody participates in primaries, so the primary electorate is unrepresentative old centrist grampas and random wierdos. Lefty policy polls high in the US but those people largely don't vote in primaries so it doesn't actually matter.

The primary fights are de facto fights over what the party even is. If you bitch about Dems while ignoring primaries you are literally embodying the root cause of what you're complaining about.

Once that's over then you're left with the more nazi or less nazi choices in the general, and if you can't tell them apart you're a huge rear end in a top hat.

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