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RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

https://www.bennettinstitute.cam.ac.uk/media/uploads/files/DemocracyReport2020.pdf

quote:

Across the globe, democracy is in a state of malaise. In the mid-1990s, a majority of citizens in countries for which we have time-series data – in North America, Latin America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia and Australasia – were satisfied with the performance of their democracies. Since then, the share of individuals who are “dissatisfied” with democracy has risen by around +10% points, from 47.9 to 57.5%.

This is the highest level of global dissatisfaction since the start of the series in 1995.

After a large increase in civic dissatisfaction in the prior decade, 2019 represents the highest level of democratic discontent on record. The rise in democratic dissatisfaction has been especially sharp since 2005. The year that marks the beginning of the so-called “global democratic recession” is also the high point for global satisfaction with democracy, with just 38.7% of citizens dissatisfied in that year. Since then, the proportion of “dissatisfied” citizens has risen by almost one-fifth of the population (+18.8%).

Many of the world’s most populous democracies – including the United States, Brazil, Nigeria, and Mexico – have led the downward trend. In the United States, levels of dissatisfaction with democracy have risen by over a third of the population in one generation. As a result, many large democracies are at their highest-ever recorded level for democratic dissatisfaction. These include the United States, Brazil, Mexico, the United Kingdom, South Africa, Colombia, and Australia. Other countries that remain close to their all-time highs include Japan, Spain, and Greece.

Citizens of developed democracies have also experienced a large increase in democratic dissatisfaction. While in the 1990s, around two-thirds of the citizens of Europe, North America, Northeast Asia and Australasia felt satisfied with democracy in their countries, today a majority feel dissatisfied. While it goes beyond the scope of this report to explain the cause of this shift, we observe that citizens’ levels of dissatisfaction with democracy are largely responsive to objective circumstances and events – economic shocks, corruption scandals, and policy crises. These have an immediately observable effect upon average levels of civic dissatisfaction.

Yup, everything's hosed.

In honour of Brexit day and the Streatham attack, which was apparently done by someone who was under active loving survillence:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TSMffdtyOwI

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RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
The Met don't need any more loving databases, they already just spin up a new one every time someone raises a stink about their data retention policies. But don't worry, now we're out of Europe we won't have those pesky GDPR / human rights court shitheads interfering anymore:

quote:

About a million people who have not been convicted of any offence, including about a hundred thousand children, are now on the National DNA Database. Many others have been acquitted or have been convicted of relatively minor offences (including begging, being drunk and disorderly, or taking part in an illegal demonstration) but currently remain on the Database for life. Their DNA samples are being kept permanently and may be used for controversial genetic research without their consent.

If you are on the Database, a 2001 law removed your right to have your DNA and associated records destroyed. However, this law was challenged in the European Court of Human Rights (ECthR). The ECtHR made a judgment in December 2008 in the Marper case which means that the law will now have to be changed. However, the Government has not yet implemented the Marper judgment. In the meantime, the Home Office has stated that the Chief Constable of the police force which arrested you does have the discretion to order the removal of your record and destruction of your DNA in 'exceptional circumstances'. Chief Constables are legally responsible for any information they hold about you, including your DNA.

If your DNA is not on the database but you agree that changes are needed to the policy on DNA retention on the database, it is also important that you write to your MP and the press to raise the issue.


Anyway, quoting the actual anglo-centric part of that democracy is deaaaaaaaaaaad document:

quote:

In recent years, there has been an especially acute crisis of democratic faith in the “AngloSaxon” democracies – the United States, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. Overall, the proportion of citizens who are “dissatisfied” with the performance of democracy in these countries has doubled since the 1990s, from a quarter, to half of all individuals.

Though much of this increase is accounted for by the United States, public levels of confidence have also slipped in the United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada. While the proportion of Americans who are dissatisfied with democracy has increased by over one-third of the population (+34 percentage points) since the mid-1990s, this amount has also risen by one-fifth of the population in Australia (+19 percentage points) and Britain (+18 percentage points), and by almost a tenth of Canadians.

What can explain this synchronised downturn in public sentiment across high-income, English-speaking democracies? First, given the concurrence of the shift with the timing of the global financial crisis, economic factors may play an important role. Yet this explanation, while a part of the story, would struggle to explain why Australia, which largely avoided an economic downturn after 2008, appears as negatively affected as Britain and the United States. An alternative though related view is that the financialisation of the U.S., British, Canadian, and Australian economies has led to this outcome by exacerbating spatial inequality between a handful of successful, globally-integrated cosmopolitan cities – New York, London, Toronto, or Sydney – and the rest of their societies. Evidence suggests that rising income inequality also decreases satisfaction with democracy, and [b]the effect may be especially strong where entire regions of a country feel left behind – and whose needs have been ignored by political parties due to the prevalence of either gerrymandered or “safe” seats. This sense of exclusion and frustration with political elites is only made stronger when the other effect of income inequality is to skew influence over the political system, providing increased resources for lobbyists and rendering politicians more dependent upon securing donor campaign contributions.

A second literature that is pertinent to explaining the trajectory of the Anglo-Saxon democracies suggests that satisfaction with democracy is lower in majoritarian “winnertakes-all” systems than in consensus-based, proportionally representative democracies, and this could explain why New Zealand – the lone member of this group with elections by proportional representation – appears to have avoided a trajectory of soaring public discontent

RockyB fucked around with this message at 22:34 on Feb 2, 2020

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

Ms Adequate posted:

Does that survey reflect a dissatisfaction with democracy, or rather with massively corrupt big-money oligarchic liberal democracy?

Tomato, tomato. When we're living in little colonies of a thousand or so, eking out a living from the asteroid belt after we gently caress the planet, we might get back to 'proper' democracy.

(i.e. only adult male landowners over the age of 40 who have completed military training can vote)

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
In TYOOL 2020, with the gig economy running rife, gently caress anyone who asks for a 'complete' list of everywhere you have ever worked ever. Nobody is actually going to read that poo poo anyway, you're just trying to get past the bullshit computerised HR filter to hopefully get an actual interview. At which point you can wax lyrical about the wonders of menial work showing your intestinal fortitude and go getter spirit if you really want to.

As you don't need to cover a gap, personally my inclination would be to leave it off and only include relevant jobs. Most studies say a recruiter looks at a CV for an average of only 6 seconds, so try to make them six relevant seconds.

Storm news: The sign blew off my local cinema. Strong start to Brexit and making our own way in the world when the Empire cinema becomes an Empi Cinema.

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

quote:

In case you didn't get it, gordon brown never won an election...

I never said he won an election. He had to have enough seats to pass a budget and aviod VoNC's right? Where did those seats come from, if not the Labour heartlands?

there's no need to be rude. If he had neither a majority nor minority government then how was he PM?

I can't tell if this is master level trolling or just americangeopolitics.txt.

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
It's more that he's obviously confusing Gordon Broon of the Poond with Cameron.

E: Obligatory

https://twitter.com/wolfdancer/status/1007729158473027584

RockyB fucked around with this message at 23:32 on Feb 12, 2020

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
People complaining about lovely spam texts from Labour, I feel you. No idea how that's seen as acceptable in this day and age, seems far more intrusive than junkmail or emails. I did take pleasure in screaming STOP in all caps at Starmer though.

Anyway, apropos of nothing but the impending climate apocalypse and fleeing the country I recently realised I can afford to fulfil the dreams of my 13 year old self and get a private pilots licence. Possibly with a float plane rating tagged on so I can just gently caress off to a lake in the middle of Canada or something. SA has all kinds of weird little niche communities, anyone got any experience or knows a thread about taking a PPL in the UK?

(For reference it's probably about £10k for a PPL, about the same a decent ex-lease hire car or 1/50th of a house near London. It's nice to dream about cocking about about in one of these https://www.theverge.com/2019/12/12/21012891/electric-airplane-first-flight-magnix-harbor-air some time in the next decade rather than another 40 years of desk jockeying in IT)

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
Looks like my CLP nominated RLB and Rosena Allin-Khan. Anyone got thoughts on Rosena?

E: RLBRAK really does sound like a mums net acronym.

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
Oh hey you remember the times 'exclusive' yesterday about the tories unsurprisingly wanting to 'consult' on ditching the BBC licence fee? Well gently caress the BBC it's already too late to save them.

quote:


Or to put it another way: why is that we get so het up about political decisions when, by and large, they don't make much difference to our lives and, even if they did affect us, we can't do much about them?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-51510106

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
Lunchtime reading. Google are stealing all your data out from under GDPR because of Brexit. Because of cause they loving are.

https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/02/20/google_shifting_uk_data_to_us/

Also, ACAB and the met are now actively deploying facial recognition tech.
https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/02/20/met_police_facial_recognition/

At least your dreams are still unsurveilled I guess. For now.

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
Oh and here's the triple:

quote:


Environmental and animal rights activists have been referred to the government’s controversial anti-radicalisation programme, the Home Office has admitted.

Responding to a freedom of information request, the Home Office provided a breakdown of reasons behind referrals of individuals to its Channel programme, an arm of Prevent, for “other types of radicalisation.’’

Environmental and animal rights were among types of “concerns” identified among individuals referred, as well far-left extremism, Northern Ireland-related extremism, “anti-Isil” and Sikh-related extremism.

Commenting on the inclusion of environmental and animal rights activism, Rosalind Comyn, Liberty policy and campaigns officer, said: “This reinforces long-held concerns that the government’s staggeringly broad definition of extremism enables the police to characterise non-violent political activity as a threat, and monitor and control any community they wish.


https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/feb/21/prevent-environment-animal-activists-referred-extremism

Haha it's fine it's not like Extinction Rebellion has given the police thousands of photographs of protestors to feed into their new facial recognition system.

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
Sir Keir Starmer has a message for us all



Insert joke about focus grouped, unasked for abominations here.


Jose posted:

this seems as good a thread as any to ask for recommendations on bluetooth earphones that have good battery life. I've got some cheap anker ones but their battery life is a bit poo poo and i'm going to be spending a lot of time listening to music at my new job

If you have weird shaped ears, are active (cycling or running), or have a perforated eardrum I highly recommend these:

https://www.amazon.co.uk/AfterShokz...163&sr=8-4&th=1

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

Mano posted:

There’s been no post in like 10 hours, are you all alright or has your island gone under?

Nah it's just everyone who read the 'left wing' Guardian this morning had a rage induced stroke.



Silly left wing people, why won't you listen to the ELECTABLE CENTERIST (who caused most of the current lack of faith in your party to generate real change).

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

Facehammer posted:

I worry that Boris fucks up severely, but by his strange alchemy, somehow turns it into an enormous advantage.

Obviously, the path to electoral success is Swinsonism.

Skills. Wallet.

Anyway looking forward to Boris hiding in his fridge to escape the Coronavirus. Where the hell has he been for the last two weeks anyway?

p.s there are almost certainly asymptomatic clusters all across the UK right now. This could get interesting, who wants to see Boris implement some 'emergency' legislation.

E: https://twitter.com/LiveHardMan/status/1232273747450777600

RockyB fucked around with this message at 23:00 on Feb 25, 2020

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

goddamnedtwisto posted:

It was a fantastic policy that was IMO let down by being put out as a headline policy as "free broadband" rather than put in with the other good stuff in the GIR as "nationalise Openreach, update baseline standards for USO*, roll out fibre" with maybe a footnote of "make line rental and basic connectivity free".

Hard agree. Broadband is an essential service these days that really should be government run, but they screwed the messaging on this completely with free at the point of use. I honestly think it was one of the key things that tipped people into thinking the entire manifesto was an unrealistic grab-bag.

Five more years until we can actually get a semi thought through green policy, assuming Boris doesn't use his Coronavirus granted emergency powers to declare himself perpetual godemperor.


Yeah pretty much everyone in my London based office has moved to 'welp, we're probably all infected already'. Long, asymptomatic incubation period combined with the American CDC saying 'when, not if' and poo poo coming out of Germany like this:

https://www.rt.com/news/481749-germany-coronavirus-epidemic-beginning/

(Yes, yes, I know, RT as a primary source).

Anyway, stay safe Jaeluni and other older goons :ohdear:

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

Mebh posted:

Hey goons sorry a few pages behind so if this has been mentioned ignore me!Does anyone know what the Ir35 changes are? I'd never even heard of it until today but my wife has gotten a spate of recruiter contacts this evening say things like

"please don't get annoyed if you are a contractor, yes this is a permanant job but with the ir35 changes coming in its worth saying hello"

I've googled around and found stuff like "HMRC said: “Customers will not have to pay penalties for errors relating to off-payroll in the first year, except in cases of deliberate non-compliance”.

Which doesn't seem... Relevant? Any ideas?

The two minute, semi-drunk recap of IR35.

A lot of the off payroll problem stems from that uniquely British class system. You know, the one that insists that 'managers' must get paid more than the peons doing the actual work under them. Hence all the peons get forced to cast themselves as enterpreneurs.

In 1999, HMRC saw that lots of people were going from permanent employees of a company to 'contractors providing services while being in business of their own account'. Typically this was walk out on the Friday, come back on Monday as a sole trader providing a service. They disliked this, and legislated that you have an employer/employee relationship if you are under the supervision, direction and control of the engager and have mutuality of obligation, i.e. if they offer work you have to take it. Companies panicked, much flapping and gnashing of teeth, eventually people settled on the limited company model for engaging flexible labour (i.e. no sick pay, holiday, notice period, employment rights in general because they were technically engaging a company and not a person) and all was right with the world.

20 years later HMRC decide they don't like the current state of the contact market and everyone should pay 'the right level of tax' again. Ignoring the fact that with higher rates, corporation/dividend tax and VAT (after the flat rate scheme, or for employers who can't reclaim the VAT like banks) contractors generally pay more in raw value terms than those on PAYE anyway (if not necessarily percentage wise - it generally works out about 7% less than if paid as a PAYE salary but, again, without employment rights). They decide to do this by shifting the liability of misjudging whether or not you are inside IR35 from the contractor to the engaging company. Legal departments around Britain shat themselves, and start blanket banning all limited company contractors. Switched on contractors shat themselves, because HMRC have a history of bankrupting people by demanding massive retrospective payments up front, even if they then later go on to lose the legal challenge. See: The Loan Charge, applied retrospectively almost 20 years later.

So, the current state is that a contractor deemed within IR35 (at the same company, without a compensating rate uplift) is looking at probably a 40% real-terms pay cut between being forced to pay out all their earning as PAYE salary and not being able to claim accommodation or travel expenses anymore. They also don't trust HMRC not to go after them retrospectively, so are looking for a hard break from their current engagements. Research / internet polling indicates about 75% of currently engaged contractors are going to move on from their current role before April, whether that's saying gently caress this and retiring, moving abroad (or in a whole lot of cases, i.e. eastern european developers, moving home) for work, scrambling for one of the few places that is still willing to take the risk of an outside IR35 contract, or doing what I did: reading the writing on the wall and loving off to a permanent role for a couple of years to weather the storm.

Of course, losing ~180,000 skilled technical personnel over the course of a few months is going to have no impact whatsoever on ongoing projects. A huge number of people working in banking/defence are not going to down tools and walk off site, taking all their institutional knowledge with them. This will not combine with Brexit and the Coronavirus outbreak to worsen the oncoming recession and usher in the end of capitalism.

Side note: If Labour had gotten into power they would have completely equalised dividend tax / national insurance rates paid by contractors with those paid by PAYE employees. Without the ongoing clusterfuck.

RockyB fucked around with this message at 03:12 on Feb 28, 2020

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

Mebh posted:


Still not sure why a spate of recruiters added that to their job offer template though to my currently unemployed partner.

Most recruiters are monkeys flailing randomly at a keyboard and hoping a banana pops out. I made the mistake of including the phrase 'writing technical documentation' on my CV about 8 years ago and I still get two emails a week for technical writer jobs.

Anyway, how about that FTSE? I'm hoping for a full thousand points down to round the week off.

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

Kin posted:

The advisor we're speaking to said he tried to look up comparable house prices and couldn't find anything concrete, but said he thinks our house has dropped in value by about 10k since 2 years ago (it's a new build in an estate that's not quite finished but all the houses have been snapped up).

What does a drop in value mean in real terms?

It means nothing directly until you sell. The only thing it will have an impact on is the LTV (Loan to Value) ratio, and hence the %age interest they will try to charge you.

For example, on my recent remortgage the 'value' of my house mysteriously dropped by £25k meaning I had >75% LTV and had to pay an additional 0.3% interest.

E: Beaten like an algorithmic trader which keeps trying to prop up the market.

RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good

Xeno posted:

Great insight, thank you. Do you have any knowledge/experience of people (not me...) contracting for EU countries but being paid in £ and charging VAT, then paying minsal + dividends? Is (not me) hosed?

Last I heard UK registered companies working with (providing services to) overseas engagers were explicitly excluded. For a given value of trusting HMRC. (I would link here but http://contractoruk.com is giving me a 504 and I cba)

Jedit posted:

A friend of mine used to be a supercontractor, earning sums crazed enough that when he moved to a new city he could buy a flat outright without selling the old one and keeping six figures in the bank, but he's still staunchly anti-Tory.

A significant proportion of well paid, moderately intelligent people are rabidly left wing. Because we realise that the current setup is massively bullshit, but are lucky enough to twist it in such a way that it benefits us. See: David Graeber, Bullshit Jobs, et al.

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RockyB
Mar 8, 2007


Dog Therapy: Shockingly Good
Just did a democracy. Burgeon/Butler and of course our girl RLB.

Jaeluni Asjil posted:

Saving them up until we're all under curfew and I have to live off my brexitocalypse canned veg and corned beef.

What's the view from Mumsnet? Are they all in denial still, or is the virus panic starting to set in.

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