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poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/BloombergTV/status/1256143889465053185

so covid-20 will just be a roster update?

here is the report its from the university of minnesotta: https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/sites/default/files/public/downloads/cidrap-covid19-viewpoint-part1.pdf

(all their scenarios expect this current peak to be as bad as it gets)

poty has issued a correction as of 10:01 on May 1, 2020

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poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/FinancialTimes/status/1256121223341211648

it will be tough but i offer to sacrifice and eat some of this excess steak and cheese if sent for free

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
psa for alex jones' neighbor

https://twitter.com/mooncult/status/1256074030697689088

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
im not gonna make a prediction because i feel bad about entertainment somehow related to people dying but

if i were i would use the current italy deaths times 6 based on the difference in population size and the fact that the italy outbreak started maybe 3 weeks before the new york one and the prediction is for 4 weeks from now

that would be 27967 * 6 = 167802

169420 has a pretty good shot of being very close to the actual correct number

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/FirstSquawk/status/1256201376276733953

cool. great

(doesnt mean they "feel sick" again or need to go to the hospital)

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/SamanthaJPower/status/1255867624166211584

im not on board for any of the "lets investigate the wuhan lab" conspiracy bullshit but this would be a genuinely cool and good and fair thing to do and if you wanna stick it to china it pisses them off as a bonus!

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

is it legal in the us for an organized group to go into a government building with assault rifles

i assume not but us gun laws are dumb

those pics inside the building are honestly the craziest thing ive seen in years

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Arsenic Lupin posted:

Apparently it is *legal* in Michigan to bring weapons into the Statehouse, so even if they had been so inclined (ha), the cops could have done nothing.

how has this country survived 200 years

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Al-Saqr posted:

What?! I CaNT BELIEVE THIS?!?! how?!?!?! Surely not GEORGIA?!?!

https://twitter.com/ajc/status/1256248545520373760?s=21

at least the corpses will look great with their recent haircuts

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1255990055107047424

yeah why

https://twitter.com/HardballTalk/status/1256245186474250241

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/pourteaux/status/1255620008664805376?s=21

https://twitter.com/pourteaux/status/1256297371127988226?s=21

poty has issued a correction as of 23:12 on May 1, 2020

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Charlz Guybon posted:

9,623 new cases in Russia today.

number of active cases second only to the us probably*

(*) technically on worldometers the uk is 2nd in active cases because they dont report the numbers of recovered patients because i guess they have to apply the drive on the left attitude for everything

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1256539458473734144

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

facetoucher cat posted:

I don't want to be sick anymore. It's now hard to breathe and once I start coughing I almost puke it gets so violent. My stupid test was negative so if I don't have it then what's wrong with me? My doctor said something about other viruses they're seeing that are, and I quote, "not the flu but just as bad as covid-19" but WTF is that supposed to mean? Like? WTF? She also said she's not convinced I don't have it. What's the point of a test if it's not totally valid? Why would they put that on the market? I'm afraid to call her because I don't want to upset my husband who started to get angry with me yesterday for still being sick and all whiny and I get it, I was being pathetic and I guess he's going to say this is my normal asthma or something but that hasn't given me issues in a little bit. I'm scared and don't really have anywhere to turn. This is all bullshit

i would call the doctor. better annoyed/pathetic than potentially dead

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
the remdesivir study was about whether it helps people heal faster and it seems to. it dropped the avg hospital stay from 14 or 15 days to 11 on those who recovered. it didnt have a statistically significant effect on mortality

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

MadJackal posted:

Oh sure, why the gently caress not. Wrote this about 9 hours ago:


I beat myself up about running a “Soft Code.” In retrospect, it wasn’t that Soft and I was too Hard on myself afterwards. I respected the patient’s wish for a trial of CPR, and inevitably it didn’t work. It’s ok not to grasp at every last straw if it’s deemed medically futile. We don’t force surgeons to perform operations they know will end with the patient dead on the table, but for whatever reason in the US we do force the hands of physicians to perform this one particular unnecessary procedure.

And as of time of writing (Day, uhhhh, 41?) I just came back from a perfect example of what I was trying to avoid all those weeks ago.

See I just participated in a capital H Hard Code.

88M w/PMH of several chronic health issues, COVID positive, satting well on a NRB up until an hour ago. For a variety of reasons, he became hypoxic which caused his heart to lose its F’n mind. Rapid Response called. A couple minutes after we enter the room, the patient goes from agonal breathing to not breathing at all. He’s also barely got a pulse if you feel in juuust the right spot on his neck. Code Blue called.

The first compression is the worst because that’s the push that pops the breast bone, the sternum, off the ribs adjoining it like a zipper. Pop pop pop pop pop pop pop. Seven ribs attached to the sternum in pairs, so really fourteen pops, but it feels sort of like steepling your fingers and swiftly pushing your hands together until your knuckles start sounding off. Hard to know exactly how many knuckles cracked, right? The difference is during CPR, you can feel under your palms and the pressure-sensing pad glued to this poor old man’s chest a floating sternum. And a little red machine sitting on top of what looks like a three foot tall toolbox displays Very Important Squiggles and commands you in a stern, android voice to Push Harder.

Seriously, a robot tonight told me I wasn’t cracking ribs hard enough for its sadistic pleasure.

When I started feeling one rib, then two snap like a dry branch, the robot told me Good Job.

It is an absolute blessing tonight that the other COVID patient in the room just one bed over is too sick, lethargic and confused to take in any of this.

Because she’s married to this guy.

We push one amp of epi, we take turns lasting five minutes a cycle violently abusing a body. Every push pumps a little more coronavirus into the air and maybe, probably puts everyone in the room at risk for a light dusting of Plague.

Let’s count them, shall we? The Intensivist himself, the Respiratory Therapist, the Anesthesiologist preparing to intubate, the other Respiratory Therapist, the nurse setting up the ventilator machine, the nurse pushing the epis, the nurse handing out goodies from the toolbox, the nurse in the room taking note of every minute of Doing Everything We Can. Oh, and me. Nine by my count.

Another amp. Another five minutes of compressions.

But the Intensivist running the show still feels a pulse. Another five minutes while the anesthesiologist sets up to intubate. There’s some discussion about whether we can ambo-bag the patient like we normally would in CPR, but maybe that makes the aerosol bomb in the room worse? We bag him anyway.

Tube’s in. Five more minutes of compressions.

We hold compressions because we’ve gotten ROSC, Return Of Spontaneous Circulation.

The Intensivist asks to set up an Epi drip in the room. Because if two pushes of Epi kept him alive an extra 10 minutes, let’s just keep the party going.

Hard Code.

It takes a while for the Epi drip to get to the room. This isn’t the ICU, we don’t have these things standing by. By this time the patient’s jugular vein looks like a fat rope sticking out of his neck. All the blood that should have been draining from his brain is now stuck in gridlock waiting to get back to the right side of the heart.

I look no further up. I’ve stopped looking into Coded patients’ eyes. Does too much damage.

We’re at about the 20 minute mark. ROSC goes back to erratic pulse, to no pulse. Very Important Squiggles still show something though, so it’s Pulseless Electrical Activity. We go back to compressions for next 5 minutes while we try to set up the Epi drip. ROSC again. Barely.

By now, Nursing Admin has entered the room, and there’s a suggestion that maybe we don’t need to Code this guy three times in a row.

“This won’t reverse the underlying issue.” Succinctly said.

It’s agreed, no more compressions.

Maybe there’s a thin, thin pulse.

Now even the Squiggles are getting lethargic and aren’t coming as often.

Slower, slower.

Flat line.

Time of death called.

Half an hour in a COVID blast radius for nine people.



Do you see what I was trying to avoid?

its a good thing i didnt study medicine because i would not be able to handle 5 minutes of this let alone 40 days

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Charlz Guybon posted:

UK, Italy, Spain and France all have death rates over 10%. Are they all as bad as the US at testing?

i mean yeah more or less they were all similarly overwhelmed with a big sudden outbreak when they hadnt started thinking about testing

germanys mortality rate is 5% but they also have a ton more icu beds than everyone else for some reason (reason is likely good smart long-term planning)

poty has issued a correction as of 16:45 on May 2, 2020

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/TraceyRyniec/status/1256609504256569344

this assumes that (western) europe and america are gonna start looking at what works in asia and implement it

which is probably wrong if you look at how masks are still considered spooky 2 months into the disaster

poty has issued a correction as of 16:48 on May 2, 2020

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Mr. Pizza posted:

someone please post the twitter guy who does daily updates with all the nice graphs and such

https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
so italy has 474 deaths counted today (highest number in a few weeks) but of those only 192 are actually from this daily update (lowest number since march 15th). the other 282 were backlogged from april

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/ByMikeBaker/status/1256601113605705733

who wants to go outside for some baskin robbins

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Comfy Fleece Sweater posted:

where are you getting 2900 dead for may 1st?

I see 1800 on most sites


https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

yeah i reckon cdc announcements are several days delayed compared to worldometers data

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1256765834913091584

liberate minnesotta lol

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/MarkMyWordsNews/status/1256493076123705344

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Woofer posted:

it’s going away when it gets hot

just ask singapore

*checks worldometer*

uhhhh nevermind

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://twitter.com/johnvoelcker/status/1256988206580539392

this!!!

poty has issued a correction as of 17:46 on May 3, 2020

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
french doctor has been rerunning tests from pneumonia patients in december and january and found a coronavirus case in france on december 27th (that patient recovered)

https://twitter.com/VolatilityQ/status/1257217952530776064

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
eating frogs finally had the consequences anyone could have predicted

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
austria (which is doing very well) has done antibody tests in 27 towns that had high number of cases. they found only 4.71% of people were exposed to the virus.

pretty bad news means there were not that many asymptomatic cases and the risk of further waves is real

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

euphronius posted:

👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀

im a pessimist but this looks way too dire. it doesnt match whats happening anywhere else. only some places are ending the lockdown too early because hurrrr and theyre not the most densely populated ones

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

facetoucher cat posted:

My husband did that this weekend with a copilot and played some War Thunder. It makes me horribly sick unfortunately because it's super cool



nerd alert!!

are you doing better?

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
trumps biggest priority is being able to golf again asap

hes not gonna start a war with china at least not on purpose. that would take an awful lot of time and attention

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

Charlz Guybon posted:

Belgium has 323 dead today (compared to 272 new cases)

Mexico has 1,120 new cases and 236 dead

Don't think the heat is going to slow this down. :(

belgiums number is weirdly high. did they finally check under the cushions of the old folks home or something

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

:yeshaha:

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

galenanorth posted:

https://twitter.com/bethanyshondark/status/1258063687233003520

If the mortality rate is 1%, and 100% of Americans catch it, then that means 3 million deaths in the U.S.. For every million deaths, if we look at surveys for "how much should we spend to save a life" by looking at things like highway speed limits, it usually comes out to $10 million, and we very often fail to meet even that standard for things like air pollution. That comes out to $10 trillion per million deaths. That's almost half of the entire U.S. GDP per million deaths prevented. They can attack the strawman that this is about locking down as long as it "saves one life" as much as they want, but it's never been the case, because the potential loss of life at stake is so momentous. They could be focusing their energy on attacking Congress for not doing something like instituting a UBI and putting a national moratorium on evictions, but they can't resist an opportunity to punch down instead of up.

if the mortality rate is 1% (less than that really) when people can get proper treatment but everyone catches it at the same time because i need a haircut and masks are for pussies and hospitals get overwhelmed the mortality rate suddenly becomes 5%

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/06/coronavirus-equipment-trump-rebukes-nurse-in-white-house-exchange.html

President Donald Trump contradicted a nurse who said that access to sufficient supplies of personal protective equipment during the coronavirus pandemic “has been sporadic.”

Trump shot back, “Sporadic for you, but not sporadic for a lot of other people.”


wow good one mr p

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
i was talking with a colleague in hong kong about the virus and he said they are about to reopen things again as they have had 0 local spread for like 2 weeks

i was like yeah we are reopening too... because we have less than 100 cases a day now... heh

(in switzerland which in my opinion is handling this among the best in europe. im not against reopening a bit looking at the trend but we clearly dont have the same standards for this stuff as asia)

poty has issued a correction as of 12:11 on May 7, 2020

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
less asymptomatic people = more people who still hasnt had it and will presumably get it once things open up = bad

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

wow

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poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
is there an app that will recognize the bird i point my phone camera at

i could be gaining all this useless knowledge

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