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kalensc posted:The schedule is fully updated for all weeks through Week 18, which ends on February 25th. What’s your luck? column?
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Jan 17, 2024 05:54
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)
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I think it's basically just teams that finished in the top half but still lost their matchup get credited with an unlucky loss, and teams that finished in the bottom half but still won get credited with a lucky win. (More specifically I think the site assigns a win expectancy to a given scoring rank and if you out/underperform by a certain amount, it's a lucky/unlucky result. So like when I lost in 4th place a couple weeks ago, it took my expected win probability from being in 4th (73%) versus my actual win probability in a loss (0%) and gave me -73 luck. In practice for a league our size that just means top half losers and bottom half winners.)
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Jan 17, 2024 10:22
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Yeah, p much what ^^^ wrote The desktop website lists them on each team's "Schedule" page. It's essentially "Won with Score Below Median" - "Lost with Score Above Median". Obv it stings far worse to lose with 2nd best score of the week, which is reflected in the +/- value next to each game result.
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Jan 17, 2024 10:31
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We still callin' Everyday to you We still believe in you We still pray to you Ben Simmons come back to my fantasy teams
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Jan 17, 2024 10:47
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kalensc posted:
Some people just have the clutch gene  Also, wow at that win streak kalensc
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Jan 17, 2024 17:12
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Chronicles posted:Some people just have the clutch gene  thanksThings started to click when December started. Prior to that, injuries and substandard performances had my squad languishing in the cellar.  Obv I've jinxed myself terribly going forward, this roster will wilt as soon as winter concludes.
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Jan 17, 2024 18:24
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Ugh, this is truly awful news, he was in his mid-40s. Some pre-game coverage two seasons or so ago mentioned that he'd coached Jokic during the early 10s in Serbia.quote:The Golden State Assistant Head Coach Dejan Milojević suffered a heart attack last night at a team dinner, and sadly passed away earlier today. RIP Dejan Milojević what i'm writing down here is so obviously unimportant in comparison to the real world tragedy i'll manually edit lineups to sit UTA & GSW players because the app has not yet reflected the postponement of the game
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Jan 17, 2024 23:04
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Well I gotta just eat leaving Ant Edwards on the IR today. I was out running errands and cleaning up all day, knowing I had to be at work at 4pm. Plenty of time to check the fantasy as I had lunch before work. Fuckin forgot. At least it’s only 60 and I’m probably going to lose this week anyways. Rough on the psyche to leave a Donovan Mitchell 110 on the bench and lose by 50 last week lol Just checked, only losing by 50ish rn. Whoops
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Jan 18, 2024 08:01
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The Maestro posted:Well I gotta just eat leaving Ant Edwards on the IR today. I was out running errands and cleaning up all day, knowing I had to be at work at 4pm. Plenty of time to check the fantasy as I had lunch before work. Fuckin forgot. At least it’s only 60 and I’m probably going to lose this week anyways. Rough on the psyche to leave a Donovan Mitchell 110 on the bench and lose by 50 last week lol i did the same thing with jalen brunson, i had read he was questionable then didn't have time to check back in closer to the game. alas
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Jan 18, 2024 19:38
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kalensc posted:Since you had 12 available starters, I left the 8 already in alone, and filled the 2 empty slots by just picking the two with the highest season average. Seemed like the fairest way to select 2 of the 4 candidates. Dutchy posted:I think it's basically just teams that finished in the top half but still lost their matchup get credited with an unlucky loss, and teams that finished in the bottom half but still won get credited with a lucky win.
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Jan 21, 2024 05:04
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rivetz posted:Thank you for doing this No prob! Also, the Luck score for an individual game is purely: If you won: 9.09 * (Rank That Week - 1) If you lost: 100 - 9.09 * (Rank That Week - 1) The 9.09 is simply 100/11, because it's a 12-team league, thus if you want a linear scale going from 0 to 100 you'll need 11 equivalent intervals. This is easier to see in table form: pre:Week Win. Loss Rank Luck Luck ---- ---- ---- 1st +00 #N/A 2nd +09 -91 3rd +18 -82 4th +27 -73 5th +36 -64 6th +45 -55 7th +55 -45 8th +64 -36 9th +73 -27 10th +82 -18 11th +91 -09 12th #N/A -00 The principle behind the Luck score would be the following: Imagine if our league didn't reveal your opponent until after the week concluded, but you still saw everyone's scores just as you can now. You'd set your line-up as optimally as possible, and try to out-perform as many teams as possible, then cross your fingers when the pre-determined pairings were revealed. If the week concluded and you were 3rd overall in Fantasy Points, you'd have 9 desirable opponents, and 2 undesirable. 9/11 = 82%~ and 2/11 = 18%~. If the odds hold up then you were very slightly lucky, you succeeded (statistical success, independent of what you did) given 82%~ odds, so Luck = +18. If the odds failed you then you were incredibly unlucky, you failed (statistical failure, not due to your choices) when given 82%~, so Luck = -82. Man, I miss my uni days, in the happier decades. kalensc fucked around with this message at 20:24 on Jan 21, 2024 |
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Jan 21, 2024 20:15
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lol how the gently caress did you figure that out? Is it documented somewhere on the site or did you crunch the numbers yourself?
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Jan 23, 2024 18:57
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rivetz posted:lol how the gently caress did you figure that out? Is it documented somewhere on the site or did you crunch the numbers yourself? Just looked at the numbers and noticed the pattern I'm a mathematician that geeks out over variant sudokus and numberphile videos so, y'knowsadly, being good at figuring things out is a very useful skill but it's hard to get across on a cv lol lmao, rivetz what's the new av from
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Jan 23, 2024 21:22
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kalensc posted:lmao, rivetz what's the new av from
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Jan 25, 2024 05:17
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lol drat, i know I've seen that movie, but i also know that i was way too high to recall any of it Wild looking back at some of Hader's stuff after seeing Barry
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Jan 25, 2024 05:37
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Forgot to save my roster (I assume) and left 3 dudes on the bench goddamnit
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Jan 26, 2024 05:15
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DeimosRising posted:Forgot to save my roster (I assume) and left 3 dudes on the bench goddamnit I mostly fixed it (couldn’t get Conley in without cutting someone) but be sure to check the next day because when GMs set the lineups it sometimes resets the roster.
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Jan 26, 2024 06:02
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Rick posted:I mostly fixed it (couldn’t get Conley in without cutting someone) but be sure to check the next day because when GMs set the lineups it sometimes resets the roster. yeah i may have hosed it up moving him to IR (it's fine you left him, i thought he was sitting anyway) or I may have gotten distracted while i was setting it and forgot to save, thanks 
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Jan 26, 2024 15:32
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DeimosRising posted:yeah i may have hosed it up moving him to IR (it's fine you left him, i thought he was sitting anyway) or I may have gotten distracted while i was setting it and forgot to save, thanks I wonder if there's a correlation between using the browser site and having line-up issues. The app doesn't require any Saving of line-up adjustments, and personally I never use the browser for anything except commish stuff (scheduling, editing starting line-ups) and more robust searches of FAs.
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Jan 26, 2024 18:00
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9 am tipoffs can eat a dick
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Jan 27, 2024 18:56
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rivetz posted:9 am tipoffs can eat a dick Cancel the penectomy via mastication, your roster (and BananaB's and RedRox's) have been set.
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Jan 27, 2024 20:00
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Thanks once again, humbling to have to rely on the assist twice in a week
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Jan 28, 2024 05:01
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rivetz posted:9 am tipoffs can eat a dick yeah lol i had no idea
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Jan 29, 2024 21:14
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 on the Paul Reed pickup Chronicles, feel like he could go off tonight
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Jan 30, 2024 01:52
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He went off the other day so lord knows I'm probably too late
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Jan 30, 2024 02:03
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Deimos gonna derail my push for 1st overall  Guess it's appropriate for the GM with the 2nd-longest win streak to upend the current longest streak. The current top-7 in the standings are still in contention to finish top-4 when we enter the cross-overs / play-ins. Every team has a path to end up in the mid-4. Teams ranked 5 thru 12 can end up in the bot-4. Please recall that the cross-overs/ play-ins is essentially an 8-team 2-week tourney where the mid-4 teams are in a "double elimination" status and the bot-4 teams are in a "single elimination" status, re: qualifying for the final 8-team playoff bracket.
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Feb 2, 2024 00:47
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I don’t know what happened, my team was bad and then it just wasn’t anymore
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Feb 2, 2024 05:48
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Hmm. I may have overbid on Reed
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Feb 2, 2024 22:56
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This is the most fun and cool team I've had in Lothlorien. It doesn't hurt that everyone's stayed pretty healthy, but this is the first time I've felt like there's a legitimate shot at the title. SGA's been a stud and unbelievably consistent all year but the depth has made the difference, currently nine players averaging 45+. Tremble y'all
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Feb 3, 2024 06:07
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rivetz posted:This is the most fun and cool team I've had in Lothlorien. It doesn't hurt that everyone's stayed pretty healthy, but this is the first time I've felt like there's a legitimate shot at the title. SGA's been a stud and unbelievably consistent all year but the depth has made the difference, currently nine players averaging 45+. Tremble y'all I have 10 over 40 (but only 6 over 45)
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Feb 3, 2024 14:28
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DeimosRising posted:I have 10 over 40 (but only 6 over 45)
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Feb 3, 2024 20:59
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I'm having fun too. The daily alarm tip has definitely helped me a ton. It's too late for me to contend this year but 2025, look out 🔥🔥🔥
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Feb 3, 2024 22:14
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kalensc posted:Deimos gonna derail my push for 1st overall Unbelievably close, 2,262.39 to 2,241.34. I got absolutely whacked by injuries, 5 guys out tonight
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Feb 5, 2024 05:40
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DeimosRising posted:Unbelievably close, 2,262.39 to 2,241.34. I got absolutely whacked by injuries, 5 guys out tonight Nice win! We both had injury issues I think. Pretty much every good player but Giannis sat 1+ games this week. A bummer the comeback fell short, but I'll just assume my luck will be stored up should we meet in the elimination rounds!
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Feb 5, 2024 09:07
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how the gently caress are the eagle doom dunkers so far down the standings when they have 4 guys averaging 60+ Anyway I didn't set my roster monday so I'm going to pre-emptively blame my loss on those 80 points. Doesn't count. do over.
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Feb 7, 2024 21:16
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DeimosRising posted:how the gently caress are the eagle doom dunkers so far down the standings when they have 4 guys averaging 60+ I'm lazy and keep forgetting to unbench my guys. Also the app doesn't save my lineups when I set them I think. Also uhh I can't think of a third excuse.
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Feb 8, 2024 04:30
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Can you throw Wiggins in for me? I wasn’t able to get to a screen after waivers processed
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Feb 9, 2024 02:50
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Done! Although a bit late sorry the thread was second paged. But I think it still counts.
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Feb 9, 2024 06:43
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This is the most MacGyver'ed roster I've ever had in this league, lmao.
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Feb 9, 2024 06:50
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nvm
Chronicles fucked around with this message at 02:06 on Feb 11, 2024 |
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Feb 10, 2024 07:27
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