(Thread IKs:
fatherboxx)
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Goddamit cinci, I fell for that for a minute. I think making some fun of Russia's scraping of the tank barrel is fine, but I feel betrayed by cinci. You're supposed to be bereft of humour, dammit.
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# ¿ Apr 1, 2023 17:31 |
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# ¿ May 21, 2024 05:52 |
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The big cruise missiles for this purpose in NATO inventories (see KEPD 350) are launched by aircraft. Ukraine does not have the launch platforms for them. The problem with ground-launched cruise missiles is that they have to expend a lot of energy to get into the air, while aircraft can fly to a release point and the missile doesn't have to get up to speed. So to enable Ukraine to strike deep, it would first have to receive aircraft, and then modern missiles compatible with those aircraft. Beyond the technical problems it seems there is scarce political will to ship those aircraft.
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# ¿ Apr 6, 2023 12:37 |
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Thread name contest is open until Latvian midnight, themed for this farce. I can't come up with something witty, just literal "wow_mao" and "Minecraft Map Discord Channel" is funny enough for me. How do you even top that? The Internet is intensely stupid. e: leaking classified documents, IN A MINECRAFT CHANNEL Antigravitas fucked around with this message at 18:08 on Apr 7, 2023 |
# ¿ Apr 7, 2023 18:04 |
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Independent media has effectively ceased to exist in Russia, so the question of why certain voices are around and why certain viewpoints are being expressed inevitably turns to Kremlinology. Dojd has been producing episodes tracking Russian propaganda: https://www.youtube.com/@Fake_News/videos Some of those episodes were produced for Arte: https://www.arte.tv/de/videos/RC-022858/fake-news/ But only in German.
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# ¿ Apr 10, 2023 13:43 |
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It's TYOOL 2023 and it certainly feels from my work that it hasn't really set in just how incredibly far-reaching Sysadmin-Level access is and how much responsibility and power lies in that role. And because management typically doesn't care about computer stuff it becomes a huge liability with basically no supervision. It's a miracle that this doesn't happen more often.
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2023 19:06 |
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Note the subdued response to the weapons release when it happened. Everyone involved was quite quick to make it go away. Had that missile hit, the response would have been a skirmish, but again, everyone involved is interested in not escalating. There would have been rows over it, but mostly diplomatic skuffles and perhaps more support to Ukraine, but that's about it.
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2023 20:23 |
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My Eve Online trading operation had better opsec than this person who was leaking documents.
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2023 21:30 |
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FWIW, as a sysadmin you typically have methods to execute arbitrary code on client machines, which you need to have as part of your job. None of your encryption weeaboo matters if everything can be taken post-decryption. If the org is big and has processes in place even admins can be siloed a bit. While I have full access to absolutely everything, I deliberately have no credentials to backups. Those are entirely separate teams. But, what you need for such a scheme is a) a bunch more people so you can separate their areas of access and b) you need some people with a good chunk of experience running the core, not 21 year old kids, and finally c) an organisation that cares about IT processes and whatnot. Most orgs fail at c)
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# ¿ Apr 14, 2023 08:27 |
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Improved interconnections are already planned: https://transport.ec.europa.eu/news...t-2022-07-27_en However, you don't build comprehensive rail infrastructure over night, and rail cannot match the throughput of ships. Ukraine need access to world markets right now. Integration of Ukraine into the single market is going to lead to some conflicts in the future. It produces a ton of grain, but EU producers are already producing plenty as well. Agricultural policy is a huge area of conflict within the EU, so… that's going to get spicier in the future.
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# ¿ Apr 16, 2023 12:22 |
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Calling it a coalition between far left and far right is a bit weird, considering that the Wagenknecht wing is firmly to the right of the party. I remember a recent press conference where the party leadership was openly contemptuous of her. That conflict long predates the war, too. Zarenknecht became more popular with the Nazi party after she brought up right wing culture war topics several times, i.e. when she started spouting AfD talking points. You don't need to a grand conspiracy there, they like her because she says what they say, and they like Russia because they are fascists who hold the same values. e: RIF in Frieden, cinci; they hated you because you told the truth. Antigravitas fucked around with this message at 17:12 on Apr 21, 2023 |
# ¿ Apr 21, 2023 17:07 |
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Niemeyer is the head of the government in exile. (Note that date) I had assumed that Wagenknecht was strictly No Contact with him, but it would be very on brand for her to still associate with him.
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# ¿ Apr 21, 2023 18:18 |
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Popete posted:Sorry about continuing this derail but I'm curios why this guy thinks he would be the head of said government? Although I did read his German wiki page translated to English and he has been convicted of fraud a bunch of times so I'm pretty sure I already know the answer. There are several competing Kaisers (because neither the Nazis nor the Federal Republic are legitimate). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reichsb%C3%BCrger_movement There are handbooks for public servants on how to deal with them: (this is a real book, and the real cover) And to bring this back to Russia: These people are generally against the current government, they typically hold far-right ideology, and they are quite receptive to basically any right wing conspiracy theory under the sun: ZOG, Germany being occupied by the USA, not having to pay taxes, Soros being evil, that the DE part of your IBAN actually stands for DELAWARE, held hostage by the Greens and so on and so forth. "Russia fights the New World Order" is just a small tidbit that slotted neatly into their Weltbild. And I should be clear here, most of their ideas are home grown or pushed by US demagogues, Russia just positioned itself as a right-wing protector of "Judeo-Christian Values" and whatnot.
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# ¿ Apr 21, 2023 20:21 |
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There are some satellite images of the gigantic explosion a few days back: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/incredible-destruction-at-ukrainian-rocket-storage-site-that-detonated-from-russian-strike It seems they were storing giant piles of explodium there, though obviously nobody is going to say how much of that was materiel used in the current war… But still, yikes.
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# ¿ May 5, 2023 14:00 |
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That's how this kind of regime is frequently set up, though. It's not about being efficient, good at achieving goals, or anything but keeping the guy at the top in power. Having multiple infighting (para)military organisations keeping each other in check is a classic dictator move.
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# ¿ May 5, 2023 16:12 |
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Perun has another video out, by the way: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JIYC_WUSw4c
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# ¿ May 7, 2023 20:28 |
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Charliegrs posted:So is Ukraine going to jury rig those storm shadow missiles to their Migs and Sukhois like they did with the HARM missiles? Who knows, but probably? This kind of missile is typically programmed on the ground anyway, so you don't have to do extensive integration work.
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# ¿ May 11, 2023 16:16 |
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True for a lot of equipment. In the very beginning there were tons of videos of armoured vehicles getting struck from the side by some rocket without a shooter visible. Turns out Ukraine got a ton of PARM mines. Also Matadors in Mariupol; BONUS and SMART were just billed as "artillery ammunition". It's hard to hide large hardware, but a lot of mystery ammunition mysteriously appeared in Ukraine.
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# ¿ May 13, 2023 11:48 |
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Vaginaface posted:How do the quantity and quality of Ukraine's various military equipment compare to other NATO countries at this point? Both kinda "eh". Lots of people in uniform, as you'd expect, but the equipment consists of lots of hand-me-downs from donor countries plus soviet-era hardware that makes up the bulk of their materiel. All the fancy poo poo they got is in short supply. The comparison to other NATO countries is a bit difficult. NATO countries tend to be somewhat specialised and have been more focused on GWoT than peer conflicts, but they have hoarded all the fancy gear that, as Ukraine has also shown, has a really pronounced effect. It's a bit of a T55 to Leopard 2A7V comparison.
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# ¿ May 13, 2023 12:22 |
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Switzerland has a highly educated workforce with high labour costs. A lot of Swiss industry is therefore producing the kind of fancy hardware that has a high enough price tag to still be profitable. Consequently Swiss stuff is in a lot of European armies.
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# ¿ May 13, 2023 18:18 |
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Hungary has full and unwavering Polish support, and as long as that is the case it won't even think about leaving the EU.
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# ¿ May 16, 2023 13:19 |
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It should perhaps be noted why the soviet system was the way it was. Push logistics and warfare as a science with formulas where you put in numbers and get a deterministic battle plan works well on a battlefield where communication is severely lacking. In the case of WW2 they had field telephones and very limited radio, and communication in the field involved runners. The assumption the old Soviet army was built around is this: On the future battlefield most of your radios would be slag shortly after the war goes hot. And massed artillery is an evergreen if you can't have air dominance.
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# ¿ May 23, 2023 22:17 |
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I don't see Ukrainians settling for less than having iron clad protection against getting raped and murdered in a genocide. Russia's intent is very clear from both words and actions. Russia also doesn't follow agreements, breaking them as soon as it's convenient. So the only settlement that is possible is one enforced by military means.Storkrasch posted:How would those protect in an LNR/DNR scenario where Russia supports ostensibly local insurgents? The only reason it worked then was because the Ukrainian military was in shambles. It was a serious wake up call that led to extensive reforms of the Ukrainian military so it wouldn't happen again.
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# ¿ May 24, 2023 08:54 |
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What, KEPD 350s? I'm sure Taurus would love to restart production on them, and you can probably bolt them to a plane and program them on the ground if you are feeling adventurous. But they are fairly limited in number (150 units operational) because bundeswehr.txt with no replacement in sight, so…
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# ¿ May 26, 2023 21:55 |
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New Perun https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVNjqX5HQGQ Suspiciously insistent that he is a normal person with normal hobbies.
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# ¿ May 28, 2023 20:31 |
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Is this person relevant outside of the realm of people who get all their information from Twitter?
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# ¿ May 31, 2023 07:31 |
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The reward structure of platforms like Youtube and Twitter puts evolutionary pressure on content. Youtube rewards generative garbage like Elsagate, garish weirdo thumbnails that appeal to unsupervised children, and conspiracy poo poo like flat earth. It also somehow manages to surface good content once in a while. Twitter consistently rewards the most credulous engagement chasers, but reality is usually boring and complicated and that doesn't fit into a one-sentence tweet (and Twitter's userbase doesn't have the attention span or intellectual ability to comprehend more than a paragraph anyway). If you look around Youtube for Ukraine war commentary, you get some freak accidents like Perun, but the majority is an absolute waste land of what can only be called audiovisual slurry. It's something to keep in mind when you browse the big tech platforms. The reward structure they set up will be exploited to serve as much low-effort spam as possible, and the reward structure determines the type of spam you will encounter. There isn't necessarily a conspiracy of disinformation. Profit motive and reward structure is all that's required. Speaking of paragraphs. https://www.ft.com/content/1cf8b9ed-6320-47c2-b87c-5508e9a7255f quote:Brussels is working on a four-year financing plan for Ukraine worth tens of billions of euros as it seeks to put its support for the war-torn country on a more stable and predictable footing. Why do foreign papers call the IfW the "Kiel Institute", by the way? Kiel has a few dozen institutes, the Institut of World Economy being just one of them…
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# ¿ Jun 1, 2023 11:04 |
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Sounds presumptuous to me, but it certainly fits with my perception of the IfW. When I think "institute from Kiel", I typically think of the Geomar.
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# ¿ Jun 1, 2023 12:29 |
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When people talk about infantry screens for tanks, they typically mean infantry that is hundreds of meters away from the tank in question. The modern battlefield is sparse and displaced. You don't want infantry anywhere close to a tank anyway because it's a gigantic piece of metal that may move extremely unpredictably, has extremely poor visibility, and can't hear you. Also, if a tank takes a hit and survives, the crew is unlikely to know where that shot came from. So they're going to gtfo first, because there's a follow-up shot coming in a few seconds. Btw., tandem warheads are typically much heavier. The PG-7V (HEAT) is lighter and easier to hit things with than the PG-7VR (tandem) that is almost twice as heavy. RPG-7 are absolutely everywhere, so it makes sense to have some ERA.
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# ¿ Jun 2, 2023 09:26 |
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Boris Galerkin posted:Has there been no news other than what BBC reported? I'm sure there is plenty of news of the same credibility of the BBC, but if you are looking for anything substantial you'll be waiting for a while. Neither side is going to be forthcoming with (truthful, comprehensive) information. Just embrance not knowing and wait for dust to settle.
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# ¿ Jun 5, 2023 16:53 |
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Well, watch something while waiting for the dust to settle. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fWKGYnO0Jf4
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# ¿ Jun 5, 2023 18:40 |
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Doing magnet fishing is extremely inadvisable in Germany (if not illegal), same as going around with a metal detector. Mines are built to sit in the mud, they will happily stay active during floods.
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# ¿ Jun 8, 2023 19:46 |
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I wouldn't put much stock into the jabbering of random soldiers. The confused reaction from the Russian side is the most convincing evidence in my mind that blowing the dam wasn't planned. It was definitely mined well beforehand, so all it could've taken is some part of the Russian army panicking and convincing themselves that the 3000 green Leopard 2 of Scholz are about to roll across the dam and annihilate their positions. We've already seen that the Russian army seems almost purposefully structured to produce a lack of cohesion, insane infighting, lack of accountability, and general fuckness where one part of the army will let civilians berate them without reacting and another part will go on a months long rape and murder spree. It's just another entry on Russia's my_war_crimes.txt, probably caused by the structure of how Russia is run.
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# ¿ Jun 9, 2023 13:12 |
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The Puma (IFV) is actually good, actually. Just remember that the seat heating isn't automatic before complaining to the manufacturer. It's a switch, just flip it.
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# ¿ Jun 9, 2023 18:31 |
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I get all my best info from the Mar a Lago Discord (In the WoT channel). Seriously though, sit back and wait. Anything that comes out is heavily curated and intentionally released. It will take a long time for an accurate picture to form. Everything until then is reading tea leaves. I do think it's good to have heavily tempered expectations though. As mentioned all the time, attacking into prepared positions is hard and costly.
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# ¿ Jun 10, 2023 19:32 |
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GhostofJohnMuir posted:us mic is so mind bogglingly large we can apparently lose mid-ten figures in the couch cushions The US was not alone in not using book value. It's why the IfW aid tracker had some major asterisks everyone seemed to gloss over when comparing numbers.
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# ¿ Jun 21, 2023 08:11 |
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The driver in a tank has dogshit visibility and sits on an engine that is quite powerful. Not a great combination.
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# ¿ Jun 21, 2023 21:28 |
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It all seems like theatre to me tbh., though it's certainly a little unhinged. Too much pathos. But who the gently caress knows, I'm no Kremlinologist. Maybe wagner gets purged and its gold mines and whatnot taken over.
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# ¿ Jun 23, 2023 23:09 |
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Chalks posted:I disagree, the Kremlin have clearly freaked out and initiated a bunch of emergency plans - all of which look like a massive overreaction in the face of zero actual armed rebellion. They've got roadblocks around Moscow and military vehicles on the streets in response to one guy sending out a bunch of voice messages. It's kinda embarrassing if literally nothing happens, I can't imagine this is orchestrated. Sure, but the vibes I was getting before going to bed were "wow, this feels like Turkey's coup". The one that had some very dubious timing and let Erdogan conveniently purge thousands of people from civil society under a pretext. At this stage it seems to have gotten a little too big for that, but I maintain that the players involved should turn the Drama Dial down a bit. It's currently at 12.
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# ¿ Jun 24, 2023 07:46 |
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LochNessMonster posted:Would this total chaos be a good moment for a Ukrainian push or would it be better to wait and keep seeing how things unfold? We'd need to know what the actual battlefield looks like right now to answer this, and we don't. Adding some chaos on top of chaos is usually a good idea though. Adding pressure on a system under stress is good if you want it to break.
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# ¿ Jun 24, 2023 10:41 |
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# ¿ May 21, 2024 05:52 |
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Call me paranoid, but I wouldn't want to step into an airplane in this situation.
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# ¿ Jun 24, 2023 15:33 |