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Old Surly posted:Big soft serve custard vibes my man selling necco wafers next to an organ grinder
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# ¿ Jun 9, 2023 23:38 |
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# ¿ May 10, 2024 10:52 |
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trump can tailor his set to the audience with the aplomb of a grizzled standup comic
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# ¿ Jun 11, 2023 01:02 |
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https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1667938913086853121?s=20
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# ¿ Jun 11, 2023 21:02 |
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statistical analysis was not invalidated by the 2016 presidential election
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# ¿ Jul 2, 2023 18:26 |
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drat that's crazy
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# ¿ Jul 2, 2023 18:38 |
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my first thought is that he doesn't care about votes right now but does care about donations. possible he needs a sugar daddy to carry him through iowa and this could nab one
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# ¿ Jul 6, 2023 16:21 |
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he's not thinking along those lines at all lol besides being mortal enemies and a personality clash, a trump/desantis ticket would forfeit electoral votes from florida
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# ¿ Jul 30, 2023 18:33 |
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i think desantis hit a 45% chance of winning on predictit
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# ¿ Aug 2, 2023 04:47 |
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is there a recent poll with GOP primary voters on push for ceasefire vs escalate the war?
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# ¿ Aug 8, 2023 18:57 |
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Edgar Allen Ho posted:I think Christie is my favourite GOP candidate. that was marco rubio, senator from florida
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# ¿ Aug 10, 2023 14:49 |
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nixon was veep during suez, did he disagree with eisenhower at the time?
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# ¿ Aug 11, 2023 03:31 |
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:Nixon winning in 1960 would have been a pretty huge change. lmfao gently caress off with the numerology. fdr's 1940 win was not even his own career's most consequential election
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# ¿ Aug 11, 2023 04:53 |
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Rappaport posted:if there are studies out there that discuss election cycles and even 20-year-intervals, I'm sure this thread would love to read them! the real conspiracy theory is that reagan broke the curse of the once-every-twenty-years presidential assassination by surviving his edit i guess the 1920 and 1940 slots just died in office i say swears online fucked around with this message at 14:47 on Aug 11, 2023 |
# ¿ Aug 11, 2023 14:44 |
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# ¿ Aug 20, 2023 16:12 |
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before i googled that name my first thought was "oh he must have been involved with menachem begin"
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# ¿ Aug 20, 2023 17:18 |
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hawley and cotton saw the writing on the wall and sat this one out
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# ¿ Aug 21, 2023 04:05 |
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L. Ron DeSantis posted:Over/under on Christie dropping out if Trump isn't at the next debate? He was barely able to say anything without his foil and when he did he got booed. I'd be happy to take your money but Christie held his own and will be at the next debate barring streetball injury
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# ¿ Aug 25, 2023 07:11 |
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Edgar Allen Ho posted:How many people ever heard Lincoln speak vs seeing photos and hearing about him suplexing dudes because he was giant though? this was a significant plot point in an old pinky and the brain
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# ¿ Sep 1, 2023 17:09 |
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the real treasures are those $300 ipads from Jeb's superPAC that only played The Story Of Jeb that were handed out in NH in late 2015
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# ¿ Sep 21, 2023 14:58 |
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they have too much respect for him to live a lie
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# ¿ Sep 23, 2023 19:53 |
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OctaMurk posted:trump is gonna say, "ramasmarmy or whatever" and then vivek will turn to dust they're not enemies yet. vivek is running as the pro-trump candidate in trump's absense, and, if convicted, vivek would in theory have placed himself in the position of being the party's choice in lieu of jailed trump. it's an insane strategy, but so are the other candidates'
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# ¿ Sep 28, 2023 05:14 |
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good thing that the first primary debate to election night is only one-third of our entire lives each cycle
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# ¿ Sep 29, 2023 20:42 |
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AlternateNu posted:Plus, out of the four one-term presidents since WW2, three have been Republicans. The only thing the GOP has over the dems as far as generic election calculus, is they're better at winning the EC w/o the popular vote. and one of those three was never elected to veep or the presidency in the first place, with a shorter term, so probably couldn't bring to bear the full incumbency advantage
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# ¿ Sep 30, 2023 16:22 |
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AtomikKrab posted:With it seeming like Vivek is pulling ahead of any of the Non-Trump primary Candidates it's possible he already hit his ceiling quote:does he have a good shot if for whatever reason Trump ends up not being the nominee? his strategy is to be the trump candidate if/when trump goes to jail and the gop yanks the nomination away. it's not going to work because one he's pissing off the party brass and two the base are fundamentalist psychos
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# ¿ Sep 30, 2023 21:25 |
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mods please change thread title to mike pence humiliation station
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# ¿ Oct 28, 2023 19:31 |
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https://twitter.com/ShaneGoldmacher/status/1721136469903913000 nine point lead in Nevada lol
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# ¿ Nov 5, 2023 16:56 |
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better get unskewin', gonna be a long cycle
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# ¿ Nov 5, 2023 17:27 |
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Space Fish posted:Which party will the narrative say was ruined by third-party spoilers? Greens hurting libs in 2016, Libertarians hurting cons in 2020... failure demands a scapegoat. the good brother doctor is going to catch a lot of heat if he's not too lazy to campaign
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# ¿ Nov 5, 2023 19:24 |
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it's across two cycles but indiana 2008 -> 2012 -> 2016 was a big one
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# ¿ Nov 6, 2023 00:17 |
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that "various student stuff" has directly lowered my standard of living more than any other president in my lifetime
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# ¿ Nov 6, 2023 18:01 |
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the supreme court said he couldn't use covid money to forgive it or something but he never tried to use the full power of the executive, which has been a remarkably robust legal theory the last few decades
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# ¿ Nov 6, 2023 18:11 |
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Nissin Cup Nudist posted:Is the GOP still doing winner take all for delegates it's more of a mishmash than previous cycles I think, I remember in the past more states had delegates by congressional district. wiki says: quote:There will be an estimated total of 2,467 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention. In contests until March 15, delegates must be awarded on a proportional basis, either by percentage of statewide vote or share of congressional districts won. Some states have established thresholds between 4 and 20% for proportionality to kick in, under which a candidate receives no delegates. A vast majority, 41 contests totaling 1,920 delegates, operate this way using methods that are hybrid between proportionality and majority-take-all. New York for example has a 20% threshold for proportionality but if a candidate wins a majority, they take all delegates. and ballotpedia has the specifics https://ballotpedia.org/Republican_delegate_rules,_2024 NH will have a 10% threshold, for instance
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# ¿ Jan 16, 2024 06:16 |
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# ¿ May 10, 2024 10:52 |
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I bet several hundred dollars against him the first time I heard his voice last spring
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# ¿ Jan 17, 2024 17:41 |