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Able
Nov 1, 2023

Dear Team,

Allow me to introduce myself; I am Mayor Hector "Kane" Montana, serving in the Chilean Army as an Army Aviation Mission Survivability Officer (AMSO). I have been assigned to the Council of South American Defense as the intelligence officer. In this role, my primary responsibility is to provide the team with a clear and comprehensive understanding of the battlefield. I am dedicated to contributing to our collective efforts to achieve victory with the utmost precision and efficiency, ensuring that our actions are as effective as possible.

I look forward to collaborating with all of you and making sure that we are well-prepared to meet any challenges that come our way. Please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or if there is anything I can assist with. Together, we will work towards our mission's success.

Best regards,

Mayor Hector "Kane" Montana

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Able
Nov 1, 2023
"INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING, 1800HRS 21FEB"

quote:

Location: A dimly lit bar in the vicinity of Port Arenas.

Officer A (Frustrated): (in Mandarin) Have you guys heard the latest? We've lost several supply ships at sea, and I can't believe the mess it's causing.

Officer B (Agitated): (in Mandarin) Yeah, it's a nightmare. Our logistics chain is in shambles. Those supply ships were carrying everything from fuel, ammunition, and medical supplies, and now they're at the bottom of the ocean.

Officer C (Annoyed): (in Mandarin) And what's worse, we can't confirm if it's enemy action or just an accident. The timing couldn't be worse, though. Our operations are already stretched thin.

Officer D (Concerned): (in Mandarin) Our troops on the ground are going to feel the brunt of this. They rely on those supplies, and now they'll have to make do with less.

Officer A (Resigned): (in Mandarin) We must figure out a plan to mitigate the impact. We can't afford to let this disrupt our mission.

Officer B (Thoughtful): (in Mandarin) Maybe we should consider diversifying our supply routes. Relying solely on these exposed routes was bound to bite us sooner or later.

Officer C (Skeptical): (in Mandarin) That's easier said than done. We need a secure route, and rerouting supplies will be a logistical nightmare.

Officer D (Worried): (in Mandarin) Well, we don't have much choice, do we? We have to protect the remaining supply ships at all costs.

Officer A (Determined): (in Mandarin) I agree. We need to be resourceful, adapt to these challenges, and ensure our combat operations continue as smoothly as possible. It won't be easy, but we'll find a way.

My analysis based on this intelligence is:

1. The enemy is not as well-resourced as they should be for the current fight.
2. They are digging into their current positions to allow for much-needed resupply of fuel and equipment to be brought forward from the port facilities.

Recommendations:

1. Continue to attack the enemy supply lines. They have to travel through a very narrow fjord/channel to get to Port Arenas. If we can emplace anti-ship missiles or mines in their path. This will cause the front-line formations to lack the required resources necessary to wage war.
2. The enemy supply line is vulnerable to attack and is their Achilles heel.

Able
Nov 1, 2023
REQUEST FOR INFORMATION (RFI)

To: COL Forsyth, Deputy J3, USSOUTHCOM
From: J2 (intel) Office of the General of the Combined Armies, CSAD

I have received the below information and am requesting any available intelligence on the activities in and around the Port of Punta Arenas within the last 96 hours specific to the Chinese Navy (surface and sub-surface). I need to know the quantity of vessels and by type.

quote:

Report Date: 20FEB, 2010
Reported By: CLASSIFIED
Location: Port of Punta Arenas
Report Details: While docking my vessel at the Port of Punta Arenas, I observed a significant increase in Chinese military presence in the area. Numerous Chinese naval vessels, cargo ships, and support vessels have been arriving at the port. I witnessed the unloading of military equipment, including tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery. Chinese troops are patrolling the area, and there is a visible buildup of forces in the vicinity.

Able
Nov 1, 2023
REQUEST FOR INFORMATION (RFI)

To: COL Forsyth, Deputy J3, USSOUTHCOM
From: J2 (intel) Office of the General of the Combined Armies, CSAD


quote:

Requesting any available intelligence for AREA OF INTEREST (AOI) pictured below. POINTS OF INTEREST (POI) are Puerto Williams and Ushuaia and everything within a 15 NM radius. Im looking for Vessel movements, troop movement, and aircraft activity.


quote:

Requesting any available intelligence for AREA OF INTEREST (AOI) pictured below. POINTS OF INTEREST (POI) are Port Stanley Airport, Stanley, and Berkeley Sound. I looking for an analysis of Vessel movements, troop movement, troop build-up, base defenses, and aircraft activity. This is a launching point for enemy attacks.

Able
Nov 1, 2023
Premission Intelligenace request

To: COL Forsyth, Deputy J3, USSOUTHCOM
From: J2 (intel) Office of the General of the Combined Armies, CSAD


Sir,
I wanted to submit an intelligence request as we prepare for our next operation. I am specifically interested in confirmed or suspected (with a high degree of confidence) locations for BUK-type systems and can you help us identify if they have deployed their snowdrift radar system?

Able
Nov 1, 2023


Subject: Post-Mission Update Briefing

Commander,

After an exhaustive analysis of post-combat data and careful review of the insightful post-flight debriefs (After Action Reports - AAR’s), I present the following updated operational overview.

Operational Map (Light Red):

Corvettes: Two corvettes observed departing to the west, suggesting a potential link to the sinking of their sister ship. Recommend further investigation.
Frigate: One damaged frigate identified, previously serving as an escort for littoral ships in the fjord.
Littoral Class Ships: Five littoral class ships detected heading towards Punta Arenas Port.
Cargo Ships and Oil Tanker: Two cargo ships and one additional oil tanker spotted en route to Punta Arenas Port.
SA-11 Surface-to-Air System: Identification of a second SA-11 surface-to-air system located south of Punta Arenas.
Punta Arenas Airport:
Destruction of three HQ-7 SAMs confirmed.
Two corvettes have repositioned to safeguard Punta Arenas airspace with their missile systems.

Western Punta Arenas:

Cargo Ships and Littoral Ship: Three cargo ships (potentially littoral class due to location) and one littoral ship identified west of Punta Arenas in close proximity to the 6th Marine Brigade. Possible movement of the brigade.

Unit Status:

4th Brigade:
7th Battalion: Reduced to 20% strength, deemed combat ineffective.
11th Artillery Battalion: Suffered a significant reduction to 10% combat power, classified as combat ineffective.
9th Air Defense Artillery Battalion: Lost one BUK TELAR.
10th Support Battalion: Experienced 70-80% losses.
5th Brigade:
8th Air Defense Artillery Battalion: Lost one BUK TELAR, two HQ-7, and supporting equipment.
1st Brigade:
4th Infantry Battalion: Sustained 30% losses.
3rd Brigade:
2nd Air Defense Artillery Battalion: Lost three (3) HQ-7 systems and support equipment.


The current situation underscores the necessity for strategic reassessment and potential adjustments to our operational approach. I recommend prompt consideration of the aforementioned details in the formulation of our next course of action.

Awaiting further directives.

Respectfully,

Able fucked around with this message at 17:10 on Nov 13, 2023

Able
Nov 1, 2023


Subject: Strategic Assessment and Future Operational Recommendations

Commander,

The recent engagement has undoubtedly dealt a significant blow to the enemy, impairing their capacity to sustain a northern ground push. Nevertheless, the enemy's capability to deploy numerically superior forces remains a persistent threat, and if not countered strategically, they could grind our forces down, rendering us incapable of holding territory.

In light of the recent operation, I propose a more focused approach with our limited forces. The dispersed nature of the recent attack across the entire enemy front yielded limited tangible results in proportion to our losses. To optimize our resources, I recommend concentrating our efforts on specific enemy Brigade (BDE) formations.

The successful west-to-east attack by friendly forces against the 4th Brigade demonstrated promising results, with fewer surface-to-air missile (SAM) threats encountered. This success could be indicative of a viable tactic to exploit in future engagements. I suggest a thorough review of this approach to extract valuable insights and replicate its execution in subsequent operations.

By concentrating our efforts on specific enemy BDE formations, we stand to inflict more substantial damage while minimizing our own losses. This strategic shift aligns with our imperative to preserve our limited forces and capitalize on their effectiveness.

I recommend convening a comprehensive operational planning session to delve deeper into the success of the recent friendly forces' attack and to formulate a refined strategy for future engagements. This will allow us to leverage our strengths and exploit potential vulnerabilities in the enemy's disposition.

Awaiting your guidance on the next steps.

Respectfully,

Able
Nov 1, 2023


quote:

**Post Mission BDA**

With the destruction of HQ 7s and support equipment, 9th ADA BN 4th BDE combat power has been degraded.

The destruction of the 3 cargo ships has significantly degraded the enemy's ability to reinforce the 4th BDE and threaten our western flank.

The ground attacks against the 2nd BDE continue to degrade its ability to organize a wet gap crossing to build combat power and trap our forces in a pincer attack from East and West. Excellent work.

The continued attacks against the lead enemy formations will give our ground forces the time they need to build combat power and move to the front lines. We must continue to destroy and degrade the enemies' logistical capabilities. They can not survive without supplies.

quote:

**Request for Information (RFI):**
1). 1st ARBDE engaged a flight of helicopters. Was any intelligence gathered?

2). Several collection platforms have detected AN-26 and AN-30 cargo planes flying between Port Stanley (-51.68727076859756, -57.7765393826768) and Puerto Williams (-54.93194048211459, -67.63180961195096).
Can we intercept them and or attack the Puerto Williams airfield and port areas?

3). Do we have a platform that can conduct ISR on the southern portion of the continent? Perhaps an extended western flank to the southern route.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


Deep Strike BDA Report

Deep strike with a focus on the enemy’s supply and support. Which has been identified as the enemy’s greatest weakness.

Sunk 2 ships west of Punta Arenas:
- The sinking of two ships significantly diminishes the enemy's naval strength, limiting their capacity for maritime operations.
- This disruption in maritime capabilities can lead to a bottleneck in the transportation of troops, equipment, and crucial supplies to front-line forces.
- The effectiveness in disrupting enemy supply lines is evident, as naval transport is a vital component of their logistical chain.
7th CSS BN 4th BDE DESTROYED:
- The complete destruction of the 7th CSS BN disrupts the enemy's logistics and supply chain.
- This destruction has a cascading effect, impacting their ability to sustain forces and conduct effective operations.
- The destruction of the CSS unit contributes significantly to weakening the enemy's overall logistical capabilities.
14th CSS BN 5th BDE DESTROYED:
- The complete destruction of the 14th CSS BN delivers a severe blow to the enemy's logistics and supply chain.
- This destruction disrupts their ability to sustain front-line forces, leading to potential operational and strategic disadvantages.
- The impact on logistics contributes significantly to weakening the enemy's overall military capability.
3rd SPT BN 3rd BDE damaged:
- The damage to the 3rd SPT BN has direct consequences for the enemy's support capabilities.
- The compromised support unit may struggle to provide essential logistics, maintenance, and other critical support functions to front-line forces.
- The disruption in support capabilities weakens the enemy's overall operational effectiveness.
4th SPT BN 5th BDE damaged:
- The damage to the 4th SPT BN affects the enemy's logistical support capabilities in the targeted area.
- The compromised support unit may face challenges in supplying and sustaining forces in the region, impacting their ability to conduct sustained operations.
- This disruption contributes to degrading the enemy's logistical network.
6th ADA BN 7th BDE damaged:
- The damage inflicted on the 6th ADA BN compromises the operational effectiveness of the air defense unit.
- This damage can create vulnerabilities in the enemy's ability to defend against future air attacks, making them more susceptible to aerial threats.
- The weakened air defense posture enhances the potential success of follow-up air operations.
2nd ADA BN 3rd BDE lost 3 (ea) HQ7s and support equipment:
- The loss of HQ7s and support equipment significantly reduces the air defense capabilities of the 2nd ADA BN.
- This loss creates vulnerabilities in their ability to counter aerial threats, making them more susceptible to air attacks.
- The impact on air defense capabilities enhances the feasibility of future air operations in the area.
9th ADA BN 4th BDE lost 1 (ea) HQ7 (last one):
- The loss of the last HQ7 for the 9th ADA BN is a critical blow to their air defense capabilities.
- This loss leaves a significant gap in their ability to defend against air threats, increasing their vulnerability to aerial attacks.
- The consequences for the overall air defense capabilities of the 9th ADA BN are substantial, impacting the broader defense strategy.
Silkworm site North West on ISLA CARLOS III Degraded:
- The degradation of the Silk Worm site weakens the enemy's coastal defense capabilities.
- This degradation could reduce their ability to deter or counter naval threats in the region, providing opportunities for naval operations.
- The implications for coastal defense highlight the strategic value of degrading such key defensive assets
Collateral Damage:
While the precision of our strikes minimized collateral damage. Preliminary reports suggest damage to infrastructure, including power lines and roadways.
Enemy Response:
The enemy responded swiftly to our deep strike by repositioning air defense assets to fill the gaps that their losses had caused. This will reduce the enemy's ability to establish Surface Air Missile (SAM) defenses in depth, meaning we could exploit the gaps in the radar coverage to get behind these defenses and strike vulnerable exposed units. The enemy ADA units are also spending significant numbers of munitions that they can't easily replenish. This will have an impact on the enemy SAM capabilities.
Conclusion:
The focused enemy strike has proven incredibly successful. Our forces suffered significant losses among our carrier-based strike aircraft. However, their sacrifice was not for nothing. We have dealt an incredible blow to the enemy’s ability to sustain its front-line forces and air defenses. This will provide our ground forces with the much-needed time to continue to build combat power and much-needed breathing room.
Recommendation: Capitalizing on our mission success and to continue to build momentum we need to keep the focus on supplies and support. If we can continue to degrade the enemy’s western flank we could strike the enemy’s only deep-water port facility, Punta Arenas.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) fligth Mission Request:

quote:

Requesting an ISR flight along the North, and Western sides of the Falkland Islands specifically in and around the following Points of Interest (POI) West Point and Hill Cove.
Need recommendations on possible locations for a clandestine insertion site for the Special Forces team & What is the strength and composition of the enemy forces in and around the entire Islands?

quote:

Request an ISR flight in and around the Silk Worm site North West on ISLA CARLOS III. What is the status of the site and equipment?

quote:

Requesting ISR flight in and around approximately 53°43'54"S 72°07'15"W. I want to know what the hell is going on.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


TOP SECRET//NOFORN

MILITARY INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Report No.: MI-23-058

Date: 10th March 2010

SUBJECT: People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) Reconstitution and Aircraft Deployment

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

Without compromising methods, sources, or techniques, intelligence indicates that the People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has initiated a 72 to 96-hour operational pause to reconstitute and repair aircraft deployed in both AO Arrow and AO Bolt. The primary objective is to provide essential maintenance to the fleet and afford pilots and ground crews, who have been engaged in near round-the-clock operations, a much-needed break.

INTELLIGENCE DETAILS:

Location: Ushuaia
Unit: 1st PLAAF Squadron
Aircraft Type: J-7
Quantity: 2 units

Location: Ushuaia
Unit: 3rd PLAAF Squadron
Aircraft Type: J-11
Quantity: 4 units

Location: Rio Grande
Unit: 5th PLAAF Squadron
Aircraft Type: J-7
Quantity: 2 units

ANALYSIS:

The PLAAF's decision to temporarily halt operations and reconstitute their air assets suggests a strategic effort to maintain operational effectiveness and address maintenance requirements. This pause provides an opportunity for our adversary to regroup, repair, and reevaluate their tactical approach in both AO Arrow and AO Bolt.

The J-7s have a very limited poor weather capability. This could be an advantage.

This report is classified as TOP SECRET and NOFORN. Dissemination to unauthorized individuals is strictly prohibited.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


TOP SECRET//NOFORN

Report No.: PLASA-2992-2010

**OPERATION SUCCESS ASSESSMENT:**
Today's operation yielded significant success in impeding the enemy's freedom of movement across the battle space. Our strategic focus on disrupting the adversary's logistics has forced them to alter tactics, and we successfully compelled their naval forces to deplete essential munitions.

**TARGET ASSESSMENT:**
Replenishment Ship:
Analysis: Locating the replenishment ship stands as a high payoff target. A dedicated strike against this vessel could disrupt enemy resupply efforts and further diminish their operational capabilities.
Recommendation: Initiate intensified efforts to identify and track the replenishment ship for potential future targeting.

**ENEMY TACTICAL ADJUSTMENTS:**
The enemy has demonstrated observable alterations in tactics, underscoring the effectiveness of our sustained focus on disrupting their logistical operations. Continued emphasis on targeting their supply chain has prompted tactical adjustments, providing a strategic advantage to our forces.

**SAM CAPABILITY DEGRADATION:**
Northern and Northwestern Approaches to Porta Arenas:
Targets Destroyed: 2 SA-11 Surface-to-Air Missile (SAM) systems

Analysis: The destruction of these SA-11s significantly degrades the enemy's SAM capability, particularly in proximity to Porta Arenas, their most critical port in the region.
Impact: Restricts enemy air defense capabilities and enhances our freedom of movement in the specified approaches.

**RECOMMENDATIONS:**
1. Continued Logistical Focus: Maintain the emphasis on disrupting the enemy's logistical trail to exploit tactical vulnerabilities and sustain operational success.
2. Target Prioritization: Prioritize the identification and tracking of the replenishment ship for potential targeted strikes.
3. Monitoring Tactical Adjustments: Continuously monitor enemy tactics to adapt our strategies accordingly, ensuring ongoing success in disrupting their operational capabilities.

**WARNING:**
This report is classified as TOP SECRET and NOFORN. Dissemination to unauthorized individuals is strictly prohibited. Exercise caution to protect sources and methods.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


TOP SECRET//NOFORN

INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
---
INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY:

Recent intelligence indicates a series of noteworthy developments in the South Atlantic region, highlighting potential strategic shifts and operational preparations by the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) forces. Key observations include increased maritime traffic from Africa to South America, suspicious naval activities near Rio Grande Port, expansion of PLA support areas, and challenges with the accuracy of deployed CSS-7 missiles.
---
INTELLIGENCE DETAILS:

Maritime Traffic Increase:
Observation: Heightened presence of west-flowing transport vessels from Africa, potentially associated with PLAN's efforts to contract or impress civil vessels for increased transportation of bulk goods and equipment across the South Atlantic.
Implications: Indicative of potential strategic maneuvering and logistical buildup by the PLA in the South American theater.

Naval Activities near Rio Grande Port:
Observation: Surveillance detected 1x PLAN large landing craft and at least 4x Landing Ship Tanks (LSTs) conducting operations south of Rio Grande Port, possibly involving army and marine force landing rehearsals.
Analysis: Debate among analysts regarding whether these activities signify rehearsals for amphibious operations, establishment of redundant/dispersed ship-to-shore operations, or both.

Expansion of PLA Support Area:
Observation: Non-standard reconnaissance reveals the previously reported Battalion Support Area (BSA) at the intersection of Y-71, Y-85, and HWY 257 has expanded to Divisional Support Area (DSA) size.
Analysis: PLA continues to enhance hardening, dispersion, and refit capabilities at the DSA, along with bolstering ground and air defenses. BSA elements likely relocated north or northeast in Tierra del Fuego (TdF) to support operational fronts.

CSS-7 Missile Deployment Challenges:
Observation: Liaison reports indicate difficulties in locating deployed CSS-7 missiles, with initial employment demonstrating poor accuracy, with deviations of up to 500 meters.
Analysis: Uncertainty persists whether inaccuracies stem from isolated incidents or systemic issues within the CSS-7 weapon systems.

RECOMMENDATIONS:
Enhanced Surveillance: Increase surveillance efforts to monitor and assess maritime activities, particularly in the vicinity of Rio Grande Port and along established transport routes between Africa and South America.
Analysis Refinement: Further analysis and intelligence gathering are required to elucidate the nature and intentions behind observed PLA activities, particularly regarding potential amphibious operations and support area expansions.
Weapon System Evaluation: Coordinate with technical experts to evaluate the performance and reliability of CSS-7 missile systems to determine the root cause of deployment inaccuracies.

WARNING:
This report is classified as TOP SECRET and NOFORN. Dissemination to unauthorized individuals is strictly prohibited. Exercise caution to protect sources and methods.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY

Helicopter Operations

OPERATIONAL SUCCESS:
The helicopter mission aimed at establishing a blocking position to thwart any potential People's Liberation Army (PLA) flanking maneuvers has achieved success. Timely arrival of our forces proved decisive, catching the enemy in the initial stages of operations before they could fortify reinforcement positions. Post-flight reports and accompanying flight data confirm the destruction of a PLA Engineer company, accompanied by a supporting ZSU.

MARITIME ACTIVITY:
Reports indicate the presence of three cargo ships, accompanied by an escort, positioned off the coast. Further reconnaissance and monitoring of these vessels are warranted to assess their intentions and potential threat to friendly operations in the area.

OPERATIONAL SECURITY:
Exercise caution to safeguard sensitive information regarding the success of our operations and ongoing intelligence efforts. Limit dissemination to authorized personnel and channels to prevent compromise of operational integrity.

WARNING:
This intelligence summary is classified as SECRET. Unauthorized disclosure or distribution of its contents is strictly prohibited.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


**TOP SECRET//NOFORN**

**INTELLIGENCE UPDATE**
---
**INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY:**

**Situation Overview:**
- People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has deployed a significant portion of its J-11 fighter aircraft, allocating half of its available assets to the front line.
- In recent engagements, PLAAF has suffered losses, with 4 J-15 aircraft downed. Notably, these aircraft operate from the CV-16 carrier, stationed approximately 500 nautical miles away.
- Tierra del Fuego, an area of strategic importance, is currently being patrolled by 4 J-11s from the PLAAF, indicating continued air presence in the region despite losses.
- PLAAF's J-11 fleet is significantly depleted, with only 4 out of the initial 6 aircraft remaining operational. Moreover, those still in service are reported to be in poor condition, with only 2 to 4 aircraft expected to be available within the next 24 hours.

**Marine Brigade Movement:**
- The 2nd Marine Brigade (2nd Marine BDE) is actively involved in the operation and is currently engaged in crossing the ferry terminal.
- The movement of the 2nd Marine BDE is facilitated by 4 Ropucha-class landing ships (LSTs), with additional support provided by two Type 054 frigates acting as escorts.

**Naval Situation:**
- Cargo ships and other LSTs have diverted from the Rio Gallegos area, leaving behind warships and their surface-to-air missile (SAM) defenses to maintain control over the region.
- Most LSTs previously deployed by the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) are redirected to support the Punta Arenas lifeline, indicating a strategic shift in naval resources.
- The remaining LSTs have turned back towards Rio Grande, suggesting a reorganization of naval assets in response to operational needs.

**Conclusion:**
- The current situation in Rio Gallegos presents both challenges and opportunities for our forces. With PLAAF's air assets depleted and naval resources redirected, there is a window of opportunity to capitalize on weakened defenses.
- However, caution is advised as PLAAF maintains a presence in the region with remaining J-11 fighters. Additionally, the naval presence, though diminished, still poses a threat to our operations.
- Coordination and swift action will be crucial in exploiting the current situation to achieve our objectives in Operation Rio Gallegos.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


Comandante,
Please excuse my absence. I have just returned from visiting our allied units at the front lines and am prepared to file this report on my analysis of the enemy. (hands the commander a folder) The first sheet you see is my staff's executive summary (EXSUM) of the intelligence that was provided by a source within the resistance forces currently hiding in and around Magellan National Reserve. The source is code-named Seagull. Sir, currently this is single-source intelligence, as you're aware this means it has not been verified. We are currently working with our allies to see if they are seeing similar intelligence. We currently have no reason to not trust the source. The second is my report to you about the current operations status of the Chinese force.



quote:


EXSUM of intelligence from code name Seagull

**Current Situation:**
- Tensions are escalating between the Army and Navy due to stretched resources and conflicting priorities.
- A planning conference is convened at the field HQ at Simon Bolivar Plaza to address the situation.
- The target location is a heavily guarded main HQ with barracks, expected to be fully manned with soldiers and HQ staff during the conference.
- Security at the target includes regular patrols, guard duty rotations, and light armored vehicles with autocannons stationed on the west side.
- The field HQ itself is fortified with strong points along each face, manned with light and medium machine guns in sandbag nests.
- Specialized guard teams from both the Navy and Army are anticipated due to heightened tensions.

**Available Resources:**
- The team consists of elite soldiers along with two units of 24 personnel each, capable of breaking down into smaller teams.
- Each 24-person unit is equipped with 2 light machine guns but has limited ammunition, as well as anti-tank weaponry (4 launchers with 1 reload each).
- Thin-skinned civilian vehicles are available for transit, but they are not suitable for combat.
- A makeshift mortar unit is available for one-time use, capable of firing smoke or gas rounds, but it will likely attract enemy attention once deployed.

**Mission Objective:**
- Drive a wedge between the conflicting Chinese factions by exploiting their strained relationship and exacerbating existing tensions.
- Create an opportunity to infiltrate the heavily guarded main HQ and gather intelligence or disrupt operations.
- Support the broader objective of disrupting enemy supply lines and relieving pressure on Army units pushing north.

**Operational Plan:**
1. Reconnaissance: Conduct thorough reconnaissance of the target area to identify key vulnerabilities, entry points, and enemy positions.
2. Divide and Conquer: Utilize strategic maneuvers and psychological operations to sow discord between the Army and Navy factions, exploiting their internal conflicts.
3. Targeted Strikes: Coordinate precise strikes against enemy positions and assets, prioritizing the disruption of communication and logistical networks.
4. Exploitation: Seize the opportunity presented by the chaos to infiltrate the main HQ, gather intelligence, and execute mission objectives.
5. Evacuation: Execute a swift and coordinated withdrawal once mission objectives are achieved, minimizing casualties and maintaining operational security.

**Conclusion:**
- Success in this operation relies on effective coordination, precise execution, and adaptability to dynamic battlefield conditions.
- By leveraging available resources and exploiting enemy vulnerabilities, the team can significantly impact the balance of power in the region and contribute to overall strategic objectives.

quote:

**Enemy Analysis Report**

**1. Disruption of Supply Lines:**
- The People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) is currently unable to replenish Punta Arenas, indicating a significant disruption to their supply lines.
- This disruption likely stems from strategic challenges in navigating the Strait of Magellan and hostile actions by allied forces.

**2. Vulnerability of the Strait of Magellan:**
- The strategic significance of the Strait of Magellan is emphasized by its vulnerability to enemy shipping.
- Friendly submarines positioned outside fjord entrances pose a significant threat to enemy vessels attempting to navigate the strait, rendering it unsafe for shipping.

**3. Impact of Chilean Submarines:**
- Chilean submarines deployed off the southern tip have effectively disrupted enemy shipping, further exacerbating the logistical challenges faced by the PLAN.
- This underscores the effectiveness of allied naval operations in the region and their ability to disrupt enemy supply lines.

**4. Shift in Enemy Strategy:**
- In response to the challenges posed by Punta Arenas and the Strait of Magellan, the PLAN is anticipated to shift its focus towards safer harbors like Rio Grande in Tierra del Fuego.
- This strategic shift will likely involve increased anti-submarine warfare (ASW) patrols around Rio Grande and Ushuaia to safeguard replenishment efforts.
- Despite these adjustments, the PLA remains committed to at least contesting, if not controlling, strategic locations such as the Cape, indicating ongoing regional power dynamics.

**Conclusion:**
- The enemy's logistical challenges and strategic vulnerabilities present opportunities for allied forces to maintain pressure and exploit weaknesses.
- Continued disruption of enemy supply lines, particularly in critical chokepoints like the Strait of Magellan, will further strain enemy resources and contribute to overall strategic objectives.
- Allied forces should remain vigilant and adaptive, exploiting enemy weaknesses while maintaining operational flexibility to respond to evolving enemy strategies and tactics.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


**Strategic Assessment:**



**1. PLA Marines' Situation:**
- The PLA Marines of the 1st and 2nd Brigades are currently trapped in a minefield, with a significant portion of their combat power concentrated in and around the hazardous area.
- This presents an opportunity to exploit their vulnerability and inflict substantial damage on their combat capability through targeted use of cluster munitions.

**2. Targeted Destruction of 1st and 2nd Brigades:**
- By employing cluster munitions with precision, we can effectively neutralize the 1st and 2nd Brigades, eliminating their combat effectiveness and removing them from the battlefield.
- This action will disrupt enemy operations and significantly degrade their ability to engage or maneuver effectively.

**3. Disruption of Support by Fire Positions:**
- The 7th Brigade is positioning itself to provide support by fire to cover the withdrawal of the 1st and 2nd Brigades as they attempt to self-recover from the minefield.
- Targeting and destroying the 7th Brigade will delay the withdrawal process of the trapped brigades, further hampering their ability to regroup and reinforcing the effectiveness of our actions.

**4. Operational Opportunities:**
- Exploiting the current situation presents a strategic advantage, allowing us to weaken enemy forces and disrupt their operational capabilities.
- By capitalizing on the vulnerability of the trapped brigades and disrupting support elements, we can achieve significant battlefield success and shape the outcome of the engagement.

**5. Execution Plan:**
- Coordinate targeted strikes using cluster munitions to neutralize the 1st and 2nd Brigades trapped in the minefield.
- Simultaneously engage and eliminate the 7th Brigade to disrupt support by fire operations and delay enemy withdrawal efforts.
- Maintain operational flexibility and adaptability to capitalize on evolving battlefield dynamics and exploit enemy vulnerabilities effectively.

**6. Conclusion:**
- Targeting the trapped PLA Marines and disrupting support elements presents a prime opportunity to degrade enemy combat capabilities and gain a decisive advantage on the battlefield.
- Swift and decisive action, coupled with precision targeting and coordinated maneuvers, will enable us to capitalize on this opportunity and achieve our strategic objectives effectively.

Able
Nov 1, 2023


Anticipated PLA Counterattack Assessment: HIGH



Situation Overview:
The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is unlikely to concede defeat and risk the capture of thousands of soldiers and valuable ground combat equipment in and around Punta Arenas. A large and concentrated counterattack is expected as the PLA seeks to regain control of strategic positions and repel allied forces from the region. As the situation in Punta Arenas becomes increasingly precarious for stranded PLA forces, we believe they will enact a strategic withdrawal to the harbor area, seeking to consolidate their remaining resources and build up defenses. Faced with the looming threat of allied encirclement and mounting logistical challenges, PLA commanders will prioritize the establishment of fortified positions around the harbor, aiming to secure vital infrastructure and prevent further losses. Engineering units hastily construct barriers and fortifications, while infantry and armored units dig in to create a formidable defensive perimeter. With time running short and allied forces closing in, the PLA will marshal all available manpower and materiel to fortify their last stronghold in Punta Arenas, determined to hold their ground and repel any imminent assaults.

Factors Contributing to Counterattack:
1. Strategic Imperatives: Retaining control of Punta Arenas is vital for the PLA to maintain its presence in the region and safeguard logistical routes and supply lines.
2. Loss Aversion: The PLA will be motivated to prevent further losses and regain lost ground, driving them to launch a significant counteroffensive to reclaim strategic objectives.
3. Troop Strength: The PLA possesses substantial ground forces and combat equipment, allowing them to mount a formidable counterattack with considerable manpower and firepower.
4. Reinforcements: PLA may deploy additional reinforcements from nearby bases or mobilize reserve units to bolster their offensive capabilities and support the counterattack.
5. Air Support: PLA may utilize air assets, including fighter aircraft and helicopters, to provide close air support and conduct aerial reconnaissance to support ground operations.

Countermeasures and Mitigation:
1. Preparedness: Allied forces must maintain high levels of readiness and vigilance, anticipating and preparing for the PLA counterattack with robust defensive positions and contingency plans.
2. Firepower: Leveraging superior firepower and air support to neutralize enemy advances and inflict heavy casualties on PLA forces, degrading their offensive capabilities and morale.
3. Mobility and Flexibility: Maintaining flexibility in defensive positions and rapid response capabilities to counter PLA maneuvers and adapt to changing battlefield conditions.
4. Allied Unity: Ensuring cohesion and coordination among allied forces, fostering effective communication and cooperation to withstand the PLA counterattack and exploit enemy weaknesses.

Recommendations:
To achieve our strategic objectives, we must swiftly move to disrupt the seaborne supply lines feeding the defensive forces in and around Punta Arenas. By severing their logistical lifeline, we can create a situation where the besieged forces are deprived of essential supplies, forcing them into a position of vulnerability and eventual surrender. Through targeted interdiction efforts and naval blockades, we can effectively isolate Punta Arenas and apply pressure on the enemy's ability to sustain their defensive operations. This window of opportunity must be exploited to its fullest extent, allowing us to dictate the tempo of the conflict and compel the enemy to capitulate under the weight of their logistical shortcomings. Time is of the essence, and decisive action in closing off the seaborne supply routes will be crucial in achieving our objectives and securing victory in Punta Arenas.
With the enemy on the defensive and reacting to our battlefield maneuvers, we must capitalize on this momentum and continue to press our advantage with swift and decisive strikes. Priority targets for our attacks include the early warning radar sites, the division logistical support hub, and enemy rear areas. By targeting these critical assets, we can disrupt enemy command and control, degrade their ability to coordinate defensive operations, and sow confusion and disarray within their ranks. Coordinated airstrikes and ground assaults should be employed to hit these targets deep and hard, exploiting vulnerabilities in enemy defenses and exploiting the element of surprise. This offensive surge will further strain enemy resources and morale, amplifying the pressure on their already beleaguered forces and hastening their inevitable collapse. Now is the time to maintain our offensive momentum and deliver decisive blows that will pave the way for ultimate victory on the battlefield.

Conclusion:
Anticipation of a large and concentrated PLA counterattack underscores the importance of continued vigilance and readiness among allied forces in Punta Arenas. By implementing proactive defensive measures and leveraging superior firepower and strategic positioning, allied forces can withstand the impending counteroffensive and maintain control of key terrain features. Effective coordination and unity of effort will be essential to repel the PLA assault and secure strategic objectives in the region.

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Able
Nov 1, 2023


Operation recommendation briefing: Operation DIVINE WIND


TACTICAL SITUATION:


TERRAIN ANALYST:


ELINT and OSINT intercept indicate that command and control breakdowns are crippling PLA operations and their hasty withdrawal, Operation Divine Wind presents a prime opportunity to maintain pressure and prevent their reorganization. Targeting the "templated" HQ-7 site at Caleta Rosario (either ship-to-shore or air-to-ground), the lone SAM defense protecting the western approach into Inutil Bay, is critical to neutralizing local enemy air defense capabilities. Once this site is neutralized, a strike package can exploit terrain masking to assault the PLAGF BSA at CRUCE ONAISSIN, as well as the nearby PLA 7th Brigade just to the north, preventing their consolidation and regrouping. Flying below 500m ASL and 300 AGL (HARD CEILING of 500m) will challenge the templated S300s at Tolhuin and Rio Grande to lock onto our aircraft effectively. This coordinated operation will exploit PLA disarray, deny them time to fortify defenses or mount counterattacks and sustain the momentum of our advance in the region. Operation Divine Wind is poised to deliver a decisive blow to PLA forces and solidify our strategic advantage.

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