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Angry_Ed posted:I feel like I'm missing some context here. Mike Johnson gave an interview about how he and his son are accountability buddies on one of those apps that tracks if you view porn that sends a notice to the other one.
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Feb 8, 2024 02:10
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L. Ron DeSantis posted:Did you not see the report that just came out that was basically "Biden willfully retained classified docs but we aren't prosecuting because he's a forgetful old man"? And have you not seen Project 2025 and the countless reports about what Trump plans to do in office? You're catastrophizing and probably need a break from the internet and news for a while. A report nine months before an election is not enough to single-handedly swing it into a landslide in any direction. If it mattered that much to swing voters we would have seen Biden's numbers soaring when the same kinds of reports came out about Trump. It probably hurts Biden in the election to some degree but it'll be on the margins like almost everything else, its not some kind of black swan event that's totally reshaped the political landscape. As for the Project 2025 stuff its designed to scare people/pump up the base. A lot of what its promising is a lot harder than you might think and you might consider why other presidents haven't done it in the last 150 years. Including Trump in 2017.
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Feb 9, 2024 01:12
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Shut up and JAM! posted:Having fellow travelers does not absolve an individual of their complicity. So your argument here is that someone who works at a non-profit with the purpose of aiding the poor in getting government assistance is also complicit? Also how is everyone posting on this American based forum not complicit anyways as part of the background radiation of their lives. Literally every single person with an account on this forum has paid taxed American dollars which went right to supporting that institution. Or is that too many degrees removed?
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Feb 16, 2024 08:27
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Yeah, big new batch of Wayne county dropped that was significantly more Biden leaning than the first bit and dropped the Uncommitted percentage there to 17% so Uncommitted isn't getting anywhere near 20% statewide. Still only 11% for Wayne but the county Uncommitted is doing best in is now Washtenaw, where Ann Arbor is, with 61% of the vote in and 21% Uncommitted.
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Feb 28, 2024 05:07
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Nissin Cup Nudist posted:Is the DNC later than usual this year because why hasn't this come up before Not really? In 2020 it started August 17th and in 2012 it started September 2nd. 2016 was in late July though. Not sure how this hadn't come up previously if 3/4 of the DNC dates in the last 12 years have been after that deadline.
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Apr 6, 2024 21:41
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Nail Rat posted:Is it possible Sinema tanks it out of spite and just being "independent?" Yes, and Manchin has already said he will not vote for any more nominees without 'Bipartisan' support. So if Thomas does croak she's the fulcrum for his replacement.
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Apr 15, 2024 19:23
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RBA Starblade posted:They thought he "did a good job", generally. I didn't say I agreed, but I'm hard pressed to think of anyone who's said anything bad about him to me. Obviously the dude sucks, but I'd be shocked if he lost. We'll see but split ticket voting has become significantly less of a thing in recent years. The biggest splits in 2020 were about 14% between Biden and Derrick in Nebraska and 10% in Maine where Biden led Gideon by that amount. Maryland went for Hillary by 26.5% and Biden by 33.64% in 2016 and 2020. I just don't think there will be enough of a split to overcome that. Like I have no doubt believing Biden runs significantly ahead of the Senate candidate there but when even the poster child of split tickets is retiring because he likely wouldn't win his seat back this year I struggle to imagine a world where Maryland votes a split ticket that massive. Zore fucked around with this message at 18:00 on Apr 18, 2024 |
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Apr 18, 2024 17:57
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Like for some perspective, Joe Manchin only ran about 24% ahead of Obama in 2012 which is the last time his elections synched with the presidential. And his case is considered an extreme outlier in terms of a state splitting its senate and presidential votes. Hogan would need to do better than that to win Maryland. That was also the last time we saw a split ticket percentage between President and Senate even approaching that, the maximum in 2016 and 2020 were 15.6% and 14%. so we'll see but I think it would be bizarre to put money on it at this point based on a single poll. Zore fucked around with this message at 18:25 on Apr 18, 2024 |
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Apr 18, 2024 18:13
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Willa Rogers posted:Once the Maryland primary has happened and a Democratic nominee is chosen I expect the polls to tighten but I also expect Hogan to lead Trone up until the g.e. I can't find any polling easily but Hogan won significantly more narrow elections in Maryland than Bredesen did in Tenessee. Looking at both of their last elections for Governor, Hogan won 55%-44% in 2018 while in 2006 Bredesen won 69%-29% and was a massively popular governor with a lot of crossover appeal. He also led in polling against Blackburn for most of the cycle in 2018 until RGB's death caused a sea change in the race and began to motivate a lot of Republican voters not to split their tickets as Judicial nominations took a ton of air out of the room.
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Apr 18, 2024 18:39
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Jimbozig posted:Yeah, if the government of China made a law saying that Google or Facebook had to sell its proprietary algorithms to a Chinese company outside its control, I would expect that company to refuse as well. I don't think this is remotely surprising. I mean this is literally why China does not have Facebook or Google.
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May 8, 2024 17:20
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Willa Rogers posted:I was thinking about the ticket-splitting between Democratic Senate candidates vs. Biden that we've seen in a lot of recent polling & I wonder if it's possibly due to the Democrats' attempts to paint Trump as a singular & unique evil, especially as they're trying to court suburban Republicans with moves like getting tough on the border. Wouldn't you expect the exact opposite in that scenario, ie for Biden to be up vs Trump but the Senate races to be leaning Republican since they aren't 'uniquely evil' as Trump is?
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May 14, 2024 23:36
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zoux posted:I guess my question would be, why do airlines cancel flights? I'd've figured it was for either weather or mechanical problems, which don't seem like things that care about the bottom line. Lot of reasons, those are two of the most common but another one is that we have a severely constrained and aging population of commercial pilots as well as laws and regulations on the time pilots are legally allowed to pilot. Airlines built up schedules with little to no wiggle room so if there are delays it can cause a whole chain of flights to get cancelled if it bumps a pilot's hours into 'legally unable to fly' territory.
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May 15, 2024 17:03
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