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Kith posted:tired of waiting for the mods to do it 
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Jan 31, 2024 16:47
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Cimber posted:I thought i got probed for making threads! Maybe you get probed because you dress like a trollop.
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Jan 31, 2024 17:18
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The Ol Spicy Keychain posted:https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/30/kyrsten-sinema-donations-00138738 She was going to try to be the new McCain. She probably disregarded lots of conventional advice on her way up and it got her a Senate seat. I think she thought her reasoning would prevail once again.
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Jan 31, 2024 17:52
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The Lord of Hats posted:I’d love to hear the full train of thought spelled out. Like, I can kind of get how she imagined the presidency thing working out, because “I’m going to be the independent maverick that gets in because I just talk so much sense and am so obviously right, and people will like that I’m not beholden to either party” isn’t exactly an uncommon delusion. But where did she see “loudly renege in my campaign promises and espoused principles” being something that worked for her prior supporters. Lose some old voters and get new ones? I think it is hard for people to see past their generational cohorts and personal experiences. Older people more used to crossing party lines or splitting tickets are only just beginning to see how little that happens among younger people now. Certain states like Arizona and Georgia and Florida have changed massively from what they used to be. I think a big generational divide (with age-correlated blind spots) is at plat in how the debate within America over Israel and Palestine is playing out.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:26
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Dapper_Swindler posted:its less moderate and more shithead ur centrist blue dog when the party base of her state is pretty progressive and she didnt try to make inroads. manchin survived because he played to his base but could make deals. sinema didnt. I might be wrong, but it seemed to me that Arizona had a big influx of new people that changed the political landscape and I can see why that caught Sinema by surprise. (Her failure to adapt to that is totally on her though.) If anything, West Virginia has the opposite phenomenon, with a net exodus.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:30
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davecrazy posted:How much is this because Trump PACs are just vacuuming up all the fundraising? Didn't this happen in 2016 too?
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Feb 1, 2024 21:06
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I think taking the statue down is more silly and performative than anything else, but Jefferson's a complicated guy and he's not from New York, so I have a hard time getting upset by this. He has more than enough statues in Virginia to balance out having one less in a state which came from the colony with the most Loyalists during the Revolutionary War anyways...
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Feb 2, 2024 19:11
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Kagrenak posted:This happened over two years ago and he was a slave owner and rapist anyway Yeah. I'm not quite sure why it started going viral again recently, but I have seen various tweets like the one shared in this thread about it all this week.
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Feb 2, 2024 19:19
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Discendo Vox posted:Why are you posting tweets from Sprinter9980. Sprinter9979 was down?
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Feb 2, 2024 19:33
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The stats are all showing higher-than-expected increases in prices and wages and overall economic activity. Most people have been wanting inflation data to be lower so the Federal Reserve becomes more likely to cut interest rates, but it looks like that is unlikely. It is up for some debate how much of these increases are going to affect prices of everyday goods for normal people, but it is a sign (to some people) that the one tool to fight inflation that isn't held hostage by the GOP House and/or a general lack of legislative imagination in our country has not been used enough. I think that using central bank interest rates to fight inflation or drive economic growth is like using a jackhammer for every situation, regardless of whether you only a small hammer or a hand drill or just a different tool altogether, but this is where the country is right now. EDIT: a lot of "fixing" inflation is going to have to come from actually making more stuff so it's less scarce and price pressure trends downward. You don't fix that by twiddling with interest rates because making debt too expensive to hold just cuts the fuel for a lot of business activity. In fact, you probably screw up what is supposed to happen in that ideal dream world of economics, which is more people make more stuff to respond to the demand. Eric Cantonese fucked around with this message at 16:57 on Feb 5, 2024 |
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Feb 5, 2024 16:55
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Failed Imagineer posted:The median new American car weighs half a tonne more than a European car. That would be worth a lol if it didn't directly mean a whole lot of kids getting their skulls crushed. How much of that is due to Americans buying more SUVs? It's not like European cars are much lighter if you compare models like-for-like.
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Feb 6, 2024 19:08
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What does the House GOP have against Andy Milonakis again?
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Feb 7, 2024 01:37
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I feel like "moderate" is the new "independent" as far as being the term of choice for GOP-leaning people who aren't total true believers. This isn't based on anything in terms of hard data, though.
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Feb 7, 2024 17:05
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:More than half of black voters identify as moderate and they almost all voted for Biden in 2020. Unless there really is a 30-point shift to Trump among black voters, then it wouldn't apply to most of the the black voters who disapprove of Biden now. Has anyone done any studies/polls on whether inflation has hit certain racial groups harder than others? Given the socioeconomic differences that are tied to race, I wouldn't be surprised if inflation is hitting Biden's approval harder with respect to Hispanic and Black voters.
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Feb 7, 2024 17:27
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FlamingLiberal posted:People were a lot more pissed at Trump in 2020 It's getting weird. I think you need to distinguish between high overall turnout (which tends to work for Trump since he has such a pull on people who aren't loyal, longtime Republicans) versus high turnout for the groups you want. That being said, I tend to get twitchy since I personally don't want a repeat of 2016 and that always seems to be a risk.
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Feb 7, 2024 20:02
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Shrecknet posted:They've used the "generic New York citizens throw cans and rocks at a super-villian to distract him from killing Spider-Man three times so far in the movies" I thought it was just in the first Tobey Maguire one.
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Feb 8, 2024 16:30
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haveblue posted:In the second one a subway car full of New Yorkers promise they won't tell anyone about his secret identity when Doc Ock rips his mask off during a fight Did anyone actually know Peter Parker? But yeah, I guess no one was tempted to take a picture of his face and sell it.
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Feb 8, 2024 17:13
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All Capes Are Bastards?
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Feb 8, 2024 19:34
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Kalit posted:Why do you think Trump will win in a landslide? And if he wins, why do you think he’d be more effective at making the country similar to Nazi Germany than the last time he was president? To be fair, the party is much more in his grip than it was in 2016. They have much more of an idea of how far their voter base will let them go before finding the erosion of mores and civil rights unacceptable.
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Feb 9, 2024 01:01
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Nissin Cup Nudist posted:Why is Biden wrapped up in Trump's classified documents debacle anyway, or does Biden have his own issues with classified stuff? They found classified documents in his house in Delaware last year. You don't remember that?
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Feb 9, 2024 02:10
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Sounds like it's time to go on a news diet for the next several months.
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Feb 9, 2024 02:17
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Killer robot posted:We're talking about the person who lost a primary to an empty chair, right? Or am I thinking of someone else? Haley was behind the "none of the above" option in Nevada.
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Feb 9, 2024 02:19
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kdrudy posted:Yea, let's be real, it's not going to mean anything and no one will even be talking about it in an hour except people with their minds made up already. I don’t feel a lot of comfort with that when I don’t see much of anything about how Trump has been showing signs of mental decline too.
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Feb 9, 2024 02:30
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It does seem like he gave a ton of oxygen to a fire that would have burned out over a short amount of time, but I don't know anything anymore. The world makes no sense.
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Feb 9, 2024 02:38
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FlamingLiberal posted:So let me get this straight..you call a press conference to talk about the Special Counsel report that seems to claim that you are having memory problems, and you proceed to do a big memory gaffe? Jesus. Especially right after what was some decent commentary about the situation in Gaza. Real messy. Biden has always had a gaffe or two in him too. It sucks. Not sure if there's much else to do but count on the news cycle somehow working its way to something else.
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Feb 9, 2024 02:47
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You could always volunteer to canvas or make a donation if you're really getting anxious. It helps me.
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Feb 9, 2024 15:10
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Dapper_Swindler posted:Larry would have a shot but with the GOP being itself. i dont think he wins the primary. Wasn't he a popular governor? Is Maryland's GOP that far gone?
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Feb 9, 2024 17:52
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Ms Adequate posted:I hate to say it but he'll likely pick up more from them than he'll lose from Carthaginians. The uselessness of Senates is a timeless theme throughout history.
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Feb 9, 2024 21:02
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they want shady posted:But mixing up the Egyptian and Mexican president Is a big no-no as far as we're concerned. Best case scenario he's a retard. Worst case he's a racist. Either way as long as you don't invade we don't give a gently caress either way. There's already been lots of people digging up videos of Trump and others making similar gaffes. If this wasn't a press conference made so Biden could get angry about people questioning his memory, it wouldn't be that big of a deal.
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Feb 10, 2024 05:08
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I can't help but think of this little quote from 1984 when I hear about Sports Betting getting let loose in our country. It makes me really queasy, especially after tons of web-surfing on British soccer forums has shown me how often some people are giving money to these bookies.
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Feb 12, 2024 16:48
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Who will be Gen Z's Jimmy The Greek?
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Feb 12, 2024 17:14
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Xiahou Dun posted:Not at all. You're massively overestimating how hard it is to teach enough probability to realize gambling is a scam. In terms of pure mathematical knowledge, something like craps is trivially, obviously a bad game unless you're the bank and all you need to know is how to work out the probability of two rolls of a die : something a child can learn in a couple of minutes. These aren't complicated proofs, you can get the idea by just chunking through the odds with normal calculations. I think you are giving people too much credit on how much they choose to retain from what they are taught in school. I might be wrong, but I don't think people go into gambling because they think it's a rational way to make money. From my experience, it's more like a mix of desperation and thrill-chasing. All gambling games and activities are designed to be highly addictive too. It'd be wonderful to give the public a better understanding of probability and call it a day, but in the end, to control the really destructive effects of gambling, I think you have to have measures to limit access, limit the marketing that children can see, or at least cap how much people can sink into this stuff every day. I don't see a way around that.
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Feb 12, 2024 17:50
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Xiahou Dun posted:You're just saying that the math is unintuitive but with more words, again. No poo poo, people without sufficient mathematical education don't have enough knowledge of math : you're repackaging a tautology and pretending it's a point. Sorry. If I wasn't clear, Raiad probably expressed my point better than I did. Raiad posted:I'm going to go out on a limb and say that "people don't understand probability" is not really a leading cause of gambling issues, in the same way that "people don't understand that heroin is bad for you" is probably not a leading cause of drug addiction. I don't think the ills of excessive gambling are a product of a bad understanding of the odds or lack of education. I think it comes from how gambling stimulates other parts of the human brain in ways that drive some very undesirable behavior. Maybe we're not actually that far apart, but I just happen to view gambling addiction as a psychological issue that is mostly detached from education. You are free to disagree. Maybe there's some food for thought for people in this thread in this APA article. https://www.apa.org/monitor/2023/07/how-gambling-affects-the-brain
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Feb 12, 2024 18:15
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Push El Burrito posted:Betting on stocks has a long history what with shorts and options and other stuff I don't understand. Yes. There's a reason why the culture of WallStreetBets is the way it is. Most of the people recognize that they're way beyond the idea of "investing" and that it's all gambling and chasing massive adrenaline rushes. In fact, it's perverse, but most of them are also very aware of how ill-advised a lot of the bets they are making are, but they still do it. And they love posting evidence of enormous losses. They call it "loss porn." Eric Cantonese fucked around with this message at 19:46 on Feb 12, 2024 |
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Feb 12, 2024 19:43
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haveblue posted:I feel like the DARE generation growing up to push a widespread and often successful weed legalization movement is de facto proof that it failed To be fair, I've never wanted to take Angel Dust because of the "crazy PCP addict" stories my school's DARE officer would tell us in class.
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Feb 12, 2024 22:21
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Nervous posted:Just another great example of Bidenflation. Those used to be $2.99/min when I was younger. "No one wants to do phone sex work anymore!"
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Feb 13, 2024 01:46
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/JSweetLI/status/1757435942560747813 I'm don't live that close to this district, but I've seen a ridiculously low amount of advertising or news coverage for this race. I'm a bit nervous about the outcome. zoux posted:IF this tweet is correct a very low E-day turnout would be extremely bad for the GOP candidate I hope this is true.
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Feb 13, 2024 21:37
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Ugh... https://twitter.com/JSweetLI/status/1757465886204551558 https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1757486733724180990 https://twitter.com/JSweetLI/status/1757494078407586041 https://twitter.com/skrichev13/status/1757501574887158019 EDIT: I'm getting a lot of "who knows?!?!" from this. Eric Cantonese fucked around with this message at 21:52 on Feb 13, 2024 |
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Feb 13, 2024 21:40
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High drama in the race for George Santos' replacement. https://twitter.com/brittanys/status/1757499647398908218
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Feb 13, 2024 22:03
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Nissin Cup Nudist posted:what the hell is a "great neck" thing Great Neck is a wealthy neighborhood in Long Island. It is apparently full of registered Democrats who like to vote Republican.
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Feb 13, 2024 22:16
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