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MothraAttack
Apr 28, 2008

Brown Moses posted:

The guy with the red shirt is lung-muncher Abu Sakkar.

Does this dude just jetpack around, or was it at least fairly close to where he's been active lately?

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Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

MothraAttack posted:

Does this dude just jetpack around, or was it at least fairly close to where he's been active lately?

He's based in Homs, so it's his stomping ground.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Cause I'm the best at Youtubes I've found this video of a 107mm Iranian rocket manufactured in 2012 that violates UN sanctions

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNS5WoiodQ0

More details here.

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.
On police brutality and coverups in Egypt

http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/middle-east/egypt/130520/egypt-police-brutality-mohamed-morsi-guindy-forensic-authority

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Lots of dead Hezbollah members being reported on pro-Hezbollah Facebook pages, probably a couple of dozen today already, which has led to this cartoon from the opposition about Qusayr

smn
Feb 15, 2005
tutkalla

brakeless posted:

This paper is a good read for anyone wanting to judge Hezbollah's effectiveness on basis of the 2006 war. While Hezbollah is a competent non-state force, many of the advantages they had back then do not apply to the Syrian war. But if the regime mostly needs willing and reliable infantry, that Hezbollah can provide.

Thank you for linking this, fascinating stuff. In Syria, Hezbollah would obviously fight an entirely different fight, starting from the fact that they are making realpolitik operations instead of defending their own land. Must hurt their morale at some level.

Charliegrs
Aug 10, 2009

Brown Moses posted:

Cause I'm the best at Youtubes I've found this video of a 107mm Iranian rocket manufactured in 2012 that violates UN sanctions

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNS5WoiodQ0

More details here.

Is it possible that those rockets came into Syria from Lebanon? Hezbollah fighters are crossing into Syria, maybe they are taking some Iranian weaponry with them.

ToiletPost
Jun 10, 2008

Brown Moses posted:

The guy with the red shirt is lung-muncher Abu Sakkar.
He looks so :smith:. I guess they didn't sleep for days.

Warcabbit
Apr 26, 2008

Wedge Regret
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/05/daily-chart-12?fsrc=rss
Is this the article you were referring to, Brown Moses, when I suggested you do something like this?

hypnorotic
May 4, 2009

Warcabbit posted:

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/05/daily-chart-12?fsrc=rss
Is this the article you were referring to, Brown Moses, when I suggested you do something like this?

Am I missing something here or are all of those groups Islamist? Do any cohesive secular groups actually exist?

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.
I assume the PKK offshoot isn't islamist, along with a few others.

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe

Brown Moses posted:

The guy with the red shirt is lung-muncher Abu Sakkar.

No lie, I skipped to the middle of that video and that guy's affect is so weird I thought he was a captive.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

hypnorotic posted:

Am I missing something here or are all of those groups Islamist? Do any cohesive secular groups actually exist?

Tawhid is "secular." Haji Mara is a pretty respectable guy from what I've seen.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Charliegrs posted:

Is it possible that those rockets came into Syria from Lebanon? Hezbollah fighters are crossing into Syria, maybe they are taking some Iranian weaponry with them.

It's possible, but then they'd still be breaking the arms sanctions. They've tried to transport the same types of rockets before, a bunch got picked up by Israel in 2009 that were destined for Syria.

Warcabbit posted:

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/05/daily-chart-12?fsrc=rss
Is this the article you were referring to, Brown Moses, when I suggested you do something like this?

No, but it's probably a better list. The thing to keep in mind is there's lots of small groups that also operate, and they tend to work with whoever benefits them at the time, so that adds to the confusion. It's also worth noting the growing influence of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, which seems to be splitting Jabhat al-Nusra into a pro- and anti- faction.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

I could be making up to four new blog posts today, so here's the first one, "The Security Battalion In Saraqeb" Starts Patrolling The Streets (And Whipping People).

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Post number 2 of the day, taking a detailed look at this video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NKP_lHgQ7bw

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
Col. Hassan's feelings will be pretty hurt if he reads your blog.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Baloogan posted:

Col. Hassan's feelings will be pretty hurt if he reads your blog.

He's pretty bad at arms identification.

My 3rd (!) blog post of the day, where I talk to three chemical weapons experts about Syria.

Wirth1000
May 12, 2010

#essereFerrari
There was apparently a skirmish of sorts between Syria and Israel in the Golan heights.

quote:

A cross-border exchange of fire in the Golan Heights between the Israeli and Syrian armies early on Tuesday triggered a claim by the Damascus regime that a jeep manned by Israeli troops had entered Syrian territory and was destroyed.

The Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) denied the claim, saying shots were deliberately fired at a patrol inside the Israeli-controlled the Golan Heights, causing minor damage and no injuries. "In response, IDF forces returned precise fire at the source and reported a direct hit," it said.

It was the latest in a string of cross-border incidents in recent months, which have raised concerns that the two-year-old civil war in Syria could spill over into the neighbouring Golan Heights, which Israel has occupied for more than 40 years.

Israel has also launched air strikes on weapons targets inside Syria three times since the start of the year, intensifying fears that the civil war could develop a regional dimension.

A statement from the Syrian army, published on the official Syrian Arab News Agency (Sana) about six hours after the shooting incident, said it had "destroyed an Israeli vehicle with everyone in it" that entered Syria.

It was the third time in four days that shots fired in Syria have crossed into the Israeli-occupied Golan, close to Israeli army outposts or patrols, according Israeli reports. There have been a further three occasions this month when mortar shells have landed in the Golan.

Until now, the IDF has maintained that such cross-border incidents are accidental, rather than aimed at its forces. However, Israel Radio quoted officials as saying that this week's gunfire was deliberately targeted at patrolling IDF troops.

The Israeli military chief of staff, Benny Gantz, warned that Israel risked being drawn into a "security deterioration in our region at any moment, a deterioration which could rapidly spin out of control".

Visiting the Golan on Tuesday, he added: "Not a day goes by when we are not faced with decisions which could lead us to a sudden and out-of-control deterioration. This is the situation that will accompany us in the near term and we need to be more alert because of it."

Israel has reinforced the fence along the border between the Golan Heights and Syria, and has increased its military patrols in the area.

According to a report in the Israeli newspaper Ma'ariv, a large-scale "home front" security drill is to be held in the area on Wednesday. It quoted the mayor of Majdal Shams, the largest town in the Golan, populated mainly by Druze supportive of the Syrian regime, as saying there were no public shelters in the area and few residents have purpose-built safe areas at home.

"Only people who live in relatively new houses have a protected space in their homes," Dolan Abu Saleh told the paper. "The IDF recently hooked us up to the automatic warning system, and two weeks ago a siren sounded here in real time as a result of an incident that occurred near the border." Tension in the area was rising, he added.

Meanwhile a Syrian rebel seriously injured in fighting across the border was treated in the Ziv hospital in northern Israel. Israel Radio said the man had been brought initially to an IDF field hospital by Israeli soldiers. It did not explain how Israeli forces reached the injured man.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/may/21/syria-israel-exchange-fire-golan-heights

Cocoa Ninja
Mar 3, 2007

Brown Moses posted:

He's pretty bad at arms identification.

My 3rd (!) blog post of the day, where I talk to three chemical weapons experts about Syria.

This is a fantastic post. I hope this stuff in particular gets quoted elsewhere. It seems the consensus is that the victims were staged in some way. I wish there were more reasoned reporting like this at other outlets.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Cocoa Ninja posted:

This is a fantastic post. I hope this stuff in particular gets quoted elsewhere. It seems the consensus is that the victims were staged in some way. I wish there were more reasoned reporting like this at other outlets.

The good thing about my blog at the moment is I've built up a pretty broad network of connections that I can use to put together posts about stuff I would want to read in the press, and in this instance I thought it was a subject that was sorely overlooked.

I should maybe one day to an ask and tell about the blog, it's been a really bizarre journey for me, and still is. I'm glad to say my blog audience keeps growing, currently I'm on about 120,000 page views in the last 30 days, up from about 85,000 in the previous month. I'm a lucky bastard really, I get to do something I really enjoy, get loads of respect from people and organisations I respect, I've raised enough money to keep doing it, and get to spend all day at home on the internet.

Anyway, here's a pair of DIY "Hell cannons", firing what's basically gas cylinders filled with explosives

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YwVpEOz7fAw

And here's a podcast with me talking about weapons in Syria
http://middleeastweek.org/home/2013/5/21/weapons-in-the-syrian-conflict

Herostratus
May 1, 2013

Brown Moses posted:

Post number 2 of the day, taking a detailed look at this video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NKP_lHgQ7bw

Good post. But, are you using "pipebombs" to mean "IEDs" in this sentece:

"These cluster bomb submunitions have had an fuze added to them, turning them into pipebombs"

I thought pipe-bombs were literally made out of pipes.

Herostratus
May 1, 2013
Interesting intercepts from the Hezbollah communications in Qusayr:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UnSPRh1Zy-0

Miruvor
Jan 19, 2007
Pillbug

Herostratus posted:

Interesting intercepts from the Hezbollah communications in Qusayr:


What is being said, exactly?

Muffiner
Sep 16, 2009

Miruvor posted:

What is being said, exactly?

Nothing extraordinary. They're communicating about their tanks and vehicles, in what is obviously a stressed and hectic atmosphere. For some reason Hezbullah in Qusayr is using tanks now.

Edit: they're being awfully polite about it too.
Edit 2: at 4:10 he says 'I tried to remove the round from the barrel but it is stuck'. They seem to be coordinating a few things at the same time. One group is pinned down by a sniper, another wants to evacuate two wounded men, another is trying to get to the tank to fix it, and you have the guy who seems to be coordinating everything from near a machine gun nest.

Muffiner fucked around with this message at 08:30 on May 22, 2013

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Herostratus posted:

Good post. But, are you using "pipebombs" to mean "IEDs" in this sentece:

"These cluster bomb submunitions have had an fuze added to them, turning them into pipebombs"

I thought pipe-bombs were literally made out of pipes.

My logic was after the fuze and tailfin is removed a cluster bomb submunition is basically a tube/pipe filled with explosives, then if you stick a new fuze in it it's basically the same as a pipebomb.

Konec Hry
Jul 13, 2005

too much love will kill you

Grimey Drawer
Got a strange friend request from someone claiming to be in the US Military, stationed in Damascus, Syria.
Asked what's up and got this response:


I'm unsure as to what the deal is. Also I'm not good at keeping secrets. Should I be worried? :ohdear:

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Konec Hry posted:

Got a strange friend request from someone claiming to be in the US Military, stationed in Damascus, Syria.
Asked what's up and got this response:


I'm unsure as to what the deal is. Also I'm not good at keeping secrets. Should I be worried? :ohdear:

Quick, call Press TV.

Herostratus
May 1, 2013
A Saudi shiite from Qutayf (Shia region of Saudi Arabia) was killed fighting alongside pro-Assad forces in the Sayyda Zeinab neighborhood of Damascus.

http://www.hawamer.com/vb/showthread.php?p=21503999#post21503999
http://mokhtsar-sa.com/node/20252

I knew there were Iraqi Shia fighting there, but this is an example of the Syrian conflict turning into a regional war on a whole other level... I bet the Saudi govrenement is not happy with this development.

Herostratus fucked around with this message at 09:59 on May 22, 2013

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost

Herostratus posted:

A Saudi shiite from Qutayf (Shia region of Saudi Arabia) was killed fighting alongside pro-Assad forces in the Sayyda Zeinab neighborhood of Damascus.

http://www.hawamer.com/vb/showthread.php?p=21503999#post21503999
http://mokhtsar-sa.com/node/20252

I knew there were Iraqi Shia fighting there, but this is an example of the Syrian conflict turning into a regional war on a whole other level... I bet the Saudi govrenement is not happy with this development.

There was a story a while back about Saudi Arabia emptying its prisons and telling prisoners that they could earn parole by "volunteering" to fight Assad in Syria. Could be that someone switched sides.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Muffiner posted:

Nothing extraordinary. They're communicating about their tanks and vehicles, in what is obviously a stressed and hectic atmosphere. For some reason Hezbullah in Qusayr is using tanks now.

Edit: they're being awfully polite about it too.
Edit 2: at 4:10 he says 'I tried to remove the round from the barrel but it is stuck'. They seem to be coordinating a few things at the same time. One group is pinned down by a sniper, another wants to evacuate two wounded men, another is trying to get to the tank to fix it, and you have the guy who seems to be coordinating everything from near a machine gun nest.

Man, part of me wants Syria to turn into flypaper for Hezabollah. That way, they lose both manpower and resources to maintain their grip on Lebanese politics.

I can hope. :shobon:

Mc Do Well
Aug 2, 2008

by FactsAreUseless
A little less than a year since the Russian ICBM test we have a USAF test launch.

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123349613

Alot will need to be hashed out at these TBD talks. The Iranian election adds a layer of uncertainty since they are expected to attend.

Miruvor
Jan 19, 2007
Pillbug
So, have we made mention that retaliatory bombings in Iraq over the last week have killed 400+ people? I mean, it's sad to think that ever since 2004, bombings of these types have happened what feels like every day, or every other day in the country. It's starting to get depressingly grinding to look back on Iraq and see how poorly the transition went.

Today, 12 people shot dead in a brothel in Zayouna.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-22627600

Muscle Tracer
Feb 23, 2007

Medals only weigh one down.

Miruvor posted:

So, have we made mention that retaliatory bombings in Iraq over the last week have killed 400+ people? I mean, it's sad to think that ever since 2004, bombings of these types have happened what feels like every day, or every other day in the country. It's starting to get depressingly grinding to look back on Iraq and see how poorly the transition went.

Today, 12 people shot dead in a brothel in Zayouna.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-22627600

Every time I read an article like this that says something like "Prostitution is prohibited under Islam," I ask myself why the journalist didn't also note that murder is prohibited under Islam, too.

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.

quote:

An Al Jazeera English crew faced intimidation and gunfire in Tripoli, Lebanon today. Correspondent Rula Amin and cameraman were unharmed. Their camera was hit (pictured).

One man on a motorcycle with an AK47 was involved. The incident has been reported to the authorities.

Not the first time al-Jazeera's run into trouble in Tripoli, unfortunately.

http://aljazeerapressoffice.tumblr.com/post/51081834374/al-jazeera-crew-fired-upon-in-lebanon

Herostratus
May 1, 2013

Muffiner posted:

Nothing extraordinary. They're communicating about their tanks and vehicles, in what is obviously a stressed and hectic atmosphere. For some reason Hezbullah in Qusayr is using tanks now.

Edit: they're being awfully polite about it too.
Edit 2: at 4:10 he says 'I tried to remove the round from the barrel but it is stuck'. They seem to be coordinating a few things at the same time. One group is pinned down by a sniper, another wants to evacuate two wounded men, another is trying to get to the tank to fix it, and you have the guy who seems to be coordinating everything from near a machine gun nest.

After about 08:00 it sounds like they're coming under pressure, with many people starting to talk on the channel at once, mention of many injured and urgent calls for assistance. I agree though that they sound fairly professional and composed throughout.

Herostratus fucked around with this message at 20:55 on May 22, 2013

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Herostratus posted:

Interesting intercepts from the Hezbollah communications in Qusayr:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UnSPRh1Zy-0

I've managed to get a translation for the entire video.

Herostratus
May 1, 2013

Brown Moses posted:

I've managed to get a translation for the entire video.

Yeah I just saw, that's great. Thanks a lot!

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Herostratus posted:

Yeah I just saw, that's great. Thanks a lot!

I have a new translator helping out, they've been really great so far with this stuff.

I'm actually hoping I'll be getting a grant from Avaaz soon which will allow me to translate all my blog posts into Arabic, and have regular Arabic to English translators, so fingers crossed.

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Herostratus
May 1, 2013

Brown Moses posted:

I have a new translator helping out, they've been really great so far with this stuff.

I'm actually hoping I'll be getting a grant from Avaaz soon which will allow me to translate all my blog posts into Arabic, and have regular Arabic to English translators, so fingers crossed.

That's awsome man, looking forward to it. I'll be sure to point out more stuff like this your way. BTW FYI your translator is cheating :) The translation only starts at 02:11 into the video.

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