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Gnoll Pie posted:Chemical Weapons experts say there are "no hard facts". It's baffling how certain some people are that the bombs need to start falling right now: Again (didn't you post this a page or so ago?) the UN report is literally forbidden from studying who did it, so of course there's no smoking gun that says '100% sure Assad did this'. There are a lot of smoking guns saying 'ok, SOMEONE with control of the military did this!'
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:10 |
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# ? May 17, 2024 11:18 |
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quote:Also, it makes me very suspicious that Cameron is accusing people of giving "succour" to Assad, why you'd think he was trying to whip up war hysteria or something: In France, the main political opposition against the war are the zombie corpse they still call the communist party and Marine Le Pen and the National Front.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:13 |
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Brown Moses posted:Something rather interesting about those munitions I've been examining, it seems while they are both about 333mm wide, which fits with them being launched from the Falaq-2, the heavier high explosive model has a longer tail section, while the "other" warhead type has a shorter tail, about 2 meters to 1.5 meters. This suggests a larger rocket motor is being used for the high explosive model. These are the DIY missiles involved in the gas attack that you posted about before?
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:14 |
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Toplowtech posted:In France, the main political opposition against the war are the zombie corpse they still call the communist party and Marine Le Pen and the National Front. France loves any chance to show they can still put boot to rear end on the global stage.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:15 |
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http://freebeacon.com/a-tour-of-syrias-chemical-weapons/ Can anyone locate these videos? They're supposed to be on Youtube, and they match exactly what we've seen in this thread. Brown Moses, I'm looking at you, pal. quote:Rebels in Syria have disclosed new details on the Damascus regime’s chemical weapons storage sites, as a military defector last week outlined plans by Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad to use the deadly arms. I'm skeptical of the claims of the defectors about supplying them to Hezbollah and such, and about storing enriched Uranium for Iran. But on the other hand, their testimony about the munitions bunkers matches the reported firing locations of those chem rockets.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:15 |
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The situation in Syria is depressing to say the least. Neither of the sides can be relied upon or is internationally credible, and it's gonna be a bloodbath if a side wins, or also if one side doesn't win and the war just goes on. Which means that it's in the interest of anyone to sit around a table to negotiate, cut the loose extremist ends from both sides, and try to move on. There was something similar in Lebanon when I was a child and somehow it worked, Syria is extremely more complicated but it's not a situation that can be solved with brute force (and an american intervention is just going to exacerbate the situation).
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:18 |
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Grayly Squirrel posted:France loves any chance to show they can still put boot to rear end on the global stage.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:21 |
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Toplowtech posted:Yes and that's totally why we were in the alliance of the willing in Irak with Bush. You need to admit though, Hollande's popularity has been really low in the last year. My friends in Paris, who still voted for him, said that he looks really "weak".
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:23 |
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Toplowtech posted:Yes and that's totally why we were in the alliance of the willing in Irak with Bush. I should have qualified that. France loves any justified chance to show they can still put boot to rear end on the global stage.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:25 |
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Hey has anyone in this thread demonstrated how a cruise missile strike will improve the lots of the Syrian people? Just wondering how that benevolent series of explosions works exactly.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:26 |
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Postorder Trollet89 posted:Last I checked dropping bombs on a soverign state is an act of war, ground troops or not. You don't have to agree with me but Russia just called an emergency UN security council meeting meeting over Syria. Non english source An act of war is not a war, it's an act that the other party can use as justification to start a war. Since Assad has precisely zero capability to make aggressive moves against US forces, I'm not too worried about that. Gnoll Pie posted:Chemical Weapons experts say there are "no hard facts". It's baffling how certain some people are that the bombs need to start falling right now: Of course there aren't hard facts. The nature of the battlefield means that there will never be 100% completely incontrovertible evidence of who used chemical weapons. It's practically impossible to prove beyond a shadow of a doubt. The Newman posted:Hey has anyone in this thread demonstrating how a cruise missile strike will improve the lots of the Syrian people? Just wondering how that benevolent series of explosions works exactly. The strike isn't intended to improve the lots of the Syrian people, so I'm not sure why you would expect it to!
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:27 |
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The Newman posted:Hey has anyone in this thread demonstrating how a cruise missile strike will improve the lots of the Syrian people? Just wondering how that benevolent series of explosions works exactly. Snark aside, its not supposed to. The given justification is to punish the Assad regime for using chemical weapons, and to maintain credibility when it comes to threatening other countries not to use chemical weapons. If we cared about the Syrian people, something would have been done long ago.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:28 |
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Main Paineframe posted:The strike isn't intended to improve the lots of the Syrian people, so I'm not sure why you would expect it to!
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:31 |
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The Newman posted:Hey has anyone in this thread demonstrated how a cruise missile strike will improve the lots of the Syrian people? Just wondering how that benevolent series of explosions works exactly. Maybe they can load the cluster-bomb variant of the tomahawk with humanitarian aid and have it spread food packages over the refugee camps?
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:32 |
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Well depends on if you consider deterring chemical strikes against the Syrian people to improve their lots
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:32 |
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Cippalippus posted:You need to admit though, Hollande's popularity has been really low in the last year. My friends in Paris, who still voted for him, said that he looks really "weak".
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:33 |
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Sergg posted:http://freebeacon.com/a-tour-of-syrias-chemical-weapons/ Secret underground tunnels from downtown to a military base designed to hide tractor-trailers full of chemical weapons, secret mountain tunnel complexes... I'm definitely getting an Iraq vibe from this article. Could someone please tell me all about Assad's mobile bioweapons labs too? I almost have bingo.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:34 |
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Sergg posted:http://freebeacon.com/a-tour-of-syrias-chemical-weapons/ The most interesting thing to me about all this is who is siding with who. It seems the militia groups from neighboring countries (Hezbollah, Kurdish militias) are actually siding with the Assad regime. None of these paramilitary groups seem to actually trust or fight with the rebels. That's pretty loving worrying. Is it a case of "Assad is a bastard but these rebels are bad news for everyone" or is it a territory thing or what?
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:34 |
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Grayly Squirrel posted:Snark aside, its not supposed to. The given justification is to punish the Assad regime for using chemical weapons, and to maintain credibility when it comes to threatening other countries not to use chemical weapons. If Assad were a rational actor, and expected a consistent response from the west, he would never even have these weapons. To use them would be suicidal. So, a logical observer would observe that our strikes and invasions do not, in fact, deter future usage of these weapons.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:34 |
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The Newman posted:Hey has anyone in this thread demonstrated how a cruise missile strike will improve the lots of the Syrian people? Just wondering how that benevolent series of explosions works exactly. Stops them from getting gassed. Maybe probably.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:35 |
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The Newman posted:Hey has anyone in this thread demonstrated how a cruise missile strike will improve the lots of the Syrian people? Just wondering how that benevolent series of explosions works exactly. It's like with children, you need to have them watch you to try to imitate you. So they'll send a bunch of conventional missiles to show Syria how *really* civilized countries fight. Never mind that it will cost a lot of money and will just make people hate the USA more, without bringing any benefit to anyone! Gotta show'em how it's done
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:36 |
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Pimpmust posted:Well depends on if you consider deterring chemical strikes against the Syrian people to improve their lots
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:36 |
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Pimpmust posted:Well depends on if you consider deterring chemical strikes against the Syrian people to improve their lots Assad stops using the one-off chemical weapons and continues to use the conventional weapons killing people for the last two years, progress! Hell, doesn't the whole Israeli-intercepted communications basically say this was some unit operating against general ROEs?
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:37 |
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Vladimir Putin posted:Stops them from getting gassed. Maybe probably. We aren't even attempting to target the stockpiles (because, good freaking luck)
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:38 |
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Pimpmust posted:Well depends on if you consider deterring chemical strikes against the Syrian people to improve their lots I think he was asking for an explanation of how a few cruise missiles would act as a serious deterrent to a brutal sociopath with nothing to lose.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:39 |
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Didn't Israeli bomb a bunch of buildings inside of Syria known to have bio/chem weapons? And if the US does bomb a bunch of chem/bio sites - that would still leave a stalemate?
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:40 |
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Zeroisanumber posted:These are the DIY missiles involved in the gas attack that you posted about before? Yes, so here we have what I believe is a high explosive rocket, there's a yellow band on the rocket, and in the Homs video of the HE munition there's a yellow band on the warhead Now this is one of the munitions used in the recent attacks Even though it's a bit bent, it's clearly much shorter. The interesting thing is, I've been doing some work finding the exact width of these, and I'm certain they are both around 333mm wide, which means they would both fit the Falaq-2, which uses a very uniquely sized munition.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:41 |
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Tab8715 posted:Didn't Israeli bomb a bunch of buildings inside of Syria known to have bio/chem weapons? Well, we can see how effective those strikes were at eliminating the existence and usage of such weapons, so perhaps it's time to calibrate expectations for the next strike.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:42 |
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The Newman posted:Well, we can see how effective those strikes were at eliminating the existence and usage of such weapons, so perhaps it's time to calibrate expectations for the next strike. I haven't seen any more chemical weapons used in Iraq, I don't know about you.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:44 |
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Saint Celestine posted:Maybe they can load the cluster-bomb variant of the tomahawk with humanitarian aid and have it spread food packages over the refugee camps? Maybe they could even make the aid packages look just like bombs too. Oh wait. They're way ahead of us. Pimpmust posted:Well depends on if you consider deterring chemical strikes against the Syrian people to improve their lots You assume that attacks will deter further CW attacks. That's not at all a given, and if Assad's situation becomes truly desperate as a result of these strikes he has nothing to lose if he just attacks. Also it appears that the CW are under control of generals who are not entirely controlled by Assad. If one of them decides to defect, a little CW attack might be a great way to get the US to blow up some objectives for you.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:44 |
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The Newman posted:"It deters because we say it does!" - Dudes that executed the last dictator to be linked to chemical weapons Iraq was pretty clearly not really about chemical weapons at all, and we've done gently caress all about states accused of having nuclear and biological weapons, despite repeatedly threatening them to no avail, so executing Saddam doesn't quite send the message you think it does.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:45 |
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Brown Moses posted:Even though it's a bit bent, it's clearly much shorter. The interesting thing is, I've been doing some work finding the exact width of these, and I'm certain they are both around 333mm wide, which means they would both fit the Falaq-2, which uses a very uniquely sized munition. Is that really 'a bit' bent? It looks like there's a significant portion bent 90º pointing towards the camera, although that might just be that specific image.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:45 |
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The Newman posted:"It deters because we say it does!" - Dudes that executed the last dictator to be linked to chemical weapons Space Monster posted:I think he was asking for an explanation of how a few cruise missiles would act as a serious deterrent to a brutal sociopath with nothing to lose. The fact that Assad is trying to deny it means that he cares about the consequences. If he cares about the consequences, that means that there is a likelihood he can be deterred. If he really didn't give a poo poo about the consequences, he'd just come out and say he gassed thousands of people, "what I don't give a gently caress". Now that is a dude that you can't persuade.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:46 |
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Space Monster posted:I think he was asking for an explanation of how a few cruise missiles would act as a serious deterrent to a brutal sociopath with nothing to lose. Define "a few". Also, take out enough stockpiles/launchers and it's gonna be a lot harder to carry out any widescale attacks. (If they can succeed with that or not is another matter). Of course, if everyone agrees that he's not a rational actor and just a brutal dick then nope, nothing gonna stop him from going maximum short of killing him.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:46 |
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Muscle Tracer posted:Is that really 'a bit' bent? It looks like there's a significant portion bent 90º pointing towards the camera, although that might just be that specific image. That's the warhead section, not the tail, I should have been clearer.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:47 |
Main Paineframe posted:Iraq was pretty clearly not really about chemical weapons at all, and we've done gently caress all about states accused of having nuclear and biological weapons, despite repeatedly threatening them to no avail, so executing Saddam doesn't quite send the message you think it does. The only message we have really been consistent on is "get nukes and we will not invade your country."
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:47 |
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Maybe because the last guy we invaded and executed for chem weapons didn't actually have them, the deterrent effect didn't work? Like Assaad, rational being that he is, has worked this out. Well, if I *don't* have these weapons I get invaded and killed, but since I *do* have them, there's no reason not to use them.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:48 |
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Tab8715 posted:Didn't Israeli bomb a bunch of buildings inside of Syria known to have bio/chem weapons? The Israeli strike was on a suspected nuclear weapons research site. Not a reactor, but a lab working on the construction of some of the fine components that the program would need. The shape of the US strike is to hit delivery systems like airbases, rocket bases, artillery sites, and supply caches. We'd probably strike the Presidential Palace and defense ministry and other command & control sites. Supposedly, they want to avoid striking chemical weapons depots for fear that they might spread poison and because the munitions might already have been dispersed, meaning we'd be shooting a couple million bucks worth of missiles at empty buildings. This is all just supposition, but it jibes with Western preference for a fast strike and zero boots on the ground.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:48 |
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Pimpmust posted:Define "a few". Also, take out enough stockpiles/launchers and it's gonna be a lot harder to carry out any widescale attacks. If they could do that I'd be more in favor of a strike...
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:48 |
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# ? May 17, 2024 11:18 |
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Paul MaudDib posted:Maybe they could even make the aid packages look just like bombs too. Those two things don't look remotely like each other except for the fact they are almost the same color. The shape is totally different, and the markings are not the same. One of them has a dude eating something on it.
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# ? Aug 29, 2013 19:48 |