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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
You really don't want Warren in leadership because then she couldn't be Warren. She has no interest in foreign affairs and has run away from multiple interviewers who started asking about that, which is not something you can do if you are running for President. You also don't want her to become a formal member of the leadership in the Senate because then she'd have to give up her committee spots and spend her days scheduling cloture motions.

What she wants, and what her fans should want for her, is to sit on the banking or finance committees long enough to become ranking member or chair and push her agenda on the issues she cares about.

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Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Wheeee posted:

Elizabeth Warren confirming that the people you want in leadership are the people who don't want it.

Time for mandatory appointment to the presidency.

She'd be completely handcuffed and muzzled by the restraints that come with the Oval Office. Want to be an outspoken crusader for the little guy? Tough, you have to suck wealthy donor dick to get elected.

Want to stake out principled positions on issues? Too goddamn bad, you might offend some voting demographic somewhere and jeopardize your reelection chances.

She wouldn't be any more effective than Obama--in fact, she might be worse, because she doesn't have Obama's charisma, ability to work a rope line, or ability to troll Republicans so thoroughly just by existing.

AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006

Scrub-Niggurath posted:

I really want to see some Saudi owned car dealership refuse to sell to women because of his religious beliefs that disallow women drivers, just so we can watch cirque du soleil levels of mental gymnastics from Indiana Republicans

Women are a protected class, so the 14th amendment would trump this law. One of the insidious things about these state-level RFRAs is that there are no (or few) existing discrimination protections for the LGBT community, so these laws basically codify that, yes, you are in fact allowed to discriminate against gays.

Fried Chicken
Jan 9, 2011

Don't fry me, I'm no chicken!

mdemone posted:

I hope she never does. I don't know if you have seen Warren campaign/schmooze/speechify, but she's only average in all of the aspects that would be amplified in a national fishbowl.

Obviously she's great in the sense that she believes lots of correct things and generally has the right motivations, and there are certain contexts where she would do well (like a town hall, maybe), but she wouldn't be a great presidential candidate overall and I think she probably knows it. Staying put as a liberal lion in the Senate will have a long-term impact that dwarfs anything she could achieve by being a stalking horse for better contenders in a primary.

This. I think the people trying to draft her are unclear about how the positions they want her in spend their time. Majority/Minority Leader spends most of their day working the caucus and the minutia of legislative procedure. Reid spends more energy facing down McConnell than getting anything he personally wants to advance done. Same with President, most of Obama's job is administering the bureaucracy that makes up The Government TM and dealing with international affairs, not proposing laws and shepherding them through Congress.

The best way to advance what Warren stands for would be to send in another dozen senators just like her, not have her spend her day playing the game instead of developing policy.

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Not to mention the in fighting would hurt Dem chances of retaining the White House because 2008 will not be repeated.

Dolash
Oct 23, 2008

aNYWAY,
tHAT'S REALLY ALL THERE IS,
tO REPORT ON THE SUBJECT,
oF ME GETTING HURT,


I look forward to Barack Obama being remembered as the high water mark for 'Leftist' Presidents for the rest of my days. Even a Hillary Presidency will probably lean further to the right on foreign policy and economics with less interest in advancing social issues, and much as I hate to say it if she gets two terms then we're downright due another Republican President. Not to mention the Republicans will probably retain the House throughout or only lose it to a pack of complete "centrist" Blue Dog types.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
That's not to say there shouldn't be a full-throated left-of-Hillary challenger candidate in the Democratic primary. There should! That's very healthy for the party, even if it's someone who won't beat Hillary.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
There's now an official campaign website: http://www.donaldjtrump.com/

Cythereal
Nov 8, 2009

I love the potoo,
and the potoo loves you.

Joementum posted:

There's now an official campaign website: http://www.donaldjtrump.com/

He's still going to withdraw the moment it's no longer profitable for him to appear to be running.

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Cythereal posted:

He's still going to withdraw the moment it's no longer profitable for him to appear to be running.

You are assuming a level of business acumen that trump clearly does not possess.

Slate Action
Feb 13, 2012

by exmarx

Raskolnikov38 posted:

You are assuming a level of business acumen that trump clearly does not possess.

He seemed to possess that acumen the last six times (or whatever) he dropped out in previous races before having to spend his own money.

Tricky Dick Nixon
Jul 26, 2010

by Nyc_Tattoo

Dolash posted:

I look forward to Barack Obama being remembered as the high water mark for 'Leftist' Presidents for the rest of my days. Even a Hillary Presidency will probably lean further to the right on foreign policy and economics with less interest in advancing social issues, and much as I hate to say it if she gets two terms then we're downright due another Republican President. Not to mention the Republicans will probably retain the House throughout or only lose it to a pack of complete "centrist" Blue Dog types.

I'm no great fan of Hillary Clinton, but she's always been very much on the left end comparatively when it comes to social issues and the environment. She may be a Third Way corporate-aligned Democrat, but she would be an effective defender of environmental and social policy. She's very experienced in the legislature and foreign policy both, so despite always being hawkish I think she'd be able to be competent and that means something to me these days. Really, the biggest thing I count against her (since it relates to my primary voting issue) is her strong advocacy of charter schools, I hate the "serious people" consensus on education reform and the Clintons have always been big backers of that. That's a fight I don't think is gonna be won in the presidential elections though, but I'll definitely loudly complain and volunteer for the first person to speak against them.

Donovan Trip
Jan 6, 2007
Hillary is a hard sell, there's been thirty years of sabotaging her chances (whether by her own actions or spin) with lots of ammo to shoot her direction. I don't think we've met or seen the next president, yet.

Sharkie
Feb 4, 2013

by Fluffdaddy

echronorian posted:

Hillary is a hard sell, there's been thirty years of sabotaging her chances (whether by her own actions or spin) with lots of ammo to shoot her direction. I don't think we've met or seen the next president, yet.

That ammo has all been shot though. Repeatedly. Sometimes for decades. To no effect. She may be a hard sell to you, but polling doesn't support that she's a hard sell nationally.

Wheeee
Mar 11, 2001

When a tree grows, it is soft and pliable. But when it's dry and hard, it dies.

Hardness and strength are death's companions. Flexibility and softness are the embodiment of life.

That which has become hard shall not triumph.

Barring some major poo poo going down that leads to a Republican winning the general, Hillary is the next POTUS.

She may not be the Leftist hero that America needs, but she is the ambition-fueled sociopath that America deserves.

Sir Kodiak
May 14, 2007


echronorian posted:

I don't think we've met or seen the next president, yet.

Can you clarify what you mean by this? Because you can't be suggesting that the next POTUS will be a political unknown 18 months out from the election.

Donovan Trip
Jan 6, 2007

Sharkie posted:

That ammo has all been shot though. Repeatedly. Sometimes for decades. To no effect. She may be a hard sell to you, but polling doesn't support that she's a hard sell nationally.

I wasn't aware of that. Thanks.

ass cobra
May 28, 2004

by Azathoth

Joementum posted:

There's now an official campaign website: http://www.donaldjtrump.com/

God please I just want to see that fucker debate

1994 Toyota Celica
Sep 11, 2008

by Nyc_Tattoo

Wheeee posted:

Barring some major poo poo going down that leads to a Republican winning the general, Hillary is the next POTUS.

She may not be the Leftist hero that America needs, but she is the ambition-fueled sociopath that America deserves.

i too anticipate the inauguration of the first American president to have sat on the board of directors at Wal-Mart

Donovan Trip
Jan 6, 2007

Sir Kodiak posted:

Can you clarify what you mean by this? Because you can't be suggesting that the next POTUS will be a political unknown 18 months out from the election.

I re read my post and I chalk it up to exhaustion. Sorry for the poo poo post.

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Slate Action posted:

He seemed to possess that acumen the last six times (or whatever) he dropped out in previous races before having to spend his own money.

And on the other hand is a series of bankrupt casinos.

Karnegal
Dec 24, 2005

Is it... safe?

Sharkie posted:

That ammo has all been shot though. Repeatedly. Sometimes for decades. To no effect. She may be a hard sell to you, but polling doesn't support that she's a hard sell nationally.

Yeah, I mean she isn't a guarantee, but she is the safest bet you could make at the moment, and it's hard to believe that some big scandal is going to sink her as though she hasn't been under scrutiny for decades. I think it's way more likely that any non-Bush GOP candidate is going to get bit by a scandal than her.

Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

Karnegal posted:

Yeah, I mean she isn't a guarantee, but she is the safest bet you could make at the moment, and it's hard to believe that some big scandal is going to sink her as though she hasn't been under scrutiny for decades. I think it's way more likely that any non-Bush GOP candidate is going to get bit by a scandal than her.

Stuff like "Landing under fire in Bosnia" while actually being greeted by a bunch of school children is going to come back big time to bite her.

Series DD Funding
Nov 25, 2014

by exmarx

Mitt Romney posted:

Stuff like "Landing under fire in Bosnia" while actually being greeted by a bunch of school children is going to come back big time to bite her.

The forums keep getting worse :( Look at this, a post from 2008 didn't make it through until now.

Armyman25
Sep 6, 2005
Supreme Court nominees are pretty much the only thing makes me want to vote for her. I don't see much in the way of other reasons to recommend her.

Cythereal
Nov 8, 2009

I love the potoo,
and the potoo loves you.

Armyman25 posted:

Supreme Court nominees are pretty much the only thing makes me want to vote for her. I don't see much in the way of other reasons to recommend her.

She's guaranteed to not be worse than whoever the Republicans end up nominating, so...

PupsOfWar
Dec 6, 2013

Juvenalian.Satyr posted:

I'm no great fan of Hillary Clinton, but she's always been very much on the left end comparatively when it comes to social issues and the environment. She may be a Third Way corporate-aligned Democrat, but she would be an effective defender of environmental and social policy.

You have to be willing to aggressively take on corporate interests to move the needle at all on environmental matters, though.

Hillary can probably be trusted to hold the status quo the Third Way democrats have carved out and maintain their alliances with those corporate entities who are willing to oppose the petrochemical lobby on energy policy, but I wouldn't look for any significant improvement under her watch.

Though I'll willingly eat my hat if she manages to revive the early-Obama energy agenda and actually get some of it passed.

Nativity In Black
Oct 24, 2012

If you're gonna have roads, you're gonna have roadkill.

Armyman25 posted:

Supreme Court nominees are pretty much the only thing makes me want to vote for her. I don't see much in the way of other reasons to recommend her.

The main reason to vote for Hillary is that right now her opponents are Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, and Donald Trump. Oh and I guess Rubio.

VH4Ever
Oct 1, 2005

by sebmojo
The minute Bernie Sanders launches a 3rd party bid I'm devoting every waking second of my off-work hours to campaigning for him and trying to destroy Hillary. All the upside of that Supreme Court thing without having to let a Clinton back into the White House.

SirKibbles
Feb 27, 2011

I didn't like your old red text so here's some dancing cash. :10bux:

VH4Ever posted:

The minute Bernie Sanders launches a 3rd party bid I'm devoting every waking second of my off-work hours to campaigning for him and trying to destroy Hillary. All the upside of that Supreme Court thing without having to let a Clinton back into the White House.

He's said if he does it he'll go through the Dem primary. Still an honest to god no bullshit socialist means I'll probably register D just to vote in the primary if he runs.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Bernie has a 0.000000000001% chance of winning if he's the Democratic nominee, but a third party run would guarantee that not only does he have no chance, but nobody will pay attention to his campaign either.


Also, prediction: Hillary will campaign and governor to the left of her previous positions because the party has moved left since the mid-aughts.

SirKibbles posted:

He's said if he does it he'll go through the Dem primary.

Actually, he still says he hasn't decided yet.

VH4Ever
Oct 1, 2005

by sebmojo
So is this really the best the Democrats can do? Biden and Hillary? Oh, and maybe Martin O'Malley/real life Carcetti? Is the party really that pathetic aside from Liz or has the Clinton machine just bullied/beaten down anyone who considers running against Hillary?

PupsOfWar
Dec 6, 2013

VH4Ever posted:

So is this really the best the Democrats can do? Biden and Hillary? Oh, and maybe Martin O'Malley/real life Carcetti? Is the party really that pathetic aside from Liz or has the Clinton machine just bullied/beaten down anyone who considers running against Hillary?

claude pepper's ghost for America

formin' PAC now

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

VH4Ever posted:

The minute Bernie Sanders launches a 3rd party bid I'm devoting every waking second of my off-work hours to campaigning for him and trying to destroy Hillary. All the upside of that Supreme Court thing without having to let a Clinton back into the White House.

Other than the fact that you're not going to get 270 electoral votes for a self avowed socialist, sure.

VH4Ever posted:

So is this really the best the Democrats can do? Biden and Hillary? Oh, and maybe Martin O'Malley/real life Carcetti? Is the party really that pathetic aside from Liz or has the Clinton machine just bullied/beaten down anyone who considers running against Hillary?

You seem not to notice that America is not a left wing country, the electorate isn't either.

Presidents need to be able to win a majority, or get close enough anyway.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Hillary's positions are not substantially different from any of the Democrats who could even theoretically challenge her.

They weren't in 2008 either.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Meanwhile, NH Libertarians have decided to band together for collective action because (as always) they are idiots.

quote:

Sick of the string of centrist GOP-ers who’ve dominated the state’s primary in recent years — including John McCain (twice) and Mitt Romney — conservatives and libertarians are hoping to defy the conventional wisdom that the Granite State is moderate-friendly turf between the evangelical-dominated Iowa caucuses and socially conservative South Carolina.

They plan to choose among a slate of candidates likely to include Scott Walker, Ted Cruz and Rand Paul at their own presidential caucus in October, according to activists involved. Participants will agree to unify around the winner of the caucus in the hopes of beating Bush and other perceived moderates in the actual primary.

...

The party establishment, however, is not losing any sleep over the scheme, said moderate Republican David Hess, a 25-year veteran of the New Hampshire House, where’s he’s held various leadership positions. “I’m sure it’s destined to failure,” he said.

Caucus organizers acknowledge there’s no guarantee that the multifarious factions gathered under their banner, united foremost by their opposition to the moderate establishment, will actually adhere to the outcome of their selection process.

“It’s challenging to get people behind what might be their second- or third-choice candidate,” said Kofalt, a member of the 603 Alliance’s steering committee. “That’s always a struggle, but the reality is people can get behind their second choice candidate or they can end up with conservatives being fragmented and ultimately locked out of the process.”

If the candidates want to win New Hampshire, I hope they've studied up on municipal parking meter regulations. :munch:

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Nintendo Kid posted:


You seem not to notice that America is not a left wing country, the electorate isn't either.

Presidents need to be able to win a majority, or get close enough anyway.

No see, polling proves there's a silent majority of leftists that just don't vote because something something the two party system.

Alec Bald Snatch
Sep 12, 2012

by exmarx

Joementum posted:

Also, prediction: Hillary will campaign and governor to the left of her previous positions because the party has moved left since the mid-aughts.


Also it'll be fairly easy having Congress as a foil.

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe

Joementum posted:

There's now an official campaign website: http://www.donaldjtrump.com/

The Donaldj 2016

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Fried Chicken
Jan 9, 2011

Don't fry me, I'm no chicken!

Wheeee posted:

Barring some major poo poo going down that leads to a Republican winning the general, Hillary is the next POTUS.

John Madden's secret account discovered

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