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May 8, 2015 21:43
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He's catching on, I'm telling ya!
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May 8, 2015 21:47
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just loving vote for the one you like in the primary and then vote for the platform that would benefit you personally you overanalytical nerds
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May 8, 2015 21:47
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Armageddon, if true.
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May 8, 2015 21:47
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comes along bort posted:He's catching on, I'm telling ya! hey like a month ago that was 3-5% lol. at this rate sanders will be president by july
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May 8, 2015 21:50
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Sheng-ji Yang posted:hey like a month ago that was 3-5% lol. at this rate sanders will be president by july To the moon!
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May 8, 2015 21:52
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Joementum posted:Armageddon, if true. In a way it's disappointing to see the Antichrist mantle being passed on from the Kenyan Usurper-in-Chief. Like the end of an era. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3eazHcbeQ0
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May 8, 2015 21:53
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RZA Encryption posted:To the moon! that reminds me, has gingrich given up on his presidential aspirations
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May 8, 2015 21:56
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Could you imagine four to eight years of Walker as the face of our nation? Jesus.
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May 8, 2015 22:00
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Rand Paul would like your opinion on some t-shirt designs https://randpaul.com/t-shirt-voting 
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May 8, 2015 22:11
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Zelder posted:Could you imagine four to eight years of Walker as the face of our nation? Jesus. That's my nightmare.
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May 8, 2015 22:13
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usbombshell posted:Rand Paul would like your opinion on some t-shirt designs I look forward to Hitler Did Nothing Wrong the t-shirt.
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May 8, 2015 22:13
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Oh please, please, please let him create this shirt.   edit: I can confirm that weedlord.bonerhitler@randpaul.com voted for that shirt. Joementum fucked around with this message at 22:16 on May 8, 2015 |
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May 8, 2015 22:13
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lol that glasses one has to be a subtle dig at Perry
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May 8, 2015 22:15
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you can tell they're not Rand's because they don't have the gold grandma chain he wears them with in the Senate
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May 8, 2015 22:16
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mooyashi posted:lol that glasses one has to be a subtle dig at Perry Doesn't seem all that subtle to me, honestly.
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May 8, 2015 22:16
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Joementum posted:Oh please, please, please let him create this shirt. People might actually buy that one. Vote for the screen printed tie one.
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May 8, 2015 22:20
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wasn't yougov the group that bungled their own 'exit' poll pretty hard last night in the UK election?
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May 8, 2015 22:28
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So does Biden have any campaign organization at all yet? Or is he just going to be the first 16-year VP?
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May 8, 2015 22:42
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Zelder posted:Could you imagine four to eight years of Walker as the face of our nation? Jesus. If more crap like this comes to light we will not have to worry about that. For those who don't know WEDC is basically a giant piggy bank for Walker's big donors as evidenced by the millions of dollars in loans they forgot to keep track of. Local TV station posted:MADISON, Wis. -
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May 8, 2015 22:43
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The X-man cometh posted:So does Biden have any campaign organization at all yet? Or is he just going to be the first 16-year VP? Biden is now a feature of the White House, you get him for free if you win the white house.
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May 8, 2015 22:43
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My attitude with Bernie's run is to advocate with the enthusiasm as if he could win, rather than showing your hand from the start. The better results he makes in the primary, the more likely the Democratic Party will see there's a powerful, galvanized constituency worth listening to. If/when he loses, it could be possible that the Dem calculus will decide that in order to retain his supporters for the general, the party will have to adjust its policy or make concessions to help keep them interested in showing up for the general election (and hope that it will get those supporters to vote down ticket Dem than just plugging in Hillary and protest voting for other seats). Really it's about creating the illusion of a threat than anything; I doubt Bernie supporters are going to just let a Republican win. It's possible to acknowledge that he's a long-shot candidate without deriding his supporters as naïve rubes who are going to spoil the general election, since this is a primary and he's not running as a 3rd party candidate that can split the vote when it counts. If you're going to fight, fight with the intent to win. But if you lose, do what you can with what you got.
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May 8, 2015 22:43
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Raskolnikov38 posted:wasn't yougov the group that bungled their own 'exit' poll pretty hard last night in the UK election? that was every pollster in the united kingdom
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May 8, 2015 22:45
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usbombshell posted:Rand Paul would like your opinion on some t-shirt designs The NSA one is actually pretty drat funny.
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May 8, 2015 22:50
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Sheng-ji Yang posted:that was every pollster in the united kingdom Why is it that the UK pollsters seem to be so off compared to the American ones?
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May 8, 2015 22:52
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Sheng-ji Yang posted:that was every pollster in the united kingdom It was but I think it was yougov that released a days old poll as their very own version of the 'exit poll'
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May 8, 2015 22:54
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Internet Webguy posted:Given past primaries the real threat is the GOP candidate that doesn't shoot himself in the food repeatedly when he is the media flavor of the week. I imagine any candidate that open carries into a restaurant and proceeds to blast his platter will gain significantly in the polls.
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May 8, 2015 22:55
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Joementum posted:Oh please, please, please let him create this shirt. Liberty Bro? Eh, it's still not as bad as people in tech unironically calling themselves Brogrammers.
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May 8, 2015 22:56
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Zelder posted:Could you imagine four to eight years of Walker as the face of our nation? Jesus. Get prepared. It'll happen if Bill's pedo-plane thing takes off.
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May 8, 2015 22:56
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Raskolnikov38 posted:wasn't yougov the group that bungled their own 'exit' poll pretty hard last night in the UK election? English people are liars in general. Americans are honest. Glad we surpassed them in freedom and treasure.
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May 8, 2015 22:57
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usbombshell posted:Rand Paul would like your opinion on some t-shirt designs I voted for the one that has the pipboy-esque cartoon of Rand punching a robot with the White House for a head. Perk: Machinist 10% bonus damage to robotic enemies -10 to speech
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May 8, 2015 23:03
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Prosopagnosiac posted:I voted for the one that has the pipboy-esque cartoon of Rand punching a robot with the White House for a head.
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May 8, 2015 23:06
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Where do I give Sanders the money's?
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May 9, 2015 00:01
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IXIX posted:Why is it that the UK pollsters seem to be so off compared to the American ones? I don't know if this is the real cause, but American political scientists have spent decades studying polling techniques and voter behavior to the point where we are really, really good at predicting individual voting behavior as well as how to conduct good polls. We've had decades of elections to figure out tricks to get around non-response, selection bias, and so on. Quantitative methods are also huge (maybe dominant by now) in American political science, so there's more large-n studies of behavior rather than theory or philosophy. This helps us understand how to predict broad voting behavior, even with new challenges each election. In the UK, political science has not really focused on voting behavior all that much, and American political science is far more advanced statistically than basically any other country. This is changing rapidly though, so I would expect the UK political scientists just need to learn from a few elections what went wrong and how UK voters tend to misrepresent their views, or how polls aren't accurately canvassing their voters. Maybe they didn't properly screen for likely voters? They also probably underestimated the incumbent advantage and only asked general party preference and not constituency level-preferences, which is how people actually vote.
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May 9, 2015 00:13
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Concerned Citizen posted:Let's not forget that Hillary raised $200 million for the 2008 primary. The finance sector was a relatively small overall portion of that. And she is a New York-based Senator, so no surprise that the top NY donors were backing her. While I agree that money has a corrupting influence in politics, the idea that she is beholden to these folks because of what is less than 1% of her total fundraising is absurd. Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (i.e. the casino destroyed the economy) was 20% counting PAC and individual contributions in her 2008 primary bid: https://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/indus.php?cycle=2008&cid=N00000019  FAKE EDIT: Seriously, quote just ignores all those space characters? goddamnit do I really have to take a screenshot
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May 9, 2015 00:16
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The US polls in 2014 were spectacularly lovely. Remember when Lundergan Grimes was in the MoE on election day? Remember how Warner had a double-digit lead on Gillespie in Virginia? Presidential elections are relatively easy to poll because there are only two candidates and the voters have way more information than they need to make a decision. But the polling industry has been in bad shape for the last several years because response rates have dropped below 10%.
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May 9, 2015 00:17
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Glenn Zimmerman posted:Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (i.e. the casino destroyed the economy) was 20% counting PAC and individual contributions in her 2008 primary bid: "Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate" also includes bank tellers, insurance salespeople, and real estate brokers. It doesn't actually tel you that much about the viewpoint being espoused.
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May 9, 2015 00:19
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Voyager I posted:I wasn't around for the Paulites. Were they this bad? They were worse, because they were doing it all for a racist, sexist, gay-hating idiot.
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May 9, 2015 00:40
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gohmak posted:Where do I give Sanders the money's? https://berniesanders.com/ But you aren't actually going to donate poo poo, because if you were you'd be able to type Bernie Sanders into google.
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May 9, 2015 00:48
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Skwirl posted:https://berniesanders.com/ He's probably confused because to donate to Bernie you have to do it through ActBlue which is a broad, generic PAC for democrats and it confused me at first as to who I was actually giving the money to.
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May 9, 2015 01:06
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