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theblackw0lf
Apr 15, 2003

"...creating a vision of the sort of society you want to have in miniature"

Chantilly Say posted:

Yes! My argument is that it's better long-term for him to lose now and create that machinery, than for him to win now and have everyone pin leftist hopes and the rising reputation of leftism on one Presidency with an unusually large array of challenges.

It is amazing to me that so many of my friends are deeply into Sanders, and I really, really don't want to gently caress that up by actually electing the man President and then having the Democratic establishment screwjob him. Because then people throw their hands up and say "well gently caress it then, you can't change anything" and I can feel my tightening blood vessels shaving hours off my lifespan.

Out of curiosity, do your Sander supporter friends believe he'll actually be able to accomplish what he wants to as President?

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JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver

Forums Terrorist posted:

you don't want liebermen? then don't advocate for a 50 state strategy, because that's how you get liebermen.
I wonder what Congress and statehouses nationwide would look like if the Democrats didn't give up on the 50-state strategy.

Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!

theblackw0lf posted:

Out of curiosity, do your Sander supporter friends believe he'll actually be able to accomplish what he wants to as President?

Yes! Yes, yes, yes.

AllanGordon
Jan 26, 2010

by Shine
Has anyone told Trump about moats and if so what were his opinions on them??/?

Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

I absolutely disagree, Sanders would be in a much more powerful position to build a left wing movement as President than as the loser. He has decried Obama for abandoning the movement built around him after winning, Sanders would expand and empower his.

How, and why? Let me be clear: I think he would be weaker as President for three reasons. He would not be able to enact his agenda. He would face spite-based opposition from within his own party. He would be symbolic of leftism, and blamed for everything that went wrong--therefore, leftism would be blamed.

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver

AllanGordon posted:

Has anyone told Trump about moats and if so what were his opinions on them??/?
Trump loves moats, moats are beautiful, one of his hotels has a moat, but moats are killing us

Chantilly Say posted:

How, and why? Let me be clear: I think he would be weaker as President for three reasons. He would not be able to enact his agenda. He would face spite-based opposition from within his own party. He would be symbolic of leftism, and blamed for everything that went wrong--therefore, leftism would be blamed.
The right already blames everything on leftism and calls everyone they disagree with a leftist. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are socialists, didn't you hear?

JT Jag fucked around with this message at 20:39 on Aug 20, 2015

Tercio
Jan 30, 2003

:dukedog:

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

Al Cowens posted:

In 1975, Donald Trump made a bet with George Lucas, that if the Star Wars Saga would still continue even 40 years later, he would pay him 20$. It's 2015 and the latest movie is about to come. There's only one way for Trump to stop it and avoid paying George:

Becoming the President of the USA.

That's about $90 when adjusted for inflation. So... still pocket change.

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Ahahahaha jesus.

Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!

JT Jag posted:

Trump loves moats, moats are beautiful, one of his hotels has a moat, but moats are killing us
The right already blames everything on leftism and calls everyone they disagree with a leftist. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are socialists, didn't you hear?

I'm not worried about the right here, I'm worried about Democratic voters.

Xenophon
Jun 28, 2003

by FactsAreUseless
Grimey Drawer

whoa

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver
See, the hosed up thing is that I'm pretty sure this is satire. But these people are so loving nuts, I can't actually be sure.

Louisgod
Sep 25, 2003

Always Watching
Bread Liar

Hail Satan

Dahbadu
Aug 22, 2004

Reddit has helpfully advised me that I look like a "15 year old fortnite boi"
If Sanders is nominated and wins the general, the "establishment" will be scared of him. He's focusing the anger of the electorate, and the establishment knows this. If you guys haven't caught on yet, focusing the anger of the electorate fed up with politics as usual is literally going to be the theme of this election. You gently caress with Sanders (who now probably has a pretty good organization built up, and is freaking President), you gently caress with your base (who are pissed off at politics as usual, which you just may find yourself fitting into).

Forums Terrorist
Dec 8, 2011

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

"DaveWoo" posted:

Also, if liberal voters were ready to give up on Obama after only two years, I'd say that's more of a problem with liberal voters than with Obama.

If your chosen leaders obtain a solid supermajority where they may pass laws unopposed, then immediately drop all snarky responses, liberal rhetoric, and leftist policy promises in the name of "bipartisanship" after a decade of fingerwagging, and you still vote for that parties' establushment candidates and defend them on the internet, then you are not a liberal or a leftist. You are a Rube.

Republicans are winning because even though american conservative response to financial corporatism is tepid, their elected candidates follow through on the promises they care about.

Gerrymandering is a large problem. It is neither the only problem nor THE problem.

Tercio
Jan 30, 2003

JT Jag posted:

See, the hosed up thing is that I'm pretty sure this is satire. But these people are so loving nuts, I can't actually be sure.

I think it's satire. But it's exactly as you say. :iiam:

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


Dahbadu posted:

I agree here.

In response to this, I'll say: You remember how enthusiastic and motivated a lot of people were with Obama, right? I'd argue that grassroots enthusiasm and support is more for Sanders than Obama at this stage and I don't see it dying out. Hopefully we can get some debates and up Sander's name recognition.

No it isn't. It is just higher among the people you hang out with and those that make a lot of noise in the online communities you frequent. Obama's grassroots support was absolutely insane.

Obama was already pulling 20k people in February a full year before the primariesHave a reminder of what it was like. .

Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!

Dahbadu posted:

If Sanders is nominated and wins the general, the "establishment" will be scared of him. He's focusing the anger of the electorate, and the establishment knows this. If you guys haven't caught on yet, focusing the anger of the electorate fed up with politics as usual is literally going to be the theme of this election. You gently caress with Sanders (who now probably has a pretty good organization built up, and is freaking President), you gently caress with your base (who are pissed off at politics as usual, which you just may find yourself fitting into).

Why do you want the establishment to be scared? You need them to do jobs, scared people don't work well.

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver

Dahbadu posted:

If Sanders is nominated and wins the general, the "establishment" will be scared of him. He's focusing the anger of the electorate, and the establishment knows this. If you guys haven't caught on yet, focusing the anger of the electorate fed up with politics as usual is literally going to be the theme of this election. You gently caress with Sanders (who now probably has a pretty good organization built up, and is freaking President), you gently caress with your base (who are pissed off at politics as usual, which you just may find yourself fitting into).
In his first term Obama turned his back on his base during the various attempts to compromise with the Republicans, putting up a number of things that were thought to be sacrosanct on the table. They even went so far as to basically say "governing is a serious job for serious people, I'm not worried about the base, they'll just have to deal with it."

The Republicans had their base revolt in 2010. It was astroturfed to hell, but the Tea Party represents a segment of the Republican voting base that feels underrepresented by the GOP Establishment. The Democrats are overdue for their own. Sanders could incite it.

Chantilly Say posted:

Why do you want the establishment to be scared? You need them to do jobs, scared people don't work well.
Complacent people don't do their jobs with any urgency. People who feel secure feel no need to shore up support with their constituents. You want establishment politicians scared for their jobs, scared of being primaried by a more outspoken candidate. Otherwise they won't actually do the job they were sent to Washington to do.

JT Jag fucked around with this message at 20:50 on Aug 20, 2015

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Deofuta posted:

You ever see Donald Trump campaign up close? He'll go into those high school gymnasiums in Iowa and New Hampshire and blow them all away. He'll shake every hand in the joint, kiss every baby, hug every widow on Social Security, and sound smarter and more honest than any Republican they've ever seen. Because he is.

I like how he refuses to shake one guy's hand because he's left-handed.

Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!
There needs to be an establishment, whether it's your people or just people you can convince to work with you. You don't scare them, there are too many of them and they're too old for that poo poo.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Here is what will happen if the anti-gerrymandering establishment candidates achieveva supermajority:

"W-w-we uh, would like to estu-er, establish a bipartisan agreement with the racist jackasses across the table in the name of american solidarity, and to avoid abusing our power (that you gave us, because you agreed with our rhetoric, and had no interest in the opposite party)."

stoutfish
Oct 8, 2012

by zen death robot

Chantilly Say posted:

There needs to be an establishment, whether it's your people or just people you can convince to work with you. You don't scare them, there are too many of them and they're too old for that poo poo.

the status quo is unsustainable, senpai

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver

Chantilly Say posted:

There needs to be an establishment, whether it's your people or just people you can convince to work with you. You don't scare them, there are too many of them and they're too old for that poo poo.
Of course there needs to be an establishment. But ideally, the fringe of the party should also have strong representation, and their role is to keep the establishment from drifting too far to the center, or else they might lose their jobs. The Republicans have this, the Democrats don't.

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

AllanGordon posted:

Has anyone told Trump about moats and if so what were his opinions on them??/?

We could dig a big ditch and fill it with water. That would stop people from crossing the border for sure.

Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

Neurolimal posted:

If your chosen leaders obtain a solid supermajority where they may pass laws unopposed, then immediately drop all snarky responses, liberal rhetoric, and leftist policy promises in the name of "bipartisanship" after a decade of fingerwagging, and you still vote for that parties' establushment candidates and defend them on the internet, then you are not a liberal or a leftist. You are a Rube.

Republicans are winning because even though american conservative response to financial corporatism is tepid, their elected candidates follow through on the promises they care about.

Gerrymandering is a large problem. It is neither the only problem nor THE problem.

The super majority the democrats had in the Senate was probably one of the weakest ever. It lasted only ~9 months and Leiberman essentially became dictator of democratic policy. He alone held up Obamacare long enough to almost kill it. Trying to blame Obama for not using that 9 months more wisely is a bit stupid.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Sounds like a job for Bobby Jindal.

Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!

stoutfish posted:

the status quo is unsustainable, senpai

Yes! I agree! That's why I am against things that I think will sustain it.

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos

Tercio posted:

I think it's satire. But it's exactly as you say. :iiam:

He scrubbed the Duggar endorsement from his campaign site so I doubt he'll be defending him this time

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Donald Trump is inarguably a nationalist, and more socialist than other Republican candidates.

Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

I absolutely disagree, Sanders would be in a much more powerful position to build a left wing movement as President than as the loser. He has decried Obama for abandoning the movement built around him after winning, Sanders would expand and empower his.

The GOP will have the house until at least 2020 at a minimum and likely the senate until 2020 (probably longer on both with a democratic president). The first four years of a 2016 democratic president is going to be like the last 4 years of Obama's presidency. Nothing will get done. And odds are that the economy will start declining in those years after it's been growing for so many years straight.

And it's laughable to assume that Sanders could win in 2016. He's not Obama for multiple reasons, his campaign isn't like Obama's was and he's not presidential. He has a fraction of the excitement and support that Obama had. He'd look like an unstable old man up on the debate stage. The results would be similar to the 72 or 84 elections. That kind of wave election would set leftism further back. Assuming that the lottery hit for Sanders and he won; the upcoming 2018 elections would be a bloodbath for democrats.

stoutfish
Oct 8, 2012

by zen death robot

Chantilly Say posted:

Yes! I agree! That's why I am against things that I think will sustain it.

hoping that bernie doesn't win the presidency, is in line with the status quo

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Jewel Repetition posted:

Donald Trump is inarguably a nationalist, and more socialist than other Republican candidates.

I'm very much thinking hard about this, and I got nothing.

stoutfish
Oct 8, 2012

by zen death robot
donald trump is

a national socialist

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver

Mitt Romney posted:

The GOP will have the house until at least 2020 at a minimum and likely the senate until 2020 (probably longer on both with a democratic president). The first four years of a 2016 democratic president is going to be like the last 4 years of Obama's presidency. Nothing will get done. And odds are that the economy will start declining in those years after it's been growing for so many years straight.

And it's laughable to assume that Sanders could win in 2016. He's not Obama for multiple reasons, his campaign isn't like Obama's was and he's not presidential. He has a fraction of the excitement and support that Obama had. He'd look like an unstable old man up on the debate stage. The results would be similar to the 72 or 84 elections. That kind of wave election would set leftism further back. Assuming that the lottery hit for Sanders and he won; the upcoming 2018 elections would be a bloodbath for democrats.
Thank you for your input, forums poster Mitt Romney.

Mitt Romney posted:

The super majority the democrats had in the Senate was probably one of the weakest ever. It lasted only ~9 months and Leiberman essentially became dictator of democratic policy. He alone held up Obamacare long enough to almost kill it. Trying to blame Obama for not using that 9 months more wisely is a bit stupid.
Imagine an alternate universe where McCain actually followed through with nominating Lieberman as his Vice President (leading Lieberman to resign his Senate seat), they still lost, and the Obama administration went through that first 9 months without him

DaveWoo
Aug 14, 2004

Fun Shoe

JT Jag posted:

In his first term Obama turned his back on his base during the various attempts to compromise with the Republicans, putting up a number of things that were thought to be sacrosanct on the table. They even went so far as to basically say "governing is a serious job for serious people, I'm not worried about the base, they'll just have to deal with it."

The Republicans had their base revolt in 2010. It was astroturfed to hell, but the Tea Party represents a segment of the Republican voting base that feels underrepresented by the GOP Establishment. The Democrats are overdue for their own. Sanders could incite it.

You want a Tea Party-style surge within the Democratic party? Great. Where are your House and Senate candidates?

JT Jag posted:

Thank you for your input, forums poster Mitt Romney.

He's not wrong. :ssh:

Feather
Mar 1, 2003
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.

Chantilly Say posted:

-therefore, leftism would be blamed.

It is already blamed, quite heavily, and at least as often by Democrats as by Republicans.

FFS Democrats still blame Nader for 2000, even though more Democrats voted for Bush than all of Nader's votes combined. That isn't a mistake or an unfortunate bout of stupidity: it's because most democrats are miserable milquetoast center-right idiots casting about to blame anyone but their tepid Republican-lite candidates and themselves for the inability to win consistently.

The magickal thinking here, where it exists, is that there is any more than about 15%-20% of registered voters who are actually "leftist" in any meaningful sense of the word. Some Sanders supporters have a mistaken notion of some Silent Liberal Majority that is simply oppressed by the weight of control and money in the senior ranks. Most (I hope) of us aren't that deluded.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

stoutfish posted:

donald trump is

a national socialist

So is Bernie Sanders.

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HappyHippo
Nov 19, 2003
Do you have an Air Miles Card?

DaveWoo posted:

Jeb defends his use of the term "anchor babies":

Remember a few pages back where someone was saying Jeb? could get 40% of the hispanic vote? Good times.

At this point I seriously doubt he'll be the nominee. He seems to have no political instinct whatsoever. How'd he ever get elected governor?

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