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Do Not Resuscitate posted:I am talking about $20 I need to make back 
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Oct 8, 2015 04:51
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Do Not Resuscitate posted:I doubled my initial investment then got fleeced when Boehner hosed my poo poo up. Same but because no one could help themselves from speaking the name that shan't be spoken
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Oct 8, 2015 05:12
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new page reminder that, if you're reading this, announcing would gently caress me to my core in a bad way, joe
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Oct 8, 2015 09:24
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Aliquid posted:new page reminder that, if you're reading this, announcing would gently caress me to my core in a bad way, joe Yep
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Oct 8, 2015 13:25
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CNN apparently (according to The Hill, anyway) reporting that Biden will "speak with his family" over the weekend about the run, who better yell "Jeez Joe you already said you weren't going to the first debate, do you really want to drag us through an election cycle when there's no freaking chance you'll take the White House this late into the game?" because this is just ridiculous. How it's even possible that the market's back to the usual 60 YES - 40 NO equilibrium at this point is beyond me.
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Oct 8, 2015 17:07
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How it's even possible that the Republican front-runners are an orange insult comic with a squirrel on his head, a black human Ambien, and a woman the market values at negative $3 billion who got housed in the only election she's ever been in is beyond me. Welcome to the 2016 election.
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Oct 8, 2015 17:40
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lmfao McCarthy
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Oct 8, 2015 17:45
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Holy hell, anyone who bought McCarthy No low is gonna make a killing. Any anyone with Yes is gonna lose their shirt.
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Oct 8, 2015 17:47
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Necc0 posted:lmfao McCarthy I am so so so glad I bought 50 NO shares on a whim yesterday when I figured there'd be a little movement because of the Chaffetz/Webster crap. This is terrible for the country but it's okay for my wallet.
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Oct 8, 2015 17:47
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AARP LARPer has issued a correction as of 01:47 on Jan 23, 2016 |
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Oct 8, 2015 17:48
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I completely stayed out of the Speaker markets because I don't have time to do the research on all the nutty buggery the House gets up to but drat if that wasn't a fun slam of the door to watch. EDIT: Also LOL at the entire Majority Leader market turning to NO because no one actually has the needed plurality. Combed Thunderclap has issued a correction as of 17:59 on Oct 8, 2015 |
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Oct 8, 2015 17:56
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Now I wish I hadn't cashed out of the Speaker Market after just making a couple bucks.
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Oct 8, 2015 18:11
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Combed Thunderclap posted:I completely stayed out of the Speaker markets because I don't have time to do the research on all the nutty buggery the House gets up to but drat if that wasn't a fun slam of the door to watch. Yeah this plus it being a closed-door vote just screams shenanigans and I didn't have the time to really research it. If I had to I would've been 'Yes' on him though so I'm glad I didn't touch it
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Oct 8, 2015 18:38
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It blows my mind that anyone can say the Republicans aren't a total circus with a straight face
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Oct 8, 2015 18:40
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pathetic little tramp posted:I am so so so glad I bought 50 NO shares on a whim yesterday when I figured there'd be a little movement because of the Chaffetz/Webster crap. pathetic little tramp posted:This is terrible for the country but it's okay for my wallet. And in more Bloomberg presidential craziness: it looks like someone is trying to buy 5,000 shares of Bloomberg YES at 9c. I was happy to take the NO side of some of those.
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Oct 8, 2015 19:19
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I had McCarthy YES up until a week ago and I still have no idea why I sold since he seemed like such a sure bet. Yikes.
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Oct 8, 2015 19:34
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lol I'm glad I got out of that nonsense. I'm excited to lose 4 dollars tomorrow when the Pope doesn't get the peace prize though!
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Oct 8, 2015 19:37
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Necc0 posted:lmfao McCarthy Wanamingo posted:Me, I just wish I had bought in when it was 10 cents instead of 27. Quoting myself to say that literally just last night, I was so sure he wasn't going to win that I almost sold everything else I had just so I could stick all my eggs in that one basket. Really wish I had done that.
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Oct 8, 2015 19:42
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I want to grab some Merkel Peace Prize YES shares, but I don't want to have to stay up until midnight or later waiting for the price to rise so I can sell them off (I'm not trusting the Swedes to actually pick her). 
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Oct 8, 2015 19:46
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the best part about PredictIt is coming here to speculate, ugh today was hard
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Oct 9, 2015 03:22
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There's a bunch of new Democratic Debate markets that opened and I couldn't talk to anyone about them! They all have Biden as a participant (as well as one about whether he will participate).
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Oct 9, 2015 03:30
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The markets for the Democratic Debate are up now, if you didn't know. Biden comments are already promising to perhaps make these markets interesting. CNN Debate rules let Biden change his mind and jump in at almost any time apparently. So of course that's the Biden master plan, wait until the last minute and then jump in and just blow Hillary and Bernie out of the water with the sneak attack. So the Biden wins, gets the most speaking time, and loses are all likely to get wonky. Do we know how Predictit are going to do the incremental contract linking starting tomorrow? All I saw was new contracts starting tomorrow are linked and outstanding ones will incrementally be linked. It'd be real nice if today's markets get linked soon after. Edit: I really hope the Biden Yes running people jump on the "cheap" yes votes on his participation. Drive down that No price guys. It is very tempting to believe that Biden's been reading the Onion's articles and the inner Diamond Joe has slowly been growing in power, finally winning out some time next week. Just as the Democratic Debate starts, and Hillary is asked the first question the roar of a Trans-Am engine can be heard from outside the venue. Hillary's Secret Service detail all get a panicked expression on their face as their fingers go to their ear to better hear their radios. The stage doors are blown off their hinges as Biden drives onto the stage, Journey blaring from his sound system. For the rest of the debate Biden sits on the hood of his car, answering his question through the loud speaker attached to his CB radio. Gyges has issued a correction as of 03:40 on Oct 9, 2015 |
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Oct 9, 2015 03:32
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Apparently that draft Biden PAC put together a TV commercial trying to get Biden to run, and today he asked them to not air it. This is a sign that he's leaning towards entering the race. 
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Oct 9, 2015 03:37
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Those "best impact" markets are even worse than the regular polling markets. Speaking time is a good one, though. Frontrunner almost always gets the most time.
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Oct 9, 2015 03:38
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I'm going to need a drink while I watch the debates, and I can't think of a better way to get it than picking up No shares in BIDEN.CNNDEMDEBATE for 90 cents a piece, since he's literally confirmed that he won't be there. Besides picking up No shares in BIDENRUN, of course.
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Oct 9, 2015 03:43
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Wanamingo posted:Apparently that draft Biden PAC put together a TV commercial trying to get Biden to run, and today he asked them to not air it. This is a sign that he's leaning towards entering the race. To be fair, it was entirely about his dead wife and children
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Oct 9, 2015 03:45
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Stereotype posted:To be fair, it was entirely about his dead wife and children I think the biggest takeaway is that the Draft Biden folks really are acting independently and really are desperate to get him into the race. It's not just some sort of 11th dimensional chess game to build up hype secretly managed by Biden himself.
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Oct 9, 2015 03:48
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Stereotype posted:To be fair, it was entirely about his dead wife and children Jesus, I'd hate to see their ads if they didn't like the guy. Edit: Spending $2 on the bet that a lot of people aren't going to read the rules correctly, and when Biden doesn't show up his Yes price for CNNDebate loser will shoot up. If not, I should be able to dump it at worst even due to it being a .98 buy on a sure thing for No. Gyges has issued a correction as of 03:53 on Oct 9, 2015 |
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Oct 9, 2015 03:48
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Assuming they use the same 'your name is spoken so you get another 30 seconds to talk' rule Hillary will almost certainly get the most speaking time.
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Oct 9, 2015 04:11
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I'm going to buy a dollar worth of 5c Biden Debate shares to hedge my Biden NO shares because I'm a coward.
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Oct 9, 2015 04:13
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AARP LARPer has issued a correction as of 01:48 on Jan 23, 2016 |
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Oct 9, 2015 04:55
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I'd like to debate with you about Biden's run chances but that just seems cruel since I don't have any money on it.
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Oct 9, 2015 06:06
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.40 Biden NO still available, I'm sitting at 60% of my portfolio on Biden NO at .41 but I don't have the money to buy in. I have the feeling November is going to be a good month for establishment dems
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Oct 9, 2015 06:46
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Aww the pope didn't win the peace prize  That poo poo resolved fast too! Everything went to the max in less than 20 minutes
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Oct 9, 2015 11:04
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Jewel Repetition posted:I'd like to debate with you about Biden's run chances but that just seems cruel since I don't have any money on it. It is really cool how the prediction markets make you put your money where your mouth is. Like, I was really sure Merkel wasn't going to take the Peace Prize, but clearly I wasn't actually so sure that it would make me buy NO shares.
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Oct 9, 2015 13:29
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Man, and I had none of the above at 11 cents. Of course if I hadn't gotten out of the market a couple days ago I'm sure the Scandinavians would have chosen differently.
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Oct 9, 2015 13:29
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Max bet on Biden NO on the debate
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Oct 9, 2015 22:35
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Seems like it's free money to take NO on the biggest loser of the debate, if you bet Chaffee, O Malley or Webb. They're barely above 0%, they have no room to fall. Like, Clinton or Sanders could decrease due to polling error and it's worse than their maximum fall.
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Oct 9, 2015 22:52
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District Selectman posted:Seems like it's free money to take NO on the biggest loser of the debate, if you bet Chaffee, O Malley or Webb. They're barely above 0%, they have no room to fall. Like, Clinton or Sanders could decrease due to polling error and it's worse than their maximum fall. Do they define "biggest loser" in terms of absolute polling losses?
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Oct 9, 2015 22:53
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Jewel Repetition posted:Do they define "biggest loser" in terms of absolute polling losses? Yes.
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Oct 9, 2015 23:04
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