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Doctor Butts
May 21, 2002

Trabisnikof posted:

You guys are fools if you think Carson's book tour won't look a lot like campaigning

All Republicans were born the second Obama elected. I mean, how else could they forget the last time this transparently bullshit thing happened with McCain 'suspending' his campaign for the financial crisis.

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Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

what the gently caress.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

bone shaking.
soul baking.
The slavery for crimes things is a very libertarian concept and plays well with a lot of the tea party crowd.

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
Huckabee is the worst and the only saving grace is that he will never hold political office ever again

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.
Yea we currently basically have slavery now in our prison system.

Rhesus Pieces
Jun 27, 2005


That's the same radio host that advocated for enslaving undocumented immigrants a few months ago. Apparently he's really into slavery, and Huckabee has reached the "I don't give a gently caress anymore" stage of his campaign and is willing to say anything to get any kind of attention.

evilweasel posted:

They were literally unskewing the polls like those crazy people on the internet were, rebalancing them assuming that more white people would show up.

Banking on the rosiest fantasy scenario like that in the face of all known facts and information is utterly insane to me, but they did the exact same thing leading up to the Iraq war so I really shouldn't be surprised.

Islam is the Lite Rock FM
Jul 27, 2007

by exmarx
The huckster really has been huffing his own farts too much. He's full on bible thumping theocratic fascist.

Combed Thunderclap
Jan 4, 2011



Zeroisanumber posted:

"Look at me! Look at me! Look at me!"

I know it's just attention-seeking behavior but then you read books like The Handmaiden's Tale and start to get suspicious about how much is attention-seeking and how much is openly plotting a fun, brave new antebellum, Bible law world.

ComradeCosmobot
Dec 4, 2004

USPOL July

evilweasel posted:

I think Jeb is clearly done though. Rubio seems to be the likely 'establishment' candidate at this point. If I had to bet though, I'd probably bet on Trump given the odds everyone is giving him, hes got a much better shot than people are willing to admit.

Mind you, Rubio is probably the most dangerous candidate in the general, since Jeb is a Bush and Walker was... Well... Walker. Rubio is a "handsome Latino" and has comparatively little baggage outside of immigration, and the Know-Nothings backing Trump right now rarely stay home instead of backing their candidate the way Democrats do, all the more so now when the alternative to voting for Rubio is President Hillary.

If Rubio is indeed the nominee, it'll be close, and Rubio could win if the fundamentals (economy, terrorism, etc.) are not in the Democrats' favor come this time next year.

emdash
Oct 19, 2003

and?
wrong thread

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Hollismason posted:

Yea we currently basically have slavery now in our prison system.

In a way, it's more honest.

Proust Malone
Apr 4, 2008

Toph Bei Fong posted:

For a moment, just imagine Richard Milhous Nixon with access to all the NSA data. The same president who ordered two CIA agents to break into the Watergate hotel and set up wiretaps on the Democrats for him. Who maintained an enemies list that were targeted regularly by the IRS, FBI, and other organizations for harassment.

Imagine the gigantic, drunken erection he would have, flipping through his iPad inbetween Redskins plays and sips of whiskey.



Then pause a moment and think of the continuum of Nixon administration folks who survived watergate and lived on through the Ford, Reagan, and two Bush administrations.

emdash
Oct 19, 2003

and?
trump is definitely going to get what he wants for the debate lol http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/cnbc-debate-trump-carson-boycott-rules

Luigi Thirty
Apr 30, 2006

Emergency confection port.


Don't we already do that?

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.
There is some good that has come out of Trump running. He has polarized the issues and he's gotten a lot more attention on the Primary process. He's also just completely devastated campaigns of establishment politicians. So in a way Trump is making America great again by not allowing the Republicans to win the White House.

radical meme
Apr 17, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

evilweasel posted:

I think Jeb is clearly done though. Rubio seems to be the likely 'establishment' candidate at this point. If I had to bet though, I'd probably bet on Trump given the odds everyone is giving him, hes got a much better shot than people are willing to admit.

So Conventional Wisdom will go down the tubes this election cycle? I'm still not convinced of that. I still think, maybe even hope, that people in the establishment, on both sides, have control over GOT ground game and local sway over base voters. If they don't and if Trump doesn't take the nomination, then I think it's far more likely that we will be looking at candidate Ted Cruz, not Rubio; because if the establishment doesn't matter then Cruz has just as much money as Rubio and he's a far better public speaker. Plus Cruz has the backing of every Radio Talking Head.

Yiggy
Sep 12, 2004

"Imagination is not enough. You have to have knowledge too, and an experience of the oddity of life."
If Trump gets the nod, how likely are we to see some sort of third party spoiler on the right? A Bull-Moose party sort of thing.

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.
Rubio and Fiorina or Fiorina and Rubio would be a good ticket for the Republicans.

Yiggy posted:

If Trump gets the nod, how likely are we to see some sort of third party spoiler on the right? A Bull-Moose party sort of thing.


Probably not.


Also, who is paying for Trumps campaign is he taking donations or is he seriously funding it himself.

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost

Rhesus Pieces posted:

Banking on the rosiest fantasy scenario like that in the face of all known facts and information is utterly insane to me, but they did the exact same thing leading up to the Iraq war so I really shouldn't be surprised.

The funniest part of the evening was the fact that Mitt really, really bought into his campaign's own bullshit and expected to win a crushing victory. So much so that he hadn't even written a draft of a concession speech, which made for an amusing lag between when he knew he was beat and when he actually admitted it.

Yiggy
Sep 12, 2004

"Imagination is not enough. You have to have knowledge too, and an experience of the oddity of life."

Hollismason posted:

Also, who is paying for Trumps campaign is he taking donations or is he seriously funding it himself.

From what I understand he's not actually paying for a lot of the standard campaign machinery, he's been able to drive things off of outlandish media blitzes. Even if hes not raising a ton of money, he's not spending on usual campaign expenditures like field offices, staffers, ground game, etc.


He also uses his campaign money on his own businesses.

quote:

At first blush, spending Trump campaign funds on services in which Trump has a monetary stake — about 40 percent of the campaign’s second-quarter spending went to recognizably Trump-affiliated entities — might raise eyebrows. But the rules for campaign funds going to a candidate are clear, and Trump does not appear to be breaking them, according to election-law experts.

“The rule’s pretty simple and straightforward — it is illegal for a candidate to convert campaign funds to personal use,” said Paul S. Ryan of the nonpartisan Campaign Legal Center.

When dealing with businesses in which a candidate has financial interests, it’s legal as long as “it’s arm’s-length and the price being charged is fair-market value,” according to Ken Gross, head of Skadden Arps’ political law practice and former chief of enforcement at the FEC.
So as long as an unrelated party would get the same rates, it’s kosher — whether it’s $9,583 a month in rent to Trump Tower for campaign office space, $37,993 to reimburse the Trump Corporation for “facility, resources and domain names” or regular stays at Trump hotels (which took in $5,434 from the campaign in the second quarter).


...

In essence, he’s giving the campaign his own after-tax money, a portion of which then goes back to the Trump empire for things like plane rides and hotels. But even if the Trump Organization were a simple business that merely passed all profits straight to Trump — and it’s not — that money would be taxed again before he could pocket it. In any case, because the Trump Organization is so large, it’s hard to draw a straight line from, say, a hotel fee to his pocket.
Of course, now that the campaign has attracted more donors, the ethical line is blurrier. But Trump has room to work with: Personal-use regulations, for instance, allow a candidate to draw a salary equal to the salary of the office he or she is seeking.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/donald-trump-brand-campaign-spending-quarterly-reports-214671

Its almost like he's running for president as a giant tax scam.

Yiggy fucked around with this message at 23:17 on Oct 15, 2015

A Winner is Jew
Feb 14, 2008

by exmarx

Yiggy posted:

From what I understand he's not actually paying for a lot of the standard campaign machinery, he's been able to drive things off of outlandish media blitzes. Even if hes not raising a ton of money, he's not spending on usual campaign expenditures like field offices, staffers, ground game, etc.

The fact that he doesn't have a ground game is key though since it means he's either (a) not actually serious still (b) totally clueless on how modern elections work (c) actively trying to gently caress the GOP over.

Iowa is going to really show just how serious to take Trump since if he fails that with his 10 point lead he's done, and the serious candidates then get to fight it out, but only if any are left. :getin:

foobardog
Apr 19, 2007

There, now I can tell when you're posting.

-- A friend :)
Seriously, what the gently caress happened to Huckabee? How does he go from being a Daily Show "one of the good ones" to The American Ayatollah?

Miltank
Dec 27, 2009

by XyloJW
Cruz has a long term plan to be the last acceptable candidate remaining after Trump destroys all of the more conventional establishment candidates.

NewMars
Mar 10, 2013

foobardog posted:

Seriously, what the gently caress happened to Huckabee? How does he go from being a Daily Show "one of the good ones" to The American Ayatollah?

It's basically the thing where a monster reverts to it's true form when dead. The Huckabee is slowly melting away to reveal it's true nature as it inevitably moves towards political and possibly financial bankruptcy.

Mr Interweb
Aug 25, 2004

quote:

In an interview with WIBX 950 in New York on Wednesday, moderate Republican Rep. Richard Hanna said House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy was speaking the truth when he said this month that the committee had successfully injured Clinton.

“Sometimes the biggest sin you can commit in D.C. is to tell the truth,” Hanna told the upstate New York radio station. “This may not be politically correct, but I think that there was a big part of this investigation that was designed to go after people and an individual, Hillary Clinton.”

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/another-republican-admits-benghazi-panel-political

:munch:

radical meme
Apr 17, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

Miltank posted:

Cruz has a long term plan to be the last acceptable candidate remaining after Trump destroys all of the more conventional establishment candidates.

I am seriously scared shitless by the possibility of President Ted Cruz.

When Super Tuesday arrives, if the two leading candidates are Trump and Cruz, I'm voting Trump and praying that every other Democrat does as well.

foobardog
Apr 19, 2007

There, now I can tell when you're posting.

-- A friend :)

NewMars posted:

It's basically the thing where a monster reverts to it's true form when dead. The Huckabee is slowly melting away to reveal it's true nature as it inevitably moves towards political and possibly financial bankruptcy.

Yeah, I guess, and I also think that while the country in general has moved to the left on social issues, the rhetoric from the right has moved even further to the right, and with Trump dispensing with the dog whistles, it's open season on their true beliefs.

A Winner is Jew
Feb 14, 2008

by exmarx
From the picture thread.


Andy Kaufman doesn't have poo poo on Trump.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



What's a moderate Republican? I thought those were extinct

Alec Bald Snatch
Sep 12, 2012

by exmarx

A Southern Baptist in favor of slavery? That's unheard of!

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

greatn posted:

Won't have to since Bernie is going to win. I suppose if Bernie were to drop out for health reasons I'd gladly vote for Hillary.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-endorsement-primary/

Clinton has 150 + endorsements including 9 governors.

Bernie has 2.

Tweets and facebook likes don't win primaries.

Buckwheat Sings
Feb 9, 2005
It's still a year out. Obama started with even less when he faced the Hillary train.

I used to think that Hillaryis44 website was weird but maybe not if all her supporters are this bitter.

greatn
Nov 15, 2006

by Lowtax

Fojar38 posted:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-endorsement-primary/

Clinton has 150 + endorsements including 9 governors.

Bernie has 2.

Tweets and facebook likes don't win primaries.

Whoa the Democratic establishment and party is supporting the democrat? Holy poo poo I can't believe it!

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

greatn posted:

Whoa the Democratic establishment and party is supporting the democrat? Holy poo poo I can't believe it!

Uh, what party do you think Bernie is running as?

fade5
May 31, 2012

by exmarx

Epic High Five posted:

What's a moderate Republican? I thought those were extinct
Jim Webb.:v:

awesmoe
Nov 30, 2005

Pillbug

Buckwheat Sings posted:

It's still a year out. Obama started with even less when he faced the Hillary train.
Can you please source your claim that obama had less establishment support in 2007 than bernie does now?
(ill save you the trouble, you're deluded about this)

AlternateNu
May 5, 2005

ドーナツダメ!

Salvor_Hardin posted:



Yep, that checks out.

Reminds me of that indy(?) movie that had John Goodman play an FBI agent who responded Waco style to a small town church that tied people up in plastic wrap and shot them in the head when they committed a sin and basically everyone died in the end.

greatn
Nov 15, 2006

by Lowtax

awesmoe posted:

Can you please source your claim that obama had less establishment support in 2007 than bernie does now?
(ill save you the trouble, you're deluded about this)

I think he's referring to polls, which at this point Obama was slightly more behind, but for Obama support from officials the race was really Kennedy Wing vs. Clinton Wing

awesmoe
Nov 30, 2005

Pillbug

greatn posted:

I think he's referring to polls, which at this point Obama was slightly more behind, but for Obama support from officials the race was really Kennedy Wing vs. Clinton Wing
I guess maybe. I mean he did post directly below the guy quoting endorsements, but maybe.

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trilobite terror
Oct 20, 2007
BUT MY LIVELIHOOD DEPENDS ON THE FORUMS!

pathetic little tramp posted:

This is all part of the Trump plan. He's said before he wants the debate to be only the top 5 at most, no Huckabee, Christie, Paul bullshit. He's giving them demands (cannot be more than 2 hours, opening and closing remarks) that they can't meet unless the debate was sans the low-energy morons. They can't change their guidelines to remove people this late in the game, and they're not going to be able to meet the demands.

Trump drops out, Trump starts the narrative that the media is afraid of him with crazy incontrovertible proof that they locked him out of the debate, he skyrockets in the polls.

I don't think Trump needs all that. Think about what sort of a debater he is, who he's up against and the narrative that he's been trying to weave, and then think about what cutting down the allotted time will do to the format of the debate.

Think about Webb's complaints during the Democratic debate about being treated unfairly and imagine a two hour debate with a field twice as big and Trump+Carson as the frontrunners commanding the lions' share of attention. It's the perfect venue for Trump to savage the scrubs, take comparatively minimal damage in return from any one candidate, and even minimize the number of possible Trump v. Carson moments, leaving that avenue of goodwill unblemished. Then he gets to say that Bush/Rubio/Paul/Cruz couldn't get a word in against him.

Making the debate shorter but keeping everything else the same plays directly to Trump's advantage.

TheQat posted:

he thinks that because he believes the socialist tag will be too much for bernie to overcome in the general, not because the DNC won't support him

We've had 8 years of virtually the entire opposition calling Obama a socialist over every conceivable thing. That word has totally lost its power as far as negatively affecting a Democrat is concerned. I also personally doubt that a significant number of voters exist who wouldn't mind voting for Hillary in the general but would be turned off from voting for a self-described socialist to the benefit of the GOP. If anything, running a candidate that beats FOX to the punch on the moniker makes the Dems look less cowardly and limp-wristed to the average American.

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