|
Dolash posted:I thought the incumbency effect was the opposite, namely that it's harder to unseat someone who's already elected than race for an empty seat? Oh, I think I misunderstood what they were saying.
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 07:29
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 15, 2024 10:45 |
|
|
Jeb Bush Jr is going to "Dude, Bro" his dad into the White House. Also Freepers are starting to dig up The Branch Davidians in relation to the SDA. Lots of Freepers still have a sore spot about Waco, so that one could go either way.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 07:31
|
|
|
Joementum posted:I'm starting to believe there might be some wasteful spending in Jeb!'s campaign. Looking more and more like a cheap Saul Goodman every day.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 07:35
|
|
|
Gyges posted:If Rubio and Jeb! are both out, Cruz's master plan shall be but a villain monologue away from completion. cruz looks like a Disney villain
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 07:37
|
|
|
Raskolnikov38 posted:wapo has a piece up on rubio Yesssssss.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 07:40
|
|
'ing about the senate which i'm sure will only inspire the utmost confidence in his campaign to be president.
|
Top City Homo posted:cruz looks like a Disney villain 
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 07:43
|
|
|
Dolash posted:I thought the incumbency effect was the opposite, namely that it's harder to unseat someone who's already elected than race for an empty seat? That's right. My mother voted for Bush, admitting that we went to war under false pretenses, because "maybe Kerry wasn't the one to get us out of this." People still hate change, no matter how rapidly it occurs.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 07:49
|
|
|
Rubio is a baby back bitch
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 08:04
|
|
|
Rubio is literally lazy and often caught napping.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 08:12
|
|
|
I haven't worried about Rubio since he interrogated John Kerry about Iran and came off looking like a schoolboy trying and failing to stump the teacher.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 08:13
|
|
|
GalacticAcid posted:I haven't worried about Rubio since he interrogated John Kerry about Iran and came off looking like a schoolboy trying and failing to stump the teacher. I think I remember that as one of the rare times since his Vietnam protest days that John Kerry managed to get the better of someone rhetorically. Put Rubio on the same stage as Hillary and he might combust, her performances at the debates and even the Benghazi committee have reinforced that she's a strong debater, while Rubio only shines in comparison to the rest of the Republican field because he manages to steer clear of Trump. Speaking of, I'm really excited for the October 28th debate. I think it could trigger another shakeup, maybe impact the polls some - Carson's been pulling ahead so attention will be on him, and Jeb desperately needs to put in a good performance (he's lucky he'll be further than high-five range from Bush this time), plus it could be the final straw for some of the no-hopers. Something's gotta give.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 09:30
|
|
|
A Neurotic Jew posted:I always kind of figured the incumbency effect was an unconscious thing, it's weird for someone to be explicitly operating that way. At the same time I could definitely see a dead-eyed Wolf Blitzer employing that logic for voting. I also thought it was an unconscious thing. Generally what happens is that someone campaigning from the seat already looks fit for the job due to already having had the job. This is why there was a lot of talk in 2012 about how "presidential" Romney looked. The theory was that Obama's incumbency advantage would be lessened by the fact that Romney looked "presidential."
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 09:49
|
|
|
ErIog posted:I also thought it was an unconscious thing. Generally what happens is that someone campaigning from the seat already looks fit for the job due to already having had the job. This is why there was a lot of talk in 2012 about how "presidential" Romney looked. The theory was that Obama's incumbency advantage would be lessened by the fact that Romney looked "presidential." That was only because Republicans wanted people to believe that Obama didn't look presidential. He's too black. He's too socialist. He's too whatever. Romney only looked more presidential than Obama if you bought into the bullshit the GOP was tossing around. A lot of people believed this line of reasoning, and not just average every day voters. A lot of supposedly important political people bought into the idea that Obama didn't appear presidential enough. You know this as well as I do, and it was funny as hell to see their house of cards crash down around them.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 10:03
|
|
|
Romney still looked more Presidential than the entire remaining 2016 Republican field.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 10:11
|
|
|
Chantilly Say posted:Romney still looked more Presidential than the entire remaining 2016 Republican field. He sure as hell does. Obama is a funny smart guy that hasn't hosed us over completely, even being the racist jihadist he is. Tough act to follow.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 10:21
|
|
|
Mitt Romney posted:They left out the part where Obama stole his immigration thunder via executive order in summer of 2012. It's rich that he's honestly complaining about gridlock in Washington as if he's not at all part of the problem. Jebs kids name is jeb jr?
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 11:14
|
|
|
A Neurotic Jew posted:I always kind of figured the incumbency effect was an unconscious thing, it's weird for someone to be explicitly operating that way. At the same time I could definitely see a dead-eyed Wolf Blitzer employing that logic for voting. As someone else said, incumbency generally works the opposite way of that guy's dad: incumbents receive a distinct advantage (on the average not in every case) in elections where people have more of a tendency to vote FOR the incumbent rather than the challenger. It makes sense that this would be true. If you don't feel like the country (or state, or district) is completely falling apart, the incumbent represents a fairly safe choice vs. the unknown challenger.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 11:41
|
|
|
Joementum posted:I'm starting to believe there might be some wasteful spending in Jeb!'s campaign. The only way that jacket would been able to excite anyone, was if he was wearing a suicide vest under.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 11:48
|
|
|
Bob Ojeda posted:If Rubio/Bush can't win, it becomes really loving difficult to figure out who can win besides Trump or maybe Cruz. Kasich would be a decent general election candidate but he just does not have anywhere close to the necessary support from or appeal to the base and the activists. And everyone else is obviously flawed. As faddish, flashy candidates drop out under scrutiny, the stage is set for Gilmorementum. Pyroxene Stigma posted:That's right. My mother voted for Bush, admitting that we went to war under false pretenses, because "maybe Kerry wasn't the one to get us out of this." Somewhere there's a person who thinks Obama is a Kenyan Muslim and is voting for them anyway because they seem like they're doing an alright job and those other guys seem pretty sketchy.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 12:34
|
|
|
Carson has released his first two TV ads. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=be-WFguCaX8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOZspquN6yg
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 12:43
|
|
|
old white ladies support Ben Carson, you say?
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:02
|
|
|
Name that candidate: “We have to start thinking, have groupthink in this country. . . We need to maximize the potential of all our people if we’re going to be able to compete in the future. So we have to start thinking corporately as an entity.”
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:08
|
|
|
for whatever it's worth, I ran into a group of Trump volunteers gathering signatures to get him on the ballot in Virginia last weekend.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:09
|
|
|
Boosted_C5 posted:Just wait until the light-bulb goes off in their tiny little liberal pea-brains and the ratings potential of a Trump PRESIDENCY dawns on them. And so it begins. Enjoying my morning coffee right now with a pleasant surprise - watching NBC's today show, Donald Trump Town Hall edition. Mwa-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha. All the pleasant, well dressed, mom-ish female audience members asking Trump questions and complimenting him is a nice touch. Matt Lauer is interjecting from time to time trying to play the part of serious/critical journalist, and of course making Trump look good when he steamrolls over him without a beat, THANKS NBC!!!
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:23
|
|
|
quote:When asked about abortions in the case of rape and incest, Carson said, “Rape and incest I would not be in favor killing a baby because the baby came about in that way. And all you have to do is go and look at the many stories of people who have led very useful lives who were the result of rape or incest.” http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2015/10/25/ben-carson-abortion-rape-incest-roe-wade/74585040/ Came about in that way
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:25
|
|
|
my main concern is that trump might make america TOO great
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:32
|
|
|
Mr. Pumroy posted:my main concern is that trump might make america TOO great millions blinded by shining city on a hill. "an epidemic", says prominent optician. CDC mobilized to disperse protective eyewear to at-risk populations.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:35
|
|
|
Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2015/10/25/ben-carson-abortion-rape-incest-roe-wade/74585040/ Carson/Santorum 2016. Rape babies are a gift from god.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:36
|
|
|
I've been seeing JEB commercials from Iowa (I live on the Illinois border) and they keep bringing up how his state did so great when he was governor but conveniently leave out WHEN he was governor.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:36
|
|
|
H5N1 posted:And yet despite all this...I can't believe how excited I am about the Jeb campaign! From several pages ago, but I did want to say that I really appreciate your commitment to this bit.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:37
|
|
|
Bald eagle population reaching unsupportable levels in Washington, Minnesota, Michigan. One resident's experience: "They've eaten everything and they get everywhere. My car wouldn't start this morning and when I popped the hood I found the engine compartment jammed with bald eagles like Tetris blocks."
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:38
|
|
|
Jeb! It connotes craven pandering to the religious right.http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/oct/26/jeb-bush-religious-right-evangelicals posted:
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:41
|
|
|
Workplace fatalities spiked dramatically this year due to what researchers are calling a sudden, unforeseen uptick in good old fashioned American stick-to-itiveness and can-do attitude. "People are applying themselves to things they really have no business attempting." Said Vince Hamish, senior fellow at the Consortium for Systemic Risk Analysis. "While I can't fault the sentiment, its important that we know our limitations."
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:41
|
|
|
paranoid randroid posted:Bald eagle population reaching unsupportable levels in Washington, Minnesota, Michigan. One resident's experience: "They've eaten everything and they get everywhere. My car wouldn't start this morning and when I popped the hood I found the engine compartment jammed with bald eagles like Tetris blocks." God drat it Trump
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:41
|
|
|
Captain_Maclaine posted:From several pages ago, but I did want to say that I really appreciate your commitment to this bit. It brings a smile to my face every page of this thread that I read, waiting to see his excitement for Jeb! 
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:42
|
|
|
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:50
|
|
|
Jeb Bush's camera smile is a grimace.
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:51
|
|
|
oh cool jebs one of those dickheads that spams up everyones inboxes so he can tell one guy to keep him looped in
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:52
|
|
|
Broken Image in the Signature: a Governor's Story
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:53
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 15, 2024 10:45 |
|
|
He really strikes me as a guy who would bombard his staff with FWD: RE: RE: You won't believe it!
|
|
#
?
Oct 26, 2015 13:55
|
|
