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Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

AreWeDrunkYet posted:

If the skies are already clear, what can an F-35 do that a Reaper (at like 15% of the price of an F-35) can't? Seems like the only thing manned aircraft are still good for is shooting down other planes.

The F35 has about 5 times the payload and had 4 times the maximum speed which is really important for CAS missions. None of this makes the F-35 stand out from the F-18, which I would argue its inferior to in a few ways (before accounting for the pricetag). But there's a huge difference for CAS or partially contested airspaces for strike fighters over drones.

Bip Roberts fucked around with this message at 22:25 on Nov 1, 2015

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hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

AreWeDrunkYet posted:

If the skies are already clear, what can an F-35 do that a Reaper (at like 15% of the price of an F-35) can't? Seems like the only thing manned aircraft are still good for is shooting down other planes.

Drop more than one or two bombs per sortie, move from one place to another at faster than 170 kias, not being a giant bullseye for Russian double digit SAMs* that even random dictators in Africa have now.

*depending on how good the stealth is

AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 7 days!

Dead Reckoning posted:

Also, why should we design for the use case of "everything has already gone our way?"

Because specialization often makes sense. The F-35 is designed to do a lot of things, but will likely mostly get used to ferry JDAMs to their destination when unmanned planes can do the job far cheaper. If we're trying to drop bombs in contested airspace, cruise missiles and B-2s make more sense than F-35s anyway. It seems to me that it's a lot more logical to use one plane (F-22) to clear the skies in case of an actual competitive shooting war, then just use drones after (or just start with drones in low intensity conflicts where there's no real air threat). Instead, the F-35 is a second ridiculously expensive airplane that doesn't do any one thing as well as a more specialized plane - except perhaps funneling a trillion and a half dollars to defense contractors.

crabcakes66
May 24, 2012

by exmarx
How much do B-2s cost again?


If you include R&D and adjust for inflation isn't it like $3-4B a piece.

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

crabcakes66 posted:

How much do B-2s cost again?


If you include R&D and adjust for inflation isn't it like $3-4B a piece.

Also 21 were ever built and they can't practically be forward deployed. Because of their speed and the distance of their missions they can't necessarily be used for interdiction missions.

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

crabcakes66 posted:

How much do B-2s cost again?


If you include R&D and adjust for inflation isn't it like $3-4B a piece.

The program cost 44billion which would be $2bil/air frame. The flyaway cost was $737million, which meant that until the line closed the USAF would have written a check for $737million for each additional one. The program was originally for 200 bombers which meant that it would have been less than $1bil/bomber if they went through that order. It might have even been less than the $177ish billion that flyaway implies because bomber 200 would definitely have been cheaper than bomber 1.

Incidentally the flyaway for a F-22 was $150 million. It would have been cheaper to cancel the F-35A and just buy F-22s.

hobbesmaster fucked around with this message at 22:52 on Nov 1, 2015

AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 7 days!

crabcakes66 posted:

How much do B-2s cost again?


If you include R&D and adjust for inflation isn't it like $3-4B a piece.

Nice thing about those is that the money is already spent and the planes are operational.

hobbesmaster posted:

Incidentally the flyaway for a F-22 was $150 million. It would have been cheaper to cancel the F-35A and just buy F-22s.

The Air Force demanded that the tooling for those be kept around, right? What kind of costs would be involved in getting that production line rolling again? Seems like the only downside would be that the US Navy may not remain the world's second best air force. Surely bribing some countries around the world for airbases is cheaper than acquiring F-35s. And really, the F-35 seems like overkill for the Navy anyway. Russia and China, the only remotely realistic threats to US aviation, are more or less surrounded by bases F-22s can launch from. The Chinese don't even have an aircraft carrier. The Russians have one to our 10, and there's no reason to assume the (is it 90?) F-18s currently on even one of those carriers can't handle the 30 SU-33s on that Russian carrier. How is it not a massive waste of money to prepare for a battle that can't even happen without a at least a generation of massive build-up by a foreign military?

Mr Chips
Jun 27, 2007
Whose arse do I have to blow smoke up to get rid of this baby?
The F-22 was never going to be exported, so if the F-35 were dropped for the F-22 the USA couldn't bully their allies/client states into subsidising the US MIC.

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!

AreWeDrunkYet posted:

Nice thing about those is that the money is already spent and the planes are operational.


The Air Force demanded that the tooling for those be kept around, right? What kind of costs would be involved in getting that production line rolling again? Seems like the only downside would be that the US Navy may not remain the world's second best air force. Surely bribing some countries around the world for airbases is cheaper than acquiring F-35s. And really, the F-35 seems like overkill for the Navy anyway. Russia and China, the only remotely realistic threats to US aviation, are more or less surrounded by bases F-22s can launch from. The Chinese don't even have an aircraft carrier. The Russians have one to our 10, and there's no reason to assume the (is it 90?) F-18s currently on even one of those carriers can't handle the 30 SU-33s on that Russian carrier. How is it not a massive waste of money to prepare for a battle that can't even happen without a at least a generation of massive build-up by a foreign military?

The Chinese currently have rebuilt a Soviet carrier last year (though it's officially a pilot project that isn't projecting power yet) and are about to build one of their own they could wave at any Arleigh Burkes that get too close to Sovereign Chinese Territory piles of concrete in the middle of the ocean solely inhabited by some poor PLA grunts. Russia is A Bear In The Woods obviously and may or may not expand its carrier fleet within the next, oh, 50 years which is the F-35 service life at least. Given that Russian naval overhauls might have concrete goals like "be a speedbump for the US Navy" they are likely to involve less committees and pork than an equivalent USN programme and would likely take less than 50 years to get from the drawing board to deployment. China might be able to throw more knockoff Soviet fighters at the very limited number of forward-deployed F-22s than the F-22s can carry missiles, so the US would have to rely on allies to absorb bullets.

While three supercarriers instead of eleven would be enough to beat up any country given a few months of preparation, the US military is built not only to beat any other military on the planet, but to beat up a country on every continent at the same time. You kinda need a ridiculously large carrier and amphibious force to meet your ~global commitments~ in that case, especially since at least like a third of the fleet will be stuck in a dock at any time. Ten supercarriers that rate above most air forces in firepower plus a similar number of harrier carriers to mop up after them and/or burn third world shitholes aren't even particularly over the top at that point.

The F-35 is still a really lovely plane to accomplish that though, it would have probably been better to buy like a thousand F-22s for the air force and some navalised plane for the Nimitzes/Fords, along with a couple hundred electronic warfare/anti air defense/whatever special snowflake planes, and put every remaining pilot in a cheap&cheerful bomb truck (only necessary to replace disintegrating strike eagles) to bomb tents and toyota hiluxes for a decade after the superplanes get done murdering the entire conventional military of any probable foe on day one.

e: and a token harrier replacement because REMEMBER GUADALCANAL SEMPER FI, and because it's cool to still win the carrier dickwaving contest even after every second rate military gets a glorified helicopter carrier with a ski jump, too (lol royal navy lol).

Mr Chips posted:

The F-22 was never going to be exported, so if the F-35 were dropped for the F-22 the USA couldn't bully their allies/client states into subsidising the US MIC.

Just sell a monkey model with slightly worse everything like the Soviets. It's not like anyone expects the Dutch air force (lol) to actually hold back the Kommunist horde.

suck my woke dick fucked around with this message at 02:13 on Nov 2, 2015

Rent-A-Cop
Oct 15, 2004

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

Mr Chips posted:

The F-22 was never going to be exported, so if the F-35 were dropped for the F-22 the USA couldn't bully their allies/client states into subsidising the US MIC.
They should subsidize the US MIC considering the US has been subsidizing their defense for 50 years.

Molentik
Apr 30, 2013

blowfish posted:

It's not like anyone expects the Dutch air force (lol) to actually hold back the Kommunist horde.

No, but we do need cool planes to play with the big kids. So gently caress the F-35 and give us your A-10's instead please, so we can keep helping you guys with bombing brown people.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
How much better is the F-22 compared to the F-35 that the former isn't supposed to be exported?

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin

gradenko_2000 posted:

How much better is the F-22 compared to the F-35 that the former isn't supposed to be exported?

Well it's not better at taking off and landing vertically.

Rorac
Aug 19, 2011

Vastly so.

I mean, besides the fact that it doesn't spontaneously combust and can fly and fire it's drat gun (lol like it would need to), it's just straight up better in a dogfight. I think it's stealthier too?

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!

gradenko_2000 posted:

How much better is the F-22 compared to the F-35 that the former isn't supposed to be exported?

Basically it's a functional modern fighter with actual maneuverability, actual stealth, and more internal missiles that would most likely kick every other fighter's rear end and still doesn't cost more than the F35.

A Winner is Jew
Feb 14, 2008

by exmarx

gradenko_2000 posted:

How much better is the F-22 compared to the F-35 that the former isn't supposed to be exported?

Aside from some very public issues with it for the first few years of service (pilot asphyxiation, date line, rain) it's a very worthy successor to the F-15 which was easily the best fighter of it's generation by a sizable margin and up there with the greatest fighters of all time.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

The Fulcrum and Flanker are pretty machines, Canada should buy those instead. :eng101:

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

El Scotch posted:

The Fulcrum and Flanker are pretty machines, Canada should buy those instead. :eng101:

Except when they fall out of the sky randomly

awesome-express
Dec 30, 2008

El Scotch posted:

The Fulcrum and Flanker are pretty machines, Canada should buy those instead. :eng101:

Have you seen the exhaust fumes on those? They're worse than Chinese factory smoke stacks.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

LeoMarr posted:

Except when they fall out of the sky randomly

Ok, so they might have occasional rough landings. Still, pretty aircraft.

Just replace the engines with US ones! It's like fusion cooking. :coolfish:

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

El Scotch posted:

Ok, so they might have occasional rough landings. Still, pretty aircraft.

Just replace the engines with US ones! It's like fusion cooking. :coolfish:

Ah yes Hybrid US/RUSSIAN Flankers

A Winner is Jew
Feb 14, 2008

by exmarx

LeoMarr posted:

Ah yes Hybrid US/RUSSIAN Flankers

Actually that's not a terrible idea.

The last time the US/Russia collaborated on a plane we got the SR-71.

Of course, the Russians didn't know they were collaborating with us on that one.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

A Winner is Jew posted:

Actually that's not a terrible idea.

The last time the US/Russia collaborated on a plane we got the SR-71.

Of course, the Russians didn't know they were collaborating with us on that one.

Russia might unlease another bombing campaign on Sryia if we stole their airplane designs. So Win Win really.

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Well the US also had to figure out how to rebuild and repair their captured Warsaw Pact aircraft kept at Area 51.

Pimpmust
Oct 1, 2008

The Soviets/Russia had some of that going on as well and I think the Soviets got their hands on at least some F-5 Freedom Fighters, A-37, A-1 Skyraider, and maybe A-4 Skyhawks/F-4 Phantom (if from nothing else, put together by scratch from all the parts raining down over Vietnam :v:), and whatever else that ended up captured in the Vietnam War.
Possibly had a looksie at the Iranian F-14s at some point, and of course the Venezuelian F-16s (later though).
They got their hands on parts of the F-111 and the A-7 too (on display in the Moscow Aviation Institute, including parts of Scott O'Grady's F-16).
Probably got their hands of Mirages and British stuff too.

Here's them test-flying the MiG-28F-5E:
http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=e52_1320882209

I came across it when looking for the Soviet equivalent of the Aggressor program (not a whole lot of information, sadly):
https://thelexicans.wordpress.com/2013/08/12/soviet-aggressor-program/ (See the picture of the MiGs painted with shark-mouths to make them more authentic :v:)
The Center was located in Turkmenistan at an airbase called Maryy-1 (Maryy is pronounced “Marie). Located at this base is a unit known as the 1521st Airbase unit.

e: Some cool pictures here, including a surprisingly intact F-4 (well, for having been shot down decades ago) https://acesflyinghigh.wordpress.com/2014/12/12/remnants-of-the-vietnam-war-wrecks-captured-aircraft/

Pimpmust fucked around with this message at 21:07 on Nov 2, 2015

Party Plane Jones
Jul 1, 2007

by Reene
Fun Shoe

AreWeDrunkYet posted:

The Air Force demanded that the tooling for those be kept around, right? What kind of costs would be involved in getting that production line rolling again? Seems like the only downside would be that the US Navy may not remain the world's second best air force. Surely bribing some countries around the world for airbases is cheaper than acquiring F-35s. And really, the F-35 seems like overkill for the Navy anyway. Russia and China, the only remotely realistic threats to US aviation, are more or less surrounded by bases F-22s can launch from. The Chinese don't even have an aircraft carrier. The Russians have one to our 10, and there's no reason to assume the (is it 90?) F-18s currently on even one of those carriers can't handle the 30 SU-33s on that Russian carrier. How is it not a massive waste of money to prepare for a battle that can't even happen without a at least a generation of massive build-up by a foreign military?

The problem with the F-22 production line getting restarted is less the tooling and moreso the underlying electronics being very 1990sish. Somebody joked that there's zero chance of hacking in because even the contractor barely understands the language if I remember right (though to be honest I could be thinking of the F-35 or some other plane because they were all started 20 years ago).

Also the whole carrier thing has been gone over a bunch of times: the US has at most 7 at sea (if they really push it), and normally has 6. There's always 2 undergoing year-long retrofits and 2 doing multi-month upgrades; plus the newest one is still undergoing sea trials basically. If I remember correctly they can under pull the ones undergoing the multi-month upgrades out of dock in something like 90/120 days; the retrofitted ones are basically down for the count.

If you really want to complain about cost overruns the F-35 is hardly the only program to pick out: the DoD apparently spent 43 million (!) dollars to build a single gas station in Afghanistan. A similar gas station in Pakistan costs around half a mil to build. Auditing the books for Afghanistan costs would be terrifying because there's easily hundreds of billions that's gone completely unaccounted for.

Party Plane Jones fucked around with this message at 21:46 on Nov 2, 2015

Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747
All those "they've kept the tooling, they could restart production" thing seem to assume that production is a fully automated process. Just put back f22blueprints.dat in those big robotic arms' computers and there you go.

But you know, actually the tooling is not the sole necessary part of the production chain. There's another essential part, and that one you can't mothball it: the personnel. Turns out that building a jet fighter full of highly classified military technology requires very qualified and trusted people, and these people also need to be paid every month even when you're not using them to build more F-22s. So either you put them to work on another project, or you lay them off and they'll be hired by some competitor for another project, or maybe they've become old enough to retire. In any case, for restarting production, even if you can get back all the original workers from your old production line (spoiler alert: you won't), they will need to reacquire their F-22 production skills because, hey, it's been a while and contrarily to bicycling those are skills that you can forget, especially if you've spend the last several years doing a similar but different work.

So there's a big cost to restarting a production line, and the longer you wait, the higher that cost.


Then again, not everything is made in-house anyway, several parts were subcontracted and the subcontractors might have recursively subcontracted as well. There's no guarantee that you'll be able to get all the same pieces, especially for electronics as it is a domain which moves very fast and where it's tempting to use commercial parts. And since these parts have become dated anyway, the military might find it preferable to upgrade instead of looking too hard to get the exact same processors that Moore's Law left in the dust a while ago... Of course this changes the specs, so it'll be costly, and you get at the point where when you add up all the restarting costs and the upgrade costs it starts to look a lot like a brand new aircraft wouldn't be that much more expensive, and it'd allow to improve the design because come on, in all these years of course you've found some flaws and other design issues that couldn't easily be addressed by an upgrade program.

Deptfordx
Dec 23, 2013

-Troika- posted:

Amusingly, for all the whining about the A-10, even when it was new the entire production run was expected to be destroyed by the Russians in less than a week if it came to war in Europe. The low level AA environment it's designed to operate in has only gotten nastier since then.


I think the prediction was actually 3 weeks. Pretty academic anyway, as we'd probably have escalated to a strategic exchange before the first week ended.

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Deptfordx posted:

I think the prediction was actually 3 weeks. Pretty academic anyway, as we'd probably have escalated to a strategic exchange before the first week ended.

Just look at the Yom Kippur war. Israel was a few more hours of losing ground away from pushing the button.

oohhboy
Jun 8, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
The F35 has finally fired it's gun in flight!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DdLj1ExREK4

It still can't aim it though.

http://warisboring.com/articles/f-35a-stealth-jet-finally-shows-off-gun-in-flight/

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

The F-35A is still in development so that makes sense.

The F-35B however is "operational."

Koesj
Aug 3, 2003
No problems there then, it doesn't even have an internal gun!

C.M. Kruger
Oct 28, 2013
Cancel the F-35B, ban the USMC from operating fixed wing combat aircraft, and tell the Brits they can either build real aircraft carriers or go suck eggs like back with the Skybolt.

Regarde Aduck
Oct 19, 2012

c l o u d k i t t e n
Grimey Drawer
I think the RN would love to have "real" carriers with exotic things like catapults but the government won't let them. We positively have to throw money at the US so that we can lock ourselves into 50 years of non-nuclear aircraft carriers with lovely useless planes. Support are troops.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
Operating the F-35s would be almost forgivable if the carriers were at least nucs.

Deptfordx
Dec 23, 2013

hobbesmaster posted:

Just look at the Yom Kippur war. Israel was a few more hours of losing ground away from pushing the button.

Forget a desperate NATO deciding to go nuclear. We know from stuff leaked during the 90's before the Russians closed down the archives again, that by the mid 80's the Warsaw Pact was planning to start any offensive with tactical nuclear strikes

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Regarde Aduck posted:

I think the RN would love to have "real" carriers with exotic things like catapults but the government won't let them. We positively have to throw money at the US so that we can lock ourselves into 50 years of non-nuclear aircraft carriers with lovely useless planes. Support are troops.

Yeah isn't the British military in bad enough shape due to budget cuts they basically have to continue dissolving regiments? Well I guess the F-35 is good enough you really don't need an army.

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Deptfordx posted:

Forget a desperate NATO deciding to go nuclear. We know from stuff leaked during the 90's before the Russians closed down the archives again, that by the mid 80's the Warsaw Pact was planning to start any offensive with tactical nuclear strikes

Well, the A-10 clearly wasn't designed assuming that.

Deptfordx
Dec 23, 2013

True, but that's what why its original role was de facto redundant.

Frankly a week to a global exchange is probably optimistic.

Most of the known plans, it wasn't just a few Nukes here and there, we're talking hundreds ofwarheads, some of them crossing over into the strategic range (250Kt+). We'd probably have raced up the ladder of escalation inside 48 hours.

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Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Deptfordx posted:

True, but that's what why its original role was de facto redundant.

Frankly a week to a global exchange is probably optimistic.

Most of the known plans, it wasn't just a few Nukes here and there, we're talking hundreds ofwarheads, some of them crossing over into the strategic range (250Kt+). We'd probably have raced up the ladder of escalation inside 48 hours.

That said, there was the possibility of continued warfare even after a full-exchange, especially in Western Europe. Tactical nukes alone may have not been enough to really stop advances from either side considering both sides have invested in NBC protection. Obviously major cities would eventually been turned to ash by strategic warheads, but armored units are pretty tough nuts to crack unless you get direct hits. WW3 might have kept on going even as nuclear winter came.

It is a nice thought.

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