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Is this actually the death of Trump? It feels more like winning Iowa would have been a terrifying upset, but if he makes a respectable showing and then goes on to win NH, a much more favorable state, he may still be a viable candidate, and coming in at 24% in Iowa is still way too many people turning out for him for me to be entirely comfortable calling it curtains. I guess it will largely depend on how he reacts. It's kind of a similar story with Sanders. Sure, this isn't a good enough result for him if he's trying to win the primary, but if you go by the old assumption that he was running to push his ideas to the impending Hillary administration then getting a whole bunch of real voters to turn out in person seems like a good result.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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1.4% between Trump and Rubio now 
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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EugeneJ posted:I also just realized that Hillary winning by 1% would be ironic as gently caress
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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Fiction posted:STUMPED STUMPED STUMPED STUMPED STUMPED STUMPED
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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trump got owned by "the only poll that counts". until the next few i guess
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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Goetta posted:So Huckabee and Carla are done after tonight right? They already had an event scheduled for Huckabee to endorse Trump after NH. Wonder if that's getting cancelled
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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Pakled posted:How many Republicans will suspend their campaign in the next 24 hours Please please please let us return Fiorina, Santorum, Huckabee, and Chris Christie to the depths of history from whence they came 
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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Captain Magic posted:Isn't the logic of a statistical tie looking good for Bernie that he'll be taken that much more seriously and his message would get spread that much farther in the time between the next primary caucus/election? It's in a month. New Hampshire will be a boost, but I'm not expecting he'll do all that well in South Carolina or Nevada, which will dampen him for Super Tuesday. I'd be glad to be disproven, though!
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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 CNN REPORTING RUBIO IS 1% BEHIND TRUMP. SHADENFRUEDE POTENTIALLY IMMINENT.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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EugeneJ posted:You almost wonder if MOM would have dropped out before tonight if his supporters would have jumped in with Bernie They had a chance when he was non viable
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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squidgee posted:Surely 1% of the vote wouldn't have made a diff-oh. O'Malley opened his campaign by slamming Clinton and running to her left I really doubt it Martin O'Malley posted:"Recently, the CEO of Goldman Sachs let his employees know that hed be just fine with either Bush or Clinton. I bet he would. Well, I've got news for the bullies of Wall Street, the presidency is not a crown to be passed back and forth by you between two royal families."
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Feb 2, 2016 04:19
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This is good news!! For Hillary!!!
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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I remember in 08 obama supporters went wingnut crazy against hillary. like people unironically posted from drudge. same thing happening this year. outside of white liberal dude internet enclaves hillary is a strong candidate hth
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Jerusalem posted:Is CNN rounding Rubio's numbers up and rounding Trump's down? 
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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this first indication that trump's support is many percentage points lower than his polling support is making me very happy. i wasn't willing to let myself hope for it
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Has anyone heard from Matt Drudge since O'Malley dropped out? I'm worried for him 
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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A Neurotic Jew posted:why? it will be surprising to noone who is following the polls. ok so like 3 posters in this thread
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Christie won't leave till NH he basically moved out there and is putting it all on that state.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Did pundits actually expect Trump to win Iowa? I thought Cruz was to win Iowa and Trump was to win NH/SC.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Pakled posted:How many Republicans will suspend their campaign in the next 24 hours Trump, Paul, Kasich, Carson? Christie maybe
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Emanuel Collective posted:It'll be very interesting to see D&D next week when Sanders wins New Hampshire by 20 points Nah. Sanders will win NH and VT and possibly MA by a ton. If Hillary lost SC then you would see arzying
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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I COULDNT SELL MY HILLARY SHARES IF I WANTED TO THE SITE IS DOWN
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Voyager I posted:Is this actually the death of Trump? It feels more like winning Iowa would have been a terrifying upset, but if he makes a respectable showing and then goes on to win NH, a much more favorable state, he may still be a viable candidate, and coming in at 24% in Iowa is still way too many people turning out for him for me to be entirely comfortable calling it curtains. I guess it will largely depend on how he reacts. Trumps dead baby, Trumps dead.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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Master Shake will be so loving happy
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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I dunno if a crushed Trump is worth a smug as gently caress Cruz
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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squidgee posted:
I'm pretty sure they're doing some rounding up/down respectively to make it look closer. I'm basing that on this site though.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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EugeneJ posted:You almost wonder if MOM would have dropped out before tonight if his supporters would have jumped in with Bernie You're asking if O'Malley's 0% support would have made a difference
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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11 delegates
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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squidgee posted:
naw, there's not enough left, no way, we couldn't be so lucky
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Feb 2, 2016 04:20
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The evil Berniestans at MSNBC, CNN, and Fox really hitting home the "Dem Race is basically a tie" narrative
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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Voyager I posted:Is this actually the death of Trump? It feels more like winning Iowa would have been a terrifying upset, but if he makes a respectable showing and then goes on to win NH, a much more favorable state, he may still be a viable candidate, and coming in at 24% in Iowa is still way too many people turning out for him for me to be entirely comfortable calling it curtains. I guess it will largely depend on how he reacts. this isnt even his second form
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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Martin O'Malley may have inadvertently gotten a delegate at my caucus. There was a hair over 100 people, and the 3 O'Malley supporters were being pulled at from both sides, but ended up coming over to Bernie. The reason, Bernouts discovered later, is because one of the three O'Malley supporters was promised a delegate slot (and they don't have to vote for Bernie if they don't want to). There were two delegates from each side, so it basically ended up Hillary 2, Bernie and O'Mentum 1 each. The best part: The O'Malley guy is a literal 17 year old. Also, I'm going to the county convention as a delegate for Bernie! Gonna be dope.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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Wait, poo poo did Trump get stumped!?
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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im so loving conflicted on one hand, trump loses, but ont he other, cruz wins nnnnnnnghghhhh
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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MSNBC claims to have 99% of the GOP results with Trump leading Rubio by about ~2,000 votes. My Microsoft page is stuck at 80%, so who knows.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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Voyager I posted:Is this actually the death of Trump? It feels more like winning Iowa would have been a terrifying upset, but if he makes a respectable showing and then goes on to win NH, a much more favorable state, he may still be a viable candidate, and coming in at 24% in Iowa is still way too many people turning out for him for me to be entirely comfortable calling it curtains. I guess it will largely depend on how he reacts. Exactly. Caucus + Cruz ground game + small lead in the polls + turnout was at least high Going forward in NH and SC - Primaries + No Cruz Iowa Ground Game + LARGE Trump lead in polls. Only question is will high turnout repeat?
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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mrs. nicholas sarkozy posted:I remember in 08 obama supporters went wingnut crazy against hillary. like people unironically posted from drudge. same thing happening this year. outside of white liberal dude internet enclaves hillary is a strong candidate hth The hate against her in here is super gross.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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I wonder who picked that dark green color for Rubio that blends into the background.
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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Joementum posted:MSNBC claims to have 99% of the GOP results with Trump leading by about ~2,000 votes. My Microsoft page is stuck at 80%, so who knows. What the..!?
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Feb 2, 2016 04:21
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