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Adar
Jul 27, 2001

Arkane posted:

If Intrade were around tonight I think I would've legit made like 40k.

Thanks, Obama.

get in touch and we'll talk

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Zeta Taskforce
Jun 27, 2002

pathetic little tramp posted:

The market is delegate count, not popular vote. Hillary has basically won the delegates barring insane numbers coming in from Sanders.

Where do you see that? I sold everything at 86 and glad that I did.

JosefStalinator
Oct 9, 2007

Come Tbilisi if you want to live.




Grimey Drawer
I hope Bern pulls of Iowa so we can get some cheap Hillary shares for the nomination.

tinstaach
Aug 3, 2010

MAGNetic AttITUDE


Maybe this will drive away some of the wackos who treat this like a full-time job so us casual bettors can make a bit of money :)

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

tinstaach posted:

Maybe this will drive away some of the wackos who treat this like a full-time job so us casual bettors can make a bit of money :)

Why would it do that? The wackos seem to be the ones making the most money tonight.

Zeta Taskforce
Jun 27, 2002

Huckabee drops out

tinstaach
Aug 3, 2010

MAGNetic AttITUDE


FourLeaf posted:

Why would it do that? The wackos seem to be the ones making the most money tonight.

They can't be happy with a site that crashes at a time when there is the most money to be made.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

200 Trump YES shares listed at .01, and they still haven't sold. I'm so loving pissed.

Nope, they just went through. Great. $100 just evaporated because the site wouldn't load for me for two hours.

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib

Zeta Taskforce posted:

Where do you see that? I sold everything at 86 and glad that I did.

Well the market says delegates are what matters and Clinton has a 6+ edge on that front automatically:

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/iowa

Flavahbeast
Jul 21, 2001
Probation
Can't post for 6 hours!
Where are the +6 delegates coming from, is she getting all of O'malley's or something?

edit: Iowa is freaken weird, I'm probably wrong

Flavahbeast has issued a correction as of 04:41 on Feb 2, 2016

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib

Flavahbeast posted:

Where are the +6 delegates coming from, is she getting all of O'malley's or something?

Hillary has 6 super delegates pledged, so her delegate support is already higher.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005


same

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Hold onto second Trump or I am utterly hosed.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

Vox Nihili posted:

Hold onto second Trump or I am utterly hosed.

Don't listen to this guy, Trump. Lose to both Candadian Boy and Double Cuban Boy. Prove that you're just a bald, gold plated, fraud. Do it for my walletAmerica.

abelwingnut
Dec 23, 2002


can rubio actually take second?

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Abel Wingnut posted:

can rubio actually take second?

nah it's 90% in

An Apple A Gay
Oct 21, 2008

Huckabee was selling at .02 right when carson announced his plane trip home, before he corrected and said he was going for clothes, then to the DC prayer deal, I made out like a bandit with a first trade. I bought Huck at around 60, then 31, then at 2, holy smokes,

but the lag

I'm gonna have a drink now

Arkane
Dec 19, 2006

by R. Guyovich

Zeta Taskforce posted:

Huckabee drops out

nom nom nom

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

THANK YOU HUCK YES

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
Yeah there is no point to trying to trade on this site on these nights.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

pathetic little tramp posted:

Yeah there is no point to trying to trade on this site on these nights.

this really, really sucks.

Flavahbeast
Jul 21, 2001
Probation
Can't post for 6 hours!
I put a bid up for 100 Rubio NO shares in nevada at 2c each a couple nights ago and in all the excitement over the last two hours someone seems to have bought them :toot:

Parakeet vs. Phone
Nov 6, 2009
Yeah, I can't wait for the site to settle down so I can start setting up positions for the other primaries.

I managed to get a whole -$3 risk on the MAPrimary(D) market.

Right now, I'm just trying to shift money toward Hillary in Iowa, and boy is it rough.

Gibberish
Sep 17, 2002

by R. Guyovich
Holy gently caress goodbye 75 bucks

How the gently caress did Ted Cruz win this

Necc0
Jun 30, 2005

by exmarx
Broken Cake

Aliquid posted:

Nope, they just went through. Great. $100 just evaporated because the site wouldn't load for me for two hours.

Don't do this. You made a bad bet, don't blame the site.

It's well known here that trying to race the crowd is a losing game with this site.

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin

Vox Nihili posted:

THANK YOU HUCK YES
Toldja.

Zeta Taskforce
Jun 27, 2002

People way overreacted in the other races. Rubio is now about 50% to win the nomination.

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
There's confusion in the Hillary market - I think the district-level delegates + super delegates don't count. The precinct-level delegates are who count. I believe.

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin
It's precinct level only delegates. So get ready for a long night.

Flavahbeast
Jul 21, 2001
Probation
Can't post for 6 hours!

pathetic little tramp posted:

Hillary has 6 super delegates pledged, so her delegate support is already higher.

so do pledged superdelegates definitely count for the purposes of Predictit? I though they could change their minds later

District Selectman
Jan 22, 2012

by Lowtax
PI needs to get their poo poo together.

Necc0
Jun 30, 2005

by exmarx
Broken Cake

Flavahbeast posted:

so do pledged superdelegates definitely count for the purposes of Predictit? I though they could change their minds later

Ultimately it's as declared by the Democratic party so that seems like superdelegates count, to me at least.

Zeta Taskforce
Jun 27, 2002

Peachstapler posted:

It's precinct level only delegates. So get ready for a long night.

I keep hearing that Bernie's votes came from more concentrated strongholds vs Hillary's that are more spread out, so Hillary will still have an advantage

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib

Peachstapler posted:

It's precinct level only delegates. So get ready for a long night.

If that's the case, I think Hillary is golden.

District Selectman
Jan 22, 2012

by Lowtax

Zeta Taskforce posted:

People way overreacted in the other races. Rubio is now about 50% to win the nomination.

Ugh I know, I need my Iowa money! It's all in Iowa!

Necc0
Jun 30, 2005

by exmarx
Broken Cake
Hillary yes at $.30

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin
Hillary is down to 22 cents in Iowa. Bernie must have pulled ahead?

tinstaach
Aug 3, 2010

MAGNetic AttITUDE


lol I've had a buy order on those 30c shares for a few minutes now, I don't know what the eff is going on

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Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

Gibberish posted:

Holy gently caress goodbye 75 bucks

How the gently caress did Ted Cruz win this

Because Democracy works.

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