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Donald Trump posted:Rubio will be my VP. He's a good guy. 
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Feb 5, 2016 21:52
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greatn posted:Mr Trump is always packing and never taken by surprise. Except by the weather, apparently.
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Feb 5, 2016 21:55
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Xenophon posted:Monmouth did an interesting poll here where they re-contacted 263 voters they had contacted from January 23-26 to ask about how their caucusing went. A lot of interesting tidbits, but the real takeaway is here: This was the question that would settle the primary, and here's the answer: Trump voters are hot garbage and won't show up because they are dumb and Monday Night Raw was on. I suspect he'll do better on Tuesday since there's no Wrestling that night.
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Feb 5, 2016 21:57
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Montasque posted:The rumors that I know of on Rubio are as follows: That's it. If even one of those is true and Rubio turns out to be like the Latino senator from Alpha House, I will actually OD on schadenfreude. When is that show coming back, btw?
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Feb 5, 2016 21:58
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NH will tell a lot. If Trump doesn't hit 30% in the actual vote there, he's going to have a difficult time. Not saying he can't win, if at least BOTH Cruz and Rubio stay in and make it a 3-man race over the long haul, he can still finish 1st. BUT he's going to have a hard time hitting 50% of the delegates awarded if his turnout takes as big a hit in primaries as it did in the caucus.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:00
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The biggest tragedy of Trump losing the nomination is we'd never find out who his VP pick would be. He seems to have an issue where anyone who garners enough support in the primary to threaten him leads to confrontations too vicious for them to put aside later, while anyone who doesn't get enough support is a proven loser unworthy to share ticket space with. Maybe if he starts closing in on the nomination we'll start to see establishment figures endorse him in order to get in good and he'll pick a running mate from that pool. It's kind of weird at the moment because Iowa going to an evangelical has always been an assumed speed bump for Trump since back in the summer, even if he did make a push in the last month and underperformed his polls. People have really tried to make a lot of hay out of it probably in hopes that it'll reverse his momentum but not achieving an unstoppable clean sweep didn't turn out to be fatal for anyone else who's gone on to win their party's nomination. If he wins New Hampshire we'll probably see the reverse happen, with people chanting Trump and the thread swamped with declarations of the Unstumpable return, even though winning NH has also been long expected and basically means the primaries are unfolding in a pretty normal way. Things don't really look like they'll get interesting until South Carolina where there's some potential to actually set the narrative outside of the usual "Evangelical loser wins Iowa, frontrunner wins New Hampshire".
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Feb 5, 2016 22:00
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Dolash posted:The biggest tragedy of Trump losing the nomination is we'd never find out who his VP pick would be. He seems to have an issue where anyone who garners enough support in the primary to threaten him leads to confrontations too vicious for them to put aside later, while anyone who doesn't get enough support is a proven loser unworthy to share ticket space with. Maybe if he starts closing in on the nomination we'll start to see establishment figures endorse him in order to get in good and he'll pick a running mate from that pool. the inmates of this thread will continue to feed off each other's political suffering until the last one stands, so I predict good times are in the pipe line!
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Feb 5, 2016 22:03
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This whole election is a FALSE FLAG!  https://twitter.com/RonPaul/status/695704133609746433
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Feb 5, 2016 22:06
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With football coming up, it should be reminded to everyone that Donald Trump loves football and may have destroyed a football league in the 80s.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:08
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I honestly think Trump losing IA was more to do with a) IA is filled with Christian crazies, b) IA votes for loser Republicans (e.g. Huckabee), Montasque, what's the vibe on talk radio right now in terms of being pro-Trump? Dahbadu fucked around with this message at 22:37 on Feb 5, 2016 |
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Feb 5, 2016 22:08
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Joementum posted:This whole election is a FALSE FLAG! now i wanna see ron paul endorse bernie
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Feb 5, 2016 22:13
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richardfun posted:That's it. If even one of those is true and Rubio turns out to be like the Latino senator from Alpha House, I will actually OD on schadenfreude. Marco Rubio is the inspiration for Senator Guzman... Who in season 2 of Alpha House is running for President.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:14
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Dahbadu posted:d) Rubio people probably did a better job selling their candidate to the room. Yeah I don't feel like many people are singing his praises to their neighbors, which disproportionally effects voting over the internet and radio megaphones.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:14
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Hahahha I just realized that Cruz is right between Trump and Carson on the stage tomorrow, aka: the two people who are the most pissed at him.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:16
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mormonpartyboat posted:now i wanna see ron paul endorse bernie One of Ron's complaints is that there's "more central planning" these days, so I don't think he's feelin' the Bern.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:16
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Dahbadu posted:I honestly think Trump losing IA was more to do with a) IA is filled with Christian crazies, b) IA votes for loser Republicans (e.g. Huckabee), c) Trump's new voter turnout advantage was nullified by the disporportionality of the caucus system, and d) Rubio people probably did a better job selling their candidate to the room. I'm pretty confident that Trump will be fine in NH and SC. I think that C is more a case of Trump wasn't much better at getting the vote out than ordinary candidates, but he inflated his potential voter numbers enough that the raw number of people who went out made up for it.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:17
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Top Bunk Wanker posted:I think that C is more a case of Trump wasn't much better at getting the vote out than ordinary candidates, but he inflated his potential voter numbers enough that the raw number of people who went out made up for it. There were reports of lots of new voter registrations for Trump. But we'll never know the raw pop votes for IA, so... 
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Feb 5, 2016 22:18
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Dahbadu posted:c) Trump's new voter turnout advantage was nullified by the disporportionality of the caucus system What do you mean by this? The delegates are awarded proportionally. Dahbadu posted:There were reports of lots of new voter registrations for Trump. But we'll never know the raw pop votes for IA, so... We already do.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:24
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Hes thinking of the incredibly dumb Democratic caucus.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:28
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Trump got equal numbers from men and women. Huh would not have predicted that...
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Feb 5, 2016 22:32
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Dahbadu posted:
Only listened a bit here and there this week but the general feeling I got between talk radio and Freep is that Trump is going to win NH, and the reason Cruz won Iowa was because of the Evangelical vote came out in record numbers. Right now Talk-Radio guys are bullish on Cruz and Rubio, and are a little more cautious on Trump, but think he'll pull through in New Hampshire and SC. Except Levin and Beck of course, they are heavy in the tank for Cruz.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:33
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I'm thinking of the Dem caucus. Assumed it would be similar for Repubs, it's not.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:34
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Jeb!quote:During his 2001 White House Correspondents Dinner speech, President George W. Bush addressed his relationship with his younger brother, Jeb, following the contentious Florida recount.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:41
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quote:"Well, also you know, I heard people saying, 'What's wrong with Carson? They have clothes in New Hampshire. He can go and buy some more suits and some more shirts,'" Carson said. Oh okay.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:44
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I'm pretty sure a last-minute round-trip flight to Florida costs more than a suit. Unless he only wears Brooks Brothers or something.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:49
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If Jeb was "the smart one" why did he go to UFlorida while W went to Yale?
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Feb 5, 2016 22:49
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Pinterest Mom posted:Oh okay. "To show my commitment to fiscal restraint, I flew home for fresh clothes. What's a laundromat?"
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Feb 5, 2016 22:50
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I really wonder how Ben Carson would be doing if he just was normal enough to say "I've been on the campaign a long time and I really just wanted a night in my bed to rest and recharge."
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Feb 5, 2016 22:50
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if carson was a normal human being we wouldn't be discussing him
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Feb 5, 2016 22:53
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How long until PPP releases a poll showing that Barbara is polling higher than Jeb in NH?
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Feb 5, 2016 22:54
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Fiction posted:Haha yeah how dumb of Joementum and others to try and predict that Trump will have a lower turnout than normal
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Feb 5, 2016 22:56
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what dummies "s-s-surely this will stump trump! 
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greatn posted:Mr Trump is always packing and never taken by surprise. Always bring a gun to a swordfight
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Feb 5, 2016 22:57
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Hahahaha that reminds me I'm watching the wire for the first time and I nearly plotzed last night when the one corner kid says he wants to grow up to be a pediatric neurosurgeon, I said to my wife "wait...like Ben Carson?" And a second later they confirm.
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Feb 5, 2016 22:59
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Ben Carson is living like a god drat king. Dr. Carson is like the modern-day heir to the old patent medicine circuit, except instead of just slinging some lovely bottles of tonic water with his face on it he is flying private jets back and forth from Florida. What a life.
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Feb 5, 2016 23:02
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Dalaram posted:Always bring a belt buckle to a swordfight
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Feb 5, 2016 23:04
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Corek posted:If Jeb was "the smart one" why did he go to UFlorida while W went to Yale? ive heard the claim that Yale tightened up their requirements for legacy applicants between w's and jeb's applications but i dunno also jeb went to u Texas i believe
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Feb 5, 2016 23:06
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In which Jeb's jock older brother uses a nude baby photo to tease him in public. The Illuminati is getting lazy and just pulling from old sitcoms to write elections now. Next week, Donald Trump is gonna see Ben Carson naked in the shower.
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Feb 5, 2016 23:06
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So I honestly hadn't been following the Republican caucus and results for IA. I just did some googling, and it seems that there was a) record turnouts, b) a bunch of registrations, and c) close to 30 percent of republicans went in undecided. What I get from this is that a) more people are paying attention and have engaged in the political process this cycle and b) lots of republicans went into those caucus rooms without having their minds made up (or could be persuaded). I can totally see how a group of people supporting Rubio (higher median income, better educated, etc.) could do a better job selling their candidate to a room of people. So you may have a person that without outside influence would vote for Trump, but when put in a room with social dynamics at play, goes to Rubio.
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Feb 5, 2016 23:14
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they see me rollin'
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Feb 5, 2016 23:15
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Why is making her do this? Why does Jeb want to kill his old old mother?
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Feb 5, 2016 23:16
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