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people have been saying kasich is the candidate taking new hampshire the most seriously for a while, also implying that new hampshirites like being treated like they're the only one it'll be interesting to see what the polls say! it'll be interesting to see who overperforms the polls, and who underperforms! interesting things will be interesting!
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Feb 8, 2016 04:57
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Boosted_C5 posted:Yessssssss. What is cruz even doing these days? Is he wasting time in NH? Shouldn't he be doing nonstop rallies in SC and downplaying expectations in NH?
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Feb 8, 2016 04:58
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Oiled and Ready posted:Kasich was one of the Republican leaders to support a last-minute deal with President Bill Clinton to pass the Federal Assault Weapons Ban." gently caress this rear end-hole.
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Feb 8, 2016 04:59
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Feb 8, 2016 05:04
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Patter Song posted:Fun note: New Hampshire has a 10% threshold for getting delegates. Any candidate below that gets 0. Just something to file away and remember Tuesday. So when a certain portion of the field fails to hit the viability threshold, what does that mean for the delegates? Do an equal percentage of them remain unassigned until the convention, or are they allotted proportionally to those who did meet the threshold? I know this has been discussed before but I can never remember crazy primary rules
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Feb 8, 2016 05:04
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So Colbert isn't talking about politics at all. So much for that possible exposure.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:06
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Ratspeaker posted:So when a certain portion of the field fails to hit the viability threshold, what does that mean for the delegates? Do an equal percentage of them remain unassigned until the convention, or are they allotted proportionally to those who did meet the threshold? They go to the guy who comes in first. So if, say, you have candidate A with 50%, candidate B with 45%, and candidate C with 5%. New Hampshire has 20 delegates, so: Candidate A gets 50% * 20 = 10 Candidate B gets 45% * 20 = 9 There's one delegate left over, who goes to candidate A. It's weird. (And rules are different from state to state.)
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Feb 8, 2016 05:06
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thethreeman posted:What is cruz even doing these days? Is he wasting time in NH? Shouldn't he be doing nonstop rallies in SC and downplaying expectations in NH? quote:MANCHESTER, New Hampshire — When Eric Eastman learned that Rand Paul was leaving the race, he went through the “five stages of grief.”
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Feb 8, 2016 05:07
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So what happens if no candidate has the delegates and we have a brokered convention?
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Feb 8, 2016 05:07
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Mordiceius posted:So what happens if no candidate has the delegates and we have a brokered convention? 
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Feb 8, 2016 05:08
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:So Colbert isn't talking about politics at all. So much for that possible exposure. What else does Megyn have to talk about though?
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Feb 8, 2016 05:10
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Goddamnit you're right they'll force through the Romnibus
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Feb 8, 2016 05:10
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Mordiceius posted:So what happens if no candidate has the delegates and we have a brokered convention? Whatever it is I hope blood is spilled.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:10
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Oiled and Ready posted:What else does Megyn have to talk about though?
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Feb 8, 2016 05:13
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What's the Kasich path to the nomination, even if he outperforms in NH? He's pretty much DOA in the South, right?
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Feb 8, 2016 05:13
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Oiled and Ready posted:Goddamnit you're right they'll force through the Romnibus He keeps trying to sap support for Bernie in the dem thread, he'll finally have the match up he wanted.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:15
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If this process did end up with someone literally no one voted for who was a two-term presidential loser being the GOP nominee, voter enthusiasm on that side would be so low the GOP would be risking a landslide.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:15
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But Rocks Hurt Head posted:What's the Kasich path to the nomination, even if he outperforms in NH? He's pretty much DOA in the South, right? Establishment choice at brokered convention.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:15
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But Rocks Hurt Head posted:What's the Kasich path to the nomination, even if he outperforms in NH? He's pretty much DOA in the South, right? i guess in theory he could win a ton of moderate northern states, but you identify the biggest problem - the SEC roadblock on super tuesday it might be the convention - if he's got a competitive number of delegates and they're deadlocked through a few ballots he might be able to win over some of the other establishment candidates' delegates by making the electability argument
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Feb 8, 2016 05:17
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that petition would probably get a lot more traction if the person who made it bothered to capitalize it properly (ironic i know)
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Feb 8, 2016 05:18
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Also, if by some miracle of god, Trump did get the 1200 delegates, they can't really make him nominee, can they?
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Feb 8, 2016 05:23
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babypolis posted:that petition would probably get a lot more traction if the person who made it bothered to capitalize it properly (ironic i know) You sound like a really fun person. Just sign the petition: https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/dispel-fiction-barack-obama-doesnt-know-what-hes-doing-he-knows-exactly-what-hes-doing
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Feb 8, 2016 05:26
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Mordiceius posted:Also, if by some miracle of god, Trump did get the 1200 delegates, they can't really make him nominee, can they? i dont think they could do much to stop them, the delegate rules are arcane as gently caress and vary by state but i think the rnc changed the rules to stop such ratfuckery after last cycle
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Feb 8, 2016 05:26
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Montasque posted:If this is how NH shakes out it will cause an absolute poo poo storm moving forward.Basically no real winnowing until Nevada and possibly Super Tuesday. Christie is a lot of things, but I don't think he's delusional like Fiorina, or running for President as a grift like Carson. That said, Jeb beating Rubio in New Hampshire (or anywhere) would lead to chaos in that wing of the party whether or not Christie stayed in. But Rocks Hurt Head posted:What's the Kasich path to the nomination, even if he outperforms in NH? He's pretty much DOA in the South, right?
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Feb 8, 2016 05:28
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I can't even begin to fathom how this race is going to pan out if Kasich snags a strong 2nd place in NH. It seems like we'll be guaranteed at least a couple more months of a hilarious primary, that's all I can predict. Since this morning I've been thinking more and more "Maybe it will be Jeb," which goes to show how weird the state of the race is. Tuesday's voting can't come soon enough - I hope we get a solidly chaotic result instead of just Rubio over-performing again for no particular reason. Edit to add: I made a big bet against Jeb back in October so I usually keep tabs on what the betting markets think of him. He did better today than at any time since then, even hitting 10 cents at some point. sharkbomb fucked around with this message at 05:32 on Feb 8, 2016 |
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Feb 8, 2016 05:30
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babypolis posted:i dont think they could do much to stop them, the delegate rules are arcane as gently caress and vary by state but i think the rnc changed the rules to stop such ratfuckery after last cycle Yeah, the RNC's hands are pretty much tied. Whoever comes out of the primary process is the nominee. RNC Rule 16 a) i posted:Any statewide presidential preference vote that permits a choice among candidates for the Republican nomination for President of the United States in a primary, caucuses, or a state convention must be used to allocate and bind the state’s delegation to the national convention in either a proportional or winner-take-all manner, except for delegates and alternate delegates who appear on a ballot in a statewide election and are elected directly by primary voters. RNC Rule 12 posted:The Republican National Committee may, by three-fourths (3/4) vote of its entire membership, amend Rule Nos. 1-11 and 13-25. Any such amendment shall be considered by the Republican National Committee only if it was passed by a majority vote of the Standing Committee on Rules after having been submitted in writing at least ten (10) days in advance of its consideration by the Republican National Committee and shall take effect thirty (30) days after adoption. No such amendment shall be adopted after September 30, 2014.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:31
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sharkbomb posted:I can't even begin to fathom how this race is going to pan out if Kasich snags a strong 2nd place in NH. It seems like we'll be guaranteed at least a couple more months of a hilarious primary, that's all I can predict. its gonna be an absolute bloodbath going into super tuesday. and trump is surely going to come up with some amazing bullshit to grab the spotlight again, he cant let everyone else fight among themselves forever. laying low until nh is a good choice, but after that hes going to come back swinging
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Feb 8, 2016 05:34
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sharkbomb posted:I can't even begin to fathom how this race is going to pan out if Kasich snags a strong 2nd place in NH. It seems like we'll be guaranteed at least a couple more months of a hilarious primary, that's all I can predict. After what Trump has done to Jeb I cant help but think that between two choices that will both bring national embarrassment, Republican voters will pick the Trump kind of embarrassment. Pretty loving smart of him to continue to rip Jeb relentlessly even when he posed no threat for months.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:35
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Joementum posted:Here's a thing that exists that you probably shouldn't click on at work, even though there's nothing explicit. Trevor Moore is so awesome. 
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Feb 8, 2016 05:38
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But Rocks Hurt Head posted:What's the Kasich path to the nomination, even if he outperforms in NH? He's pretty much DOA in the South, right?
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Feb 8, 2016 05:40
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Kelly on now.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:43
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I wonder what his response will be to this.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:49
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Mordiceius posted:Also, if by some miracle of god, Trump did get the 1200 delegates, they can't really make him nominee, can they? If they didn't, it would mean... *pulls you in close, looks around wild-eyed for eavesdroppers, whispers so quietly that you have to strain to hear even with my mouth an inch from your ear* ... he was treated unfairly.
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Feb 8, 2016 05:53
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Let's dispel this fiction that Marco Rubio doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing. He's trying to dispel this fiction that Barack Obama doesn't know what he's doing. He know's exactly what he's doing
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Feb 8, 2016 06:02
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Oiled and Ready posted:Uh i agree? Wouldn't obama owning him wih the deniability it was the will of the people be hilarious? Yeah, sorry, I mistook the tone of your post.
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Feb 8, 2016 06:04
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Barack Obama knows what he is doing at all times. he knows this because he knows what he isn't doing. By subtracting what he is doing from what he isn't, or what he is not doing from what he is doing (whichever is greater), he obtains a difference, or deviation. The guidance subsystem uses deviations to generate corrective commands to drive Barack Obama from what he is doing to what he hasn't done yet, and arriving at a position where he wasn't doing, he now is. Consequently, what he is doing, is now what he wasn't doing, and he follows that the doing that he was, is now the doing that he isn't. In the event that the position that he is in is not the position that he wasn't, the system has acquired a variation, the variation being the difference between what Barack Obama is doing and what he wasn't. If variation is considered to be a significant factor, he too may be corrected by the GEA. However, Barack Obama must also know what he was doing. Barack Obama guidance teleprompter scenario works as follows. Because a variation has modified some of the information Barack Obama has obtained, he is not sure just what he is doing. However, he is sure what he is not doing, within reason, and he knows what he was doing. He now subtracts where he should be from where he wasn't, or vice-versa, and by differentiating this from the algebraic sum of what he shouldn't be doing, and what he is, he is able to obtain the deviation and its variation error, which is called rubio.
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Feb 8, 2016 06:05
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Not surprised http://newswithviews.com/NWV-News/news494.htm $10 million book deal for Megyn Kelly
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Feb 8, 2016 06:29
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Jumpingmanjim posted:Barack Obama knows what he is doing at all times. he knows this because he knows what he isn't doing. By subtracting what he is doing from what he isn't, or what he is not doing from what he is doing (whichever is greater), he obtains a difference, or deviation. The guidance subsystem uses deviations to generate corrective commands to drive Barack Obama from what he is doing to what he hasn't done yet, and arriving at a position where he wasn't doing, he now is. Consequently, what he is doing, is now what he wasn't doing, and he follows that the doing that he was, is now the doing that he isn't.
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Feb 8, 2016 06:59
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Oiled and Ready posted:loving MEGYN KELLY IS ON COLBERT Is she bleeding out of her eyes or her nose or whatever?
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Feb 8, 2016 07:00
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My fave: https://vine.co/v/iOTvvP1I110
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Feb 8, 2016 07:29
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