Formal toxx clause - Liberals will not gain an active majority at the next election (too much poo poo in their way), instead the next government will be a labour minority government, with greens voting with them on key issues and to confirm supply, and to keep power away from the libs. PUP / KAP will fail to win any seats, Bill Shorten will lead until the election, if he loses, he will voluntarily step down. If Malcolm Turnbull doesn't win an outright majority, I predict a coup lead by ScoMo If I don't get at least 3 of these right, I'll autoban myself tithin fucked around with this message at 03:23 on Feb 13, 2016 |
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 03:11 |
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# ? May 30, 2024 13:45 |
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Lambie and Muir aren't up for reelection, so you got one at least.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 03:16 |
I thought they were running as independents?
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 03:18 |
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Maybe at the next election. Senate terms are six years.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 03:20 |
Bah, I thought they were on the same cycle. Well, I guess we'll replace that one.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 03:22 |
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tithin posted:
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:00 |
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Wagering against Turnbull is suicide. An election would be called at the first sign of polls heading towards 50 50
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:06 |
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:10 |
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Anidav posted:Wagering against Turnbull is suicide. An election would be called at the first sign of polls heading towards 50 50
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:14 |
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Tony Abbott makes joke about wet dreams in Parliament, no-one laughs The video is worth watching. The awkward pause where he waits for laughs and then looks down and licks his lips is pure, concentrated schadenfreude.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:16 |
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I would argue a DD election is a higher chance than ever with the polls I've seen being done. There's some serious LNP legwork going into this particular topic.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:19 |
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SadisTech posted:Tony Abbott makes joke about wet dreams in Parliament, no-one laughs Is there some economic term I'm missing? That doesn't even make sense as a basic sentence to me, let alone as a joke.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:29 |
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Anidav posted:I would argue a DD election is a higher chance than ever with the polls I've seen being done. There's some serious LNP legwork going into this particular topic. They're desperate to break that Senate, but all I can see arising from a DD is a worse Senate than ever, unless they plan to spend absolutely zillions to shut everyone else out, and that strategy never works on the Senate and only sometimes in the Reps.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:30 |
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Cartoon posted:May I remind you: This government will stay in as long as Howard did
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:31 |
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ewe2 posted:They're desperate to break that Senate, but all I can see arising from a DD is a worse Senate than ever, unless they plan to spend absolutely zillions to shut everyone else out, and that strategy never works on the Senate and only sometimes in the Reps. That's what those senate reforms are for. Didn't they get passed the other day?
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:35 |
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Zenithe posted:Is there some economic term I'm missing? That doesn't even make sense as a basic sentence to me, let alone as a joke. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wets_and_dries
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:36 |
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Skellybones posted:This government will stay in as long as Howard did
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:46 |
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gay picnic defence posted:That's what those senate reforms are for. Didn't they get passed the other day? A DD halves the quota (since you need to elect 12 Senators, not 6), so it becomes much, much easier for minor parties to get in. Those changes might reduce it a bit but it's still a huge gamble.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:49 |
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Thanks. Yeah, not funny.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 04:53 |
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Doctor Spaceman posted:A DD halves the quota (since you need to elect 12 Senators, not 6), so it becomes much, much easier for minor parties to get in. Those changes might reduce it a bit but it's still a huge gamble. It doesn't reduce it a bit it basically removes the chance. Only Minor party to get senators will be the Greens and Xenophon (+1 maybe) under the changes proposed.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 05:00 |
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EvilElmo posted:It doesn't reduce it a bit it basically removes the chance. Only Minor party to get senators will be the Greens and Xenophon (+1 maybe) under the changes proposed. In a DD though?
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 05:02 |
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EvilElmo posted:It doesn't reduce it a bit it basically removes the chance. Only Minor party to get senators will be the Greens and Xenophon (+1 maybe) under the changes proposed. So a progressive right party and a progressive centrist party. Bedfellows of the ALP and their union backers.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 06:07 |
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Turdball is smug enough to go to DD and scream Muh Innovation from the hilltops.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 06:10 |
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The headline on the Weekend Murdoch is "Labor's hit on mom and pop property investors"
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 06:16 |
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Doctor Spaceman posted:In a DD though? Yeah, it's structural change they're looking at. So candidates with under x% (can't remember the exact number) of the vote get ignored, so the weird preference deals that allowed Muir to get up won't matter anymore. It will certainly turn it from being near impossible to very hard. They'd need a big personal following and voter turnout. If all the racist UPF etc. groups get together and get behind 1 candidate in NSW and QLD they might get a senator in each state. But that isn't going to happen. All the vanity candidates will flock to the senate ticket in the view it's easy to get elected, which will kill their respective chances of getting up. quote:So a progressive right party and a progressive centrist party. Bedfellows of the ALP and their union backers. Okay?
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 06:16 |
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Anidav posted:The headline on the Weekend Murdoch is "Labor's hit on mom and pop property investors"
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 06:47 |
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I'd vote for Bill scroten if he put out a hit on mum and dad property investors
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 06:51 |
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I need a permaban. It doesn't get better.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 07:02 |
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Anidav posted:Wagering against Turnbull is suicide. An election would be called at the first sign of polls heading towards 50 50 Seems like a wager that would be taken up by Anid...
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 07:34 |
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Tokamak posted:Seems like a wager that would be taken up by Anid...
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 08:02 |
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Jesus why does the imgur app do that compression.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 08:03 |
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No you see guys we need an agile and responsive economy, which is why we need to cut penalty rates and invest heavily in mining and oil and gas. AGILE!
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 08:21 |
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Solemn Sloth posted:I'd vote for Bill scroten if he put out a hit on mum and dad property investors
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 09:08 |
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lol, jk. i'd never vote for that piece of poo poo. I lived in his electorate last federal election. It's all my fault.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 09:09 |
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Why isn't EvilElmo shilling hard for Labor in the last few posts WHAT HAVE YOU DONE WITH eVIL eLMO?
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 09:44 |
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Bill Snorten, less progressive than an American Democrat presidential candidate.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 09:57 |
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Local union experts, how is the CPSU? I know that some unions are pretty dodgy eg the SDA tend to be pretty shite, does the CPSU tend to be ok?
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 10:06 |
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BBJoey posted:Local union experts, how is the CPSU? I know that some unions are pretty dodgy eg the SDA tend to be pretty shite, does the CPSU tend to be ok? I'm not a union expert but I've been a CPSU member (and occasional delegate) for 20 years. I'd describe them as "good hearted but ineffectual" - they try but don't really seem to accomplish much. Given the public service is their domain that's perhaps not too surprising.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 10:42 |
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BBJoey posted:Local union experts, how is the CPSU? I know that some unions are pretty dodgy eg the SDA tend to be pretty shite, does the CPSU tend to be ok? From everything I have heard, the CPSU tend to be waaaaay better than the SDA. Strong workplace representation, way less likely to sell its members out.
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 10:42 |
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# ? May 30, 2024 13:45 |
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BBJoey posted:Local union experts, how is the CPSU? I know that some unions are pretty dodgy eg the SDA tend to be pretty shite, does the CPSU tend to be ok? CPSU good union. Left aligned. Very open with good governance. If you're not going to join the CPSU, I can't see you joining a union ever. Starshark posted:Why isn't EvilElmo shilling hard for Labor in the last few posts WHAT HAVE YOU DONE WITH eVIL eLMO? You're new here?
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# ? Feb 13, 2016 10:42 |